minnesota cost of living study annual report 2016

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Department of Employment and Economic Development 1st National Bank Building 332 Minnesota Street Suite E200 Saint Paul Minnesota 55101-1351 651-259-7114 PHONE 800-657-3858 TOLL FREE 651-296-4772 FAX 651-296-3900 TTY http://mn.gov/deed An Equal Opportunity Employer and Service Provider Minnesota Cost of Living Study Annual Report 2016 Report to the Legislature as required by Minnesota Statutes 2013, chapter 116J, section 13 May 2016 Author: John Clay, LMI analyst, principal study author Steve Hine, LMI director Oriane Casale, LMI assistant director, director of publications Amanda Rohrer, LMI database administrator Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development Total cost of salaries, printing, and supplies in developing/preparing this report is $1,424.07. (reported as required by Minn. Stat. 3.197).

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Page 1: Minnesota Cost of Living Study Annual Report 2016

Department of Employment and Economic Development 1st National Bank Building █ 332 Minnesota Street █ Suite E200 █ Saint Paul █ Minnesota 55101-1351

651-259-7114 PHONE █ 800-657-3858 TOLL FREE █ 651-296-4772 FAX █ 651-296-3900 TTY █ http://mn.gov/deed

An Equal Opportunity Employer and Service Provider

Minnesota Cost of Living Study

Annual Report 2016 Report to the Legislature

as required by MinnesotaStatutes2013,chapter116J,section13

May 2016

Author: John Clay, LMI analyst, principal study author

Steve Hine, LMI director

Oriane Casale, LMI assistant director, director of publications

Amanda Rohrer, LMI database administrator

Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development

Total cost of salaries, printing, and supplies in developing/preparing this report is $1,424.07.

(reported as required by Minn. Stat. 3.197).

Page 2: Minnesota Cost of Living Study Annual Report 2016

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Introduction.................................................................................................................................................3StudyMissionandPurpose......................................................................................................................3TypicalUsesoftheCostofLivingData.....................................................................................................3ATypicalMinnesotaFamily?....................................................................................................................4ImprovingtheStudy.................................................................................................................................4

ResultsandAnalysisStatewideandbyRegion............................................................................................5MinnesotaStatewide...............................................................................................................................6EconomicDevelopmentRegion1-Northwest........................................................................................7EconomicDevelopmentRegion2-Headwaters......................................................................................8EconomicDevelopmentRegion3-Arrowhead.......................................................................................9EconomicDevelopmentRegion4–WestCentral..................................................................................10EconomicDevelopmentRegion5–NorthCentral.................................................................................11EconomicDevelopmentRegion6E–SouthwestCentral.......................................................................12EconomicDevelopmentRegion6W–UpperMinnesotaValley............................................................13EconomicDevelopmentRegion7E–EastCentral.................................................................................14EconomicDevelopmentRegion7W-Central........................................................................................15EconomicDevelopmentRegion8-Southwest......................................................................................16EconomicDevelopmentRegion9–SouthCentral.................................................................................17EconomicDevelopmentRegion10-Southeast.....................................................................................18EconomicDevelopmentRegion11-TwinCitiesMetro.........................................................................19

FurtherAnalysisandRecommendations....................................................................................................20MedianWageasaShareoftheCostofLiving.......................................................................................20JobVacancyMedianWageOfferasaShareoftheCostofLiving.........................................................21ImpactonEmploymentRecruitmentandRetention.............................................................................21ImpactonMinorityCommunities..........................................................................................................21

Allindustriesaveragebyrace............................................................................................................22Lowwageindustriesaveragebyrace.................................................................................................22

ImpactonConsumerExpenditures........................................................................................................23ImpactonDemandforSocialServiceSubsidies.....................................................................................24

Sources.......................................................................................................................................................25StatutoryMandate.................................................................................................................................25

AppendixB.................................................................................................................................................26CostofLivingStudyDataSources..........................................................................................................26

AppendixC.................................................................................................................................................26MinnesotaEconomicDevelopmentRegions..........................................................................................26

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IntroductionTheCostofLivingStudyprovidesanestimateofabasic-needscostoflivinginMinnesotaforindividualsandforvariousfamilysizes,bycounty,region,andstatewide.Thestudyexamineslivingcostsinsevencostcategories:food,housing,healthcare,transportation,childcare,othernecessities,andnettaxes.[1]

TheLaborMarketInformation(LMI)officeoftheDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopment(DEED)ismandatedbyMinnesotaStatutes2013,chapter116J,section13toreporteveryFebruaryontheyear’supdatedCostofLivingStudyresultsandtoprovideanalysisandrecommendationstoaidintheassessmentofemploymentandeconomicdevelopmentplanningneedsthroughoutthestate.

