modelling uk digital communications
TRANSCRIPT
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ThreeKeyAims
Currentapproach
Data
Required analytics and applications
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OurSharedAmbi3on
Totransforminfrastructureinvestmentdecision-making
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MISTRAL:Mul3-scaleInfraSTRucturesystemsAnaLy3cs
ModellingandAnalysisofUKandGlobalInfrastructureTransi9ons
Energy|Transport|DigitalCommunica9ons|Water|Waste
Consor9umLeader–ProfessorJimHall(Oxford)
• SupportfromEPSRC~£5million
• Universitycontribu3ons~£1million
• Industrycontribu3ons~£2million
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ProfessorPeterTyler
DrDavidCleevely
DrEdwardOughton
Oursponsorsandpartners:
TheCambridgeDigitalCommunica3onsTeam
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TheCambridgeCommunica3onsAssessmentModel
Scenarios
CoverageandCapacityData
NetworkModels
VisualisedSpa9alRollout
CapexandOpexInforma9on
NetworkPerformanceMetrics
Strategies
InfrastructureViability
1)Capacity-demandand2)risk,vulnerabilityandresilience
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GeneralModellingApproach:‘Geotyping’
London Ci3es
Suburbia Rural
Geotypes:Similardemandandnetworkproper>es
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GeotypesDrivenbyDemographicScenarios…
Capturespopula>onandpremiseschangeover>me
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GeotypesDrivenbyDemographicScenarios…
Capturespopula>onandpremiseschangeover>me
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GeotypesDrivenbyDemographicScenarios…
Capturespopula>onandpremiseschangeover>me
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TechnologyDeploymentStrategies
3-SectoredMacrocellTower FTTdp/FTTH/FTTPDeployment
SmallCellDeployment SatelliteDeployment
Networkdimensioning:(i)Fixedand(ii)mobile/wireless
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NetworkModels
Es>ma>ngthenetworkstructuretoimprovecostes>mates
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NetworkModels
Es>ma>ngthenetworkstructuretoimprovecostes>mates
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NetworkModels
Es>ma>ngthenetworkstructuretoimprovecostes>mates
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NetworkModels
Es>ma>ngthenetworkstructuretoimprovecostes>mates
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NetworkModels
Es>ma>ngthenetworkstructuretoimprovecostes>mates
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NetworkModels
Es>ma>ngthenetworkstructuretoimprovecostes>mates
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NetworkModels
Es>ma>ngthenetworkstructuretoimprovecostes>mates
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NetworkModels
Mobileassetscanberoutedintothissynthe>cfixednetwork
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InfrastructureDeploymentCostsUnitcostsofdeployment
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InfrastructureDeploymentCostsUnitcostsofdeployment Temporalcosttrends
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InfrastructureDeploymentCostsUnitcostsofdeployment Temporalcosttrends
Capex,opexandTotalCostofOwnership
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InfrastructureViability
Thisinforma>ondirectstherolloutstrategies
TechnologyAdop3onRate
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InfrastructureViability
Thisinforma>ondirectstherolloutstrategies
TechnologyAdop3onRate
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BehaviouralDeploymentStrategies
Bestrevenuegenera3onfirst?
Highestgrowthpoten3alfirst?
