modeling and analysis of post-conflict reconstruction

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1 Modeling and Analysis of Post-Conflict Reconstruction Lt Damon B. Richardson Dr Richard F. Deckro Maj Victor D. Wiley Air Force Institute of Technology Disclaimer The views expressed in this briefing are those of the authors and do not reflect the official policy or position of the United States Air Force, Department of Defense, or the United States Government.

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Modeling and Analysis of Post-Conflict Reconstruction. Lt Damon B. Richardson Dr Richard F. Deckro Maj Victor D. Wiley Air Force Institute of Technology. Disclaimer - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • Modeling and Analysis ofPost-Conflict ReconstructionLt Damon B. RichardsonDr Richard F. DeckroMaj Victor D. Wiley

    Air Force Institute of TechnologyDisclaimerThe views expressed in this briefing are those of the authors and do not reflect the official policy or position of the United States Air Force, Department of Defense, or the United States Government.

  • Research OverviewPropose a general model for simulating the establishment of security in a post-conflict reconstruction

    Demonstrate the application of the proposed general model on a notional scenario

  • Post-Conflict ReconstructionPost-conflict reconstruction is defined asRebuilding the socioeconomic framework of societyReconstructing the enabling conditions for a functioning peacetime societyMore than just the rebuilding of physical infrastructureIncludes promoting reconciliation and establishingGovernanceRule of lawSecurityLiterature on post-conflict reconstruction spans the literature on nation-building, peacekeeping, peace enforcement, and stability operations

    Harme and Sullivan, 2002:89

  • Systems DynamicsSystems dynamics models are continuous event simulationsIt models systems as webs of key factor levels and dynamic rates of change driven by non-linear interconnected relations, information feedback loops, and time delaysIn the past systems dynamics has been applied to a number of different types of systems to analyze how different types of systems develop over timeExamples includeIndustrial settingUrban developmentWorld economic developmentSTRATMASAnd others

  • Model Overview

  • Components of a Systems Dynamics ModelForrester 1961

  • General Post-ConflictReconstruction ModelUnemployedPersonsGovtEmployeesGovt EmployeeRate of ChangePoliceIn TrainingPoliceOfficersPolice Officer Training RateCriminalRecruitmentRateCriminalApprehensionRatePolice OfficerRecruitment RateCriminalsInsurgentsInsurgentRate of ChangeCivilianCasualtiesCrime RatePrivately EmployedPeopleEmployment RateIndigenousSF in TrainingIndigenousSF RecruitRateIndigenousSecurity forcesIndigenousSF CasualtyRateIndigenous SFGraduation RateInsurgentCaptured orKilled RateCoalitionTroop CasualtyRateInternationalInsurgent Rateof ChangeCoalition TroopsIn CountryCoalition TroopRate of ChangeTroopsSecuringBordersTroopsQuellingInsurgentsTroops/MPsIn Police RolesInsurgentInfrastructureAttacks# of Useful Tipson InsurgentActivityAmount of Food/Fuel/Water/Electricity Delivered Each DayPower/Water/FoodInfrastructureDevelopment RatePeople DissatisfiedWith the OccupationPeople Neutral to or Satisfied Withthe OccupationRate of Change of Public Opinion# of Useful Tipson InsurgentActivityInsurgentRate of ChangePer CapitaGDP Growth RatePer CapitaGDPCrime RateNote: Some levels have been aggregated on this slide

  • Insurgent and CoalitionMilitary Activities Sub-ModelUnemployed personsInsurgentsInsurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.26)

    Insurgent Infrastructure Attacks (Eq. 3.31)International Insurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.27)

    Insurgent Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.28)

    Coalition TroopsCoalition Troops Patrolling Border (Eq 3.24)Coalition Troops fighting insurgents (Eq 3.25)Coalition Troops Policing (Eq 3.21)Criminal Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.18)

    Coalition Troop Casualty Rate (Eq 3.23)

    Insurgent Attacks (Eq. 3.30)Civil Defense PersonnelIndigenous Military PersonnelBorder Patrol PersonnelCoalition Troops in Country Rate of Change(Eq 3.22)

    Number of People Dissatisfied with the OccupationIndigenous Police OfficersTips on Insurgents (Eq. 3.40)Detained InsurgentsDetainee Release Rate (Eq. 3.29)

  • Insurgent and CoalitionMilitary Activities Sub-ModelUnemployed personsInsurgentsInsurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.26)

    Insurgent Infrastructure Attacks (Eq. 3.31)International Insurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.27)

    Insurgent Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.28)

    Coalition TroopsCoalition Troops Patrolling Border (Eq 3.24)Coalition Troops fighting insurgents (Eq 3.25)Coalition Troops Policing (Eq 3.21)Criminal Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.18)

    Coalition Troop Casualty Rate (Eq 3.23)

    Insurgent Attacks (Eq. 3.30)Civil Defense PersonnelIndigenous Military PersonnelBorder Patrol PersonnelCoalition Troops in Country Rate of Change(Eq 3.22)

    Number of People Dissatisfied with the OccupationIndigenous Police OfficersTips on Insurgents (Eq. 3.40)Detained InsurgentsDetainee Release Rate (Eq. 3.29)

  • Insurgent and CoalitionMilitary Activities Sub-ModelUnemployed personsInsurgentsInsurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.26)

    Insurgent Infrastructure Attacks (Eq. 3.31)International Insurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.27)

    Insurgent Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.28)

    Coalition TroopsCoalition Troops Patrolling Border (Eq 3.24)Coalition Troops fighting insurgents (Eq 3.25)Coalition Troops Policing (Eq 3.21)Criminal Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.18)

    Coalition Troop Casualty Rate (Eq 3.23)

    Insurgent Attacks (Eq. 3.30)Civil Defense PersonnelIndigenous Military PersonnelBorder Patrol PersonnelCoalition Troops in Country Rate of Change(Eq 3.22)

    Number of People Dissatisfied with the OccupationIndigenous Police OfficersTips on Insurgents (Eq. 3.40)Detained InsurgentsDetainee Release Rate (Eq. 3.29)

  • Insurgent and CoalitionMilitary Activities Sub-ModelUnemployed personsInsurgentsInsurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.26)

    Insurgent Infrastructure Attacks (Eq. 3.31)International Insurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.27)

    Insurgent Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.28)

    Coalition TroopsCoalition Troops Patrolling Border (Eq 3.24)Coalition Troops fighting insurgents (Eq 3.25)Coalition Troops Policing (Eq 3.21)Criminal Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.18)

    Coalition Troop Casualty Rate (Eq 3.23)

    Insurgent Attacks (Eq. 3.30)Civil Defense PersonnelIndigenous Military PersonnelBorder Patrol PersonnelCoalition Troops in Country Rate of Change(Eq 3.22)

    Number of People Dissatisfied with the OccupationIndigenous Police OfficersTips on Insurgents (Eq. 3.40)Detained InsurgentsDetainee Release Rate (Eq. 3.29)

