ministry of regional development 1 growing together: international conference on eu cohesion policy...

*Growing Together: International Conference on EU Cohesion PolicyThe effect of EU regional policy on economic and social cohesion of PolandDepartment of Structural Policy CoordinationAnkara March 28, 2013

*Poland geographical location

*Poland general information

*Plan of the presentationPoland as a beneficiary of the EU Cohesion Policy 2. Process of decentralization evolution of regional policy 3. Positive impact of Cohesion Policy 4. Lessons learned and good practices

* Poland as a beneficiary of the EU Cohesion Policy

*Calendar of changes in Poland (1) 1989 - 1 May 2004: - adjustment of national law to acquis communautaire and constitutional reforms, incl. reintroducing of self-government at regional level experiences in implementation of pre-accession funds (PHARE, SAPARD, ISPA ca. EUR 5,7 bln): better preparation for accession process, building administration capacity at different programmming and implementation level (at central and regional level), better preparation for the new finantial perspective (at strategic and system level) 2003-2004: - drafting documents and negotiations for 2004-2006 programming period; 2005 setting up the Ministry of Regional Development and concentrating all competences in management of Cohesion Policy

* 2006-2007:- drafting documents and negotiations for 2007-2013 programming period 2008-2009: closure of 2004-2006 programmes at the Polish side and submission of closure documents to EC creating a new system of strategic management in Poland 2010-till now- high dynamics of implementation 2007-2013 programmes, mid-term review and allocating National Performance Reserve and Technical Adjustment;- elaborating of strategic documents, incl. mid-term and long-term national development strategies, 9 integrated strategies, National Strategy of Regional Development, National Spatial Development Concept, etc. active participation in the debate on the future of Cohesion Policy after 2013 programming of the next period 2014-2020Calendar of changes in Poland (2)

*The main governmental institution competent for coordination of:development policy regional policy spatial policy EU Cohesion Policy in Poland

Main tasks:ordering the system for the strategic management of developmentpreparation and implementation of the socio-economic development strategy coordination of actions of relevant ministers, self-governments and socio-economic partners in the area of development policyefficient management of the EU funds Role of the Ministry of Regional Development

*EU 94%EU 81%Poland 6%Poland 19%European Union (2000-2006) 213,0 bln EUR Poland (2004-2006) 12,8 bln EUREuropean Union 347,4 bln EUR Poland 67,3 bln EURNATIONAL STRATEGIC REFERENCE FRAMEWORK 2007-2013NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2004-2006For the 2004-2006 financial perspective Poland received 12. 8 billions euro (6% of the total EU assistance in that period).In the period 2007-2013 Poland has at its disposal 67.3 billion euro for the Cohesion Policy that is almost 1/5 of the total EU Cohesion Policy financing.

Comparison of the Cohesion Policy allocation for Poland

Wykres4

94

6

Arkusz1

UE94

Polska6

Arkusz1

0

0

Arkusz2

Arkusz3

Wykres3

80.6

19.4

Arkusz1

UE80.6

Polska19.4

Arkusz1

0

0

Arkusz2

Arkusz3

*Main changes in the structure of Cohesion Policy in Polandmanaged by 16 regions managed by the Ministry of Regional Development(0,3%)(14%)(17%)(34%)(16%)(4%)(15%*)* % of total allocation(12%)(42%)(14%)(25%)(1%)(1%)managed by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development(3%)

*Implementation of Cohesion Policy Ca. 90 000 projects implemented for 14,4 bln euro of co-financing.2004-20062007-2013Till March 2013 ca. 82 000 contracts signed for 56 bln euro of co-financing

*New system of strategic documentsWhat we support by the EU money?

EXAMPLES2004-20062007-January 2013Built or modernized: motorways and expressways, roads, railway 5 650 km11 927 kmwater supply network5 700 km5 540 kmwastewater treatment plants225381Human capital development:new jobs set up6758286 520Research & Developmentnew technologies implemented4012424laboratories modernised or established1341584

*Process of decentralization evolution of regional policy

*Change of regional policyRegionally run, integrated, coordinated, multi level EU Cohesion Policy-like system becoming the major development instrumentIn the area of regional policy Poland in recent 20 years has undergone shift from:Centrally run, concentration of efforts on given problem areas with very modest impact

*

In 1999 Poland introduced 16 regions

From 2007 regions became fully responsible for big share of European funds under cohesion policy (regions are responsible for management of ca. 17 bln euro = 25% of the whole Polish 2007-2013 allocation)

Gradually regions took over responsibilities in new areas from the government (sometimes with money too)

Reorienting the development policy: increase the efficiency of programminglinks between programming and operational levelevaluation of development programmesreduction of the number of strategic documents

*Decentralization process in Poland (1)

*

Building multilevel governance system including all management partners and broad range of economic and social partners

New ways of cooperation between public-private partners, NGOs and academic sectors

Policy process of consultations public debate on a role of public policies territorially oriented in socio-economic growth and regional policy

Assistance of OECD, Word Bank evidence-based policy

Support of regional public administration

*Decentralization process in Poland (2)

*

Not only to spend money, but to modernise the country with the use of money

Create a good, effective policy for everyone! *

Challenge for Poland

HOW TO DO IT?

*Territorial approach

Regional policy is not only policy for poor areas it is a policy for all Polish regions and territories supporting in the best possible way in using their development potential and where is a necessity providing external resources Regional policy is effective in order to deliver it supports necessary institutional, legal and financial changes

Regional policy has an integrated character: integration of different public policies at national and regional level coordination of national policies

Integrated approach investment mix

*New model of regional policy

*New system of strategic planning in PolandNational Spatial Development Concept (NSDC)9 integrated strategies with a strong territorial dimension

*

Council of MinistersconcentratedadministrationconcentratedadministrationVoivoships Officedeconcentratedadministrationdeconcentratedadministrationvoivodship self-governmentpoviat self-governmentcommuneself-governmentstate administrationself-governmentcentral levelregional level(upper) local levellocal levelStructure of public administration

*Performance budget National Performance Reserve (0,6 bln euro from ERDF) is an instrument of competition among individual institutions involved in implementing EU funds.

The purpose of the National Performance Reserve is to stimulate: expenditure rate efficiency direction for expenditure

Added-value of the EU funds during the global crisis - the funds themselves and their proper management prevented Poland from the heavy impact of the crisis and economic slowdown in Europe.

