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© University of Reading 2008 Modelling, GIS and remote sensing Part 1 –Integrated catchment modelling 05 November 2008 Andrew Wade ([email protected] ) Department of Geography The University of Reading, UK

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Page 1: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

© University of Reading 2008

Modelling, GIS andremote sensingPart 1 –Integrated catchment modelling05 November 2008Andrew Wade ([email protected])Department of GeographyThe University of Reading, UK

Page 2: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Introduction

• Principles– Issues and complexity– Water resource management– Modelling approach

• Examples– INCA­N– Inclusion of remote sensing data– Farming– Effluent– Climate change

• Limitations of models

• Summary

Page 3: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

3

Why model?• Barnsley 2008, Environmental Modelling, Chapter 1• Building a well­designed model forces one to examine

the– Component elements of an environmental system– Processes and structures that govern the relationships and

interactions between them– Spatial and temporal scales over which the processes and

structures operate

• Scenario analysis for management

Page 4: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

DefinitionsSpatial Scale

– Plot: 1 m2

– Small­scale, research: 10 km2

– Meso­scale: 100 km2

– Large­scale: 5 000 km2

– Regional­scale: 20 000 km2

– National­scale: 250 000 km2

(UK based definitions)

Page 5: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Loch Muick, Aberdeenshire

Little Ouse, Norfolk

Nitrogen Issues

Steinkreuz, southern GermanyHaygarth PM, Jarvis, SC. 2002.

Neal et al. 2005

Neal et al. 2003

Page 6: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

River Dee, Aberdeenshire

Variability

Page 7: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Newson MD. 1997.

Land, Water and Development:River basin systems and theirsustainable management

Routledge, 2nd Edition, pp 351

Page 8: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling
Page 9: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Scale Problem

point

1 m

10­100 km

National

Equifinality

Page 10: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

N Models: Upland• MAGIC and MERLINAdvantages

– Acidification– Dynamic– Process representation

Disadvantages– High data requirements– Upland systems– MAGIC has simplistic N  component

Page 11: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

N models: Agricultural• SUNDIALAdvantages

– Dynamic– Simulate hydrological and chemical processes

Disadvantages– High data requirements– Field scale only

Page 12: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

N Models: Empirical• Export Co­efficient

Advantages– Low computational requirement– Easy to apply at different spatial scales

Disadvantages– No hydrological or chemical process representation

Page 13: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

N models: In­stream• QUASARAdvantages

– Dynamic– In­stream processes and pollutant routing

Disadvantages– In­stream only

Page 14: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

What is INCA?• Integrated Catchment model

• N dynamics in complex river systems– Terrestrial

– In­stream

• Point and diffuse

• Process­based, mass balance

• Daily

• Simulates NO3, NH4

Wade AJ, Durand P et al.  2002.

Whitehead et al. 1998

INCA screen shot

Page 15: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

GIS Database

INCA

Page 16: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

How does the model work?

Page 17: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Land Cell: Hydrological Model

QuickSoil

Groundwater

Quickflow

Throughflow

Groundwater flow

P AET

Page 18: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

NO3

Groundwater Zone

NH4

Urban wasteto River

NitrogenFixation

Ammonium +Nitrate deposition

Ammonium +Nitrate fertiliser

NO3 NH4

nitrification

Organic N

Netmineralisation

NitrateAddition

Plantuptake

AmmoniumAddition

Plantuptake

Reactive Soil Zone

denitrification

Leachingto river

Leachingto river

NO3

Groundwater Zone

NH4

Urban wasteto River

NitrogenFixation

Ammonium +Nitrate deposition

Ammonium +Nitrate fertiliser

Urban wasteto River

NitrogenFixation

Ammonium +Nitrate deposition

Ammonium +Nitrate fertiliser

NO3 NH4

nitrification

Organic N

Netmineralisation

NitrateAddition

Plantuptake

AmmoniumAddition

Plantuptake

Reactive Soil Zone

denitrification

Leachingto river

Leachingto river

Page 19: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling
Page 20: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Land Cell: Hydrological Model