  • Insurgent and CoalitionMilitary Activities Sub-ModelUnemployed personsInsurgentsInsurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.26)

    Insurgent Infrastructure Attacks (Eq. 3.31)International Insurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.27)

    Insurgent Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.28)

    Coalition TroopsCoalition Troops Patrolling Border (Eq 3.24)Coalition Troops fighting insurgents (Eq 3.25)Coalition Troops Policing (Eq 3.21)Criminal Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.18)

    Coalition Troop Casualty Rate (Eq 3.23)

    Insurgent Attacks (Eq. 3.30)Civil Defense PersonnelIndigenous Military PersonnelBorder Patrol PersonnelCoalition Troops in Country Rate of Change(Eq 3.22)

    Number of People Dissatisfied with the OccupationIndigenous Police OfficersTips on Insurgents (Eq. 3.40)Detained InsurgentsDetainee Release Rate (Eq. 3.29)

  • Insurgent and CoalitionMilitary Activities Sub-ModelUnemployed personsInsurgentsInsurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.26)

    Insurgent Infrastructure Attacks (Eq. 3.31)International Insurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.27)

    Insurgent Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.28)

    Coalition TroopsCoalition Troops Patrolling Border (Eq 3.24)Coalition Troops fighting insurgents (Eq 3.25)Coalition Troops Policing (Eq 3.21)Criminal Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.18)

    Coalition Troop Casualty Rate (Eq 3.23)

    Insurgent Attacks (Eq. 3.30)Civil Defense PersonnelIndigenous Military PersonnelBorder Patrol PersonnelCoalition Troops in Country Rate of Change(Eq 3.22)

    Number of People Dissatisfied with the OccupationIndigenous Police OfficersTips on Insurgents (Eq. 3.40)Detained InsurgentsDetainee Release Rate (Eq. 3.29)

  • Insurgent and CoalitionMilitary Activities Sub-ModelUnemployed personsInsurgentsInsurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.26)

    Insurgent Infrastructure Attacks (Eq. 3.31)International Insurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.27)

    Insurgent Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.28)

    Coalition TroopsCoalition Troops Patrolling Border (Eq 3.24)Coalition Troops fighting insurgents (Eq 3.25)Coalition Troops Policing (Eq 3.21)Criminal Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.18)

    Coalition Troop Casualty Rate (Eq 3.23)

    Insurgent Attacks (Eq. 3.30)Civil Defense PersonnelIndigenous Military PersonnelBorder Patrol PersonnelCoalition Troops in Country Rate of Change(Eq 3.22)

    Number of People Dissatisfied with the OccupationIndigenous Police OfficersTips on Insurgents (Eq. 3.40)Detained InsurgentsDetainee Release Rate (Eq. 3.29)

  • Insurgent and CoalitionMilitary Activities Sub-ModelUnemployed personsInsurgentsInsurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.26)

    Insurgent Infrastructure Attacks (Eq. 3.31)International Insurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.27)

    Insurgent Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.28)

    Coalition TroopsCoalition Troops Patrolling Border (Eq 3.24)Coalition Troops fighting insurgents (Eq 3.25)Coalition Troops Policing (Eq 3.21)Criminal Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.18)

    Coalition Troop Casualty Rate (Eq 3.23)

    Insurgent Attacks (Eq. 3.30)Civil Defense PersonnelIndigenous Military PersonnelBorder Patrol PersonnelCoalition Troops in Country Rate of Change(Eq 3.22)

    Number of People Dissatisfied with the OccupationIndigenous Police OfficersTips on Insurgents (Eq. 3.40)Detained InsurgentsDetainee Release Rate (Eq. 3.29)

  • Insurgent and CoalitionMilitary Activities Sub-ModelUnemployed personsInsurgentsInsurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.26)

    Insurgent Infrastructure Attacks (Eq. 3.31)International Insurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.27)

    Insurgent Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.28)

    Coalition TroopsCoalition Troops Patrolling Border (Eq 3.24)Coalition Troops fighting insurgents (Eq 3.25)Coalition Troops Policing (Eq 3.21)Criminal Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.18)

    Coalition Troop Casualty Rate (Eq 3.23)

    Insurgent Attacks (Eq. 3.30)Civil Defense PersonnelIndigenous Military PersonnelBorder Patrol PersonnelCoalition Troops in Country Rate of Change(Eq 3.22)

    Number of People Dissatisfied with the OccupationIndigenous Police OfficersTips on Insurgents (Eq. 3.40)Detained InsurgentsDetainee Release Rate (Eq. 3.29)

  • Insurgent and CoalitionMilitary Activities Sub-ModelUnemployed personsInsurgentsInsurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.26)

    Insurgent Infrastructure Attacks (Eq. 3.31)International Insurgent Rate of Change (Eq 3.27)

    Insurgent Killed or Detained Rate (Eq 3.28)

    Coalition TroopsCoalition Troops Patrolling Border (Eq 3.24)Coalition Troops fighting insurgents (Eq 3.25)Coalition Troops Policing (Eq 3.21)Criminal Apprehension Rate (Eq 3.18)

    Coalition Troop Casualty Rate (Eq 3.23)

    Insurgent Attacks (Eq. 3.30)Civil Defense PersonnelIndigenous Military PersonnelBorder Patrol PersonnelCoalition Troops in Country Rate of Change(Eq 3.22)

    Number of People Dissatisfied with the OccupationIndigenous Police OfficersTips on Insurgents (Eq. 3.40)Detained InsurgentsDetainee Release Rate (Eq. 3.29)

  • General Post-ConflictReconstruction ModelUnemployedPersonsGovtEmployeesGovt EmployeeRate of ChangePoliceIn TrainingPoliceOfficersPolice Officer Training RateCriminalRecruitmentRateCriminalApprehensionRatePolice OfficerRecruitment RateCriminalsInsurgentsInsurgentRate of ChangeCivilianCasualtiesCrime RatePrivately EmployedPeopleEmployment RateIndigenousSF in TrainingIndigenousSF RecruitRateIndigenousSecurity forcesIndigenousSF CasualtyRateIndigenous SFGraduation RateInsurgentCaptured orKilled RateCoalitionTroop CasualtyRateInternationalInsurgent Rateof ChangeCoalition TroopsIn CountryCoalition TroopRate of ChangeTroopsSecuringBordersTroopsQuellingInsurgentsTroops/MPsIn Police RolesInsurgentInfrastructureAttacks# of Useful Tipson InsurgentActivityAmount of Food/Fuel/Water/Electricity Delivered Each DayPower/Water/FoodInfrastructureDevelopment RatePeople DissatisfiedWith the OccupationPeople Neutral to or Satisfied Withthe OccupationRate of Change of Public Opinion# of Useful Tipson InsurgentActivityInsurgentRate of ChangePer CapitaGDP Growth RatePer CapitaGDPCrime RateNote: Some levels have been aggregated on this slide

  • General Post-ConflictReconstruction Model23 Variables in 44 Equations

  • Application to a Notional ScenarioNotional scenario based on Operation Iraqi FreedomDay 0 is the day the Baathist regime collapsedScenario ends when security is effectively establishedSecurity is established when the 30 day moving average for crime and insurgent related deaths falls below an annualized rate of 43 deaths per 100,00043 deaths per 100,000 is the murder rate in Washington D.C.