*Cooperation - Multi-level governance system

Coordination of the management of processes Ministry of Regional Development leadership

Territory-oriented (place-based) approach - stress on investment mix

Integrated territorial approach - focus on pro-development measures

Strengthening territorial potentials

Competitiveness - result-oriented policies, performance budget

New model of integrated development policy (conclusion)

*Positive impact of Cohesion Policy

*Impact of the EU funds intervention on the GDP GDP growth in Poland in 2010 was about 0,6-0,7 pp. higher thanks to cohesion policyEU funds influence on the GDP growth in Poland

EU funds influence on the GDP growth in Poland (in pps) per capita

In 2010 the difference in the level of Polish GDP per 1 inhabitant in relation to the EU-27 was less than 1.4 to 2.2 percentage points (pp) thanks to EU funds Source: GUS, Eurostat

*Economic growth in Poland against the EU-27In 2007-2011 the average GDP growth rate in Poland amounted to 4.3%. The impact of the EU cohesion policy approx. 0.4 0.8 pp. Source: GUS, Eurostat

Wykres1

1.86.2

2.77.1

35

3.14.5

3.94.3

21.2

1.31.4

1.43.9

2.55.3

23.6

3.26.2

36.8

0.55.1

-4.21.6

1.83.8

UE-27

Polska

%

GDP change in Poland and EU-27

SPIS1

SPIS TABLIC

Tab.1. Zmiany PKB w wybranych krajach UE-27( %)

Tab.2. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-1, dane SA )

Tab.2a. Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 ( %, q/q-4 )

Tab.3. Zmiany WDB ( %, dane roczne)

Tab.3a. Zmiany WDB w kwartaach ( %, q/q-4)

Tabl.4. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego (%, dane roczne)

Tabl.4a. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego w kwartaach (%, q/q-4)

Tabl.5. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB (pp., q/q-4)

Tabl.5a. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB w kwartaach (pp., q/q-4)

Tabl.6. Dynamika PKB w kwartaach (%, q/q-4, dane NSA)

1.KRAJE-UE


2006199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010

UE-273.21.82.73.03.13.92.01.31.42.52.03.23.00.5-4.21.8

Polska6.26.27.15.04.54.31.21.43.95.33.66.26.85.11.63.8

Francja2.22.40.2-2.61.6

Hiszpania4.03.60.9-3.7-0.1

Irlandia5.45.6-3.5-7.6-0.2

Niemcy3.22.71.0-4.73.6

Republika Czeska6.86.12.5-4.12.4

Wgry4.00.80.8-6.71.2

Wielka Brytania2.92.7-0.1-4.91.3

Wochy2.01.5-1.3-5.21.3

rdo: Eurostat (V 2011), GUS (13 V 2011)

akt. 23 III 2011

1.KRAJE-UE

UE-27

Polska

%

Zmiany PKB w Polsce i UE-27

wykres


2004200520062007200820092010

UE-272.52.03.23.00.5-4.21.8

Polska5.33.66.26.85.11.63.8

Francja2.40.2-2.61.6

Hiszpania3.60.9-3.7-0.1

Irlandia5.6-3.5-7.6-0.2

Niemcy2.71.0-4.73.6

Republika Czeska6.12.5-4.12.4

Wgry0.80.8-6.71.2

Wielka Brytania2.7-0.1-4.91.3

Wochy1.5-1.3-5.21.3

rdo: Eurostat (III 2011),

akt. 23 III 2011

wykres

1.86.2

2.77.1

35

3.14.5

3.94.3

21.2

1.31.4

1.43.9

2.55.3

23.6

3.26.2

36.8

0.55.1

-4.21.6

1.83.8

UE-27

Polska

%


2.QQ-1-FULL


Iq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11

EU-270.60.90.80.50.60.50.8-0.2-0.5-1.9-2.5-0.20.30.30.41.00.50.20.8

Poland1.71.62.01.41.81.61.32.21.40.70.8-0.40.40.60.41.50.61.11.20.81.0

rdo: Eurostat (8 VI 2011), GUS (31 VI 2011)

2.QQ-1-FULL

Po

Pol

EU-27

Poland

%, dane SA

Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27 w ujciu q/q-1

2a.QQ-4


KwartayIq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11

UE-27 (SA)3.13.43.52.82.82.42.41.70.7-1.7-5.0-5.1-4.3-2.20.62.02.22.12.5

Polska (SA)5.16.26.56.87.07.06.27.16.75.75.22.51.51.30.92.83.13.64.63.94.3

Polska (NSA)5.46.36.66.67.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.41.01.63.23.03.44.24.54.4

rdo: Eurostat (8 VI 2011), GUS (31 V 2011)

2a.QQ-4

UE-27 (SA)

Polska (SA)

%, dane SA

Zmiany PKB w Polsce na tle UE-27, q/q-4

3a.Q-WDB

UE-27 (SA)

Polska (SA)

%, dane SA


4a.Q-DYNAMIKA


Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11

WDB7.76.46.36.45.86.35.03.70.90.91.93.42.82.93.73.94.1

Przemys11.48.89.210.710.39.86.71.5-5.5-4.5-0.65.89.911.510.26.57.8

Usugi rynkowe6.76.26.46.86.36.05.55.71.21.10.30.5-0.20.51.93.33.3

rdo:GUS (31 V 2011)

4a.Q-DYNAMIKA

WDB

Przemys

Usugi rynkowe

%, dane NSA, q/q-4

Zmiany WDB i jej gwnych skadowych

3.Y-WDB


KategoriaIq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11

PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.41.01.63.23.03.44.24.54.4

Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0

Spoycie ogem6.14.64.63.35.85.75.67.23.51.21.81.51.93.03.64.83.3

Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae23.819.016.615.117.115.25.66.1-1.4-3.7-1.90.8-11.4-0.41.51.66.0

Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4

Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4

WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2

rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)

3.Y-WDB

PKB

Popyt krajowy

Spoycie ogem

Akumulacja

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae

%. q/q-4, dane NSA

Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego

inwestycje


200220032004200520062007200820092010

WDB6.03.65.23.36.06.75.11.83.3

Przemys10.07.810.53.510.010.16.8-0.99.3

Budownictwo11.6-2.91.87.811.610.84.611.43.9

Usugi rynkowe5.52.54.23.65.56.55.90.81.4

usugi nierynkowe1.22.71.92.40.9

rdo:GUS (31 V 2011)

13 V - ZMIANA DANYCH ZA 2009 i 2010

inwestycje

WDB

Przemys

Budownictwo

Usugi rynkowe

%

Wzrost WDB w przekroju sektorw ekonomicznych

4.Y-dy.pop.

akt. 26 IV 2011

20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010

PKB Polska4.31.21.43.95.33.66.26.85.11.63.8

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - Polska,2.7-9.7-6.3-0.16.46.514.917.69.6-1.1-1.2

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - UE-274.60.8-0.61.33.13.56.15.8-0.8-12.0-0.7

Stopa inwestycji (relacja nakadw brutto na23.720.718.718.218.118.219.721.622.321.219.7

w tym publiczne3.43.33.43.43.94.24.65.25.6

UE-2720.720.219.619.519.620.020.721.321.119.118.5

4.Y-dy.pop.

Polska

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - UE-27

%, r/r, ceny stae

Zmiany nakadw brutto na rodki trwae

5.Y-impakty

Polska

UE-27

%

Stopa inwestycji

5a. Q-IMPAKTY

stopa inwestycji ogem

stopa inwestycji publicznych

%

Stopa inwestycji

6.Q-Dynamika

PKB Polska

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - Polska,


%

wydaj

Tabl.4. Zmiany elementw popytu krajowego (%, r/r)

Kategoria20072008200920102011

PKB6.85.11.63.8

Popyt krajowy8.75.6-1.04.4

Spoycie ogem4.66.12.03.3

Akumulacja24.34.0-11.58.5

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae17.69.6-1.2-1.0

Export9.17.1

Import17.313.7

WDB6.75.01.7

rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)

wydaj

2007

2008

2009

2010

%

Elementy popytu krajowego

DNB


Kategoria200620062007200820092010

PKB6.26.26.85.11.63.8

Popyt krajowy7.37.38.95.7-1.14.4

Spoycie ogem4.24.23.84.71.62.7

spoycie indywidualne3.03.41.31.9

Akumulacja3.13.15.11.0-2.71.7

nakady brutto na rodki trwae2.72.73.42.1-0.3-0.2

Saldo obrotw z zagranic-1.1-1.1-2.1-0.62.7-0.6

rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)

DNB

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Skala wpywu na realny wzrost PKB

Arkusz1

Spoycie ogem

spoycie indywidualne

Akumulacja

nakady brutto na rodki trwae

Saldo obrotw z zagranic

pp.