StudyMissionandPurpose

ThemissionoftheCostofLivingStudyistoestimateabasic-needscostoflivinginMinnesotaforindividualsandfamilies,bycounty,region,andstatewide.Thestudyexamineslivingcostsinsevencostcategories:food,housing,healthcare,transportation,childcare,othernecessities,andnettaxes.TheCostofLivingrepresentsneitherapovertylivingnoramiddle-classlivingbutratherasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.Therefore,thefollowingcostsareexcluded,eventhoughtheymaybecommonexpenses:savings,vacations,entertainment,eatingout,tobacco,andalcohol.

TheCostofLivingstudyisanimportanttoolbecauseratherthandescribingwhatfamiliesarespending(aswiththeConsumerExpenditureSurvey)itexaminesthecostofbasicneeds.TheCostofLivingstudyalsolooksatdollarcosts,ratherthanlookingattherateofchangeovertime(aswiththeConsumerPriceIndex).

TheCostofLivingstudyresultsconstituteanadditionaleconomicindicatorwhichmaybeusedbypublicandprivateinstitutionsandbyindividuals.Findthemethodologyatmn.gov/deed/data/data-tools/col/method-col.jsp.

TypicalUsesoftheCostofLivingData

Employerswanttosetwagesthatattractandretaingoodworkers.TheCostofLivingToolcanhelpgaugewhetherawageinacertaincountywillpaythebillsandkeepworkersafloat.Jobseekerswanttoknowwhichkindsofworkwillcoverfamilycostsintheircounty.Workforcedevelopmentserviceproviderswanttoknowwhatwages,ifmet,arelikelytosecureaself-supportingcareerfortheclientjobseeker,thusreducingtheneedforre-entryintoservices.Policymakersandplannerswanttoknowiftheneedforpublicsubsidiesislikelytoriseorfall.Regionalwagesthatmeetorexceedthecostoflivingcansignalreducedneedforsubsidies.Policymakersandplannersalsowanttomonitorthepotentialforconsumerexpenditureswhichcandrivefutureeconomicgrowth.Regionalwagesthatmeetorexceedthecostoflivingcansignalapotentialforstrongerconsumerexpenditures.

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ATypicalMinnesotaFamily?

BasedontheAmericanCommunitySurvey(DP02,5-YearSeries,2014),CurrentPopulationSurvey(C3,LivingArrangementsofChildrenUnder18Years,2015),andCurrentEmploymentStatistics(TotalPrivateSector,2015),aselectionof“Partnered,1full-timeand1part-timeworker,1child”intheonlineCostofLivingtoolbestrepresentsatypicalMinnesotafamily.Thisselectiongivesresultsforafamilyoftwoadultsworkingacombined60hoursperweek(oranaverageof30hoursperworker),andonechildunderschoolage.

TheaveragefamilysizeinMinnesotais3.1personsandtheaveragehouseholdsizeis2.5persons.Themajorityofthestate’shouseholds—65percent—arefamilyhouseholds.Marriedcouplesare79percentoffamilyhouseholds.

Althoughjustunderhalf--45.4percent--offamilyhouseholdshavechildrenoftheirown(bybirth,marriage,oradoption)underage18,DEEDselectedthe“Partnered,1full-timeand1part-timeworker,1child”asastandardbecauseoftheimportanceofmaintainingastateeconomywhichsupportsfamilieswithchildren.

AmongallU.S.childrenunderage18livingwithbothparents,60percenthavebothparentsinthelaborforceand73percentareage12orunder.TheaverageweeklyhoursperworkerinMinnesotais34hours.[2,3,4]

Foradditionalfamilycompositions,seetheonlineCostofLivingtoolatmn.gov/deed/data/data-tools/col/.