  • Notional ScenarioStarting Conditions200,000 Coalition Troops10,000 Iraqi Police Officers0 Iraqi Security Forces0 Barrels of Oil Produced Per day2000 MW of Electricity Distributed Per Day4,000,000 Liters of Water Distributed per Day50,000 Criminals10,000 Insurgents30% of the Population Dissatisfied with the Occupation

  • Results From Open Source BaselineRun Of Notional Iraqi Scenario

    Rate 63 Chart

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    TipsOnInsurgentsRate Rate 63

    TipsOnInsurgentsRate

    Rate 62 Chart

    12900000

    8594904

    8340899

    8100517

    7983091

    7587812

    7279944

    7045275

    6666773

    6332261

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    5797963

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    2064089

    1710862

    1396184

    1136210

    806235

    485835

    239863

    -77234

    -372411

    -720794

    -1130772

    -1439897

    -1707332

    -2044360

    -2379913

    -2819973

    -3249026

    -3637576

    -3900261

    -4253117

    -4486961

    -4867725

    -5048643

    -5399216

    -5682076

    -5958170

    -6193282

    -6403988

    -6728966

    -7046537

    -7424930

    -7678425

    -8011771

    -8210896

    -8492355

    -8870472

    -9118089

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    -9767319

    -10041229

    -10282310

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    -19963804

    -20260318

    -20545484

    -20853332

    -21106908

    -21463140

    -21872125

    -22290983

    -22554431

    -22765513

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    WaterShortageRate Rate 62

    WaterShortageRate

    Rate 61 Chart

    450000

    445698

    441053

    434961

    428652

    423680

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    49660

    45451

    39555

    34621

    30033

    24441

    19686

    15128

    9747

    4776

    -283

    -4174

    -8606

    -13522

    -18497

    -22463

    -27807

    -32245

    -35868

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    -427152

    -430976

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    -933201

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    -946494

    -952169

    -957139

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    -967234

    -971781

    -977084

    -981321

    -985230

    -989801

    -995906

    -1001306

    -1006657

    -1010350

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    -1021425

    -1026275

    -1029373

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    -1039916

    -1043882

    -1050454

    -1057216

    -1062176

    -1067411

    -1071956

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    -1086126

    -1092273

    -1098396

    -1103678

    -1109548

    -1113798

    -1119005

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    -1130175

    -1136118

    -1139628

    -1145282

    -1149726

    -1156111

    -1160611

    -1165283

    -1170549

    -1175942

    -1180691

    -1185507

    -1189120

    -1193722

    -1198275

    -1203105

    -1208606

    -1212758

    -1217997

    OilShortageRate Rate 61

    OilShortageRate

    Rate 60 Chart

    4400

    1888

    1878

    1871

    1896

    1884

    1874

    1866

    1860

    2089

    2078

    2069

    2059

    2051

    2042

    2032

    2023

    2015

    2007

    2000

    1990

    1985

    1979

    1974

    1965

    1957

    1949

    1939

    1932

    1923

    1914

    1909

    1901

    1893

    1886

    1878

    1867

    1857

    1851

    1844

    1836

    1830

    1820

    1812

    1804

    1793

    1785

    1779

    1770

    1759

    1749

    1741

    1730

    1722

    1712

    1704

    1695

    1684

    1674

    1663

    1657

    1651

    1640

    1632

    1625

    1615

    1606

    1597

    1588

    1579

    1572

    1562

    1553

    1544

    1538

    1530

    1522

    1514

    1504

    1492

    1485

    1480

    1472

    1462

    1451

    1444

    1438

    1432

    1423

    1417

    1407

    1396

    1387

    1375

    1367

    1359

    1351

    1342

    1336

    1327

    1318

    1311

    1303

    1296

    1287

    1280

    1273

    1264

    1254

    1246

    1237

    1227

    1221

    1211

    1201

    1191

    1183

    1177

    1170

    1162

    1155

    1146

    1138

    1131

    1125

    1114

    1108

    1099

    1089

    1081

    1077

    1068

    1061

    1055

    1047

    1039

    1032

    1027

    1020

    1010

    1000

    992

    984

    977

    967

    959

    949

    941

    932

    921

    914

    903

    895

    886

    875

    867

    859

    852

    847

    840

    834

    827

    820

    810

    803

    792

    782

    774

    764

    757

    747

    738

    730

    721

    713

    705

    699

    689

    682

    672

    661

    656

    646

    639

    631

    620

    611

    600

    592

    582

    573

    567

    557

    546

    535

    527

    517

    509

    500

    491

    484

    472

    466

    458

    451

    444

    436

    431

    421

    413

    406

    401

    392

    388

    380

    373

    365

    354

    348

    340

    330

    322

    313

    304

    295

    287

    280

    274

    264

    256

    250

    242

    235

    226

    216

    205

    194

    189

    182

    174

    164

    152

    144

    136

    127

    118

    112

    102

    96

    88

    81

    75

    65

    57

    48

    39

    28

    22

    17

    9

    2

    -7

    -14

    -22

    -31

    -39

    -45

    -52

    -61

    -70

    -80

    -87

    -96

    -105

    -112

    -119

    -128

    -135

    -142

    -149

    -155

    -161

    -167

    -177

    -186

    -195

    -206

    -215

    -223

    -231

    -235

    -243

    -252

    -259

    -265

    -276

    -284

    -293

    -300

    -305

    -313

    -324

    -334

    -343

    -349

    -360

    -371

    -378

    -385

    -397

    -405

    -410

    -421

    -430

    -439

    -448

    -453

    -461

    -468

    -476

    -485

    -496

    -505

    -515

    -525

    -533

    -542

    -549

    -557

    -567

    -576

    ElectricShortageRate Rate 60

    ElectricShortageRate

    Rate 59 Chart

    0

    1

    0

    3

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    2

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    InsurgentAttacksOnInfrastructureRate Rate 59