Mosteasytodeployfirst
Tes>ngdifferentrolloutstrategies
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VisualisedSpa3alRollout
Examinetheperformanceofinfrastructureover>me
Baseline50Mbpsrollout,2x2networks
Ubiquitous10Mbpsrollout,2x2networks Baseline50Mbps
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VisualisedSpa3alRollout
www.thinkbroadband.com
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ModellingApproach
Geotypesegmenta9on
Deployedassettechnology- Exchange- Cabinet- Basesta3on
Postcodesectors- Popula3on- Area- SiteDensity
Dataandscenarios
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ModellingApproach
TechnologyDeploymentStrategies
Geotypesegmenta9on
Deployedassettechnology- Exchange- Cabinet- Basesta3on
Postcodesectors- Popula3on- Area- SiteDensity
G.fastFTTdp-Street/
FTTdp-Building
Technicalinputs- Networkconfigura3on- Technology
performance- Distanceinforma3on- Propaga3onmodel- Overbookingfactor
FTTH/FTTP
Spectrumintegra9on
Networkdensifica9on
Spectralefficiencygains
Dataandscenarios
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ModellingApproach
TechnologyDeploymentStrategies
Geotypesegmenta9on
Deployedassettechnology- Exchange- Cabinet- Basesta3on
Postcodesectors- Popula3on- Area- SiteDensity
G.fastFTTdp-Street/
FTTdp-Building
Technicalinputs- Networkconfigura3on- Technology
performance- Distanceinforma3on- Propaga3onmodel- Overbookingfactor
Costmodel
- Investmentcostsbypremises,postcodesector,LA,region,urban/rural
Assetcosts- Unitcosts- Timetrends- Capex,OpexandTotal
CostofOwnership
FTTH/FTTP
Spectrumintegra9on
Networkdensifica9on
Spectralefficiencygains
Dataandscenarios
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ModellingApproach
TechnologyDeploymentStrategies
Geotypesegmenta9on
Deployedassettechnology- Exchange- Cabinet- Basesta3on
Postcodesectors- Popula3on- Area- SiteDensity
G.fastFTTdp-Street/
FTTdp-Building
ExploratoryParameters
Annualcapitalintensity
Technicalinputs- Networkconfigura3on- Technology
performance- Distanceinforma3on- Propaga3onmodel- Overbookingfactor
Costmodel
- Investmentcostsbypremises,postcodesector,LA,region,urban/rural
Assetcosts- Unitcosts- Timetrends- Capex,OpexandTotal
CostofOwnership
Co-investmentAgreements
End-userspeedFTTH/FTTP
Spectrumintegra9on
Networkdensifica9on
SpectralefficiencygainsInfrastructuresharing
Dataandscenarios
‘What-if’?
Coverageobliga3onsUniversalServiceObliga3on
Demand-sides3mulusPublic-sectorfibredeployment
Radicalspectrumreform
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ModellingApproach
TechnologyDeploymentStrategies
Geotypesegmenta9on
Deployedassettechnology- Exchange- Cabinet- Basesta3on
Postcodesectors- Popula3on- Area- SiteDensity
G.fastFTTdp-Street/
FTTdp-Building
ExploratoryParameters
Annualcapitalintensity
Technicalinputs- Networkconfigura3on- Technology
performance- Distanceinforma3on- Propaga3onmodel- Overbookingfactor
Costmodel
- Investmentcostsbypremises,postcodesector,LA,region,urban/rural
Results
Spa9al,temporalandeconomicbreakdownofresults
Assetcosts- Unitcosts- Timetrends- Capex,OpexandTotal
CostofOwnership
Co-investmentAgreements
End-userspeedFTTH/FTTP
Spectrumintegra9on
Networkdensifica9on
SpectralefficiencygainsInfrastructuresharing
Dataandscenarios
Coverage Capacity Energydemand
‘What-if’?
Coverageobliga3onsUniversalServiceObliga3on
Demand-sides3mulusPublic-sectorfibredeployment
Radicalspectrumreform
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Interdependencies
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Data
Wecoulddomoreresearchwithmoredata!
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RequiredAnaly3csandApplica3ons
Whatanaly3csarerequiredandbywhom?
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RequiredAnaly3csandApplica3ons
Whatanaly3csarerequiredandbywhom?
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ThreeKeyAims
Currentapproach
Data
Required analytics and applications
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Ques3ons
1. Arewetakingtherightapproach?2. Arewemissinganything?3. Canyouhelpwithdata?4. Whatanaly3csareactuallyrequired?5. Whomightusethisresearch?6. Wouldyourorganisa3onbeinterestedinpartnering?
Contact:[email protected]