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© 2018 Chevron Mobile natural gas engine oil: path towards a sustainable future Teri Crosby Global Automotive Engine Oil Manager April 2018 Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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Page 1: Mobile natural gas engine oil: path towards a sustainable .../media/Files/Certification... · There is a growing need for high performance mobile natural gas engine oils Key drivers

© 2018 Chevron

Mobile natural gas engine oil:

path towards a sustainable future Teri Crosby

Global Automotive Engine Oil Manager

April 2018

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

Page 2: Mobile natural gas engine oil: path towards a sustainable .../media/Files/Certification... · There is a growing need for high performance mobile natural gas engine oils Key drivers

2© 2018 Chevron

Presentation outline

• Natural gas supply

• Types of natural gas for mobile applications

• Key drivers for mobile natural gas

– Economics

– Infrastructure

– Emissions regulations/Sustainability

• Differences between natural gas engine oils

and heavy duty motor oils

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

Page 3: Mobile natural gas engine oil: path towards a sustainable .../media/Files/Certification... · There is a growing need for high performance mobile natural gas engine oils Key drivers

3© 2018 Chevron

Major natural gas supply is coming on-line

Natural gas production, consumption, and liquefied natural gas exports (2010–2025)

Billion cubic feet per day

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration 2017

Australia is well positioned to meet much of Asia Pacific Region gas needs.

The U.S. has surplus and is starting to export excess production

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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4© 2018 Chevron

Unconventional gas “boom” due to advances in

technology – hydraulic fracturing

Fracking has led to significant increases in oil and gas production

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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5© 2018 Chevron

U.S. natural gas supplyTrend projections

• Shale gas / Unconventional gas

has led to abundant supplies of

natural gas

– Horizontal drilling

– Hydraulic fracturing

• Gas field production can quickly

be adjusted as demand and

prices vary

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration

http://www.eia.doe.gov/forecasts/aeo/executive_summary.cfm

Increase in North America supply largely driven by fracking

Dry natural gas production by type

Trillion cubic feet

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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6© 2018 Chevron

Presentation outline

• Natural gas supply

• Types of natural gas for mobile applications

• Key drivers for mobile natural gas

– Economics

– Infrastructure

– Emissions regulations/Sustainability

• Differences between natural gas engine oils

and heavy duty motor oils

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

Page 7: Mobile natural gas engine oil: path towards a sustainable .../media/Files/Certification... · There is a growing need for high performance mobile natural gas engine oils Key drivers

7© 2018 Chevron

Biomass is used in some cases to produce Renewable Natural Gas (RNG)

Natural gas for transportation CNG and LNG

Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)

• Typically delivered to the fueling station site via the local gas

utility underground pipe system at low pressure

• Compressed directly to vehicle’s onboard storage cylinders at

3600 psi

Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG)

• Cryogenically cooled to liquid state ~-260 deg F @ 40 to 120 psi

• Stored in liquid form onboard vehicle and vaporized before it

enters engine cylinder

• Fuel boils off from vehicle tanks if not used

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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8© 2018 Chevron

Renewable Natural Gas (RNG)

• Reduces greenhouse gas emissions up to 85% on a total life-cycle-analysis (well-to-wheels)

• Can be used in similar applications as CNG or LNG

BIOMASS

SOURCES

AGRICULTURAL

CROPS & RESIDUE

INDUSTRIAL

RESIDUES ANIMAL RESIDUES

SEWAGE

MUNICIPAL

SOLID WASTE

FORESTRY CROPS

& RESIDUES

Data Source: The Coalition for Renewable Natural Gas

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

Page 9: Mobile natural gas engine oil: path towards a sustainable .../media/Files/Certification... · There is a growing need for high performance mobile natural gas engine oils Key drivers

9© 2018 Chevron

Natural gas range and volume comparison

15 GAL

Approximate range

per 100 gallons

650 miles

380 miles

170 miles

Volume per

100 miles

@ 3500psi

28 GAL

58 GAL

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

Page 10: Mobile natural gas engine oil: path towards a sustainable .../media/Files/Certification... · There is a growing need for high performance mobile natural gas engine oils Key drivers

10© 2018 Chevron

Typical CNG vehicles operated in U.S.

• Centrally fueled

• Fixed routes

• Low emissions and odor

• Low noise

• Can operate on Renewable Natural Gas (RNG)

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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11© 2018 Chevron

Typical LNG vehicles operated in U.S.

