minnesota cost of living study annual report 2016
TRANSCRIPT
Department of Employment and Economic Development 1st National Bank Building █ 332 Minnesota Street █ Suite E200 █ Saint Paul █ Minnesota 55101-1351
651-259-7114 PHONE █ 800-657-3858 TOLL FREE █ 651-296-4772 FAX █ 651-296-3900 TTY █ http://mn.gov/deed
An Equal Opportunity Employer and Service Provider
Minnesota Cost of Living Study
Annual Report 2016 Report to the Legislature
as required by MinnesotaStatutes2013,chapter116J,section13
May 2016
Author: John Clay, LMI analyst, principal study author
Steve Hine, LMI director
Oriane Casale, LMI assistant director, director of publications
Amanda Rohrer, LMI database administrator
Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development
Total cost of salaries, printing, and supplies in developing/preparing this report is $1,424.07.
(reported as required by Minn. Stat. 3.197).
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Introduction.................................................................................................................................................3StudyMissionandPurpose......................................................................................................................3TypicalUsesoftheCostofLivingData.....................................................................................................3ATypicalMinnesotaFamily?....................................................................................................................4ImprovingtheStudy.................................................................................................................................4
ResultsandAnalysisStatewideandbyRegion............................................................................................5MinnesotaStatewide...............................................................................................................................6EconomicDevelopmentRegion1-Northwest........................................................................................7EconomicDevelopmentRegion2-Headwaters......................................................................................8EconomicDevelopmentRegion3-Arrowhead.......................................................................................9EconomicDevelopmentRegion4–WestCentral..................................................................................10EconomicDevelopmentRegion5–NorthCentral.................................................................................11EconomicDevelopmentRegion6E–SouthwestCentral.......................................................................12EconomicDevelopmentRegion6W–UpperMinnesotaValley............................................................13EconomicDevelopmentRegion7E–EastCentral.................................................................................14EconomicDevelopmentRegion7W-Central........................................................................................15EconomicDevelopmentRegion8-Southwest......................................................................................16EconomicDevelopmentRegion9–SouthCentral.................................................................................17EconomicDevelopmentRegion10-Southeast.....................................................................................18EconomicDevelopmentRegion11-TwinCitiesMetro.........................................................................19
FurtherAnalysisandRecommendations....................................................................................................20MedianWageasaShareoftheCostofLiving.......................................................................................20JobVacancyMedianWageOfferasaShareoftheCostofLiving.........................................................21ImpactonEmploymentRecruitmentandRetention.............................................................................21ImpactonMinorityCommunities..........................................................................................................21
Allindustriesaveragebyrace............................................................................................................22Lowwageindustriesaveragebyrace.................................................................................................22
ImpactonConsumerExpenditures........................................................................................................23ImpactonDemandforSocialServiceSubsidies.....................................................................................24
Sources.......................................................................................................................................................25StatutoryMandate.................................................................................................................................25
AppendixB.................................................................................................................................................26CostofLivingStudyDataSources..........................................................................................................26
AppendixC.................................................................................................................................................26MinnesotaEconomicDevelopmentRegions..........................................................................................26
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IntroductionTheCostofLivingStudyprovidesanestimateofabasic-needscostoflivinginMinnesotaforindividualsandforvariousfamilysizes,bycounty,region,andstatewide.Thestudyexamineslivingcostsinsevencostcategories:food,housing,healthcare,transportation,childcare,othernecessities,andnettaxes.[1]
TheLaborMarketInformation(LMI)officeoftheDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopment(DEED)ismandatedbyMinnesotaStatutes2013,chapter116J,section13toreporteveryFebruaryontheyear’supdatedCostofLivingStudyresultsandtoprovideanalysisandrecommendationstoaidintheassessmentofemploymentandeconomicdevelopmentplanningneedsthroughoutthestate.
