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    1

    MICROECONOMICS FOR

    MANAGERSYEAR 2011-12 TERM 1

    RAHUL NILAKANTAN

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    Rules of the game

    Please be on time

    No mobile phone or laptop usage

    Class participation welcomed

    2

    Say your name before you say anything else

    Quantity / quality trade-off

    Read before coming to classWe will not cover all the material from the book

    ALL the material from the book can be tested

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    Why Economics? Economics provides the intellectual foundations of

    many management subjectsMarketing RUM, hedonic utility models

    Strategy game theory / industrial organization

    3

    OB & HR contract theory, information economics Finance asset pricing, auction theory

    International Business international trade & finance

    Understanding Economics concepts and toolsenhances managerial decision making

    See SUV example in your book pg.14

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    This course Textbook

    Pindyck and Rubinfeld Evaluation

    Mid-term exam 35%

    4

    n -term exam Surprise quizzes 20%

    Class participation 10%

    Makeup policy

    Only if you were on leave with approval of PGP chair

    Instructor will decide the nature of the makeup

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    Session plan

    Preliminaries

    Basic economic concepts 1

    Consumer behavior 2, 3

    5

    Demand and supply analysis 4, 5

    Elasticity of demand and supply 6

    Impact of taxes and subsidies 7

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    Session plan

    Producers

    Theory of production 8

    Theory of cost 9, 10

    6

    Profit maximization and competitive supply 11

    Monopoly and market power 12, 13

    Pricing with market power 14

    Monopolistic competition and oligopoly 15, 16

    Game theory and competitive strategy 17

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    Principles of EconomicsCourtesy Tilman Slembeck (Univ. of St. Gallen)

    Scarcity

    Situation where needs exceed means Goods are not freely available to take Does scarce mean the same thing as rare?

    Rationality

    8

    Individual acts as ifbalancing costs against benefits toarrive at action that maximizes personal advantage Goal oriented behavior

    Compare costs and benefits of alternatives

    Preferences People can assign utilities to all options and choose the

    option that maximizes net utility

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    Operationalizing notion of rationality

    Three managers are discussing a possible increase

    in TV production. A: we should examine the effect of the increase on

    productivity (TV output per worker)

    9

    B: we should examine the effect of the increase onaverage cost of TVs

    C: we should examine whether the extra revenue

    exceeds the extra costs Who is on the right track and why?

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    Principles of Economics Restrictions

    Choice set is constrained e.g. budget constraint, non-negative profit constraint, etc.

    Opportunity cost Cost of next best foregone alternative

    10

    What is the opportunity cost of coming here for PGDM? The Economic Principle Application of rationality to situations of scarcity Maximize profit given input availability and prices

    Minimize costs for a given level of output Maximize utility for given income

    Minimize expenditure for given utility

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    Principles of Economics Efficiency

    In production (Economic Principle) or in distribution(Pareto criterion)

    Marginal analysis

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    Analyze decisions in terms of marginal benefits andmarginal costs

    Equilibrium

    Situation where no one has an incentive to change hisbehavior

    Stable outcome after interactions have taken place

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    Marginal analysis example 1 Average vs. marginal analysis

    Cost of adding one more passenger to an existingflight is Rs.100 (cost of drinks and snacks)

    Average cost of a passenger per flight is Rs.2,000

    12

    (Rs.1,00,000 per flight, 50 passenger capacity) At the boarding gate, there are still some seats to be

    filled. A passenger shows up and is willing to pay only

    Rs.200 for the ticket. Should he be allowed to fly? Short term analysis

    Long term analysis

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    Marginal analysis example 2 Sunk costs

    You have invested Rs.10 crore in a housing project inMumbai

    Real estate crash occurs expected sales revenue from

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    selling completed project Rs.5 crore Project has no value if not completed

    If completing the project costs Rs.2 crore, should you

    complete the project or abandon it?What is the most you should pay to complete the

    project?