Tabl.5a. Skala wpywu wybranych kategorii na wzrost PKB w kwartaach (PKB NSA, w %, q/q-4)


PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.41.01.63.23.03.44.24.54.4

Popyt krajowy9.39.39.08.17.76.95.43.4-1.9-2.8-1.31.12.04.44.56.24.5

Spoycie ogem5.23.93.82.44.94.74.55.03.11.01.51.11.62.43.03.42.9

Akumulacja4.15.45.25.72.82.20.9-1.6-5.0-3.8-2.80.00.42.01.52.81.6


Saldo obrotw z zagranic-1.8-2.7-2.4-1.5-1.4-0.8-0.2-0.22.33.82.92.11.0-1.0-0.3-1.7-0.1

WDB6.95.75.55.65.15.54.33.20.80.81.62.92.62.53.33.43.7

rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)

Akt: 14 VII 2010

PKB

Popyt krajowy

Spoycie ogem

Akumulacja



WDB

Czynniki wzrostu PKB


KategoriaIq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09

PKB107.5106.6106.6106.6106.1105.9105.0102.9100.8

Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0

Spoycie ogem106.1104.6104.6103.3105.5105.4105.3107.3103.9

Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae123.8119.0116.6115.1115.7114.6103.5104.6101.2

Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4

Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4

WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2

rdo: GUS

DO AKTUALIZACJI

20032004200520062007200820092010

UE-27

Dynamika PKB102.5102.0103.2103.0100.595.8101.8

Dynamika pracujcych 15+102.0101.9101.298.399.4

Dynamika wydajnoci pracy101.2101.199.397.5102.4

Polska

Dynamika PKB105.3103.6106.2106.8105.1101.6103.8



20032004200520062007200820092010

UE-27

Pracujcy 15+210794.2214936.3219070.3221673.3217812.8216449.2

Dynamika r/r102.0101.9101.298.399.4

Polska

Pracujcy 15+14115.614593.615240.515799.815868.015960.5

Dynamika r/r103.4104.4103.7100.4100.6

20062007200820092010

Dynamika wydajnoci pracy UE-27101.2101.199.397.5102.4

Dynamika wydajnoci pracy Polska102.7102.3101.4101.2103.2

UE-27

Dynamika PKB

Dynamika pracujcych 15+

Dynamika wydajnoci pracy

UE-27

Dynamika PKB



Polska

Dynamika wydajnoci pracy UE-27

Dynamika wydajnoci pracy Polska

Tabl. PKB i DNB w mln z

2000200520082009

PKB74437898330212754321343657

Saldo dochodu z zagranicy-2692-18769-25678-47463

DNB74168996453312497541296194

Ludno38255.938161.338115.938153.4

Na 1 mieszkaca w z

PKB19458257673346235217

DNB19388252753278833973

rnica704926741244

MBD000A237F.xls

Wykres1

2.55.3

23.6

3.26.2

36.8

0.55.1

-4.21.7

1.83.8

UE-27

Polska

%


SPIS1

SPIS TABLIC











1.KRAJE-UE


20062004200520062007200820092010

UE-273.22.52.03.23.00.5-4.21.8

Polska6.25.33.66.26.85.11.73.8

Francja2.22.40.2-2.61.6

Hiszpania4.03.60.9-3.7-0.1

Irlandia5.45.6-3.5-7.6-0.2

Niemcy3.22.71.0-4.73.6


Wgry4.00.80.8-6.71.2


Wochy2.01.5-1.3-5.21.3


akt. 23 III 2011

1.KRAJE-UE

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

%

Zmiany PKB w wybranych krajach UE-27

DNB

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

UE-27

Polska

%


2.QQ-1-FULL


2000200520082009

PKB74437898330212754321343657


DNB74168996453312497541296194

Ludno38255.938161.338115.938153.4

Na 1 mieszkaca w z

PKB19458257673346235217

DNB19388252753278833973

rnica704926741244

2a.QQ-4


Iq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10

UE-270.60.90.80.50.60.50.8-0.2-0.5-1.9-2.5-0.20.30.30.41.00.50.2

Polska1.71.62.01.41.81.61.32.21.40.70.8-0.40.40.60.41.50.61.11.20.8

rdo: Eurostat (15 II 2011), GUS (2 III 2011)

2a.QQ-4

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

Po

Pol

UE-27

Polska

%, dane SA


3a.Q-WDB


KwartayIq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10

UE-27 (SA)3.13.43.52.82.82.42.41.70.7-1.7-5.0-5.1-4.3-2.20.62.02.22.1

Polska (SA)5.16.26.56.87.07.06.27.16.75.75.22.51.51.41.02.93.13.74.63.9

Polska (NSA)5.46.36.66.67.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.51.01.73.23.03.54.24.4


3a.Q-WDB

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

UE-27 (SA)

Polska (SA)

%, dane SA


4a.Q-DYNAMIKA

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

UE-27 (SA)

Polska (SA)

%, dane SA


3.Y-WDB


Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10

WDB7.76.46.36.45.86.35.03.70.91.01.93.42.83.03.83.8

Przemys11.48.89.210.710.39.86.71.5-4.9-3.80.26.19.711.410.26.2

Usugi rynkowe6.76.26.46.86.36.05.55.71.31.30.30.7-0.10.82.03.3

rdo:GUS (3 III 2011)

3.Y-WDB

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

WDB

Przemys

Usugi rynkowe

%, dane NSA, q/q-4


4.Y-dy.pop.


KategoriaIq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10

PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.51.01.73.23.03.54.24.4

Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0

Spoycie ogem6.14.64.63.35.85.75.67.23.51.21.81.52.12.83.64.4

Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae23.819.016.615.117.115.25.66.11.0-3.6-1.70.8-12.8-1.70.40.9

Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4

Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4

WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2

rdo: GUS (3 III 2011)

4.Y-dy.pop.

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

PKB

Popyt krajowy

Spoycie ogem

Akumulacja


%. q/q-4, dane NSA


5.Y-impakty


200620032004200520062007200820092010

WDB6.03.65.23.36.06.75.11.83.3

Przemys10.07.810.53.510.010.16.8-0.39.2

Budownictwo11.6-2.91.87.811.610.84.69.93.8

Usugi rynkowe5.52.54.23.65.56.55.90.91.5

usugi nierynkowe1.22.71.92.4

rdo:GUS (28 I 2011)

5.Y-impakty

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

WDB

Przemys

Budownictwo

Usugi rynkowe

%


5a. Q-IMPAKTY


Kategoria20072008200920102011

PKB6.85.11.73.8





Export9.17.1

Import17.313.7

WDB6.75.01.7

rdo: GUS (28 I 2011)

5a. Q-IMPAKTY

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

2007

2008

2009

2010

%


6.Q-Dynamika


Kategoria200620062007200820092010

PKB6.26.26.85.11.73.8

Popyt krajowy7.37.38.95.7-1.14.0

Spoycie ogem4.24.23.84.71.72.6

Akumulacja3.13.15.11.0-2.81.4

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae2.72.73.42.1-0.2-0.4


rdo: GUS (30III 2011)

6.Q-Dynamika

000

000

000

000

000

2006

2007

2008

2009

pp.