ImprovingtheStudy

DEEDmadeseveralimprovementstothewaythestudycalculatescostsforthisyear’sreport.Asaresultsomecostswillbehigherandsomelowerthaninpreviousversionsofthestudy.

Inthisreportallfamilycompositionsaregender-neutral.Thischangestrengthensthequalityofthedatabyallowingustoaveragetogethermaleandfemaledatasetsforalargertotalsample.Largersamplestendtoprovidemorereliableinformation.DEEDmadealong-overduereformoftheOtherNecessitiescostcategorybyaddingtelephoneservices,housekeepingsupplies,andhouseholdfurnishingstothetotalratherthanusingasmall“miscellaneous”sumtocoverthesenecessarycosts.ThehighercostnowassignedtoOtherNecessitiesisbothmoreexplicitlydefinedandmorerealisticthaninpreviousversionsofthestudy.Foranexplanationofthepreviousyears’methodology,pleaseseethe2015CostofLivingAnnualReport.

DEEDrevisedthetransportationmethodologytoapplyanaverageVehicleMilesofTravelbyhouseholdsizeratherthanbreakingoutnumberofadults,adultworkers,orchildren.Again,thischangeisintendedtostrengthenthequalityofthedatabyusingalargersample.

Finally,DEEDexaminedtheprospectsforbreakingoutthetransportationcostsofMinnesotanswhoworkinthesamecountywheretheyliveversusthecostsofthosewhocommutetoanothercountyforwork.Whilethisbreakoutwasnotimplementedinthe2016study,itcouldbeusedinthefuturetohelpemployerscomparethewagecostsofrecruitinglaborfromothercountiesversuslocally.

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ResultsandAnalysisStatewideandbyRegionCostsforaMinnesotafamilyofthreeareshownforthestateasawholeandforeachofMinnesota’sthirteenEconomicDevelopmentRegions(EDRs).Resultsforthestateandforeachregionarecalculatedasapopulation-weightedaverageofresultsforeachcounty.Calculatingaweightedaveragehelpscorrectforanybiasesinthedatathatmightresultfromdifferencesbetweenthoseincludedinthestudysampleandtheactualpopulation.Thethirteenregionsare:

EconomicDevelopmentRegion1-NorthwestEconomicDevelopmentRegion2-HeadwatersEconomicDevelopmentRegion3-ArrowheadEconomicDevelopmentRegion4–WestCentralEconomicDevelopmentRegion5–NorthCentralEconomicDevelopmentRegion6E–SouthwestCentralEconomicDevelopmentRegion6W–UpperMinnesotaValleyEconomicDevelopmentRegion7E–EastCentralEconomicDevelopmentRegion7W-CentralEconomicDevelopmentRegion8-SouthwestEconomicDevelopmentRegion9–SouthCentralEconomicDevelopmentRegion10-SoutheastEconomicDevelopmentRegion11-TwinCitiesMetro

Thestudyexpressesthecostoflivingasayearlysumandanhourlyrate,inadditiontobreakingoutmonthlycostsineachofthesevencostcategories.

ThehourlywageanalysiscomparesdatafromtheCostofLivingStudywithemploymentdatafromtheOccupationalEmploymentStatistics(OES)programandjobvacancydatafromtheJobVacancySurvey(JVS).[5,6]

Forconvenientuseasareferenceorhand-out,eachregionispresentedonaseparatepageofthereport.

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MinnesotaStatewide

AnnualCosts:$54,804

HourlyRate:$17.57

LookingatthestateofMinnesotaasawhole,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,withoneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$54,804peryearand$17.57perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.

Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$462,food$771,healthcare$408,housing$916,transportation$805,othernecessities$528,andtaxes$667.

ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinMinnesotais106percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedian

wageofferforjobvacanciesis74percentofthecostofliving.

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EconomicDevelopmentRegion1-Northwest

AnnualCosts:$44,940

HourlyRate:$14.40

InNorthwesternMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$44,940peryearand$14.40perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.

Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$197,food$765,healthcare$408,housing$724,transportation$730,othernecessities$466,andtaxes$455.

ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinNorthwestMinnesotais114

percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis82percentofthecostofliving.

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EconomicDevelopmentRegion2-Headwaters

AnnualCosts:$46,740

HourlyRate:$14.98

IntheHeadwatersregionofMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$46,740peryearand$14.98perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.

Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$229,food$759,healthcare$408,housing$706,transportation$834,othernecessities$458,andtaxes$501.

ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsintheHeadwatersregionis105

percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis69percentofthecostofliving.

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EconomicDevelopmentRegion3-Arrowhead

AnnualCosts:$46,812

HourlyRate:$15.00

IntheArrowheadregionofMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$46,812peryearand$15.00perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.

Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$258,food$757,healthcare$408,housing$748,transportation$758,othernecessities$471,andtaxes$501.

ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsintheArrowheadregionis111 percent

ofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis77percentofthecostofliving.

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EconomicDevelopmentRegion4–WestCentral

AnnualCosts:$45,672

HourlyRate:$14.64

InWestCentralMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$45,672peryearand$14.64perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.

Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$233,food$760,healthcare$408,housing$700,transportation$773,othernecessities$457,andtaxes$475.

ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinWestCentralMinnesotais107

percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis85percentofthecostofliving.

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EconomicDevelopmentRegion5–NorthCentral

AnnualCosts:$48,048

HourlyRate:$15.40

InNorthCentralMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$48,048peryearand$15.40perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.

Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$231,food$753,healthcare$408,housing$725,transportation$890,othernecessities$463,andtaxes$534.

ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinNorthCentralMinnesotais93

percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis66percentofthecostofliving.

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EconomicDevelopmentRegion6E–SouthwestCentral

AnnualCosts:$46,248

HourlyRate:$14.82

InSouthwestCentralMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$46,248peryearand$14.82perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.

Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$230,food$760,healthcare$408,housing$698,transportation$813,othernecessities$456,andtaxes$489.

ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinSouthwestCentralMinnesotais111

percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis67percentofthecostofliving.

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EconomicDevelopmentRegion6W–UpperMinnesotaValley

AnnualCosts:$43,788

HourlyRate:$14.03

IntheUpperMinnesotaValley,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$43,788peryearand$14.03perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.

Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$190,food$777,healthcare$408,housing$670,transportation$723,othernecessities$453,andtaxes$428.

ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsintheUpperMinnesotaValleyis109

percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis88percentofthecostofliving.

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EconomicDevelopmentRegion7E–EastCentral

AnnualCosts:$57,588

HourlyRate:$18.46

InEastCentralMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$57,588peryearand$18.46perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.

Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$394,food$749,healthcare$408,housing$921,transportation$1,058,othernecessities$523,andtaxes$746.

ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinEastCentralMinnesotais89

percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis54percentofthecostofliving.

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EconomicDevelopmentRegion7W-Central

AnnualCosts:$52,404

HourlyRate:$16.80

InCentralMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$52,404peryearand$16.80perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.

Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$313,food$750,healthcare$408,housing$892,transportation$865,othernecessities$514,andtaxes$625.

ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinCentralMinnesotais100percentof

thecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis71percentofthecostofliving.

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EconomicDevelopmentRegion8-Southwest

AnnualCosts:$43,524

HourlyRate:$13.95

InSouthwestMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$43,524peryearand$13.95perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.

Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$197,food$769,healthcare$408,housing$665,transportation$718,othernecessities$449,andtaxes$421.

ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinSouthwestMinnesotais106

percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis84percentofthecostofliving.

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EconomicDevelopmentRegion9–SouthCentral

AnnualCosts:$45,528

HourlyRate:$14.59

InSouthCentralMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$45,528peryearand$14.59perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.

Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$220,food$761,healthcare$408,housing$732,transportation$737,othernecessities$467,andtaxes$469.

ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinSouthCentralMinnesotais110

percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis82percentofthecostofliving.

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EconomicDevelopmentRegion10-Southeast

AnnualCosts:$48,828

HourlyRate:$15.65

InSoutheastMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$48,828peryearand$15.65perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.

Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$280,food$760,healthcare$408,housing$817,transportation$762,othernecessities$493,andtaxes$549.

ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsinSoutheastMinnesotais113

percentofthecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis88percentofthecostofliving.

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EconomicDevelopmentRegion11-TwinCitiesMetro

AnnualCosts:$60,072

HourlyRate:$19.25

IntheTwinCitiesMetroregionofMinnesota,atypicalfamilyoftwoadultsandonechild,oneadultworkingfull-timeandonepart-timeforacombined60workhoursperweek,needtoearnanestimatedfamilyincomeof$60,072peryearand$19.25perhourperworkertomaintainasimplelivingthatmeetsbasicneedsforhealthandsafety.

Theestimatedmonthlycostsarechildcare$625,food$782,healthcare$408,housing$1,028,transportation$804,othernecessities$566,andtaxes$793.

ThemedianwagepaidtoworkersacrossalloccupationsintheTwinCitiesMetrois106percentof

thecostofliving,whilethemedianwageofferforjobvacanciesis62percentofthecostofliving.

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FurtherAnalysisandRecommendationsAcomparisonofthecostoflivingandtypicalwagesbyregioncanhelpilluminatesomeoftheeconomicchallengesoropportunitiesforemploymentrecruitmentandretention,minoritycommunitywealth-building,consumerexpenditures,andsocialservices.

MedianWageasaShareoftheCostofLiving

Thestatewide$18.65medianwageofexistingjobsis106percentofthe$17.57costofliving.ThismeansthatalittleoverhalfofallworkingMinnesotansarepaidmorethanthefamily-of-threecostofbasicneeds.TheaveragefamilysizeinMinnesotais3.0personsandtheaveragehouseholdsize,forfamilyandnon-familyhouseholdscombined,is2.5persons.

Ifthelabormarketwereinperfectbalancewitheveryonematchedwiththerightjobs,thehalfofworkerspaidmorethanthemedianwagewouldbethefamilieslargerthanthree(whilethehalfofworkerspaidlesswouldbethefamiliessmallerthanthree).Thiswouldmeanthatamedianwageequaltothecostoflivingwasmeetingmostpeople’sbasicneeds.Buteconomistsknowthatnomarketiseverperfectlybalanced.

Thelimitsofavailabledatameanthateconomistsmustevaluatelivingstandardsbylookingatwhetheranarea’smedianwage,foralloccupationstogether,meetsorexceedsthecostofliving.AccordingtoOccupationalEmploymentStatistics,Minnesota’sstatewidemedianwageexceedsthestatewidecostofliving.ThemedianwagesintenofMinnesota’sthirteeneconomicdevelopmentregionsalsoexceedthecostoflivingwithinthosereasons.Herearethemedianwagesbyregionforthoseareasasapercentageofcostofliving:

• Northwestregion,114percent

• Southeastregion,113percent

• Arrowheadregion,111percent

• SouthwestCentralregion,111percent

• SouthCentralregion,110percent

• UpperMinnesotaValleyregion,109percent

• WestCentralregion,107percent

• Southwestregion,106percent

• TwinCitiesMetroregion,106percent

• Headwatersregion,105percent

TheCentralregion’smedianwageisexactly100percentoftheCostofLiving.MedianwagesintheNorthCentralregionareat93percentoftheregionalcostofliving.MedianwagesintheEastCentralregionareat89percentoftheregionalcostofliving.

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JobVacancyMedianWageOfferasaShareoftheCostofLiving

Themedianwageofferedtoworkersintheprocessofhiringforjobvacancies,accordingtotheJobVacancySurvey,is74percentofthecostoflivingatthestatelevel.NoneofMinnesota’sthirteeneconomicdevelopmentregionsshowsamedianwageofferforvacancieswhichmeetstheregion’scostofliving.TheSoutheastandtheUpperMinnesotaValleyregionsarethehighestinthiscategory,withmedianwagesofferedtoworkerstofilljobvacanciesat88percentoftheregion’scostofliving.TheWestCentralregionis85percent,theSouthwestregionis84percent,theNorthwestandtheSouthCentralregionsbothare82percent,theArrowheadregionis77percent,theCentralregionis71percent,theHeadwatersregionis69percent,theSouthwestCentralregionis67percent,theNorthCentralregionis66percent,the7-CountyMetrois62percent,andtheEastCentralregionis54percentoftheregion’scostofliving.