    InsurgentAttacksOnInfrastructureRate

    Rate 58 Chart

    0

    0

    2

    3

    3

    0

    2

    2

    1

    1

    0

    3

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    2

    2

    2

    3

    6

    2

    2

    1

    0

    6

    0

    3

    3

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    1

    6

    4

    2

    2

    4

    4

    5

    4

    2

    2

    3

    2

    5

    2

    3

    6

    1

    4

    1

    3

    4

    5

    5

    3

    1

    5

    6

    2

    1

    5

    3

    4

    1

    2

    1

    4

    3

    9

    3

    1

    4

    2

    1

    3

    4

    3

    8

    3

    3

    9

    2

    3

    2

    3

    7

    3

    2

    6

    4

    4

    7

    5

    5

    6

    4

    3

    5

    3

    2

    6

    3

    2

    3

    4

    4

    5

    0

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    5

    3

    0

    2

    6

    1

    0

    3

    4

    4

    4

    2

    2

    3

    3

    1

    6

    4

    2

    1

    3

    6

    2

    4

    3

    4

    2

    1

    0

    6

    5

    4

    4

    6

    4

    4

    2

    1

    3

    2

    0

    3

    4

    5

    3

    5

    0

    0

    2

    3

    0

    3

    1

    3

    2

    1

    3

    2

    2

    3

    1

    4

    3

    2

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    3

    1

    1

    2

    0

    2

    3

    2

    0

    1

    1

    2

    1

    6

    3

    1

    2

    3

    2

    5

    0

    2

    0

    2

    1

    2

    4

    4

    1

    2

    0

    0

    1

    1

    1

    2

    1

    2

    1

    1

    2

    1

    0

    1

    0

    4

    2

    0

    2

    0

    2

    1

    2

    1

    0

    1

    1

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    1

    1

    2

    0

    2

    1

    1

    1

    2

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    2

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    1

    0

    2

    1

    1

    0

    2

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    2

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    InsurgentAttacksOnCivRate Rate 58