Skala wpywu na wzrost realny PKB

Arkusz1

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

pp.




PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.51.01.73.23.03.54.24.4

Popyt krajowy9.39.39.08.17.76.95.43.4-2.0-2.6-1.31.12.03.94.25.6

Spoycie ogem5.23.93.82.44.94.74.55.03.31.01.51.11.92.32.93.2

Akumulacja4.15.45.25.72.82.20.9-1.6-5.3-3.6-2.80.00.11.61.32.4

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae3.03.23.24.32.42.91.21.8-0.2-0.8-0.40.3-1.9-0.30.10.3

Saldo obrotw z zagranic-1.8-2.7-2.4-1.5-1.4-0.8-0.2-0.22.53.63.02.11.0-0.40.0-1.2

WDB6.95.75.55.65.15.54.33.20.90.81.72.92.62.63.33.4


Akt: 14 VII 2010

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

PKB

Popyt krajowy

Spoycie ogem

Akumulacja



WDB




PKB107.5106.6106.6106.6106.1105.9105.0102.9100.8

Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0

Spoycie ogem106.1104.6104.6103.3105.5105.4105.3107.3103.9

Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2


Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4

Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4

WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2

rdo: GUS

DO AKTUALIZACJI

Wykres3

0.10.10.1

0.10.40.3

0.20.80.8

0.40.40.5

0.4-0.3-0.1

0.321.1

0.610.7

0.70.60.7

0.61.10.8

0.81.20.9

0.9-0.20.1

0.8-0.5-0.2

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

p p.

Impact of resources from the European funds on the growth rate of GDP in fixed prices(variance from the scenario without the EU resources in pp.)

porwnanie 3 modeli

POZIOM PKB w cenach biecych

RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIIHermin

20040.10.10.2

20050.10.50.6

20060.31.21.8

20070.81.62.9

20081.21.43.0

20091.53.44.4

20102.14.35.8

20112.84.97.2

20123.56.08.7

20134.37.210.5

20145.17.011.2

20155.96.510.9

TEMPO WZROSTU PKB

RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin

20040.10.10.1

20050.10.40.3

20060.20.80.8

20070.40.40.5

20080.4-0.3-0.1

20090.32.01.1

20100.61.00.7

20110.70.60.7

20120.61.10.8

20130.81.20.9

20140.9-0.20.1

20150.8-0.5-0.2

WYDAJNO PRACY, UE-27=100


20040.30.00.0

20050.3-0.20.0

20060.2-0.40.1

20070.3-0.40.2

20080.5-0.20.4

20090.7-0.80.5

20100.7-0.80.7

20110.9-0.90.9

20121.1-0.91.2

20131.5-0.91.4

20141.9-0.31.6

20152.30.41.8

PKB per capita wg PPS, UE-27=100


20040.00.10.1

20050.10.30.2

20060.20.60.6

20070.40.90.8

20080.70.80.8

20090.92.01.5

20101.32.61.9

20111.73.02.4

20122.23.72.9

20132.74.53.5

20143.24.43.6

20153.74.23.6

poziomy w scenariuszu z funduszami

201060.659.760.0

61.962.362.0

201563.264.564.1

66.968.767.6

NAKADY BRUTTO NA RODKI TRWAE


2004-0.10.72.4

20054.23.75.0

20065.67.712.8

20075.210.015.7

20087.17.710.7

20097.118.921.9

20108.021.630.2

201111.229.532.9

201213.333.640.2

201313.839.949.4

201414.835.944.6

201510.429.836.4

TEMPO WZROSTU NAKADW BRUTTO


2004-0.80.71.3

20054.23.02.0

20061.54.24.6

2007-0.62.51.5

20082.2-2.3-2.8

2009-0.29.15.3

20100.92.23.3

20112.96.61.8

20122.13.33.0

20130.65.53.5

20141.1-3.0-1.6

2015-4.14.5-3.1

STOPA INWESTYCJI


2004-0.10.10.4

20050.60.60.8

20060.91.21.9

20070.71.62.4

20081.01.31.5

20091.23.03.0

20101.33.53.9

20111.43.84.0

20121.74.44.6

20131.65.95.2

20141.75.14.5

20150.84.13.5

STRUKTURA WARTOCI DODANEJ BRUTTO

Sektor ISektor IISektor III

RokMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHerminMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHerminMaMoR3EUImpactModIIHermin

20040.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.0

20050.00.0-0.10.00.10.10.0-0.1-0.0

20060.0-0.1-0.10.10.20.20.0-0.1-0.1

20070.0-0.1-0.20.10.20.3-0.1-0.1-0.1

20080.0-0.1-0.10.20.10.2-0.2-0.1-0.1

20090.0-0.1-0.20.20.40.4-0.2-0.3-0.2

20100.0-0.1-0.30.30.50.6-0.3-0.4-0.3

20110.0-0.2-0.30.40.70.6-0.4-0.5-0.4

20120.0-0.2-0.30.50.80.8-0.5-0.6-0.5

20130.0-0.2-0.40.61.00.9-0.6-0.8-0.6

20140.0-0.2-0.30.70.90.9-0.6-0.8-0.5

20150.0-0.1-0.30.81.00.8-0.8-0.8-0.5

WSKANIK ZATRUDNIENIA


2004-0.10.10.1

20050.00.40.2

20060.11.00.5

20070.31.30.6

20080.41.00.5

20090.52.51.0

20100.72.81.2

20110.93.71.4

20121.04.41.7

20131.35.22.0

20141.54.61.9

20151.63.71.7

STOPA BEZOBOCIA


20040.1-0.2-0.1

20050.0-0.9-0.3

2006-0.2-1.6-0.7

2007-0.5-0.9-1.0

2008-0.7-0.4-0.8

2009-0.7-2.6-1.5

2010-1.1-2.4-1.8

2011-1.4-3.3-2.2

2012-1.6-3.1-2.6

2013-2.1-3.5-3.1

2014-2.3-2.1-2.9

2015-2.4-1.6-2.7

LICZBA PRACUJCYCH


2004-14.022.715.0

20051.0108.845.0

200631.0266.9125.0

200791.0347.7165.0

2008117.0266.6134.0

2009122.0668.6255.0

2010188.0748.4315.0

2011243.0983.1369.0

2012285.01146.3439.0

2013343.01356.4523.0

2014398.01183.5502.0

2015421.0943.3456.0

INFLACJA


20040.70.0-

20050.10.0-

20060.10.0-

20070.10.0-

2008-0.30.0-

20090.20.0-

2010-0.10.0-

20110.00.0-

2012-0.10.0-

20130.00.0-

2014-0.30.0-

2015-0.10.0-

DEFICYT SFP


2004-0.40.00.0

2005-0.50.10.0

2006-0.70.20.1

2007-0.60.30.1

2008-0.30.30.2

2009-0.50.40.7

2010-0.40.50.9

20110.00.71.2

20120.30.91.5

20130.51.11.8

20141.01.11.8

20151.40.81.7

DUG PUBLICZNY


20040.30.0-0.1

20050.7-0.2-0.3

20061.2-0.6-0.9

20071.5-0.7-1.3

20081.4-0.7-1.4

20091.7-1.7-2.2

20101.7-2.2-3.0

20111.3-3.0-3.9

20120.6-3.8-4.6

2013-0.3-4.5-5.4

2014-1.6-4.3-5.7

2015-3.3-3.9-5.5

EKSPORT w ujciu towarowym


20040.00.0-

20050.3-0.3-

20060.7-0.3-

20071.3-0.6-

20082.0-0.5-

20092.5-0.1-

20103.2-0.8-

20113.7-0.5-

20124.3-0.5-

20134.9-0.2-

20145.90.2-

20156.51.6-

IMPORT w ujciu towarowym


20040.90.1-

20050.70.2-

20061.00.5-

20071.40.1-

20081.11.3-

20091.60.8-

20102.11.3-

20112.91.1-

20123.51.6-

20134.60.8-

20144.90.5-

20155.6-1.3-

SALDO OBROTW BIECYCH BILANSU PATNICZEGO W RELACJI DO PKB


2004-0.20.0-

20050.4-0.1-

20061.3-0.3-

20071.7-0.4-

20081.6-0.4-

20092.6-0.7-

20103.1-0.8-

20113.1-0.8-

20123.5-0.8-

20133.8-0.8-

20143.6-0.8-

20153.1-0.8-

porwnanie 3 modeli

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

%

porwnanie danych historycznych

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

pkt proc.