Althoughthemedianwagelevelofferedtoworkerstofilljobvacanciesishistoricallylowerthanmedianwagesforfilledpositions—lower-wagejobsmighthavehigherturnoverandbecapturedmorefrequentlybytheJobVacancySurvey—aregionalmedianwageofferbelowtheregionalcostoflivingmaysignaleconomicchallengesaheadforemploymentrecruitmentandretention,minoritycommunitywell-being,andlocalconsumerexpenditures.

ImpactonEmploymentRecruitmentandRetention

AccordingtoemployersinterviewedforDEED’s2013HiringDifficultiesSurvey,demand-sideconditions,includingunsatisfactorywages,havecontributedtohiringdifficultiesintheproduction,industrialengineering,informationtechnology,andnursingoccupations.[7]Ifthesameholdstrueforotherindustries,thenregionswithamedianwageormedianwageofferbelowtheregionalcostoflivingmighttrytoimprovewagesinexistingoccupationsorexpandhigher-payingjobs.

Regionsmostinneedofemployee-retentionstrategiesincludetheNorthCentralandtheEastCentralregions,wherethemedianwageisbelowtheregionalcostofliving,andtheCentralregion,wherethemedianisexactlyequaltotheregionalcostofliving.

AllthirteenMinnesotaeconomicdevelopmentregions,includingtheMetro,showmedianwageoffersforvacantjobsbelowtheregionalcostofliving.Oneoptiontoimproveemployeerecruitmentmightbetoengageindemand-sidestrategies.RegionsthatwouldbenefitmostfromthesestrategiesincludetheCentral,theHeadwaters,theSouthwestCentral,theNorthCentral,the7-CountyMetro,andtheEastCentralregions,wherethejobvacancymedianwageofferasapercentoftheregionalcostoflivingfallsbelowthestatewideaverage.

ImpactonMinorityCommunities

DatashowsthattheaverageannualwageinMinnesotacandifferconsiderablyfromoneraceorethniccommunitytoanother.[8]DEEDusesdatafromtheU.S.CensusLongitudinalEmployer-HouseholdDynamics(LEHD)programtoexaminethesedifferences.WhilethereareafewdifferencesbetweenLEHDdataandtheCostofLivingstudydata,usingthesetwodatasetsprovidestheclosestapples-to-applescomparisonthatwecanget.ItisworthnotingthattheLEHDdataisfrom2014,whiletheCostofLivingStudydataisfrom2015.

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Allindustriesaveragebyrace

ThestatewideannualcostofbasicneedsforaMinnesotafamilyofthree,acrossallindustries,is$45,864.Theaverageannualwageperworkerregardlessofraceorethnicityis$48,733or106percentofthecostofbasicneeds.

TheaverageannualwageforWhiteNon-Hispanicworkersisthehighestinthestate,at$50,200or109%.ThisisalsothelargestpopulationgroupinMinnesota.Theaveragewageforallworkersofcolorcombinedis$36,524or80percentofthecostofbasicneeds.

AmongminorityracialandethnicgroupsinMinnesota,thehighestwageisforAsianworkersat$49,028or107percent,followedbyWhiteHispanicworkersat$34,042or74percent,andAmericanIndian/AlaskaNativeworkersat$31,171or68percent,andfinallyBlack/AfricanAmericanworkersat$30,116or66percentofthecostofbasicneeds.

Lowwageindustriesaveragebyrace

Anotherwaytoexaminedisparitiesistocomparetheaveragewageinthe10largestlow-wageindustriestothestatewideannualcostofbasicneedsforafamilyofthree($45,846),withaspecificfocusondifferencesbetweenracialandethnicgroups.ThisgivesusasenseofhowMinnesota’slowest-wageworkersarefaring.

TheaverageannualwageforWhiteNon-Hispanicworkersinthe10largestlow-wageindustriesofemploymentis$28,203or61percentofthecostofbasicneeds.Thelow-wageindustryaverageforallworkersofcolorcombinedis$21,112or46percentofthecostofbasicneeds.