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    Sunk costs continued DRDO has spent Rs.125 crores on RnD and product

    development for Arjun MBT Insists that the army should order at least 500 tanks so

    that money spent so far does not go to waste

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    Army argues that Arjun tank is approachingobsolescence, so huge costs of adoption outweigh

    the expected future benefits

    Who is using the Economic way of thinking?

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    Positive vs. normative issues Positive

    Cause and effect analysis Normative

    What ought to be (value judgment)

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    Statement 1: LPG rationing is a poor social policybecause it interferes with the workings of thecompetitive market system

    Statement 2: LPG rationing is a policy under whichmore people are made worse off than are madebetter off

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    Real vs. nominal prices Inflation

    Situation in which overall price level is rising Makes inter-temporal comparison of prices difficult

    Nominal price

    17

    rice una juste or in ation

    Real price

    Price adjusted for inflation

    Consumer price index (CPI)

    Measure of the aggregate price level

    Can thus be used to measure inflation rate

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    Consumer Price Index CPI CPI is a measure of overall cost of goods and

    services bought by a typical consumer Comes in different flavors: IW, UNME, AL/RL

    Uses retail rices

    18

    Covers goods and services

    Lower fuel, higher food weights

    CPI calculated by Labor Bureau of Ministry of

    Labor & Employment

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    Table 1.1 The Real Price of Eggs and of a College Education

    1970 1980 1990 2000 2007

    Consumer Price Index 38.8 82.4 130.7 172.2 205.8

    Nominal Prices

    Grade A Large Eggs $0.61 $0.84 $1.01 $0.91 $1.64

    Real vs. nominal prices19

    38.8$1.01 $0.30

    130.7= =

    , , , , ,

    Real Prices ($1970)

    Grade A Large Eggs $0.61 $0.40 $0.30 $0.21 $0.31

    College Education $2,530 $2,313 $3,568 $4,548 $5,196

    1970

    1980

    Real price of eggs in 1980 nominal price in 1980CPI

    CPI=

    1970

    1990

    Real price of eggs in 1990 nominal price in 1990CPI

    CPI=

    38.8$0.84 $0.40

    82.4= =

    The real price of eggs in 1970 dollars is calculated as follows:

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    The Real Price of Eggs and of a College Education (continued)

    1970 1980 1990 2000 2007

    Consumer Price Index 38.8 82.4 130.7 172.2 205.8

    Nominal Prices

    Grade A Large Eggs $0.61 $0.84 $1.01 $0.91 $1.64

    Real vs. nominal prices20

    , , , , ,

    Real Prices ($1980)

    Grade A Large Eggs $2.05 $1.33 $1.01 $0.69 $1.04

    College Education $2,530 $2,313 $3,568 $4,548 $5,196

    real price in 2007 real price in 1970Percentage change in real price

    real price in 1970

    =

    The percentage change in real price is calculated as follows:

    1.04 2.050.49

    2.05

    = =

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    Practice question 1 Why did real price of eggs fall?

    Why did real price of college degrees rise?

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    Practice question 2 Suppose INR rises against USD i.e. fewer INR to buy

    1 USD Why does this simultaneously

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    consumers? Decrease the real price of US cars for Indian

    consumers?

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    Practice answer 3 Nominal price of STDs fell from Rs.5 per minute in 1996 to

    Rs.3 per minute in 1999, a 40% decrease

    CPI increased by 20% over this period

    What happened to real price of STDs?

    24

    Let 1996 CPI be 100 and 1999 CPI be 120 i.e. 20% increase

    Real price of STDs as expressed in 1996 rupees

    1996 real price = 1996 nominal price = Rs.5 per minute

    1999 real price = (CPI 1996 / CPI 1999)*1999 nominal price Rs. (100 / 120) * 3 = Rs. 2.50 per minute

    Real price fell from Rs. 5 per minute to Rs.2.50 per minute i.e. a 50%decline