Kaczor SFP

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

pkt proc.

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

pkt proc.

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

pkt proc.

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

pkt proc.

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

pkt proc.

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

%

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

pkt proc.

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

pkt proc.

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

pkt proc.

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

pkt proc.

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

tys. osb

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

pkt proc.

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

pkt proc.

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

Hermin

pkt proc.

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

pkt proc.

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

%

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

MaMoR3

EUImpactModIII

%

Wskanik200420052006200720082009rdo danych

Tempo zmian PKB, rok poprzedni=1005.33.66.26.85.11.7http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls

MaMoR5.33.66.26.85.11.8

EUImpactMod5.33.66.26.85.21.7

Poziom PKB, w cenach biecych w mld z9259831,0601,1771,2751,344http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls

MaMoR9259831,0601,1771,2751,344

EUImpactMod9259831,0601,1771,2761,344

Poziom PKB (w PPS) na mieszkaca w odniesieniu do UE-27515152545761http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls

MaMoR515152545861

EUImpactMod515152545761

Wskanik zatrudnienia ludnoci w wieku 15-64 ogem (przecitne w roku, BAEL)51.752.854.557.059.259.3http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-053312_QID_16B533E6_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;SEX,L,Z,0;INDIC_EM,L,Z,1;INDICATORS,C,Z,2;&zSelection=DS-053312INDIC_EM,EMP_RT_15_64;DS-053312SEX,T;DS-053312INDICATORS,OBS_FLA

MaMoR51.752.854.557.059.259.3

EUImpactMod51.953.053.957.059.059.1

Pracujcy w wieku 15-64 ogem (w tys., przecitne w roku, BAEL)13,50413,83414,33814,99715,55715,630http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-053312_QID_4D3DFA67_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;SEX,L,Z,0;INDIC_EM,L,Z,1;INDICATORS,C,Z,2;&zSelection=DS-053312INDIC_EM,EMP_15_64;DS-053312SEX,T;DS-053312INDICATORS,OBS_FLAG;&

MaMoR13,50413,83414,33814,99715,55715,630

EUImpactMod13,50413,83514,19014,99615,55715,630

Stopa bezrobocia ludnoci w wieku 15-64 ogem (przecitne w roku, BAEL)19.017.813.99.67.18.2http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-055418_QID_-3219821D_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;S_ADJ,L,Z,0;AGE,L,Z,1;SEX,L,Z,2;INDICATORS,C,Z,3;&zSelection=DS-055418INDICATORS,OBS_FLAG;DS-055418S_ADJ,NSA;DS-055418SEX,T;DS

MaMoR19.017.813.99.67.18.2

EUImpactMod19.318.014.29.77.28.3

Bezrobotni w wieku 15-64 (w tys., przecitne w roku, BAEL)3,2303,0452,3441,6191,2111,411http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-055416_QID_-60A2F508_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;S_ADJ,L,Z,0;AGE,L,Z,1;SEX,L,Z,2;INDICATORS,C,Z,3;&zSelection=DS-055416INDICATORS,OBS_FLAG;DS-055416SEX,T;DS-055416AGE,TOTAL;DS

MaMoR3,2303,0452,3441,6191,2111,411

EUImpactMod3,2303,0452,3391,6191,2111,4091652.15040607741537.37821352481354.88152527741316.12664590951485.48336552411589.8672723808

Struktura wartoci dodanej brutto wg gwnych sektorw gospodarki (w cenach biecych, w mln z)821,665.0866,329.0931,179.01,029,442.01,116,476.01,193,982.0http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls

- sektor I (sekcje A-B),41,749.039,051.039,712.044,377.041,556.043,345.0

- sektor II (sekcje C-F),252,705.0266,043.0289,680.0325,684.0352,110.0379,227.0

- sektor III (sekcje G-Q),527,211.0561,235.0601,787.0659,381.0722,810.0771,410.0

- w tym usugi rynkowe405,436.0431,834.0465,856.0512,340.0560,471.0595,797.0

Struktura wartoci dodanej brutto wg gwnych sektorw gospodarki (w cenach biecych, w %)100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0

- sektor I (sekcje A-B),5.14.54.34.33.73.6

MaMoR5.14.54.34.33.73.6

EUImpactMod5.04.54.34.33.73.6

- sektor II (sekcje C-F),30.830.731.131.631.531.8

MaMoR30.830.731.131.631.531.8

EUImpactMod30.329.530.230.831.029.9

- sektor III (sekcje G-Q),64.264.864.664.164.764.6

MaMoR64.164.864.664.164.764.6

EUImpactMod64.766.065.664.965.366.5

- w tym usugi rynkowe49.349.850.049.850.249.9

MaMoR49.349.950.049.850.249.9

EUImpactMod49.350.550.550.150.351.9

Struktura pracujcych wg gwnych sektorw gospodarki (przecitne w roku, BAEL)http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?query=BOOKMARK_DS-053316_QID_-766D0C69_UID_-3F171EB0&layout=TIME,C,X,0;GEO,L,Y,0;SEX,L,Z,0;INDIC_EM,L,Z,1;INDICATORS,C,Z,2;&zSelection=DS-053316SEX,T;DS-053316INDIC_EM,AGRI_RT;DS-053316INDICATORS,OBS_FLAG;&r

- sektor I (sekcje A-B),18.017.415.814.714.0

MaMoR18.017.415.814.714.013.3

EUImpactMod17.917.315.714.713.913.2

- sektor II (sekcje C-F),28.829.229.930.631.4

MaMoR28.829.230.030.831.931.1

EUImpactMod28.929.330.030.831.931.1

- sektor III (sekcje G-Q),53.253.554.454.654.6

MaMoR53.253.454.254.554.155.6

EUImpactMod53.253.454.254.654.255.6

Wydajno pracy w odniesieniu do UE-2761.561.360.761.961.965.0http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/tgm/table.do?tab=table&init=1&language=en&pcode=tsieb030&plugin=1

MaMoR61.561.360.761.762.265.3

EUImpactMod61.461.261.760.863.166.5

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae (w cenach biecych w mln z)167,158179,180208,308253,729283,906285,230http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls

MaMoR167,200179,200208,308253,729280,935281,920

EUImpactMod167,200179,200208,308253,729283,900283,600

Tempo wzrostu nakadw brutto na rodki trwae (w cenach staych, rok poprzedni=100)106.4106.5114.9117.6109.698.9http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls

MaMoR106.4106.5114.9117.6108.299.6

EUImpactMod104.4104.4114.5117.2108.596.5

Stopa inwestycji18.118.219.721.622.321.2http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls

MaMoR18.118.219.721.622.121.1

EUImpactMod18.118.219.721.622.221.1

Inflacja CPI (przecitne roku)3.52.11.02.54.23.5http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls

MaMoR3.52.11.02.54.23.5

EUImpactMod3.52.11.02.54.24.0

Saldo obrotw biecych w relacji do PKB (w cenach biecych)-4.0-1.2-2.7-4.7-4.8-2.2http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls

MaMoR-4.0-1.2-2.7-4.7-4.8-2.2

EUImpactMod-4.0-1.2-2.7-4.7-5.1-1.9

Eksport w ujciu patniczym

warto obrotw towarowych (w mln EUR w cenach biecych)65,84777,56293,406105,893120,890101,760http://www.nbp.pl/home.aspx?f=/statystyka/bilans_platniczy/bilansplatniczy_r.html

MaMoR65,84777,56293,406105,893120,890101,760

EUImpactMod69,30086,600104,100121,500144,400111,700

tempo zmian wolumenu118.2110.6116.1109.4106.892.0http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls

MaMoR118.2110.6116.1109.4106.891.7

EUImpactMod114.0108.0114.6109.1107.192.0

Import w ujciu patniczym

warto obrotw towarowych (w mln EUR w cenach biecych)70,39979,80498,945118,262138,614104,862http://www.nbp.pl/home.aspx?f=/statystyka/bilans_platniczy/bilansplatniczy_r.html

MaMoR70,39979,80498,945118,262138,614104,862

EUImpactMod75,41691,325112,379136,734163,835119,196

tempo zmian wolumenu117.3105.2116.8115.1108.585.7http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls

MaMoR117.3105.2116.8115.1108.586.9

EUImpactMod115.8104.7117.3113.7108.086.5

Wynik sektora finansw publicznych w relacji do PKB-5.7-4.1-3.6-1.9-3.7-7.1http://www.mofnet.gov.pl/_files_/dlug_publiczny/obligacje_hurtowe/raporty_roczne/raport_roczny_2009.pdf

MaMoR-5.4-4.1-3.6-1.9-3.7-7.2

EUImpactMod-5.7-4.3-3.9-1.9-3.7-7.2

Dug publiczny w relacji do PKB46.747.547.844.846.949.8http://www.mofnet.gov.pl/_files_/dlug_publiczny/obligacje_hurtowe/raporty_roczne/raport_roczny_2009.pdf

MaMoR45.747.147.745.047.150.9

EUImpactMod45.747.147.745.047.250.9

Napyw BIZ (w mln EUR w cenach biecych)10,2378,33015,74117,24210,1289,896http://www.nbp.pl/home.aspx?f=/statystyka/bilans_platniczy/bilansplatniczy_r.html

MaMoR------

EUImpactMod11,5009,30017,90020,60012,4009,100

http://www.stat.gov.pl/cps/rde/xbcr/gus/PUBL_roczne_mierniki_gospodarcze_cz_IV.xls











DEFICYT SFP

RokMaMoR IMaMoR IIMaMoR IIIMaMoR IVMaasricht2010

20040.10.10.10.40.7

20050.10.10.20.51.1

20060.30.30.30.71.4

20070.10.20.20.60.9

2008-0.1000.30.7

20090000.51

2010-0.2-0.3-0.10.40.7

2011-0.5-0.6-0.400.1

2012-0.7-0.8-0.6-0.3-0.2

2013-1-1-0.9-0.5-0.8

2014-1.4-1.3-1.3-1-1.3

2015-1.8-1.7-1.5-1.4-1.7

DUG PUBLICZNY

RokMaMoR3 IMaMoR3 IIMaMoR3 IIIMaMoR3 IVMaasricht2010

2004-0.3-0.2-0.20.30.6

2005-0.4-0.3-0.30.71.6

2006-0.7-0.6-0.71.22.6

2007-0.7-0.7-0.71.52.9

2008-0.8-0.8-0.71.43.1

2009-1.3-1.2-0.41.73.7

2010-1.5-1.3-1.41.73.9

2011-1.6-1.2-1.51.33.4

2012-1.8-1.3-1.60.62.6

2013-1.9-1.4-1.8-0.31.3

2014-1.9-1.4-1.9-1.6-0.5

2015-1.8-1.2-2-3.3-2.6

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

MaMoR I

MaMoR II

MaMoR III

MaMoR IV

Maasricht2010

pkt proc.

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

00000

MaMoR I

MaMoR II

MaMoR III

MaMoR IV

Maasricht2010

pkt proc.

Wykres1

1.86.2

2.77.1

35

3.14.5

3.94.3

21.2

1.31.4

1.43.9

2.55.3

23.6

3.36.2

3.26.8

0.35.1

-4.31.6

23.9

1.54.3

EU-27

Poland

%

GDP change in Poland and EU-27

SPIS1

SPIS TABLIC











1.KRAJE-UE


20061996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011

EU-273.21.82.73.03.13.92.01.31.42.52.03.33.20.3-4.32.01.5

Poland6.26.27.15.04.54.31.21.43.95.33.66.26.85.11.63.94.3

Francja2.22.40.2-2.61.6

Hiszpania4.03.60.9-3.7-0.1

Irlandia5.45.6-3.5-7.6-0.2

Niemcy3.22.71.0-4.73.6


Wgry4.00.80.8-6.71.2


Wochy2.01.5-1.3-5.21.3

rdo: Eurostat (V 2011), GUS (13 V 2011)

akt. 23 III 2011

1.KRAJE-UE

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

EU-27

Poland

%


wykres


2004200520062007200820092010

EU-272.52.03.23.00.5-4.21.8

Poland5.33.66.26.85.11.63.8

Francja2.40.2-2.61.6

Hiszpania3.60.9-3.7-0.1

Irlandia5.6-3.5-7.6-0.2

Niemcy2.71.0-4.73.6

Republika Czeska6.12.5-4.12.4

Wgry0.80.8-6.71.2

Wielka Brytania2.7-0.1-4.91.3

Wochy1.5-1.3-5.21.3


akt. 23 III 2011

wykres

1.86.2

2.77.1

35

3.14.5

3.94.3

21.2

1.31.4

1.43.9

2.55.3

23.6

3.26.2

36.8

0.55.1

-4.21.6

1.83.8

EU-27

Poland

%


2.QQ-1-FULL


Iq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11

EU-270.60.90.80.50.60.50.8-0.2-0.5-1.9-2.5-0.20.30.30.41.00.50.20.8

Poland1.71.62.01.41.81.61.32.21.40.70.8-0.40.40.60.41.50.61.11.20.81.0

rdo: Eurostat (8 VI 2011), GUS (31 VI 2011)

2.QQ-1-FULL

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

Po

Pol

EU-27

Poland

%, dane SA


2a.QQ-4


KwartayIq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11

EU-27 (SA)3.13.43.52.82.82.42.41.70.7-1.7-5.0-5.1-4.3-2.20.62.02.22.12.5

Poland (SA)5.16.26.56.87.07.06.27.16.75.75.22.51.51.30.92.83.13.64.63.94.3

Poland (NSA)5.46.36.66.67.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.41.01.63.23.03.44.24.54.4

rdo: Eurostat (8 VI 2011), GUS (31 V 2011)