    InsurgentAttacksOnCivRate

    Rate 57 Chart

    0

    10

    8

    9

    13

    13

    7

    15

    12

    8

    11

    16

    13

    10

    12

    13

    9

    7

    5

    14

    8

    14

    12

    16

    11

    8

    10

    10

    18

    12

    5

    8

    12

    12

    14

    12

    10

    17

    11

    17

    14

    11

    10

    13

    17

    13

    15

    18

    17

    16

    11

    14

    8

    20

    17

    21

    18

    19

    14

    14

    10

    16

    12

    17

    18

    15

    15

    9

    18

    14

    19

    13

    14

    17

    15

    16

    7

    14

    16

    24

    15

    8

    20

    12

    21

    16

    20

    14

    12

    23

    20

    14

    19

    12

    28

    13

    16

    15

    16

    19

    9

    13

    10

    8

    15

    14

    14

    23

    18

    18

    15

    14

    18

    19

    21

    21

    16

    17

    21

    7

    14

    17

    13

    11

    12

    16

    17

    14

    15

    14

    13

    11

    15

    10

    16

    11

    11

    14

    17

    9

    8

    12

    14

    12

    11

    15

    9

    5

    7

    8

    11

    11

    5

    8

    12

    14

    7

    7

    9

    9

    12

    7

    6

    14

    8

    6

    10

    8

    5

    7

    6

    9

    4

    7

    10

    1

    12

    8

    6

    7

    1

    7

    8

    4

    9

    8

    3

    7

    5

    10

    6

    5

    1

    4

    5

    9

    2

    3

    5

    6

    7

    6

    2

    5

    4

    11

    5

    6

    4

    4

    4

    5

    2

    9

    3

    3

    9

    7

    3

    4

    4

    5

    3

    8

    4

    3

    0

    3

    2

    2

    4

    4

    4

    5

    8

    3

    4

    7

    7

    3

    2

    4

    3

    4

    5

    1

    3

    7

    4

    1

    2

    3

    2

    3

    0

    2

    5

    5

    1

    1

    2

    4

    4

    5

    3

    2

    1

    5

    1

    1

    4

    2

    2

    4

    1

    3

    4

    3

    1

    4

    1

    5

    2

    4

    6

    4

    0

    3

    4

    4

    2

    1

    1

    2

    4

    1

    0

    3

    3

    1

    1

    0

    1

    2

    2

    6

    4

    1

    0

    3

    1

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    2

    3

    1

    0

    2

    5

    1

    1

    2

    3

    0

    3

    0

    InsurgentAttacksOnISFRate Rate 57

    InsurgentAttacksOnISFRate

    Rate 56 Chart

    0

    41

    51

    46

    47

    45

    32

    53

    50

    58

    51

    55

    54

    48

    57

    55

    69

    58

    65

    63

    47

    65

    52

    69

    60

    63

    58

    34

    58

    54

    55

    57

    65

    70

    58

    67

    54

    71

    52

    76

    68

    68

    81

    85

    65

    81

    45

    62

    65

    79

    50

    81

    63

    75

    70

    61

    86

    56

    73

    78

    61

    77

    77

    76

    84

    63

    80

    64

    74

    65

    82

    45

    72

    67

    73

    71

    57

    87

    85

    78

    80

    70

    59

    78

    75

    80

    65

    74

    75

    74

    79

    86

    71

    70

    65

    63

    83

    103

    71

    54

    81

    74

    66

    71

    72

    80

    99

    71

    79

    77

    44

    77

    75

    80

    66

    69

    71

    74

    67

    73

    67

    82

    58

    60

    53

    74

    65

    74

    59

    49

    51

    65

    54

    57

    58

    61

    59

    47

    63

    48

    55

    60

    49

    44

    59

    43

    50

    47

    51

    49

    39

    39

    47

    45

    53

    39

    45

    35

    48

    40

    29

    40

    44

    38

    36

    38

    36

    35

    24

    35

    39

    41

    41

    31

    28

    41

    30

    24

    31

    34

    43

    29

    23

    24

    20

    31

    41

    35

    22

    30

    22

    31

    16

    27

    27

    29

    22

    25

    36

    37

    28

    23

    24

    23

    23

    31

    28

    23

    26

    30

    32

    21

    26

    28

    14

    9

    25

    21

    18

    33

    30

    17

    16

    17

    19

    13

    24

    13

    15

    20

    19

    19

    22

    15

    19

    23

    18

    19

    19

    23

    15

    24

    14

    22

    14

    19

    12

    11

    10

    15

    17

    13

    19

    16

    10

    10

    14

    14

    17

    15

    10

    11

    18

    17

    4

    11

    9

    16

    13

    10

    9

    8

    12

    9

    10

    4

    10

    4

    8

    8

    14

    10

    13

    9

    12

    8

    11

    12

    14

    5

    9

    11

    7

    9

    7

    8

    9

    8

    9

    8

    13

    11

    6

    7

    4

    6

    11

    11

    9

    10

    5

    9

    12

    13

    7

    14

    7

    6

    4

    6

    7

    9

    14

    11

    11

    3

    3

    13

    8

    4

    12

    InsurgentAttacksOnCoalitionRate Rate 56

    InsurgentAttacksOnCoalitionRate

    Rate 55 Chart

    0

    0

    13

    22

    37

    36

    37

    62

    75

    66

    73

    67

    93

    95

    106

    110

    98

    125

    130

    132

    113

    133

    158

    139

    163

    175

    139

    189

    186

    194

    221

    197

    221

    211

    214

    242

    195

    236

    222

    218

    233

    232

    239

    212

    255

    238

    266

    226

    264

    260

    271

    221

    275

    275

    285

    285

    323

    296

    262

    284

    267

    307

    300

    308

    272

    281

    292

    283

    324

    326

    310

    306

    290

    338

    337

    295

    300

    327

    309

    319

    312

    323

    329

    333

    287

    353

    318

    319

    346

    353

    357

    336

    325

    311

    319

    349

    356

    331

    368

    324

    376

    369

    358

    366

    329

    365

    374

    347

    339

    353

    312

    323

    331

    336

    339

    338

    368

    320

    341

    343

    346

    344

    330

    347

    349

    362

    358

    367

    324

    344

    343

    339

    340

    398

    341

    360

    348

    366

    367

    342

    328

    358

    367

    333

    364

    336

    359

    350

    327

    319

    373

    370

    351

    345

    387

    346

    331

    326

    323

    337

    322

    356

    344

    347

    329

    337

    309

    301

    330

    332

    304

    341

    330

    322

    312

    330

    323

    298

    295

    311

    285

    286

    324

    296

    293

    276

    314

    298

    286

    307

    271

    300

    309

    294

    277

    249

    287

    279

    253

    326

    266

    295

    240

    236

    283

    278

    270

    244

    224

    245

    228

    254

    276

    258

    255

    236

    229

    234

    228

    208

    211

    240

    195

    240

    228

    221

    193

    216

    186

    193

    226

    219

    205

    240

    165

    208

    234

    187

    216

    211

    190

    189

    190

    211

    187

    183

    198

    166

    196

    179

    173

    210

    176

    160

    178

    162

    144

    161

    172

    167

    156

    141

    152

    176

    156

    136

    171

    172

    143

    151

    138

    139

    136

    167

    142

    147

    140

    142

    155

    143

    133

    157

    125

    136

    138

    144

    122

    126

    119

    128

    129

    117

    134

    111

    96

    117

    128

    133

    101

    124

    120

    100

    110

    99

    106

    95

    101

    96

    95

    106

    96

    105

    75

    95

    75

    102

    98

    107

    98

    96

    90

    101

    81

    89

    78

    89

    96

    80

    98

    76

    57

    DetainedInsurgentReleaseRate Rate 55

    DetainedInsurgentReleaseRate

    Rate 54 Chart

    0

    6

    0

    5

    5

    0

    1

    0

    4

    0

    4

    2

    4

    1

    2

    3

    2

    1

    3

    2

    5

    0

    1

    5

    6

    5

    1

    1

    0

    1

    5

    1

    1

    5

    2

    6

    5

    4

    2

    6

    6

    4

    3

    5

    5

    2

    5

    4

    6

    5

    6

    1

    5

    5

    3

    4

    4

    1

    2

    5

    4

    7

    3

    7

    2

    0

    2

    0

    3

    2

    7

    1

    1

    4

    5

    0

    5

    0

    0

    6

    5

    5

    6

    4

    1

    0

    6

    0

    4

    1

    2

    4

    7

    6

    3

    3

    0

    7

    5

    4

    4

    2

    5

    6

    1

    6

    5

    5

    1

    5

    3

    4

    3

    3

    6

    0

    3

    5

    1

    2

    2

    4

    0

    2

    5

    7

    2

    2

    4

    5

    1

    3

    0

    5

    4

    1

    0

    4

    4

    6

    0

    3

    6

    1

    0

    5

    2

    1

    0

    3

    6

    0

    2

    4

    0

    0

    0

    4

    2

    4

    6

    4

    0

    4

    1

    4

    3

    4

    2

    1

    5

    0

    0

    5

    3

    5

    0

    2

    0

    5

    2

    2

    1

    0

    3

    0

    1

    1

    1

    3

    2

    0

    3

    4

    2

    0

    0

    3

    1

    2

    1

    3

    2

    0

    1

    2

    1

    0

    3

    2

    1

    2

    0

    1

    3

    1

    3

    1

    1

    4

    0

    2

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    2

    1

    0

    0

    2

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    1

    2

    0

    1

    2

    1

    2

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    1

    1

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    1

    0

    1

    2

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    1

    0

    1

    1

    1

    0

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    1

    InsurgentKilledRate Rate 54

    InsurgentKilledRate

    Rate 53 Chart

    0

    330

    292

    312

    270

    357

    304

    340

    295

    305

    308

    350

    312

    358

    302

    292

    366

    353

    384

    338

    325

    309

    357

    356

    392

    383

    346

    375

    361

    312

    334

    307

    312

    358

    370

    376

    343

    314

    339

    372

    353

    357

    399

    339

    302

    339

    350

    351

    353

    371

    340

    367

    339

    359

    353

    351

    350

    330

    367

    322

    359

    363

    328

    419

    349

    360

    328

    377

    391

    365

    387

    354

    389

    360

    352

    379

    388

    360

    396

    363

    298

    331

    346

    352

    443

    330

    390

    376

    357

    394

    335

    336

    397

    373

    404

    346

    349

    397

    408

    350

    398

    382

    376

    399

    392

    349

    342

    371

    366

    364

    327

    359

    326

    351

    394

    324

    324

    333

    386

    371

    359

    350

    414

    345

    372

    389

    395

    388

    362

    351

    356

    344

    308

    310

    372

    340

    327

    353

    313

    337

    321

    375

    377

    307

    385

    361

    322

    357

    330

    346

    352

    284

    350

    335

    336

    278

    279

    282

    325

    291

    338

    310

    292

    296

    278

    276

    276

    285

    271

    282

    306

    259

    238

    288

    258

    267

    257

    215

    244

    282

    242

    259

    223

    204

    226

    193

    222

    214

    242

    189

    217

    247

    213

    233

    217

    225

    231

    219

    232

    242

    235

    212

    196

    206

    174

    175

    183

    204

    203

    178

    172

    189

    184

    173

    176

    157

    173

    176

    212

    209

    216

    178

    175

    187

    166

    149

    147

    156

    131

    131

    126

    149

    161

    144

    151

    167

    173

    133

    138

    135

    156

    133

    170

    148

    124

    139

    142

    129

    130

    106

    138

    140

    110

    114

    141

    133

    128

    102

    113

    91

    113

    89

    112

    103

    91

    107

    112

    96

    84

    116

    95

    95

    105

    101

    101

    117

    75

    86

    98

    80

    105

    92

    74

    92

    115

    91

    81

    73

    80

    92

    78

    75

    84

    82

    91

    83

    82

    73

    78

    77

    81

    66

    67

    60

    50

    52

    91

    64

    73

    70

    84

    68

    74

    68

    69

    61

    66

    46

    55

    74

    63

    62

    70

    66

    60

    52

    63

    44

    59

    48

    67

    InsurgentApprehensionRate Rate 53

    InsurgentApprehensionRate

    Rate 52 Chart

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    1

    1

    1

    0

    1

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    1

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    1

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    1

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    IntlInsurgentRate Rate 52