QuickSoil

Groundwater

Quick flow,qquick

Throughflow,

(1­ )qsoil

Groundwaterflow, qgw

qsoil

qsoil

quick

quicksoilquick

RTqq

dtdq −

soil

soileffsoil

RTqp

dtdq −

=

gw

gwsoilgw

RTqq

dtdq −

P AET

Page 21: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

NO3

Groundwater Zone

NH4

Urban wasteto River

NitrogenFixation

Ammonium +Nitrate deposition

Ammonium +Nitrate fertiliser

NO3 NH4

nitrification

Organic N

Netmineralisation

NitrateAddition

Plantuptake

AmmoniumAddition

Plantuptake

Reactive Soil Zone

denitrification

Leachingto river

Leachingto river

NO3

Groundwater Zone

NH4

Urban wasteto River

NitrogenFixation

Ammonium +Nitrate deposition

Ammonium +Nitrate fertiliser

Urban wasteto River

NitrogenFixation

Ammonium +Nitrate deposition

Ammonium +Nitrate fertiliser

NO3 NH4

nitrification

Organic N

Netmineralisation

NitrateAddition

Plantuptake

AmmoniumAddition

Plantuptake

Reactive Soil Zone

denitrification

Leachingto river

Leachingto river

100.103104

103864003.

100.3

26

116

14

6213

CVolNOSC

VolNHSC

VolNO

SSCVol

NOqInput

dtdNO soilsoilsoilsoil

+−+

−−=

OutputPlantUptake

nitrification denitrificationNon­biologicalfixation

Page 22: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Temperature dependencies

Rate coefficients are temperature dependent

where θs = soil temperature

where θa = air temperatureC16 is the maximum temperature difference between winter and summer

(Green and Harding, 1979)

)20(047.1 −= θnn CC

−=

365.

23sin16

daynoCas πθθ

Page 23: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

reach

instreamininstream

RTqq

dtdq −

=

86400breach

reach aqLRT =

VolqNHC

VolqNO

CVolNOq

Inputdt

dNO

instreaminstream

instreaminstream

ireach

instreaminstreamstream

instream

864004

864003864003.3

10

11

+

−−=

Page 24: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Upper Kennet Catchment

River Kennet at Mildenhall

Lambourn

Sewage Treatment Works

Page 25: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling
Page 26: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling
Page 27: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling
Page 28: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling
Page 29: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Atmospheric N Deposition Model

MATADOR­N (National Power plc)+

Deposition Velocities (David Fowler, ITE)+

Land Use=

Atmospheric N Deposition

Page 30: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Kg ha­1 yr­1

0.2 ­ 4.34.4 ­ 8.48.4 ­ 12.412.4 ­ 16.516.5 ­ 20.620.6 ­ 24.824.8 ­ 28.728.7 ­ 32.8

Total Nitrogen Deposition

Page 31: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Calibration

Page 32: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Shaw

Boxford

East Shefford

Page 33: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling
Page 34: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Demo

Page 35: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Advantages and disadvantages ofthe INCA­N approach

Advantages• Process­based, dynamic, spatial­variability• Catchment­scale, range of issues• Terrestrial and in­stream• Data readily available• User­interface• Reach and land­use based output• Quick to run• Links to aquatic biology (INCA­P)• European­wide use by research groups• Common structure for variants (Sed, N, P, C, Hg, Mine)

Page 36: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Disadvantages• Point­sources on tributaries• Fully­distributed routing• Relatively data intensive• GIS and modelling skills• Equifinality

Advantages and disadvantages ofthe INCA­N approach

Page 37: Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing - PEER · Modelling,€GIS€and remote€sensing Part€1€–Integrated€catchment€modelling 05€November€2008 ... š Barnsley€2008,€Environmental€Modelling

Summary• Range of nutrients (nitrogen) issues• Complexity of catchments• Need for integrated modelling• Example of INCA­N• Demo• Scenarios

Next ­ Uncertainty• What makes uncertainty?• How can remote sensing and GIS

help?