2a.QQ-4

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

EU-27 (SA)

Poland (SA)

%, dane SA


3a.Q-WDB

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

EU-27 (SA)

Poland (SA)

%, dane SA


4a.Q-DYNAMIKA


Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10Iq11

WDB7.76.46.36.45.86.35.03.70.90.91.93.42.82.93.73.94.1

Przemys11.48.89.210.710.39.86.71.5-5.5-4.5-0.65.89.911.510.26.57.8

Usugi rynkowe6.76.26.46.86.36.05.55.71.21.10.30.5-0.20.51.93.33.3

rdo:GUS (31 V 2011)

4a.Q-DYNAMIKA

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

WDB

Przemys

Usugi rynkowe

%, dane NSA, q/q-4


3.Y-WDB



PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.41.01.63.23.03.44.24.54.4

Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0

Spoycie ogem6.14.64.63.35.85.75.67.23.51.21.81.51.93.03.64.83.3

Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2


Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4

Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4

WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2

rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)

3.Y-WDB

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

PKB

Popyt krajowy

Spoycie ogem

Akumulacja


%. q/q-4, dane NSA


inwestycje


200220032004200520062007200820092010

WDB6.03.65.23.36.06.75.11.83.3

Przemys10.07.810.53.510.010.16.8-0.99.3

Budownictwo11.6-2.91.87.811.610.84.611.43.9

Usugi rynkowe5.52.54.23.65.56.55.90.81.4

usugi nierynkowe1.22.71.92.40.9

rdo:GUS (31 V 2011)

13 V - ZMIANA DANYCH ZA 2009 i 2010

inwestycje

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

WDB

Przemys

Budownictwo

Usugi rynkowe

%


4.Y-dy.pop.

akt. 26 IV 2011

20002001200220032004200520062007200820092010

PKB Polska4.31.21.43.95.33.66.26.85.11.63.8

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - Polska,2.7-9.7-6.3-0.16.46.514.917.69.6-1.1-1.2

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - UE-274.60.8-0.61.33.13.56.15.8-0.8-12.0-0.7

Stopa inwestycji (relacja nakadw brutto na23.720.718.718.218.118.219.721.622.321.219.7

w tym publiczne3.43.33.43.43.94.24.65.25.6

UE-2720.720.219.619.519.620.020.721.321.119.118.5

4.Y-dy.pop.

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

Polska


%, r/r, ceny stae

Zmiany nakadw brutto na rodki trwae

5.Y-impakty

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

Polska

UE-27

%

Stopa inwestycji

5a. Q-IMPAKTY

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

stopa inwestycji ogem

stopa inwestycji publicznych

%

Stopa inwestycji

6.Q-Dynamika

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

PKB Polska

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae - Polska,


%

wydaj


Kategoria20072008200920102011

PKB6.85.11.63.8





Export9.17.1

Import17.313.7

WDB6.75.01.7

rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)

wydaj

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

2007

2008

2009

2010

%


DNB


Kategoria200620062007200820092010

PKB6.26.26.85.11.63.8

Popyt krajowy7.37.38.95.7-1.14.4

Spoycie ogem4.24.23.84.71.62.7

spoycie indywidualne3.03.41.31.9

Akumulacja3.13.15.11.0-2.71.7

nakady brutto na rodki trwae2.72.73.42.1-0.3-0.2


rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)

DNB

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010


Arkusz1

00000

00000

00000

00000

Spoycie ogem

spoycie indywidualne

Akumulacja

nakady brutto na rodki trwae


pp.



PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.41.01.63.23.03.44.24.54.4

Popyt krajowy9.39.39.08.17.76.95.43.4-1.9-2.8-1.31.12.04.44.56.24.5

Spoycie ogem5.23.93.82.44.94.74.55.03.11.01.51.11.62.43.03.42.9

Akumulacja4.15.45.25.72.82.20.9-1.6-5.0-3.8-2.80.00.42.01.52.81.6


Saldo obrotw z zagranic-1.8-2.7-2.4-1.5-1.4-0.8-0.2-0.22.33.82.92.11.0-1.0-0.3-1.7-0.1

WDB6.95.75.55.65.15.54.33.20.80.81.62.92.62.53.33.43.7

rdo: GUS (31 V 2011)

Akt: 14 VII 2010

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

PKB

Popyt krajowy

Spoycie ogem

Akumulacja



WDB




PKB107.5106.6106.6106.6106.1105.9105.0102.9100.8

Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0

Spoycie ogem106.1104.6104.6103.3105.5105.4105.3107.3103.9

Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2


Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4

Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4

WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2

rdo: GUS

DO AKTUALIZACJI

20032004200520062007200820092010

UE-27

Dynamika PKB102.5102.0103.2103.0100.595.8101.8



Polska

Dynamika PKB105.3103.6106.2106.8105.1101.6103.8



20032004200520062007200820092010

UE-27

Pracujcy 15+210794.2214936.3219070.3221673.3217812.8216449.2

Dynamika r/r102.0101.9101.298.399.4

Polska

Pracujcy 15+14115.614593.615240.515799.815868.015960.5

Dynamika r/r103.4104.4103.7100.4100.6

20062007200820092010

Dynamika wydajnoci pracy UE-27101.2101.199.397.5102.4

Dynamika wydajnoci pracy Polska102.7102.3101.4101.2103.2

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

UE-27

Dynamika PKB



UE-27

000

000

000

000

000

Dynamika PKB



Polska

00

00

00

00

00

Dynamika wydajnoci pracy UE-27

Dynamika wydajnoci pracy Polska


2000200520082009

PKB74437898330212754321343657


DNB74168996453312497541296194

Ludno38255.938161.338115.938153.4

Na 1 mieszkaca w z

PKB19458257673346235217

DNB19388252753278833973

rnica704926741244

MBD000A237F.xls

Wykres1

2.55.3

23.6

3.26.2

36.8

0.55.1

-4.21.7

1.83.8

UE-27

Polska

%


SPIS1

SPIS TABLIC











1.KRAJE-UE


20062004200520062007200820092010

UE-273.22.52.03.23.00.5-4.21.8

Polska6.25.33.66.26.85.11.73.8

Francja2.22.40.2-2.61.6

Hiszpania4.03.60.9-3.7-0.1

Irlandia5.45.6-3.5-7.6-0.2

Niemcy3.22.71.0-4.73.6


Wgry4.00.80.8-6.71.2


Wochy2.01.5-1.3-5.21.3


akt. 23 III 2011

1.KRAJE-UE

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

%

Zmiany PKB w wybranych krajach UE-27

DNB

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

UE-27

Polska

%


2.QQ-1-FULL


2000200520082009

PKB74437898330212754321343657


DNB74168996453312497541296194

Ludno38255.938161.338115.938153.4

Na 1 mieszkaca w z

PKB19458257673346235217

DNB19388252753278833973

rnica704926741244

2a.QQ-4


Iq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10

UE-270.60.90.80.50.60.50.8-0.2-0.5-1.9-2.5-0.20.30.30.41.00.50.2

Polska1.71.62.01.41.81.61.32.21.40.70.8-0.40.40.60.41.50.61.11.20.8


2a.QQ-4

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

Po

Pol

UE-27

Polska

%, dane SA


3a.Q-WDB


KwartayIq06IIq06IIIq06IVq06Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10

UE-27 (SA)3.13.43.52.82.82.42.41.70.7-1.7-5.0-5.1-4.3-2.20.62.02.22.1

Polska (SA)5.16.26.56.87.07.06.27.16.75.75.22.51.51.41.02.93.13.74.63.9

Polska (NSA)5.46.36.66.67.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.51.01.73.23.03.54.24.4


3a.Q-WDB

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

UE-27 (SA)

Polska (SA)

%, dane SA


4a.Q-DYNAMIKA

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

00

UE-27 (SA)

Polska (SA)

%, dane SA


3.Y-WDB


Iq07IIq07IIIq07IVq07Iq08IIq08IIIq08IVq08Iq09IIq09IIIq09IVq09Iq10IIq10IIIq10IVq10

WDB7.76.46.36.45.86.35.03.70.91.01.93.42.83.03.83.8

Przemys11.48.89.210.710.39.86.71.5-4.9-3.80.26.19.711.410.26.2

Usugi rynkowe6.76.26.46.86.36.05.55.71.31.30.30.7-0.10.82.03.3

rdo:GUS (3 III 2011)

3.Y-WDB

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

WDB

Przemys

Usugi rynkowe

%, dane NSA, q/q-4


4.Y-dy.pop.



PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.51.01.73.23.03.54.24.4

Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0

Spoycie ogem6.14.64.63.35.85.75.67.23.51.21.81.52.12.83.64.4

Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae23.819.016.615.117.115.25.66.11.0-3.6-1.70.8-12.8-1.70.40.9

Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4

Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4

WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2


4.Y-dy.pop.

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

000

PKB

Popyt krajowy

Spoycie ogem

Akumulacja


%. q/q-4, dane NSA


5.Y-impakty


200620032004200520062007200820092010

WDB6.03.65.23.36.06.75.11.83.3

Przemys10.07.810.53.510.010.16.8-0.39.2

Budownictwo11.6-2.91.87.811.610.84.69.93.8

Usugi rynkowe5.52.54.23.65.56.55.90.91.5

usugi nierynkowe1.22.71.92.4

rdo:GUS (28 I 2011)

5.Y-impakty

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

WDB

Przemys

Budownictwo

Usugi rynkowe

%


5a. Q-IMPAKTY


Kategoria20072008200920102011

PKB6.85.11.73.8





Export9.17.1

Import17.313.7

WDB6.75.01.7

rdo: GUS (28 I 2011)

5a. Q-IMPAKTY

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

2007

2008

2009

2010

%


6.Q-Dynamika


Kategoria200620062007200820092010

PKB6.26.26.85.11.73.8

Popyt krajowy7.37.38.95.7-1.14.0

Spoycie ogem4.24.23.84.71.72.6

Akumulacja3.13.15.11.0-2.81.4

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae2.72.73.42.1-0.2-0.4


rdo: GUS (30III 2011)

6.Q-Dynamika

000

000

000

000

000

2006

2007

2008

2009

pp.

Skala wpywu na wzrost realny PKB

Arkusz1

0000

0000

0000

0000

0000

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

pp.




PKB7.56.66.66.66.36.15.23.20.51.01.73.23.03.54.24.4

Popyt krajowy9.39.39.08.17.76.95.43.4-2.0-2.6-1.31.12.03.94.25.6

Spoycie ogem5.23.93.82.44.94.74.55.03.31.01.51.11.92.32.93.2

Akumulacja4.15.45.25.72.82.20.9-1.6-5.3-3.6-2.80.00.11.61.32.4

Nakady brutto na rodki trwae3.03.23.24.32.42.91.21.8-0.2-0.8-0.40.3-1.9-0.30.10.3

Saldo obrotw z zagranic-1.8-2.7-2.4-1.5-1.4-0.8-0.2-0.22.53.63.02.11.0-0.40.0-1.2

WDB6.95.75.55.65.15.54.33.20.90.81.72.92.62.63.33.4


Akt: 14 VII 2010

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

0000000

PKB

Popyt krajowy

Spoycie ogem

Akumulacja



WDB




PKB107.5106.6106.6106.6106.1105.9105.0102.9100.8

Popyt krajowy109.3109.1108.7107.9107.3106.3104.8103.599.0

Spoycie ogem106.1104.6104.6103.3105.5105.4105.3107.3103.9

Akumulacja128.6130.6125.4118.8116.4109.7103.495.476.2


Export111.2108.0109.0108.4110.4111.2108.699.385.4

Import115.5114.1113.9111.6113.2111.9107.8101.082.4

WDB107.7106.4106.3106.4105.6106.2104.9103.4101.2

rdo: GUS

DO AKTUALIZACJI

*Benefits to the EU-15 countries from the implementation of cohesion policy in V4 countries Comparison of total benefits of EU15 to net contributions of individual EU15 countries, in the part related to the implementation of the Cohesion Policy in Visegrad Group (V4: Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia) Each net euro invested under the Cohesion Policy by EU15 comes back in the form of additional exports of 61 cents

For Germany, Ireland and Luxembourg the gained benefits are higher than the costs

Source: Instytut Bada Strukturalnych: Evaluation of benefits to the EU-15 countries resulting from the implementation of the Cohesion Policy in the Visegrad Group countries (for MRD PL)

*Future in Poland: 2014-2020 programming period 72.9 billion EUR for Cohesion Policy for Poland strenghtening the implementation of Europe 2020 strategy incentives intergrated approach more effective use of territorial potential coordination of intervention (Territorial Contract) bigger decentralisation challenges for Poland for 2014-2020 are defined in:National Development Strategy 2020adopted by Council of Ministers on the 25 of September, 2012Its strategic objective is:to develop a base for further enhancement of the economy competitiveness, improvement of social and territorial cohesion and increase the efficiency and effectiveness of public sector.

*Lessons learned and good practices

*Lessons learned and good practices (1)Cohesion policy in Poland - conclusionsInstitutional and systemic changes in Poland, including enhancement of: Strategic planning and management Good governance Partnership principle Result-oriented policies, performance budgetCoordination with other European policies and national development policy: CAP, Maritime policy, Fishery policy national policiesIntegrated territorial approachEffective instrumentsFocus on pro-development measuresOpen to international cooperation: exchange of experience

*Lessons learned and good practices (2)Development policy in Poland how to deliver successful growth Use of territorial potentials of endogenous growthCoordination of territorialy oriented sectoral policiesDelivery mechanism that proved its worth in 2004-2006 and first years of 2007-2013 period :

Effective monitoring systemConditionalityPartnership principleNotable contribution to the shape of Cohesion Policy mutual relevancePolish response to financial crisis ? thematic and geographical concentration smart growth integrated approachObjective-oriented

*

Scope of cooperation: cohesion policy, regional policy, development policy, spatial policy, urban policy, evaluation Aim of cooperation:sharing experience with EU Member Statessupporting the EU candidate countries and countries in transition Forms of cooperation:organizing bilateral and multilateral meetings, seminars, workshops, study visits, internshipsrealizing development projectsconsultations via e-mailspublishing activityInternational cooperation

*

Internet websites of the Ministry of Regional Developmentwww.mrr.gov.plwww.funduszeeuropejskie.gov.pl

* Ministry of Regional Development ul. Wsplna 2/4 www.mrr.gov.pl www.funduszestrukturalne.gov.plThank you for the attentionPiotr uber Director of the Department of Structural Policy Coordination

*****************

ministry of regional development 1 growing together: international conference on eu cohesion policy...

Documents

management of cohesion

cohesion policy allocation

future of cohesion policy

bln eur poland

national development

poland main tasks

financial perspective

poland general information