    IntlInsurgentRate

    Rate 51 Chart

    0

    478

    481

    345

    206

    447

    130

    353

    123

    554

    275

    704

    565

    595

    517

    715

    239

    234

    620

    369

    420

    325

    382

    302

    327

    286

    204

    151

    499

    418

    685

    483

    668

    426

    426

    581

    458

    621

    408

    424

    258

    687

    480

    314

    511

    540

    289

    431

    154

    459

    610

    433

    515

    448

    374

    510

    184

    396

    634

    457

    588

    352

    618

    235

    242

    281

    202

    531

    361

    458

    319

    446

    386

    377

    476

    456

    834

    165

    272

    236

    230

    233

    427

    350

    467

    442

    273

    355

    289

    278

    613

    321

    405

    207

    349

    306

    317

    400

    192

    604

    248

    329

    718

    618

    244

    308

    172

    320

    362

    246

    68

    255

    234

    270

    291

    205

    274

    210

    145

    390

    186

    140

    370

    526

    243

    226

    301

    -4

    122

    22

    208

    109

    163

    468

    444

    74

    192

    216

    126

    76

    77

    38

    47

    123

    223

    254

    164

    156

    287

    237

    171

    203

    91

    352

    353

    176

    406

    188

    277

    257

    79

    256

    213

    212

    140

    74

    264

    275

    194

    21

    366

    123

    38

    182

    295

    -3

    265

    -6

    279

    79

    -42

    146

    173

    158

    167

    407

    159

    176

    100

    258

    163

    126

    235

    190

    295

    152

    172

    160

    119

    156

    134

    20

    204

    154

    13

    171

    55

    129

    272

    164

    66

    100

    83

    305

    64

    235

    156

    251

    206

    156

    35

    230

    55

    2

    133

    80

    82

    88

    112

    98

    129

    77

    199

    143

    70

    125

    127

    149

    146

    168

    111

    56

    144

    9

    123

    66

    14

    92

    3

    86

    182

    83

    109

    63

    90

    52

    64

    23

    69

    82

    62

    59

    108

    62

    42

    84

    83

    119

    91

    104

    76

    87

    57

    63

    90

    61

    113

    54

    68

    114

    100

    108

    36

    93

    52

    11

    63

    13

    96

    44

    62

    56

    101

    93

    66

    15

    51

    18

    26

    30

    54

    29

    70

    76

    89

    95

    79

    41

    42

    106

    85

    67

    34

    18

    54

    66

    69

    19

    74

    52

    23

    34

    19

    61

    62

    44

    43

    4

    35

    8

    25

    InsurgentRecruitRate Rate 51

    InsurgentRecruitRate

    Rate 50 Chart

    0

    28

    19

    26

    17

    13

    31

    26

    21

    19

    13

    29

    24

    22

    21

    19

    28

    22

    26

    29

    17

    27

    21

    26

    22

    21

    25

    19

    35

    20

    14

    25

    21

    27

    23

    26

    17

    22

    22

    19

    26

    19

    31

    22

    19

    31

    21

    30

    31

    20

    16

    28

    13

    28

    37

    21

    21

    29

    28

    45

    33

    24

    21

    22

    32

    35

    38

    15

    14

    34

    16

    34

    37

    22

    27

    30

    29

    37

    23

    22

    26

    33

    28

    35

    40

    38

    31

    32

    45

    28

    19

    27

    25

    39

    13

    23

    27

    28

    38

    19

    31

    35

    41

    32

    19

    47

    20

    37

    47

    19

    26

    29

    40

    40

    35

    23

    28

    18

    26

    33

    25

    31

    36

    26

    16

    31

    25

    21

    29

    32

    21

    26

    30

    16

    20

    18

    21

    30

    17

    21

    18

    18

    24

    19

    16

    39

    19

    14

    20

    16

    12

    14

    21

    12

    19

    17

    20

    16

    15

    13

    20

    14

    15

    20

    9

    18

    11

    13

    22

    13

    7

    13

    18

    7

    11

    12

    16

    13

    10

    6

    15

    16

    11

    12

    21

    12

    14

    16

    17

    14

    10

    12

    12

    6

    12

    21

    10

    5

    14

    12

    17

    7

    9

    6

    8

    6

    5

    17

    5

    9

    14

    7

    13

    4

    9

    10

    5

    8

    16

    12

    7

    5

    11

    7

    12

    3

    8

    10

    10

    9

    8

    9

    7

    6

    9

    12

    10

    7

    3

    6

    4

    5

    11

    13

    2

    6

    10

    9

    6

    6

    12

    2

    10

    3

    6

    4

    4

    7

    3

    4

    10

    8

    7

    3

    6

    0

    5

    1

    10

    5

    7

    9

    6

    6

    4

    1

    10

    4

    2

    5

    6

    3

    5

    4

    2

    4

    2

    4

    3

    0

    1

    1

    4

    2

    3

    3

    3

    8

    6

    1

    0

    1

    6

    3

    2

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    0

    3

    10

    3

    3

    1

    2

    4

    2

    4

    9

    4

    2

    5

    1

    2

    4

    6

    3

    1

    2

    CoalitionCasualtyRate Rate 50

    CoalitionCasualtyRate

    Rate 49 Chart

    0

    69

    54

    168

    155

    251

    296

    159

    237

    126

    97

    67

    115

    164

    208

    311

    174

    298

    179

    206

    247

    211

    116

    123

    207

    213

    209

    127

    214

    281

    347

    251

    222

    144

    341

    189

    394

    385

    184

    48

    268

    373

    194

    411

    96

    214

    455

    419

    295

    175

    97

    385

    444

    261

    292

    460

    205

    414

    155

    202

    262

    254

    475

    100

    296

    297

    320

    231

    80

    112

    387

    394

    87

    181

    269

    314

    170

    130

    357

    323

    354

    146

    180

    356

    308

    133

    273

    309

    170

    277

    138

    215

    203

    130

    226

    195

    101

    277

    192

    308

    113

    160

    276

    190

    134

    188

    184

    190

    163

    278

    144

    180

    191

    85

    242

    219

    180

    225

    97

    139

    225

    146

    169

    238

    210

    77

    162

    117

    167

    182

    230

    155

    93

    134

    97

    161

    51

    69

    62

    177

    121

    49

    198

    103

    105

    106

    132

    77

    27

    88

    51

    109

    41

    115

    88

    103

    116

    131

    110

    54

    162

    25

    88

    169

    115

    18

    164

    74

    87

    130

    72

    117

    55

    96

    61

    47

    159

    145

    96

    76

    63

    75

    25

    51

    64

    44

    148

    123

    77

    91

    61

    124

    28

    80

    35

    80

    78

    94

    62

    82

    25

    58

    58

    35

    87

    51

    80

    61

    23

    79

    41

    34

    61

    90

    34

    105

    71

    72

    57

    61

    92

    65

    70

    56

    66

    67

    71

    39

    36

    52

    77

    93

    13

    41

    7

    45

    77

    43

    53

    49

    45

    9

    117

    48

    18

    91

    60

    42

    83

    34

    71

    38

    23

    31

    33

    35

    12

    25

    4

    105

    26

    54

    25

    42

    21

    12

    22

    65

    37

    24

    22

    16

    33

    12

    29

    12

    11

    31

    13

    25

    59

    46

    74

    21

    27

    88

    19

    55

    21

    24

    34

    21

    23

    11

    24

    30

    21

    52

    58

    39

    42

    10

    48

    14

    7

    47

    57

    20

    47

    3

    37

    39

    51

    9

    50

    26

    67

    42

    7

    7

    28

    38

    37

    31

    5

    14

    17

    10

    45

    25

    26

    CrimeRelatedDeathRate Rate 49

    CrimeRelatedDeathRate

    Rate 48 Chart

    0

    0

    15

    18

    148

    155

    270

    407

    336

    90

    173

    511

    141

    408

    674

    861

    248

    1202

    1051

    775

    619

    250

    30

    426

    331

    1228

    979

    396

    520

    62

    1681

    1979

    855

    1987

    1307

    2052

    1446

    2264

    2067

    32

    1980

    1518

    2387

    1381

    740

    291

