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TRANSCRIPT
Mining Industry Performance in 2017
Mining Conference, 25 April, 2018
Windhoek Show Grounds
Veston Malango
CEO
Contents
1) Industry performance in 2017
2) New Developments
3) Commodity Price Developments
4) Namibia’s Global competitiveness for mining
5) Outstanding Matters & Challenges
6) Conclusions
Mining industry generated > N$29.09 billion in revenue during 2017 (Excl. SU)
Total Revenue to Government: N$5.587 billion
Wages & Salaries
(Net)14%
Exploration Expenditure
1%
Dividends to GRN 3%
PAYE3%
Export Levy 0%
Corporate tax and Royalties
13%
Dividends to other Shareholders
4%
Procurement 41%
Other Operating Expenditure
21%
Source: Chamber of Mines of Namibia
Mining Industry Contribution (N$bn)
Wages & Salaries (Net) 4.135 (14%)
Exploration Expenditure 0.253 (1%)
Dividends to GRN 0.997 (3%)
PAYE 0.815 (3%)
Export Levy 0.113 (<1%)
Corporate Tax & Royalties paid 3.662 (13%)
Dividends to other Shareholders 1.100 (4%)
Procurement 11.769 (41%)
CSR 0.077 (<1%)
Expenditure on Skills & Development 0.107 (<1%)
Other Operating Expenditure 6.068 (21%)
Total 29.099
Wages & Salaries12%
Exploration Expenditure 1%
Dividends to GRN 3%
Corporate tax & Royalties paid
11%
PAYE 2%
Dividends to other shareholders
8%
Procurement 41%
Other Operating Expenditure
20%
Source: Chamber of Mines of Namibia Total Revenue to GRN:N$4.823billion
Mining Industry Contribution (N$ bn)
Wages & Salaries (Net) 3.434(12%)
Exploration Expenditure 0.428 (1%)
Dividends to GRN 0.902 (3%)
PAYE 0.715 (2%)Corporate Tax & Royalties paid 3.206 (11%)Dividends to other Shareholders 2.393 (8%)Procurement (Namibia spend) 11.703 (41%)
CSR 0.085 (< 1%)Expenditure on Skills & Development 0.083 (< 1%)Other Operating Expenditure 5.903 (20%)
Total 28.85
Mining industry generated > N$28.85 bnin revenue during 2016
Industry Performance Comparison 2016 & 20172017 2016 % Change
Turnover N$ 29.099 billion N$28.852 billion 1%
Wages & Salaries (Net): operating mines & mine development companies N$4.647 billion N$3.456 billion 34%PAYE: operating mines & mine development companies
N$963.077 million N$850.630 million13%
Fixed Investment: operating mines N$5.611 billon N$3.486 billion 61%
Exploration: operating mines N$258.382 million N$428.321 million -40%
Exploration: exploration companies & mine development companies
N$303.777 million N$99.993 million204%
Corporate tax N$2.133 billion N$1.753 billion 22%
Royalties N$1.529 billion N$1.453 billion 5%
Export Levy N$113.221 million n/a n/a
Total taxes paid N$3.662 billion N$3.206 billion 14%
Total Revenue Received by GRN N$5.587 billion N$4.823 billion16%
Procurement Operating mines N$11.781 billion N$11.807 billion -0.2%
Skills development: operating mines and exploration companies
N$184.958 million N$82.871 million123%
CSR: operating mines and exploration companies
N$79.762 million N$92.067 million-13%
Permanent employees 9,643 9,574 1%
Temporary employees 889 699 27%Contractors 6,373 5,400 18%Total Direct Employment 16,905 15,673 8%
Mining contribution to GDP
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
1990 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 2000 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17
Other mining
Diamond mining
Source: Namibia Statistics Agency
Mining sector growth (real value added) and commodity prices
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
-40.0%
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%2
00
0
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
Mining growth Commodity price index
Source: Namibia Statistics Agency and Index Mundi
Mining Share of Exports
54%
40%
52% 51%60%
56% 57%52% 55% 54% 54% 54% 53% 51%
47%
46%60%
48%
49%40%
44% 43%48% 45% 46% 46% 46% 47% 49%
53%
'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16
Non-mineral exports
Mineral Exports
Source: Namibia Statistics Agency
Total Exploration expenditure (N$m)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
'95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07 '09 '11 '13 '15 '17
Source: Namibia Statistics Agency and Chamber of Mines of Namibia
Permanent Employment vs Expatriates
1588
906
923
496
701
421
461
761
829
122
50
1620
26
140
15
14
15
4
7
23
10
0
2
64
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600
NAMDEB
DEBMARINE NAMIBIA
RÖSSING
LANGER HEINRICH URANIUM
DUNDEE PRECIOUS METALS …
NAVACHAB
ROSH PINAH CORPORATION
SKORPION ZINC
B2GOLD
WEATHERLY
IMERYS
SWAKOP URANIUM
Expatriates Namibians
Industry employed 9,643 permanentEmployees, out of which 340 were Expatriates.
96.5% Namibians, 3.5% Expats
Source: CoM Annual Reports
Mining Employment (Including NIMT)
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
1990'91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '992000'01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17
Source: Chamber of Mines Annual Reports
Contribution to National EmploymentJobs during 2017
Permanent jobs: 9,643
Temporary jobs: 889
Contractors: 6,373
Total: 16,905 2.5% of total labour force
• 2016 National Labour Force Survey: 676,885 people employed.