StudyMissionandPurpose
ThemissionoftheCostofLivingStudyistoestimateabasic-needscostoflivinginMinnesotaforindividualsandfamilies,bycounty,region,andstatewide.Thestudyexamineslivingcostsinsevencostcategories:food,housing,healthcare,transportation,childcare,othernecessities,andnettaxes.TheCostofLivingrepresentsneitherapovertylivingnoramiddle-classlivingbutratherasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.Therefore,thefollowingcostsareexcluded,eventhoughtheymaybecommonexpenses:savings,vacations,entertainment,eatingout,tobacco,andalcohol.
TheCostofLivingstudyisanimportanttoolbecauseratherthandescribingwhatfamiliesarespending(aswiththeConsumerExpenditureSurvey)itexaminesthecostofbasicneeds.TheCostofLivingstudyalsolooksatdollarcosts,ratherthanlookingattherateofchangeovertime(aswiththeConsumerPriceIndex).
TheCostofLivingstudyresultsconstituteanadditionaleconomicindicatorwhichmaybeusedbypublicandprivateinstitutionsandbyindividuals.Findthemethodologyatmn.gov/deed/data/data-tools/col/method-col.jsp.
TypicalUsesoftheCostofLivingData
Employerswanttosetwagesthatattractandretaingoodworkers.TheCostofLivingToolcanhelpgaugewhetherawageinacertaincountywillpaythebillsandkeepworkersafloat.Jobseekerswanttoknowwhichkindsofworkwillcoverfamilycostsintheircounty.Workforcedevelopmentserviceproviderswanttoknowwhatwages,ifmet,arelikelytosecureaself-supportingcareerfortheclientjobseeker,thusreducingtheneedforre-entryintoservices.Policymakersandplannerswanttoknowiftheneedforpublicsubsidiesislikelytoriseorfall.Regionalwagesthatmeetorexceedthecostoflivingcansignalreducedneedforsubsidies.Policymakersandplannersalsowanttomonitorthepotentialforconsumerexpenditureswhichcandrivefutureeconomicgrowth.Regionalwagesthatmeetorexceedthecostoflivingcansignalapotentialforstrongerconsumerexpenditures.
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ATypicalMinnesotaFamily?
BasedontheAmericanCommunitySurvey(DP02,5-YearSeries,2014),CurrentPopulationSurvey(C3,LivingArrangementsofChildrenUnder18Years,2015),andCurrentEmploymentStatistics(TotalPrivateSector,2015),aselectionof“Partnered,1full-timeand1part-timeworker,1child”intheonlineCostofLivingtoolbestrepresentsatypicalMinnesotafamily.Thisselectiongivesresultsforafamilyoftwoadultsworkingacombined60hoursperweek(oranaverageof30hoursperworker),andonechildunderschoolage.
TheaveragefamilysizeinMinnesotais3.1personsandtheaveragehouseholdsizeis2.5persons.Themajorityofthestate’shouseholds—65percent—arefamilyhouseholds.Marriedcouplesare79percentoffamilyhouseholds.
Althoughjustunderhalf--45.4percent--offamilyhouseholdshavechildrenoftheirown(bybirth,marriage,oradoption)underage18,DEEDselectedthe“Partnered,1full-timeand1part-timeworker,1child”asastandardbecauseoftheimportanceofmaintainingastateeconomywhichsupportsfamilieswithchildren.
AmongallU.S.childrenunderage18livingwithbothparents,60percenthavebothparentsinthelaborforceand73percentareage12orunder.TheaverageweeklyhoursperworkerinMinnesotais34hours.[2,3,4]
Foradditionalfamilycompositions,seetheonlineCostofLivingtoolatmn.gov/deed/data/data-tools/col/.
ImprovingtheStudy
DEEDmadeseveralimprovementstothewaythestudycalculatescostsforthisyear’sreport.Asaresultsomecostswillbehigherandsomelowerthaninpreviousversionsofthestudy.
