Mobilität der Zukunft-

Schlüsselfaktoren und Chancen

Future Mobility-

Keyfactors and Chances

e-mobil BW Technologietag

2. Oktober 2013, Stuttgart

Dr. Ulrich Eichhorn

Geschäftsführer - Managing Director

Why Mobility?

• Mobility is a basic requirement and basic right of

humans

• Mobility is clearly and strongly correlated to wealth and

economic performance

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0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200

GD

P [

B€]

s [Bkm]

GDP Germany 1970-2010

VDA PowerPoint

Mobility as a System

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Mobility

Inputs

• Energy

• Area

• Resources

• ….

Effects

• Economic

• Social

• Personal

• …..

Side-Effects

• Emissions

• Accidents

• …..

VDA PowerPoint

Passenger and Goods Traffic

in Germany

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0

200

400

600

800

1.000

1.200

1.400

1970 1980 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2025

[B. P

km

]

Luftverkehr

Eisenbahn

ÖffentlicherStraßenpersonenverkehrPkw-Verkehr

Air traffic

Railroad

Public transport

Passenger car

Traffic in Germany until 2025

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(Source: DiW, BMVBS, BVU/DLR/ISL)

169%

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0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2025

[B.

tkm

] Binnenschiff

Bahnen

Lkw

Goods traffic in Germany until 2025

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(Source: DiW, BMVBS, BVU/DLR/ISL)

227% Barge

Trains

Commercial

vehicle

VDA PowerPoint

The story so far

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Particulate matter: old and newer passenger vehicle

Then … … Now

VDA PowerPoint

"Smog"- Catastrophe in London 1952

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Nelson-column in London 1952

Nelson-column in London 2012

VDA PowerPoint

"Smog" in Los Angeles 1956

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Los Angeles Skyline 2009

Smog in Los Angeles 1956

VDA PowerPoint

"Smog" in Peking 2005

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Beijing

VDA PowerPoint

Achievments over the years

2012

Basis0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

Seite 11 Dr.-Ing. Ulrich Eichhorn, VDA

Challenges & Chances

Mobility

Energy

Efficiency

Petrol/Diesel

CNG

Electricity

Safety

„Vision Zero“

Emissions

PM & NO2

CO2

Networking Partners Partners

Car2X Car2Car

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Which is the right way?

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The fan-strategy of the

German automotive industry

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Source: VDA

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Potentials for CO2-Savings:

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Electric Mobility – What is that?

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Battery EV / BEV

Range Extender /

REEV

Plug-in Hybrid /

PHEV

Full Hybrid /

HEV

Mild Hybrid /

HEV

Start/Stop

Scope of Electric Mobility

according to NPE

i.e. re-chargeable

from grid

VDA PowerPoint

Future Drive Trains

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Tailored solutions on the market:

Hybridisation

Long distance Interurban City

Fuel Cell

Battery electric

Internal Combustion Engine

Plug-in/ range Extender

Quelle: Daimler AG

VDA PowerPoint

Die Anfänge …..

Seite 18 Dr.-Ing. Ulrich Eichhorn, VDA Total Cost of Ownership –

Risiko oder Chance für die Elektromobilität?

Elektromobilität heute -

Zwischenbilanz auf dem Weg zur

Marktdurchdringung

Seite 19 Dr.-Ing. Ulrich Eichhorn, VDA

VW e-Golf

Porsche Panamera Sport

Tourismo

Opel Ampera

Audi A3 e-tron

Ford C-

MAX

BMWi3

Smart fortwo

electric drive

VW e-Up

Networking & Communication

Smartphone

on Wheels?

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Car2X-Communication

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Danger Warning Message warn all vehicles

for upcoming obstacles on the road

Source: simTD

Car2X- Communication between traffic

lights, Roadside-Units and vehicles

Source: Vogel Business Media

VDA PowerPoint Page 21

simTD – Sichere Intelligente Mobilität

Testfeld Deutschland Obstacle Warning

Traffic Light Circuit

Car-to-Car-

Communication

Road Weather

Warning

Traffic Light Phase

Assistant

Building Lot

Informationen

Traffic Sign Assistant

Location based

Services

Emergency Vehicle

Warning Electronic Brake lights

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Mobility Concepts: Car-Sharing &

Intermodality

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Chances & Remaining Challenges

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Mobility Inputs

• Energy:

„Fuels“ &

Drive for the

Future

Value

• Mobility Concepts

• Networking

Side-Effects

• Particulates & NO2

• Accidents

• Remaining Accidents

• CO2

• Congestion

VDA PowerPoint

Mobility as a System: Goal-Scenario

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Mobility

Inputs • Energy

• Area • Resources

• ….

Nutzen

Economic

Social

Personal

…..

Side-Effects

Summary

• Many former problems are solved with

the latest generations of cars

• Areas for further progress are • Last remaining pollutants

• CO2-Reduction

• Sustainable Energy-Sources for Transport

• Networking and Car2X Communication

• Mobility Concepts

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Visions!

… and my own!

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Not a Conflict!

… and my own!