• Used in long-haul applications

• Longer range than CNG trucks

• Low emissions

• Low noise

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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12© 2018 Chevron

Presentation outline

• Natural gas supply

• Types of natural gas for mobile applications

• Key drivers for mobile natural gas

– Economics

– Infrastructure

– Emissions regulations/Sustainability

• Differences between natural gas engine oils

and heavy duty motor oils

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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13© 2018 Chevron

New production technologies have resulted in

abundant supply of natural gas and low, stable prices

Stable natural gas pricesVolatile natural gas prices

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration

Fleets were not willing to invest in natural gas trucks in the past, in part due to volatile prices

Henry hub natural gas spot price

Dollars per million Btu

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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14© 2018 Chevron

Regional price gaps are narrowing as U.S. and Australia increase exports

Natural gas market is becoming more global

wide price disparities are disappearing

Monthly spot natural gas prices

nominal U.S. dollars ($/mmbtu)

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration

United States

Europe

Japan

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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15© 2018 Chevron

Natural gas prices in the main regions are connected by an increasingly flexible global trade in LNG

Natural gas prices are forecasted to remain low

regional differentials remain

Source: IEA 2017 World Energy Outlook

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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16© 2018 Chevron

2013 natural gas for trucking was front page news

- what happened?

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

Page 17: Mobile natural gas engine oil: path towards a sustainable .../media/Files/Certification... · There is a growing need for high performance mobile natural gas engine oils Key drivers

17© 2018 Chevron

Differential between natural gas and diesel has

largely collapsed in U.S.

Average retail fuel prices in the U.S.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration and Alternative Fuel Price Report, October 2017

Price differential between diesel and CNG collapsed in late 2015

National average price between

October 1 and October 31, 2017

Fuel Price

Biodiesel (B20) $2.68/gallon

Biodiesel (B99-B100) $3.38/gallon

Electricity $0.12/kWh

Ethanol (E85) $2.10/gallon

Natural gas (CNG) $2.17/GGE

Liquefied natural gas $2.60/DGE

Propane $2.78/galon

Gasoline $2.49/gallon

Diesel $2.76/gallon

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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18© 2018 Chevron

Presentation outline

• Natural gas supply

• Types of natural gas for mobile applications

• Key drivers for mobile natural gas

– Economics

– Infrastructure

– Emissions regulations

• Differences between natural gas engine oils

and heavy duty motor oils

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

Page 19: Mobile natural gas engine oil: path towards a sustainable .../media/Files/Certification... · There is a growing need for high performance mobile natural gas engine oils Key drivers

19© 2018 Chevron

There are 1,741 CNG and 143 LNG fueling stations in the U.S

Extensive natural gas pipelines already exist in

North America – part of infrastructure is in place

• 305,000 miles of

interstate and

intrastate natural

gas pipelines

• Does not include

2 million miles of

local distribution

and service lines

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Office of Oil & Gas, Natural Gas Division, Gas Transportation Information System

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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20© 2018 Chevron

There is a mix of private and public stations

U.S. CNG stations concentrated in

high population areas

U.S. CNG station growth – 5 years

Source: Natural Gas Vehicles for America

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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21© 2018 Chevron

Existing

Proposed

Primary areas for LNG are Los Angeles/Las Vegas corridor and Texas Triangle

(Houston, Dallas, San Antonio)

U.S. LNG station network is sparse, but growing

LNG corridor being built

U.S. LNG station growth – 5 years

Source: Natural Gas Vehicles for America

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

Page 22: Mobile natural gas engine oil: path towards a sustainable .../media/Files/Certification... · There is a growing need for high performance mobile natural gas engine oils Key drivers

22© 2018 Chevron

Presentation outline

• Natural gas supply

• Types of natural gas for mobile applications

• Key drivers for mobile natural gas

– Economics

– Infrastructure

– Emissions regulations/Sustainability

• Differences between natural gas engine oils

and heavy duty motor oils

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

Page 23: Mobile natural gas engine oil: path towards a sustainable .../media/Files/Certification... · There is a growing need for high performance mobile natural gas engine oils Key drivers

23© 2018 Chevron

CNG, LNG, and RNG have lower carbon intensities than diesel fuel

Low carbon fuel standard (LCFS) requires lower

carbon intensity fuels

Carbon intensity compliance level

Source: California Air Resources Board (CARB)

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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24© 2018 Chevron

California low carbon fuel standard (LCFS)

encourages supply of natural gas and biogas

Source: California Air Resources Board (CARB)

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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25© 2018 Chevron

China/India - Rapid growth of economies

has lead to congestion and emissions problems

• Fine Particulate (PM 2.5) found to be 300 to 500

µg/m3. World Health Organization (WHO) limit is 35

µg/m3

• International Energy Agency published a report in June

2017 claiming that air pollution has trimmed some 25%

off life expectancy in China

• China government providing incentives for natural

gas and hybrid/electric commercial vehicles

• City buses in New Delhi, Chennai, Mumbai, Pune,

and major cities converted to CNG. Three-wheelers

converted to LPG. Other vehicle types may follow

move to CNG

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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26© 2018 Chevron

Trucks are largest generator of NOx emissions in critical California South Coast air basin

Diesel trucks largest source of NOx emissions

in some regions

Major sources of nitrogen oxide pollution in 2014 (tons per day)

13.94

19.79

20.07

21.73

34.77

35.13

54

64.03

129.37

Aircraft

Home appliances

Diesel buses

Trains

Passenger vehicles

Ocean vessels

Large industrial facilities

Off-road equipment

Diesel trucks

Source: California South Coast Air Quality Management District

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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27© 2018 Chevron