Inthisreportallfamilycompositionsaregender-neutral.Thischangestrengthensthequalityofthedatabyallowingustoaveragetogethermaleandfemaledatasetsforalargertotalsample.Largersamplestendtoprovidemorereliableinformation.DEEDmadealong-overduereformoftheOtherNecessitiescostcategorybyaddingtelephoneservices,housekeepingsupplies,andhouseholdfurnishingstothetotalratherthanusingasmall“miscellaneous”sumtocoverthesenecessarycosts.ThehighercostnowassignedtoOtherNecessitiesisbothmoreexplicitlydefinedandmorerealisticthaninpreviousversionsofthestudy.Foranexplanationofthepreviousyears’methodology,pleaseseethe2015CostofLivingAnnualReport.
DEEDrevisedthetransportationmethodologytoapplyanaverageVehicleMilesofTravelbyhouseholdsizeratherthanbreakingoutnumberofadults,adultworkers,orchildren.Again,thischangeisintendedtostrengthenthequalityofthedatabyusingalargersample.
Finally,DEEDexaminedtheprospectsforbreakingoutthetransportationcostsofMinnesotanswhoworkinthesamecountywheretheyliveversusthecostsofthosewhocommutetoanothercountyforwork.Whilethisbreakoutwasnotimplementedinthe2016study,itcouldbeusedinthefuturetohelpemployerscomparethewagecostsofrecruitinglaborfromothercountiesversuslocally.
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ResultsandAnalysisStatewideandbyRegionCostsforaMinnesotafamilyofthreeareshownforthestateasawholeandforeachofMinnesota’sthirteenEconomicDevelopmentRegions(EDRs).Resultsforthestateandforeachregionarecalculatedasapopulation-weightedaverageofresultsforeachcounty.Calculatingaweightedaveragehelpscorrectforanybiasesinthedatathatmightresultfromdifferencesbetweenthoseincludedinthestudysampleandtheactualpopulation.Thethirteenregionsare:
EconomicDevelopmentRegion1-NorthwestEconomicDevelopmentRegion2-HeadwatersEconomicDevelopmentRegion3-ArrowheadEconomicDevelopmentRegion4–WestCentralEconomicDevelopmentRegion5–NorthCentralEconomicDevelopmentRegion6E–SouthwestCentralEconomicDevelopmentRegion6W–UpperMinnesotaValleyEconomicDevelopmentRegion7E–EastCentralEconomicDevelopmentRegion7W-CentralEconomicDevelopmentRegion8-SouthwestEconomicDevelopmentRegion9–SouthCentralEconomicDevelopmentRegion10-SoutheastEconomicDevelopmentRegion11-TwinCitiesMetro
Thestudyexpressesthecostoflivingasayearlysumandanhourlyrate,inadditiontobreakingoutmonthlycostsineachofthesevencostcategories.
ThehourlywageanalysiscomparesdatafromtheCostofLivingStudywithemploymentdatafromtheOccupationalEmploymentStatistics(OES)programandjobvacancydatafromtheJobVacancySurvey(JVS).[5,6]
Forconvenientuseasareferenceorhand-out,eachregionispresentedonaseparatepageofthereport.
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MinnesotaStatewide
AnnualCosts:$54,804
HourlyRate:$17.57
LookingatthestateofMinnesotaasawhole,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,withoneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$54,804peryearand$17.57perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.
Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$462,food$771,healthcare$408,housing$916,transportation$805,othernecessities$528,andtaxes$667.
ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinMinnesotais106percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedian
wageofferforjobvacanciesis74percentofthecostofliving.
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EconomicDevelopmentRegion1-Northwest
AnnualCosts:$44,940
HourlyRate:$14.40
InNorthwesternMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$44,940peryearand$14.40perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.
Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$197,food$765,healthcare$408,housing$724,transportation$730,othernecessities$466,andtaxes$455.
ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinNorthwestMinnesotais114
percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis82percentofthecostofliving.
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EconomicDevelopmentRegion2-Headwaters
AnnualCosts:$46,740
HourlyRate:$14.98
IntheHeadwatersregionofMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$46,740peryearand$14.98perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.
Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$229,food$759,healthcare$408,housing$706,transportation$834,othernecessities$458,andtaxes$501.
ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsintheHeadwatersregionis105
percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis69percentofthecostofliving.
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EconomicDevelopmentRegion3-Arrowhead
AnnualCosts:$46,812
HourlyRate:$15.00
IntheArrowheadregionofMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$46,812peryearand$15.00perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.
Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$258,food$757,healthcare$408,housing$748,transportation$758,othernecessities$471,andtaxes$501.
ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsintheArrowheadregionis111 percent
ofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis77percentofthecostofliving.
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EconomicDevelopmentRegion4–WestCentral
AnnualCosts:$45,672
HourlyRate:$14.64
InWestCentralMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$45,672peryearand$14.64perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.
Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$233,food$760,healthcare$408,housing$700,transportation$773,othernecessities$457,andtaxes$475.
ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinWestCentralMinnesotais107
percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis85percentofthecostofliving.
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EconomicDevelopmentRegion5–NorthCentral
AnnualCosts:$48,048
HourlyRate:$15.40
InNorthCentralMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$48,048peryearand$15.40perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.
Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$231,food$753,healthcare$408,housing$725,transportation$890,othernecessities$463,andtaxes$534.
ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinNorthCentralMinnesotais93
percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis66percentofthecostofliving.
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EconomicDevelopmentRegion6E–SouthwestCentral
AnnualCosts:$46,248
HourlyRate:$14.82
InSouthwestCentralMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$46,248peryearand$14.82perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.
Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$230,food$760,healthcare$408,housing$698,transportation$813,othernecessities$456,andtaxes$489.
ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinSouthwestCentralMinnesotais111
percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis67percentofthecostofliving.
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EconomicDevelopmentRegion6W–UpperMinnesotaValley
AnnualCosts:$43,788
HourlyRate:$14.03
IntheUpperMinnesotaValley,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$43,788peryearand$14.03perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.
Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$190,food$777,healthcare$408,housing$670,transportation$723,othernecessities$453,andtaxes$428.
ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsintheUpperMinnesotaValleyis109
percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis88percentofthecostofliving.
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EconomicDevelopmentRegion7E–EastCentral
AnnualCosts:$57,588
HourlyRate:$18.46
InEastCentralMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$57,588peryearand$18.46perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.
Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$394,food$749,healthcare$408,housing$921,transportation$1,058,othernecessities$523,andtaxes$746.
ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinEastCentralMinnesotais89
percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis54percentofthecostofliving.
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EconomicDevelopmentRegion7W-Central
AnnualCosts:$52,404
HourlyRate:$16.80
InCentralMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$52,404peryearand$16.80perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.
Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$313,food$750,healthcare$408,housing$892,transportation$865,othernecessities$514,andtaxes$625.
ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinCentralMinnesotais100percentof
thecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis71percentofthecostofliving.
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EconomicDevelopmentRegion8-Southwest
AnnualCosts:$43,524
HourlyRate:$13.95
InSouthwestMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$43,524peryearand$13.95perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.
Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$197,food$769,healthcare$408,housing$665,transportation$718,othernecessities$449,andtaxes$421.
ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinSouthwestMinnesotais106
percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis84percentofthecostofliving.
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EconomicDevelopmentRegion9–SouthCentral
AnnualCosts:$45,528
HourlyRate:$14.59
InSouthCentralMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$45,528peryearand$14.59perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.
Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$220,food$761,healthcare$408,housing$732,transportation$737,othernecessities$467,andtaxes$469.
ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinSouthCentralMinnesotais110
percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis82percentofthecostofliving.
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EconomicDevelopmentRegion10-Southeast
AnnualCosts:$48,828
HourlyRate:$15.65
InSoutheastMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$48,828peryearand$15.65perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.
Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$280,food$760,healthcare$408,housing$817,transportation$762,othernecessities$493,andtaxes$549.
ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinSoutheastMinnesotais113
percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis88percentofthecostofliving.
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EconomicDevelopmentRegion11-TwinCitiesMetro
AnnualCosts:$60,072
HourlyRate:$19.25
IntheTwinCitiesMetroregionofMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$60,072peryearand$19.25perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.
Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$625,food$782,healthcare$408,housing$1,028,transportation$804,othernecessities$566,andtaxes$793.
ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsintheTwinCitiesMetrois106percentof
thecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis62percentofthecostofliving.
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FurtherAnalysisandRecommendationsAcomparisonofthecostoflivingandtypicalwagesbyregioncanhelpilluminatesomeoftheeconomicchallengesoropportunitiesforemploymentrecruitmentandretention,minoritycommunitywealth-building,consumerexpenditures,andsocialservices.
MedianWageasaShareoftheCostofLiving
Thestatewide$18.65medianwageofexistingjobsis106percentofthe$17.57costofliving.ThismeansthatalittleoverhalfofallworkingMinnesotansarepaidmorethanthefamily-of-threecostofbasicneeds.TheaveragefamilysizeinMinnesotais3.0personsandtheaveragehouseholdsize,forfamilyandnon-familyhouseholdscombined,is2.5persons.
Ifthelabormarketwereinperfectbalancewitheveryonematchedwiththerightjobs,thehalfofworkerspaidmorethanthemedianwagewouldbethefamilieslargerthanthree(whilethehalfofworkerspaidlesswouldbethefamiliessmallerthanthree).Thiswouldmeanthatamedianwageequaltothecostoflivingwasmeetingmostpeople’sbasicneeds.Buteconomistsknowthatnomarketiseverperfectlybalanced.
Thelimitsofavailabledatameanthateconomistsmustevaluatelivingstandardsbylookingatwhetheranarea’smedianwage,foralloccupationstogether,meetsorexceedsthecostofliving.AccordingtoOccupationalEmploymentStatistics,Minnesota’sstatewidemedianwageexceedsthestatewidecostofliving.ThemedianwagesintenofMinnesota’sthirteeneconomicdevelopmentregionsalsoexceedthecostoflivingwithinthosereasons.Herearethemedianwagesbyregionforthoseareasasapercentageofcostofliving:
• Northwestregion,114percent
• Southeastregion,113percent
• Arrowheadregion,111percent
• SouthwestCentralregion,111percent
• SouthCentralregion,110percent
• UpperMinnesotaValleyregion,109percent
• WestCentralregion,107percent
• Southwestregion,106percent
• TwinCitiesMetroregion,106percent
• Headwatersregion,105percent
TheCentralregion’smedianwageisexactly100percentoftheCostofLiving.MedianwagesintheNorthCentralregionareat93percentoftheregionalcostofliving.MedianwagesintheEastCentralregionareat89percentoftheregionalcostofliving.
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JobVacancyMedianWageOfferasaShareoftheCostofLiving
Themedianwageofferedtoworkersintheprocessofhiringforjobvacancies,accordingtotheJobVacancySurvey,is74percentofthecostoflivingatthestatelevel.NoneofMinnesota’sthirteeneconomicdevelopmentregionsshowsamedianwageofferforvacancieswhichmeetstheregion’scostofliving.TheSoutheastandtheUpperMinnesotaValleyregionsarethehighestinthiscategory,withmedianwagesofferedtoworkerstofilljobvacanciesat88percentoftheregion’scostofliving.TheWestCentralregionis85percent,theSouthwestregionis84percent,theNorthwestandtheSouthCentralregionsbothare82percent,theArrowheadregionis77percent,theCentralregionis71percent,theHeadwatersregionis69percent,theSouthwestCentralregionis67percent,theNorthCentralregionis66percent,the7-CountyMetrois62percent,andtheEastCentralregionis54percentoftheregion’scostofliving.
Althoughthemedianwagelevelofferedtoworkerstofilljobvacanciesishistoricallylowerthanmedianwagesforfilledpositions—lower-wagejobsmighthavehigherturnoverandbecapturedmorefrequentlybytheJobVacancySurvey—aregionalmedianwageofferbelowtheregionalcostoflivingmaysignaleconomicchallengesaheadforemploymentrecruitmentandretention,minoritycommunitywell-being,andlocalconsumerexpenditures.
