mineduc-unicef study, presentation of findings jres, 12 th november 2015 analysis of the costs of...

M I N E D U C - U N I C E F S T U D Y , P R E S E N T A T I O N O F F I N D I N G S J R E S , 1 2 T H N O V E M B E R 2 0 1 5

ANALYSIS OF THE COSTS OF PRE-PRIMARY EDUATION IN

RWANDA

PRE-PRIMARY BUDGET 2015/16

REB Budget, 2015/16 Amount, RwF

Curriculum and Pedagogical Materials

Pre-primary books 50,000,000

Education Quality and Standards

Pre-primary inspections 3,500,000

Construction pre-primary (300 classrooms) 1,130,322,858

REB Total 1,183,822,858

Extra budget (curriculum and pedagogical materials), UNICEF

786,530,015

Total 1,970,352,873

% of education budget on pre-primary 0.9%

BUDGETARY PRIORITIES

Teacher salaries

Construction Capitation grants

Note: Results from stakeholder consultation with DEOs, head teachers, parents

COSTING: 3 PACKAGES

Basic Package Enhanced Package Full Package Teacher salaries (A2)

Capitation grants (4,250 RwF)

Construction

Investment in quality

Teacher salaries (A2)


Construction


ECE caregiver assistants salaries

Vulnerable fund

Special needs education fund

Teacher salaries (A2)


Construction


ECE caregiver assistants salaries

Vulnerable fund

Special needs education fund

School Feeding

TARGETING PRIORITY DISTRICTS

Rank District Rank District

1 Gisagara 11 Nyagatare

2 Rutsiro 12 Gatsibo

3 Nyamasheke

4 Nyaruguru 13 Karongi

5 Ngoma 14 Ruhango

6 Burera 15 Bugesera

7 Nyabihu

8 Kirehe

9 Gicumbi

10 Ngororero

Note: Targeting combines poverty levels and educational need: Poverty rates (EICV 4) – weighting of 40%; District level GERs (MINEDUC) – weighting of 60% Investment in 10, 12 and 15 districts are costed throughout. All 15 districts are part of the GPE-monitored group of 22 districts

COSTING METHODOLOGY

• Number of children aged 3-6 in each district (real need)

• Benchmark of 50% used – ie. meet needs of 50% of 3-6 year olds in selected districts

• Construction schedule of classrooms for each year (over 3 year period) to meet this benchmark in selected districts

• Assumption of double-shifting for pre-primary level applied: 80 children per classroom/40 per session

COSTING THE 3 PACKAGES: A 3 YEAR INVESTMENT

Districts 2015/16[Amount; % of

budget]

2016/17 2017/18

Basic Package

10 priority districts 7.4bn (3.4%) 8.3bn 9.4bn


15 priority districts 10.9bn (5%) 12.3bn 14bn

Enhanced Package



15 priority districts 11.3 (5.2%) 13.1bn 15.1bn

Full Package

10 priority districts 8bn (3.7%) 9.6bn 11.4bn

12 priority districts 9.7bn (4.5%) 11.7bn 14bn


LEVEL OF INVESTMENT NEEDED TO MEET GPE TARGETS

• Current national pre-primary GER: 12.7% (corrected)

• GPE target is 17% (2017) in 22 districts (baseline: 7.9%, 2014)

• Payment by results means just under US$8m dependent on meeting this target

• Investment in 15 districts: enrolment across 22 would reach 18% (enrolment across 15 would reach 27%)

• Investment in 12 districts: enrolment across 22 would reach 16.7%

EXTRA SLIDES FOR REFERENCE ONLY

COSTS BORNE BY FAMILIES TO ACCESS PRE-PRIMARY

• Types of cost: school fees, uniforms, school materials, porridge

• Impact: • Exclusion of poorest (and drop out) + reduced demand • Teacher retention, motivation problems - impact on quality and

wasted investments in teacher training• Lack of ‘institutionalisation’ of the pre-primary system

Costs per year for pre-primary

Item Costs reported (low)

Costs reported (middle)

Costs reported

(high)

School Fees 4,500 15,000-27,000 54,000

Total 16,000-26,600 43,000-70,000 100,500-152,500

COSTING OF THE 3 PACKAGES: 2.5 YEAR INVESTMENT

Districts 2015/16 (mid-year)

2016/17 2017/18

Basic Package

10 priority districts 3.9bn 9.5bn 11bn

12 priority districts 4.8bn 11.8bn 13.6bn


Enhanced Package

10 priority districts 4.2bn 10bn 11.7bn

12 priority districts 5bn 12.2bn 14.3bn

15 priority districts 6bn 14.8bn 17.4bn

Full Package




ANALYSIS OF INVESTMENT IN CONTEXT OF ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS (2)

Note:• These estimates are based on the 2.5 year investment, starting mid-year 15/16• The 2017 GER is just giving the figure mid-way between 2 figures given for the FYs. • Only the investment in 15 districts achieves the GPE target (where 22 districts progress is

measured)• Isolating the districts for investment (rather than the full 22) shows much better progress of

course• Waiting to start a 3 year investment in 2016/17 is not an option.

District investment

Estimate GER across 22 GPE

districts 2016/17


districts – end of 2017


districts 2017/18

10 priority districts 12.5 15.3 18.2

12 priority districts 13.1 16.7 20.3

15 priority districts 13.7 18 22.4

For comparative purposes only:

Estimate GER across 15 priority

districts only, 2016/17

Estimate GER across 15 priority districts only, end

of 2017

Estimate GER across 15 priority districts

only, 2017/18

15 priority districts 20.8 27.4 34

mineduc-unicef study, presentation of findings jres, 12 th november 2015 analysis of the costs of...

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