BreakingoutspecificpopulationsamongminorityworkersinMinnesota,thelow-wageindustryaverageforAmericanIndian/AlaskanNativeworkersis$24,063or52percentofthecostofbasicneeds,for

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Asianworkersis$22,760or50percent,forWhiteHispanicworkersis$22,136or48percent,andforBlack/AfricanAmericanworkersis$19,454or42percentofthecostofbasicneeds.

ThedataalsoshowsthatWhiteNon-Hispanicworkersholdadisproportionatelyhighshareofjobsinveryhighwageindustries,whiletheoppositeistrueforworkersofcolor(whoholdadisproportionatelyhighshareofjobsinverylow-wageindustries).

Forexample,whiteworkersheld85.7percentofalljobsin2014but88.6percentofveryhighwagejobsandonly80.6percentofverylowwagejobs.Bycontrast,workersofcolorheld14.2percentofalljobsbutonly11.4percentofveryhighwagejobsand19.4percentofverylowwagejobs.

Manycommunitiesalreadyrecognizethesetrendsandareactivelyworkingtoimprovewageoutcomesforfamiliesofcolor,eitherwithinthemixofexistingoccupationsorbyhelpingworkersenterhigher-payingoccupations.

ImpactonConsumerExpenditures

TheCostofLivingStudyprovidesanestimateofthecostofbasicnecessaryexpenditures.Incomesbelowthecostoflivingmaylimitbasicconsumerexpendituresandsloweconomicgrowth.Iffamilieshavelittlebuyingpoweroutsideofcoveringtheirbasicneeds,theyareunabletocontributesubstantiallytoaregion’seconomy.

Inordertosustainconsumerexpendituresandgrowahealthyeconomy,regionssuchasNorthCentral,EastCentral,andCentralwherethemedianwageisbeloworequaltotheregionalcostofliving,andtheHeadwatersregionwherethemedianwageisslightlyabovetheregionalcostoflivingbutbelowthestatewideshare,mighttrytodiversifythelocaleconomicsinordertoattractnewandhigher-payingjobs,orimproveinfrastructuretoassistwithbusinessexpansionintheirareas.Ultimately,strategies

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thatleadtoimprovedlocalwagesortheexpansionofhigher-payingjobswouldbetteralignbuyingpowerwiththeregionalcostofliving.

ImpactonDemandforSocialServiceSubsidies

Peoplewhodonotearnenoughtomeettheirfamily’sbasicneedsmaybemorelikelytoseekoutsocialservicesorothersubsidies.Inregionswherethereareagreaternumberofpeoplewhodon’tearnthecostofliving,regionaleconomiccentersmayhavedifficultyfindingenoughself-supportingjobopportunitiestomeettheneed.Thisinturncouldleadtomorefrequentre-entryoruseofsupportservices,creatingmorestrainonthesystem.

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Sources1.CostofLivingStudy.LaborMarketInformation,MinnesotaDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopment.Seemn.gov/deed/data/data-tools/col/.

2.AmericanCommunitySurvey.U.S.CensusBureau.DP-2,5-YearSeries,2014.

Seefactfinder.census.gov/faces/nav/jsf/pages/index.xhtml.

3.CurrentEmploymentStatistics.TotalPrivateSector,2015.

Seeapps.deed.state.mn.us/lmi/ces/Results.aspx.

4.CurrentPopulationSurvey.U.S.CensusBureau.C3,LivingArrangementsofChildrenUnder18YearsandMaritalStatusofParents,byAge,Sex,Race,andHispanicOriginandSelectedCharacteristicsoftheChildforAllChildren,2015.Seewww.census.gov/hhes/families/data/cps2015.html.

5.OccupationalEmploymentStatistics.LaborMarketInformation,MinnesotaDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopment.FirstQuarter,2015.Seemn.gov/deed/data/data-tools/oes/.

6.JobVacancySurvey.LaborMarketInformation,MinnesotaDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopment.SecondQuarter,2015.Seemn.gov/deed/data/data-tools/job-vacancy/.

7.“Areskilledworkersscarce?EvidencefromemployersurveysinMinnesota.”HiringDifficultiesSurvey.LaborMarketInformation,MinnesotaDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopment.Seemn.gov/deed/images/SecondRoundReportSkillsGap.pdf.