ImpactonEmploymentRecruitmentandRetention
AccordingtoemployersinterviewedforDEED’s2013HiringDifficultiesSurvey,demand-sideconditions,includingunsatisfactorywages,havecontributedtohiringdifficultiesintheproduction,industrialengineering,informationtechnology,andnursingoccupations.[7]Ifthesameholdstrueforotherindustries,thenregionswithamedianwageormedianwageofferbelowtheregionalcostoflivingmighttrytoimprovewagesinexistingoccupationsorexpandhigher-payingjobs.
Regionsmostinneedofemployee-retentionstrategiesincludetheNorthCentralandtheEastCentralregions,wherethemedianwageisbelowtheregionalcostofliving,andtheCentralregion,wherethemedianisexactlyequaltotheregionalcostofliving.
AllthirteenMinnesotaeconomicdevelopmentregions,includingtheMetro,showmedianwageoffersforvacantjobsbelowtheregionalcostofliving.Oneoptiontoimproveemployeerecruitmentmightbetoengageindemand-sidestrategies.RegionsthatwouldbenefitmostfromthesestrategiesincludetheCentral,theHeadwaters,theSouthwestCentral,theNorthCentral,the7-CountyMetro,andtheEastCentralregions,wherethejobvacancymedianwageofferasapercentoftheregionalcostoflivingfallsbelowthestatewideaverage.
ImpactonMinorityCommunities
DatashowsthattheaverageannualwageinMinnesotacandifferconsiderablyfromoneraceorethniccommunitytoanother.[8]DEEDusesdatafromtheU.S.CensusLongitudinalEmployer-HouseholdDynamics(LEHD)programtoexaminethesedifferences.WhilethereareafewdifferencesbetweenLEHDdataandtheCostofLivingstudydata,usingthesetwodatasetsprovidestheclosestapples-to-applescomparisonthatwecanget.ItisworthnotingthattheLEHDdataisfrom2014,whiletheCostofLivingStudydataisfrom2015.
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Allindustriesaveragebyrace
ThestatewideannualcostofbasicneedsforaMinnesotafamilyofthree,acrossallindustries,is$45,864.Theaverageannualwageperworkerregardlessofraceorethnicityis$48,733or106percentofthecostofbasicneeds.
TheaverageannualwageforWhiteNon-Hispanicworkersisthehighestinthestate,at$50,200or109%.ThisisalsothelargestpopulationgroupinMinnesota.Theaveragewageforallworkersofcolorcombinedis$36,524or80percentofthecostofbasicneeds.
AmongminorityracialandethnicgroupsinMinnesota,thehighestwageisforAsianworkersat$49,028or107percent,followedbyWhiteHispanicworkersat$34,042or74percent,andAmericanIndian/AlaskaNativeworkersat$31,171or68percent,andfinallyBlack/AfricanAmericanworkersat$30,116or66percentofthecostofbasicneeds.
Lowwageindustriesaveragebyrace
Anotherwaytoexaminedisparitiesistocomparetheaveragewageinthe10largestlow-wageindustriestothestatewideannualcostofbasicneedsforafamilyofthree($45,846),withaspecificfocusondifferencesbetweenracialandethnicgroups.ThisgivesusasenseofhowMinnesota’slowest-wageworkersarefaring.
TheaverageannualwageforWhiteNon-Hispanicworkersinthe10largestlow-wageindustriesofemploymentis$28,203or61percentofthecostofbasicneeds.Thelow-wageindustryaverageforallworkersofcolorcombinedis$21,112or46percentofthecostofbasicneeds.
BreakingoutspecificpopulationsamongminorityworkersinMinnesota,thelow-wageindustryaverageforAmericanIndian/AlaskanNativeworkersis$24,063or52percentofthecostofbasicneeds,for
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Asianworkersis$22,760or50percent,forWhiteHispanicworkersis$22,136or48percent,andforBlack/AfricanAmericanworkersis$19,454or42percentofthecostofbasicneeds.