• Taking into account the mining multiplier of 7, industry directly and indirectly provided 118,335 jobs
118,335 jobs 17.5% of total labour force
New Developments1. Okandjande Graphite mine entered production in April 2017.
2. N$2.3 billion SS Nujoma Exploration & Sampling vessel was officially commissioned at the Walvis Bay Port on 15 June, 2017.
3. Skorpion Zinc embarked on a Push Back programme in 2017 to access deeper oxide ore and successfully extended the life of mine to 2020, resulting in improved production from the mine.
4. Weatherly announced a modest restart at the Otjihase copper mine with a focus on a mining training programme. The proceeds of this modest production will be used to fund full restart. A similar approach is being planned for Matchless.
5. Desert Lion commenced production at its lithium operations just outside Karibib. Restart of old mines -- Rubicon & Helicon
6. The African Tantalum mine in the Karas Region entered production in 2017 – Tantalum pentoxide is final product.
7. Namib Lead and Zinc mine preparing for production in January 2019.
8. Craton Mining finally received the ML for its Omitiomire copper project, with “mini mining” to commence in 2019.
9. Exploration a the Gecko Opuwo Cobalt project has yielded very promising results.
10. Several Namibia Rare Earths projects are being actively investigated.
11. Near future potential in several projects such Berg Aukas and Kombat copper mines.
Commodity Price Developments & Battery Minerals
• Outlook for commodity prices is extremely positive; 2018 opened with the gold price breaching US$1,300/oz, copper breaching US$7,000/mt and zinc above US$3,400/mt.
• Electric motor vehicles and renewable energy storage solutions are driving demand for commodities. The battery component of electric motor vehicles is made from an array of minerals, namely; cobalt, lithium, graphite, rare earths and nickel. Copper requirements in such cars are 20% more than conventional vehicles.
• This is extremely positive in that it will drive Namibian exploration for years to come.
Expected increase in demand for battery minerals
Source: METI & Yano Research
Namibia’s Global competitiveness for mining –Fraser Survey of Mining CompaniesInvestment Attractiveness Index: In 2014, Namibia was rated as the most attractive investment destination for mining and exploration in Africa.
Unfortunately Namibia fell to forth position in 2015 and ninth position in 2016.
The country’s ranking has improved to 6th position in 2017.
Caveat: However, it is not prudent to compare the overall country rankings as a measure of performance due to the declining number of African countries participating in the survey.
• 2014: 30 African countries
• 2015: 20 African countries
• 2016: 18 African Countries
• 2017: 15 African countries
The number of Global countries’ participation have also been decreasing over the last four years. Thus more accurate to measure absolute scores.
2017 IAI African Scores
72.13
70.74
63.14
62.06
61.51
60.67
59.34
56.35
54.32
52.64
49.14
46.79
44.35
30.78
28.74
0 20 40 60 80 100
Ghana
Mali
Botswana*
South Africa
Democratic Republic
Namibia
Zambia
Morocco*
Zimbabwe
Burkina Faso
Ivory Coast*
Tanzania
Ethiopia*
Mozambique*
Kenya*
“
Source: Fraser Institute 2017 Survey of Mining Companies
Comparison of Namibia’s IAI Scores
60.6766.11
69.78
76.37
68.97 68.3
59.19
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
Source: Fraser Institute 2017 Survey of Mining Companies
Outstanding Matters and Challenges
• NEEEF - Chamber is relieved at announcement by H.E. The President in his SONA on 11 April, 2018 with regards to the Ownership pillar. We await full details of Cabinet decisions in May from the Prime Minister’s office.
• Namibia Investment & Promotion Act, 2016 –The Chamber is pleased to note that Government has acknowledged that the Namibia Investment Promotion Act of 2016 (NIPA) is flawed and has retracted the unworkable provisions following consultations and input from the private sector. Amendment Bill expected in Parliament within 2018.
• Additional Conditions to Licences – Biggest outstanding regulatory challenge faced by the sector, especially for exploration companies. Chamber is confident that these will be resolved under MME’s new administration.
• Moratorium on Marine Phosphate mining – CoM remains extremely concerned that a way forward on this issue has not yet been concluded.
• Depressed Uranium Price – Sustainability of uranium mines is threatened by low uranium prices (Rössing and LHU), however, analysts predict a rebound between 2020 and 2022.
Conclusions• Mining sector has remained the bedrock of the Namibian economy in all conditions of
the economy – in good times and in turbulent times as seen in the last 2 yrs.
• The mining sector recorded a healthy growth in 2017 (12.2%) on the back of a combination of a rebound in commodity prices and an increase in production of diamonds, gold and uranium.
• New mines being developed are smaller in nature. However, their combined contribution will make a positive impact, particularly in spin offs to rest of the economy.
• There is a major potential for growth of mining input and service industry in the up-stream linkages with lucrative local procurement spend. Industry has sustained a local spend in excess of N$ 11. billion/year in the last 3 years. Industry commitment to supporting local suppliers of goods and services and growing the job market.
• With the recently communicated GRN position on NEEEF and expected finalization of amended NIPA, along with resolution of Additional Conditions to licences, the Chamber expects Namibia to regain its position as the most attractive destination in Africa for exploration and mining investments.