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www. erranet.org Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how different actors – in developing and developed countries, public and private finance institutions – can work together in order to accelerate the introduction of renewables Dr. Henning Wuester International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

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Page 1: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

www. erranet.org

Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how different actors – in developing and developed countries, public and private finance institutions –

can work together in order to accelerate the introduction of renewables

Dr. Henning Wuester International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

Page 2: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 2

Towards a sustainable energy mix

Increasing the share of renewable energy to 65% with enhanced energy efficiency can cut energy sector CO2 emissions and achieve the 2o C target

Source: IRENA (2017)

Page 3: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 3

Economics of energy transition

Source: IRENA (2017)

Environmental, social and economic benefits of transitioning to a low-carbon energy sector

Reduces air pollution

Page 4: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 4

Additional investment need for energy decarbonization

The 2⁰C target requires investing additional

USD 29 trillion net (compared to Ref).

Largest investment needs are: 1) energy efficiency;

2) renewables; and 3) T&D, back-up & storage.

Page 5: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 5

Renewable energy investment trends

Source: IRENA using BNEF data (2017)

Page 6: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6

Investment needs for the energy transition

X2

X2

X15 ~X20

Source: IRENA using BNEF data (2017)

Renewable energy investment needs to be scaled up significantly and rapidly

RE investment in developing

economies need to grow 15 to 20

folds

Page 7: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 7

Areas of action

To accelerate the introduction of

renewables

Stable policy & regulatory frameworks

Adaptive power sector infrastructure

Financial risk mitigation

Page 8: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 8

Areas of action

To accelerate the introduction of

renewables

Stable policy & regulatory frameworks

Adaptive power sector infrastructure

Financial risk mitigation

Page 9: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 9

The role of regulators

RE target setting

Supporting policy measures

Regional systems System

integration rules

Stable policy and regulatory

frameworks

Page 10: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 10

Regional market integration

Market integration is a key driver to promote overall efficiency and system security

Monthly volumes of netted imbalances for International Grid Control Cooperation (IGCC) members

Source: IRENA (2017)

Page 11: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 11

Areas of action

To accelerate the introduction of

renewables

Stable policy & regulatory frameworks

• Policymakers

• Regulators

Adaptive power sector infrastructure

Financial risk mitigation

Page 12: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 12

Areas of action

To accelerate the introduction of

renewables

Stable policy & regulatory frameworks

• Policymakers

• Regulators

Adaptive power sector infrastructure

Financial risk mitigation

Page 13: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 13

RE contributes to grid stability

Essential to put in place policies that allow renewable energy to contribute

Utility-scale solar PV

plants/farms

Provide ancillary services to the grid

Smooth out grid fluctuations

Reduce needs in spinning reserves

Enhance system flexibility and reliability

Relevant to developing markets where

the penetration of variable renewables

is still relatively low

Page 14: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 14

Flexibility measures

A portfolio of flexibility measures needed to support integration of variable renewables

Growth in the share of variable and distributed

renewables

Page 15: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 15

Changing ownership structures

• Move from passively managing distributed energy resources, to actively integrating them

• Reform of tariff design

• Changing role of different players

• Involvement of new players and the emergence of new business models

Source: E.ON

Page 16: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 16

Areas of action

To accelerate the introduction of

renewables

Stable policy & regulatory frameworks

• Policymakers

• Regulators

Adaptive power sector infrastructure

Financial risk mitigation

• Regulators

• Utilities

• TSO/DSO

Page 17: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 17

Areas of action

To accelerate the introduction of

renewables

Stable policy & regulatory frameworks

• Policymakers

• Regulators

Adaptive power sector infrastructure

Financial risk mitigation

• Regulators

• Utilities

• TSO/DSO

Page 18: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 18

The role of public finance

Limited public finance Public finance institutions can facilitate and mobilize private investment.

Crowding-in private

investment

Page 19: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 19

Key challenges in unlocking RE investment

High risk perceptions

Insufficient investment size and high transaction costs

Lack of pipeline of investment-ready projects

Page 20: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 20

How the challenges can be overcome:

Improve project quality and visibility with

• project preparation facilities

• IRENA Sustainable Energy Marketplace

• on-lending structure

Enhance investor confidence through:

• risk mitigation instruments

• credit enhancement tools

• information on successful projects

Increase investment size and improve

market liquidity with

• standardised contracts

• aggregation of assets

• securitisation

• capital market instruments

Policymakers should help to set the right incentives for public finance institutions to move into this direction

Page 21: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 21

Risk mitigation instruments offered by public finance institutions

Early stage innovation fund o Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al

Maktoum Fund (UAE) o National Clean Energy Fund (India)

Capital cost reduction programmes o Green Tech Financing Scheme

(Malaysia) o Sustainable Energy Financing

Facility (EBRD in Turkey)

Guarantees and guarantee funds to mitigate specific risks o Partial risk guarantee (ex. AfDB for

Lake Turkana Wind Project in Kenya) o Geothermal Fund Facility (Indonesia) o Geothermal Financing and Risk

Transfer Programme (IADB in Mexico) o Currency Risk Guarantee Fund (India)

Risk mitigation facilities using various financial instruments o Geothermal Risk Mitigation

Facilities in East Africa and Latin America

o Regional Liquidity Support Facility for Sub-Saharan Africa

Page 22: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 22

Areas of action

To accelerate the introduction of

renewables

Stable policy & regulatory frameworks

• Policymakers

• Regulators

Adaptive power sector infrastructure

Financial risk mitigation

• Regulators

• Utilities

• TSO/DSO

• Public finance institutions

• Private insurers

• Commercial banks

• Policymakers

Page 23: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

16th ERRA Energy Investment and Regulation Conference September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 23

Summary

Stable policy and regulatory framework

Financial risk

mitigation instruments

Regional cooperation

Grid stability

Adaptive power sector infrastructure

Support for aggregation

Governments and

policymakers

Regulators and operators

Public finance institutions

Structural adjustments to market design

Target setting

Key Actors

Page 24: Mobilizing investment into the renewables sector: how ...€¦ · September 25-26, 2017 Astana, Kazakhstan 6 Investment needs for the energy transition X2 X2 X15 ~X20 Source: IRENA

24 www. erranet.org

W

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!

• Dr. Henning Wuester

E-mail: [email protected]

Web: www.irena.org