    1978

    331

    402

    2042

    1897

    64

    1008

    1221

    371

    2259

    1773

    2290

    1156

    173

    1292

    3150

    980

    604

    3037

    2602

    1706

    1961

    1276

    3511

    1462

    982

    4186

    2814

    4044

    367

    1987

    245

    1317

    2154

    3043

    558

    4576

    4158

    3209

    3674

    2517

    1065

    1181

    2523

    3701

    4709

    1701

    2579

    201

    1636

    117

    1113

    3903

    4476

    3846

    2193

    1484

    374

    497

    1332

    4998

    3123

    319

    3037

    5116

    2321

    2067

    653

    1531

    4105

    588

    1

    5548

    550

    327

    4117

    2883

    1004

    4256

    1429

    4737

    210

    4348

    2247

    716

    1859

    2966

    2892

    3729

    1777

    4491

    3942

    4407

    3744

    2650

    1477

    5333

    3142

    2888

    2277

    3924

    1874

    3250

    356

    5078

    2670

    5354

    1776

    3845

    716

    3212

    1452

    1106

    40

    610

    1974

    242

    5229

    3413

    669

    5643

    4655

    513

    109

    1298

    720

    4155

    4999

    2209

    2810

    287

    2240

    1535

    1415

    2844

    779

    120

    4018

    3744

    3048

    3332

    5272

    1246

    2639

    3457

    1290

    3479

    1636

    3125

    1312

    572

    4589

    4775

    4840

    2382

    4061

    3003

    296

    789

    1671

    3132

    5324

    4058

    3205

    3674

    4512

    2671

    3910

    4492

    358

    1718

    4716

    2287

    2296

    2858

    930

    1570

    1018

    661

    1891

    3251

    290

    3790

    2620

    1213

    1688

    630

    2466

    4220

    4407

    1930

    4402

    33

    927

    3158

    1500

    1408

    4708

    4213

    2156

    3732

    1727

    1013

    3059

    2639

    3217

    736

    1365

    3314

    703

    387

    4382

    75

    4393

    2296

    4476

    3670

    2994

    2126

    2021

    2039

    1135

    3823

    3008

    2858

    2823

    688

    717

    4081

    130

    3231

    3152

    2777

    1830

    2238

    1919

    500

    3561

    3174

    2425

    1320

    4018

    338

    1088

    1987

    821

    3158

    1374

    3935

    546

    3801

    2029

    1104

    2904

    2571

    2138

    1920

    1083

    3266

    3182

    1035

    1712

    55

    749

    219

    3107

    3039

    2231

    3651

    907

    1872

    1373

    136

    3750

    2035

    3856

    1786

    879

    585

    1064

    713

    2914

    3721

    2803

    3418

    CriminalReleaseRate Rate 48

    CriminalReleaseRate

    Rate 47 Chart

    0

    1364

    1335

    1893

    2000

    1294

    2000

    1304

    1998

    1990

    1922

    1998

    1998

    1998

    1998

    1998

    1997

    1995

    1995

    1995

    1995

    1994

    1994

    1994

    1994

    1994

    1994

    1993

    1993

    2145

    2145

    2145

    2143

    2142

    2142

    2142

    2281

    2280

    2279

    2279

    2279

    2279

    2278

    2430

    2430

    2430

    2430

    2430

    2430

    2429

    2596

    2596

    2596

    2596

    2596

    2596

    2595

    2727

    2727

    2726

    2725

    2725

    2725

    2725

    2896

    2896

    2896

    2894

    2894

    2894

    2894

    3081

    3079

    3079

    3079

    3079

    3077

    3077

    3232

    3232

    3229

    3334

    3334

    3332

    3332

    3499

    3499

    3414

    3497

    3497

    3497

    3497

    3651

    2359

    3513

    2644

    2452

    1761

    3644

    3795

    2049

    2369

    3434

    2196

    3262

    2423

    4014

    1677

    1687

    1677

    3013

    1600

    2491

    3994

    2973

    2669

    1702

    2486

    3876

    1398

    2694

    1954

    4125

    1688

    2594

    2107

    1829

    4299

    2256

    3468

    2360

    3553

    2719

    1660

    2433

    3938

    3222

    3404

    3010

    3123

    2789

    1913

    2910

    2315

    1510

    1190

    2852

    3327

    2029

    2440

    2421

    2602

    2863

    2228

    976

    1380

    2878

    3931

    1472

    1768

    1959

    3103

    2773

    4207

    3435

    1154

    2857

    2484

    3760

    1558

    2042

    1783

    2943

    3301

    2104

    1253

    2898

    3610

    2017

    1379

    3790

    2601

    1173

    1465

    2041

    2654

    2362

    1557

    3109

    2175

    3229

    3575

    3175

    1193

    1298

    3256

    3796

    3163

    1569

    1802

    2465

    2688

    1608

    1891

    2592

    961

    2445

    1800

    1328

    3389

    3071

    2712

    1367

    1202

    3208

    3356

    1276

    1977

    2783

    3007

    1404

    1302

    1483

    2761

    1430

    1510

    4145

    2175

    2410

    3064

    2378

    2179

    1945

    2779

    1873

    3030

    2718

    1216

    2045

    1584

    1367

    1887

    4125

    1468

    1632

    3744

    3802

    1391

    699

    1146

    1955

    2819

    2601

    3201

    1908

    1997

    1351

    1709

    1337

    2051

    2808

    2861

    3059

    1584

    2635

    1759

    1217

    2099

    3005

    2758

    1219

    2207

    2873

    1230

    1260

    2136

    1894

    1856

    2821

    1698

    2650

    2121

    3081

    2185

    1210

    858

    2817

    1221

    2572

    3198

    2482

    977

    1858

    3146

    2701

    789

    1981

    3323

    1882

    1943

    858

    987

    3056

    1937

    1511

    3334

    3426

    2342

    939

    1812

    2681

    2279

    1246

    1491

    2868

    2034

    1215

    1399

    2537

    1853

    1465

    2075

    3673

    2282

    1378

    1494

    891

    2272

    2509

    2418

    1033

    CriminalApprehensionRate Rate 47

    CriminalApprehensionRate

    Rate 46 Chart

    0

    8464

    5970

    6032

    4291

    2897

    2924

    5243

    7268

    5761

    2664

    2364

    2485

    3296

    2856

    3349

    3407

    4464

    2224

    2498

    4545

    3535

    2487

    2911

    2940

    5410

    5526

    4269

    3847

    4815

    2632

    2434

    2588

    2984

    4154

    2767

    2654

    2645

    1619

    3391

    1990

    1725

    3407

    3760

    3966

    1489

    3709

    3453

    2431

    2173

    2033

    2339

    2988

    540

    1624

    1531

    3307

    2729

    1595

    1940

    2208

    2131

    977

    993

    3261

    1486

    1366

    1088

    1968

    2830

    396

    1285

    1241

    2332

    1759

    1088

    3026

    853

    1593

    1405

    745

    3

    1559

    170

    -284

    2272

    -903

    1620

    -269

    -185

    1248

    882

    -957

    1274

    3507

    50

    1291

    2655

    6655

    -284

    -1766

    4806

    1342

    -219

    3501

    1064

    2159

    -1509

    2494

    5660

    5647

    678

    2457

    3945

    495

    742

    1385

    2806

    860

    -1129

    4742

    3526

    5155

    -1936

    3621

    3761

    4141

    4804

    -2119

    2689

    985

    2916

    608

    2431

    5448

    3494

    -663

    1397

    1291

    2658

    1315

    956

    3414

    152

    2531

    3230

    3826

    1640

    1291

    1708

    3213

    1413

    1996

    1501

    3490

    6810

    4885

    135

    -48

    5035

    3007

    3838

    2086

    2926

    -2242

    1689

    7174

    1112

    3007

    -553

    5548

    4095

    1728

    1624

    711

    2714

    4405

    1022

    -255

    3325

    3101

    165

    553

    2888

    3243

    1887

    2276

    2475

    5500

    1898

    1218

    1905

    212

    1413

    4028

    4676

    1170

    -661

    671

    2614

    3258

    1826

    2183

    2203

    1946

    1285

    4223

    2696

    1826

    4601

    943

    743

    729

    3612

    4492

    631

    -530

    3634

    3303

    322

    -256

    4898

    3961

    3932

    1400

    4351

    2680

    -985

    3156

    969

    1880

    1675

    1788

    4804

    2623

    1781

    1501

    788

    3237

    1931

    3706

    4406

    2669

    -922

    2467

    4629

    -2680

    -2540

    2364

    4423

    3236

    2806

    2094

    347

    170

    1820

    1472

    3921

    3293

    4260

    2552

    1609

    1192

    -102

    3871

    1358

    2074

    2293

    3318