ThedataalsoshowsthatWhiteNon-Hispanicworkersholdadisproportionatelyhighshareofjobsinveryhighwageindustries,whiletheoppositeistrueforworkersofcolor(whoholdadisproportionatelyhighshareofjobsinverylow-wageindustries).
Forexample,whiteworkersheld85.7percentofalljobsin2014but88.6percentofveryhighwagejobsandonly80.6percentofverylowwagejobs.Bycontrast,workersofcolorheld14.2percentofalljobsbutonly11.4percentofveryhighwagejobsand19.4percentofverylowwagejobs.
Manycommunitiesalreadyrecognizethesetrendsandareactivelyworkingtoimprovewageoutcomesforfamiliesofcolor,eitherwithinthemixofexistingoccupationsorbyhelpingworkersenterhigher-payingoccupations.
ImpactonConsumerExpenditures
TheCostofLivingStudyprovidesanestimateofthecostofbasicnecessaryexpenditures.Incomesbelowthecostoflivingmaylimitbasicconsumerexpendituresandsloweconomicgrowth.Iffamilieshavelittlebuyingpoweroutsideofcoveringtheirbasicneeds,theyareunabletocontributesubstantiallytoaregion’seconomy.
Inordertosustainconsumerexpendituresandgrowahealthyeconomy,regionssuchasNorthCentral,EastCentral,andCentralwherethemedianwageisbeloworequaltotheregionalcostofliving,andtheHeadwatersregionwherethemedianwageisslightlyabovetheregionalcostoflivingbutbelowthestatewideshare,mighttrytodiversifythelocaleconomicsinordertoattractnewandhigher-payingjobs,orimproveinfrastructuretoassistwithbusinessexpansionintheirareas.Ultimately,strategies
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thatleadtoimprovedlocalwagesortheexpansionofhigher-payingjobswouldbetteralignbuyingpowerwiththeregionalcostofliving.
ImpactonDemandforSocialServiceSubsidies
Peoplewhodonotearnenoughtomeettheirfamily’sbasicneedsmaybemorelikelytoseekoutsocialservicesorothersubsidies.Inregionswherethereareagreaternumberofpeoplewhodon’tearnthecostofliving,regionaleconomiccentersmayhavedifficultyfindingenoughself-supportingjobopportunitiestomeettheneed.Thisinturncouldleadtomorefrequentre-entryoruseofsupportservices,creatingmorestrainonthesystem.
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Sources1.CostofLivingStudy.LaborMarketInformation,MinnesotaDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopment.Seemn.gov/deed/data/data-tools/col/.
2.AmericanCommunitySurvey.U.S.CensusBureau.DP-2,5-YearSeries,2014.
Seefactfinder.census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/index.xhtml.
3.CurrentEmploymentStatistics.TotalPrivateSector,2015.
Seeapps.deed.state.mn.us/lmi/ces/Results.aspx.
4.CurrentPopulationSurvey.U.S.CensusBureau.C3,LivingArrangementsofChildrenUnder18YearsandMaritalStatusofParents,byAge,Sex,Race,andHispanicOriginandSelectedCharacteristicsoftheChildforAllChildren,2015.Seewww.census.gov/hhes/families/data/cps2015.html.
5.OccupationalEmploymentStatistics.LaborMarketInformation,MinnesotaDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopment.FirstQuarter,2015.Seemn.gov/deed/data/data-tools/oes/.
6.JobVacancySurvey.LaborMarketInformation,MinnesotaDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopment.SecondQuarter,2015.Seemn.gov/deed/data/data-tools/job-vacancy/.
7.“Areskilledworkersscarce?EvidencefromemployersurveysinMinnesota.”HiringDifficultiesSurvey.LaborMarketInformation,MinnesotaDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopment.Seemn.gov/deed/images/SecondRoundReportSkillsGap.pdf.
8.“StuckinNeutral.”MinnesotaEconomicTrends,December2015.LaborMarketInformation,MinnesotaDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopment.