Diesel trucks produce high levels of NOx

at low road speeds

Nox emissions (g/bhp-hr) by average speed over test cycle

or PEMS session 0.2 g/bhp-hr certified engines

Source: California Air Resources Board

23 Trucks tested by ARB, WVU, UCR CE_CERT

14 Driving cycles

5 PEMS routes

Potential off cycle emissions

0.2 g/bhp-hr

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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28© 2018 Chevron

Possible further tightening of NOx standards

• California Air quality standards for PM

and Ozone will be exceeded even with

conversion of truck population to 2010

emissions levels by 2023

• NOx creates Ozone

• NOx contributes to secondary formation

of PM (nitrates)

• Considering new standard with further

90% reduction in NOx emissions

• Could lead to increased use of EGR,

modifications to SCR, or HD natural gas

June 3, 2016

Natural Gas is the only commercially viable alternative for commercial trucks

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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29© 2018 Chevron

Cummins Westport “Near Zero” engines

Field trials taking place with Near Zero engines in Southern California

• Cummins Westport have developed and certified

three “Near Zero” engines to CARB’s proposed

limits:

• B6.7N

• L9N

• ISX 12N

• Diesel solutions are being worked on, but after-

treatment will likely be much more expensive than

the three-way catalyst used in the Near Zero

applications

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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30© 2018 Chevron

• 6.7 liter

• SEGR

• 2016 launch

• 11 liter

• China V

• OHC, TC, electric

control fuel injection

Lean burn + DOC

• ECI (Econtrols)

(note: Woodward

and FNG (own) fuel

systems can be used

for different engines)

• 12.9 liter

• China V

• OHC, TC, electric

control fuel

injection Lean

burn + DOC

• ECI (Econtrols)

fuel systems

• 11.6 liter

• China V

• TC, electric

control fuel

injection Lean

burn + DOC

• Bosch or

Woodward fuel

systems

• 11.9 liter

• 400 hp

• Near-zero

emissions

• 2018 launch

Cummins Westport is the dominant supplier in the U.S.

Major mobile natural gas engines

• 8.9 liter

• SEGR

• 250-320 hp

• Widely used

• Over 20,000 in

service

B6.7N L9N CA6SM2YC6KNWP12NGISX 12N

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

Cummins Westport Weichai Yuchai FAW

Page 31: Mobile natural gas engine oil: path towards a sustainable .../media/Files/Certification... · There is a growing need for high performance mobile natural gas engine oils Key drivers

31© 2018 Chevron

Presentation outline

• Natural gas supply

• Types of natural gas for mobile applications

• Key drivers for mobile natural gas

– Economics

– Infrastructure

– Emissions regulations/Sustainability

• Differences between natural gas engine oils

and heavy duty motor oils

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

Page 32: Mobile natural gas engine oil: path towards a sustainable .../media/Files/Certification... · There is a growing need for high performance mobile natural gas engine oils Key drivers

32© 2018 Chevron

Performance Area HDEO MNGEO

Soot dispersancy

Wear control

Acid neutralization

Nitration control

Oxidation control

Spark plug fouling

Valve recession/torching

Emulsion performance

Combustion chamber deposits

3-Way Catalyst compatibility

Diesel particulate trap compatibility

Mobile natural gas and heavy duty diesel engine oils have different performance requirements

Requirements for MNGEO are different than HDEO

= relative performance levels

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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33© 2018 Chevron

There is a growing need for high performance mobile natural gas engine oils

Key drivers for new technology development

Natural gas engine

demand is increasing

Engine

technology

OEM’s and Fleets desire

extended drain intervals

Heavy duty clean running

compressed natural gas/liquid

natural gas trucks globally

• Ultra low NOx emissions

• On-board diagnostics

• Spark-ignited stoichiometric

combustion with cooled

exhaust gas recirculation

Reduce total cost

of ownership (TCO)

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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34© 2018 Chevron

Generation 3

Next generation MNGEO is being introduced

CES 20085

• Extend ODI

• Ash optimized

Generation 1

CES 20074

• Ash control

• Special for gas

engine

CES 20092

• For advanced engine

• Enhanced oxidation &

nitration

• LSPI

• Extend ODI

1990s 2000s

2018

Generation 2

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

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35© 2018 Chevron

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 325 350 375 400

Hours

Generation 3 provides extended drain capability

Comparison of oxidation performance

generation 2 and generation 3 MNGEO

FTIR Oxidation peak height

Generation 2

Generation 3

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation

abs/c

m

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36© 2018 Chevron

Summary

• Natural gas availability, economics, and price stability have improved significantly with new

production technologies (e.g. fracking)

• Emissions regulations and favorable economics are driving new investments in mobile natural

gas, particularly in U.S., China and India – better infrastructure needed

• Natural gas combustion is inherently cleaner than diesel and tailpipe gaseous emissions can be

minimized through three-way catalyst technology. Particulate matter emissions are minimal

• Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) can be used where available

• For optimal performance, Natural Gas Engines require MNGEO

Detroit Advisory Panel Presentation