    -389

    943

    5676

    1477

    166

    5410

    2910

    975

    1831

    4603

    863

    1884

    256

    2395

    -723

    817

    3827

    5029

    -467

    5845

    -7

    242

    866

    4455

    2208

    -531

    2237

    4946

    1176

    -734

    953

    3080

    5534

    4257

    1108

    2640

    2147

    -961

    -1363

    1501

    7822

    4130

    1151

    577

    2467

    2545

    106

    1206

    2342

    2659

    2623

    2029

    3188

    1027

    -1948

    1967

    2010

    2798

    3696

    309

    439

    520

    CriminalRecruitRate Rate 46

    CriminalRecruitRate

    Rate 45 Chart

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    789

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    647

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    797

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    874

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    704

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    628

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    579

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    654

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    653

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    752

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    767

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    794

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    901

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    799

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    716

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    636

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    829

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    729

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    754

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    823

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    900

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    915

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    761

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    897

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    602

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    914

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    625

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    662

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    918

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    880

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    887

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    806

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    543

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    968

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    777

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    610

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    628

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    672

    0

    ExperiencedIPOGradRate Rate 45

    ExperiencedIPOGradRate

    Rate 44 Chart

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    0

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    0

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    0

    0

    1133

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1003

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1272

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1187

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1099

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    860

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1143

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1191

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    952

    0

    0

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    0

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    0

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    0

    0

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    0

    0

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    0

    1210

    0

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    0

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    0

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    1325

    0

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    0

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    0

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    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    NewIPOGradRate Rate 44

    NewIPOGradRate

    Rate 43 Chart

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    736

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    614

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    854

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    841

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    598

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    984

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    941

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    837

    0

    0

    1072

    0

    0

    0

    906

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    815

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    797

    0

    865

    0

    0

    0

    0

    666

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    785

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    561

    1360

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    908

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    814

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1775

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    511

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    920

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    944

    842

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    649

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    725

    0

    0

    0

    0

    1060

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    851

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    568

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    854

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    762

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    809

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    819

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    778

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    735

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    886

    1189

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    520

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    735

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    719

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    771

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    699

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    925

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    861

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    730

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    841

    0

    IPOGradRate Rate 43

    IPOGradRate

    Rate 42 Chart

    0

    144

    144

    144

    144

    144

    144

    144

    144

    144

    144

    144

    144

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    144

    144

    144

    144

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    144

    144

    144

    144

    144

    144

    144

    144

    ExperiencedIPORecruitRate Rate 42

    ExperiencedIPORecruitRate

    Rate 41 Chart

    0

    25

    25

    25

    25

    25

    25

    25

    25

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    25

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    25

    25

    25

    25

    25

    25

    25

    NewIPORecruitRate Rate 41

    NewIPORecruitRate

    Rate 40 Chart

    0

    7

    9

    12

    13

    14

    12

    18

    10

    9

    19

    16

    6

    10

    15

    8

    20

    14

    7

    16

    5

    9

    9

    14

    4

    17

    12

    7

    17

    6

    11

    19

    16

    5

    7

    20

    16

    10

    11

    8

    16

    8

    11

    17

    14

    19

    18

    13

    9

    14

    13

    19

    11

    5

    25

    15

    11

    11

    6

    9

    24

    22

    28

    15

    21

    20

    16

    19

    11

    16

    11

    28

    25

    19

    18

    13

    14

    19

    24

    31

    15

    17

    21

    13

    15

    10

    21

    25

    22

    13

    12

    9

    22

    11

    18

    24

    13

    7

    14

    17

    14

    22

    23

    17

    16

    17

    23

    16

    18

    10

    26

    23

    13

    15

    16

    14

    20

    17

    23

    9