Seemn.gov/deed/newscenter/publications/trends/december-2015/stuck-in-neutral.jsp.
StatutoryMandate
MinnesotaStatutes2013,chapter116J,section013,mandatesthatthecommissioneroftheDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopmentshallconductanannualcost-of-livingstudyinMinnesotaandreportthereonbyFebruary1ofeachyear.
Thestatutereads:
(a)Thecommissionershallconductanannualcost-of-livingstudyinMinnesota.Thestudyshallinclude:
(1)acalculationofthestatewidebasicneedscostofliving,adjustedforfamilysize;
(2)acalculationofthebasicneedscostofliving,adjustedforfamilysize,foreachcounty;
(3)ananalysisofstatewideandcountycost-of-livingdata,employmentdata,andjobvacancydata;and
(4)recommendationstoaidintheassessmentofemploymentandeconomicdevelopmentplanningneedsthroughoutthestate.
(b)Thecommissionershallreportonthecost-of-livingstudyandrecommendationsbyFebruary1ofeachyeartothegovernorandtothechairsofthestandingcommitteesofthehouseofrepresentativesandthesenatehavingjurisdictionoveremploymentandeconomicdevelopmentissues.
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Incompliancewith2013MinnesotaStatutesChapter3,Section195,twocopiesofthisreportalsowillbefiledwiththeLegislativeReferenceLibrary.
AppendixB
CostofLivingStudyDataSources
AgencyforHealthcareResearchandQuality,U.S.DepartmentofHealthandHumanServicesAmericanAutomobileAssociationBureauofLaborStatistics,U.S.DepartmentofLaborCensusBureau,U.S.DepartmentofCommerceCenterforNutritionPolicyandPromotion,U.S.DepartmentofAgricultureFederalHighwayAdministration,U.S.DepartmentofTransportationLaborMarketInformation,MinnesotaDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopmentMinnesotaOfficeoftheRevisorofStatutesChildCareAwareofMinnesota,SaintPaul,MinnesotaCouncilforCommunityandEconomicResearch,Arlington,VirginiaNationalBureauofEconomicResearch,Cambridge,MassachusettsU.S.DepartmentofHousingandUrbanDevelopment
AppendixC
MinnesotaEconomicDevelopmentRegions
Region1—Northwest,includesKittson,Marshall,Norman,Pennington,Polk,RedLake,andRoseauCounties.
Region2—Headwaters,includesBeltrami,Clearwater,Hubbard,LakeoftheWoods,andMahnomenCounties.
Region3—Northeast,includesAitkin,Carlton,Cook,Itasca,Koochiching,Lake,andSt.LouisCounties.
Region4—WestCentral,includesBecker,Clay,Douglas,Grant,OtterTail,Pope,Stevens,Traverse,andWilkinCounties.
Region5—NorthCentral,includesCass,CrowWing,Morrison,Todd,andWadenaCounties.
Region6W—UpperMinnesotaValley,includesBigStone,Chippewa,LacQuiParle,Swift,andYellowMedicineCounties.
Region6E—SouthwestCentral,includesKandiyohi,McLeod,Meeker,andRenvilleCounties.
Region7W—Central,includesBenton,Sherburne,Stearns,andWrightCounties.
Region7E—EastCentral,includesChisago,Isanti,Kanabec,MilleLacs,andPineCounties.
Region8—Southwest,includesCottonwood,Jackson,Lincoln,Lyon,Murray,Nobles,Pipestone,Redwood,andRockCounties.
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Region9—SouthCentral,includesBlueEarth,Brown,Faribault,LeSueur,Martin,Nicollet,Sibley,Waseca,andWatonwanCounties.
Region10—Southeast,includesDodge,Fillmore,Freeborn,Goodhue,Houston,Mower,Olmsted,Rice,Steele,Wabasha,andWinonaCounties.
Region11—TwinCitiesMetro,includesAnoka,Carver,Dakota,Hennepin,Ramsey,Scott,andWashingtonCounties.