8.“StuckinNeutral.”MinnesotaEconomicTrends,December2015.LaborMarketInformation,MinnesotaDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopment.

Seemn.gov/deed/newscenter/publications/trends/december-2015/stuck-in-neutral.jsp.

StatutoryMandate

MinnesotaStatutes2013,chapter116J,section013,mandatesthatthecommissioneroftheDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopmentshallconductanannualcost-of-livingstudyinMinnesotaandreportthereonbyFebruary1ofeachyear.

Thestatutereads:

(a)Thecommissionershallconductanannualcost-of-livingstudyinMinnesota.Thestudyshallinclude:

(1)acalculationofthestatewidebasicneedscostofliving,adjustedforfamilysize;

(2)acalculationofthebasicneedscostofliving,adjustedforfamilysize,foreachcounty;

(3)ananalysisofstatewideandcountycost-of-livingdata,employmentdata,andjobvacancydata;and

(4)recommendationstoaidintheassessmentofemploymentandeconomicdevelopmentplanningneedsthroughoutthestate.

(b)Thecommissionershallreportonthecost-of-livingstudyandrecommendationsbyFebruary1ofeachyeartothegovernorandtothechairsofthestandingcommitteesofthehouseofrepresentativesandthesenatehavingjurisdictionoveremploymentandeconomicdevelopmentissues.

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Incompliancewith2013MinnesotaStatutesChapter3,Section195,twocopiesofthisreportalsowillbefiledwiththeLegislativeReferenceLibrary.

AppendixB

CostofLivingStudyDataSources

AgencyforHealthcareResearchandQuality,U.S.DepartmentofHealthandHumanServicesAmericanAutomobileAssociationBureauofLaborStatistics,U.S.DepartmentofLaborCensusBureau,U.S.DepartmentofCommerceCenterforNutritionPolicyandPromotion,U.S.DepartmentofAgricultureFederalHighwayAdministration,U.S.DepartmentofTransportationLaborMarketInformation,MinnesotaDepartmentofEmploymentandEconomicDevelopmentMinnesotaOfficeoftheRevisorofStatutesChildCareAwareofMinnesota,SaintPaul,MinnesotaCouncilforCommunityandEconomicResearch,Arlington,VirginiaNationalBureauofEconomicResearch,Cambridge,MassachusettsU.S.DepartmentofHousingandUrbanDevelopment

AppendixC

MinnesotaEconomicDevelopmentRegions

Region1—Northwest,includesKittson,Marshall,Norman,Pennington,Polk,RedLake,andRoseauCounties.

Region2—Headwaters,includesBeltrami,Clearwater,Hubbard,LakeoftheWoods,andMahnomenCounties.

Region3—Northeast,includesAitkin,Carlton,Cook,Itasca,Koochiching,Lake,andSt.LouisCounties.

Region4—WestCentral,includesBecker,Clay,Douglas,Grant,OtterTail,Pope,Stevens,Traverse,andWilkinCounties.

Region5—NorthCentral,includesCass,CrowWing,Morrison,Todd,andWadenaCounties.

Region6W—UpperMinnesotaValley,includesBigStone,Chippewa,LacQuiParle,Swift,andYellowMedicineCounties.

Region6E—SouthwestCentral,includesKandiyohi,McLeod,Meeker,andRenvilleCounties.

Region7W—Central,includesBenton,Sherburne,Stearns,andWrightCounties.

Region7E—EastCentral,includesChisago,Isanti,Kanabec,MilleLacs,andPineCounties.

Region8—Southwest,includesCottonwood,Jackson,Lincoln,Lyon,Murray,Nobles,Pipestone,Redwood,andRockCounties.

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Region9—SouthCentral,includesBlueEarth,Brown,Faribault,LeSueur,Martin,Nicollet,Sibley,Waseca,andWatonwanCounties.

Region10—Southeast,includesDodge,Fillmore,Freeborn,Goodhue,Houston,Mower,Olmsted,Rice,Steele,Wabasha,andWinonaCounties.

Region11—TwinCitiesMetro,includesAnoka,Carver,Dakota,Hennepin,Ramsey,Scott,andWashingtonCounties.