migration outlook - parliamentary days 2015
TRANSCRIPT
INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION OUTLOOK
Thomas Liebig International Migration Division Directorate for Employment Labour and Social Affairs OECD
Trends in migration flows, policies and outcomes
26 February 2015
Free mobility is the most dynamic part of permanent migration flows
OECD-wide
Free mobility in the EU
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
In th
ousa
nds
Germany other EU-countries
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
Work Family Humanitarian/Other Free movement
In m
illio
ns
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (estimation)
2
Permanent migration as a percentage of the total population
Small countries tend to have larger per capita immigration than large countries 3
The crisis brought along significant shifts in the magnitude of migration flows across countries
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2013 2008
*2012
Composition of permanent migration by categories (2012/13)
Countries with a high share of free movement tend to have a lower share of labour migration
* 2012 **incl. accompanying family of workers
4
The composition of international migration varies greatly across countries
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Free movement Work Family** Humanitarian/Other
Be clear about the objectives of the system Consider the right mix of instruments to achieve these
objectives Keep the system flexible and with a long-term perspective Build appropriate infrastructure [data/research/evaluation;
information; processes] Accelerate and simplify processes Engage with employers and facilitate “matching” between
employers and immigrant candidates Ensure compliance Consider the integration issue…
Core principles for a better management of labour migration
5
…but large gaps in employment rates for high-educated…
Most foreign-born adults are working…
…and lower quality of employment in terms of over-qualification, plus a high incidence of in-work poverty 6
Employment rates expressed as percentages
AUT
BEL
CHECZE
DEUDNK
ESP
ESTFIN
FRA
GBR
GRC
HUN
IRL
ISL
ITA
LUX
NLD
NOR
POLPRT
SVK
SVN
SWE
CANMEX
NZL
USA
TUR
AUSISR
CHL
OECD
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
65 70 75 80 85 90 95
Empl
oym
ent r
ates
of th
e hig
hly e
duca
ted f
oreig
n-bo
rn
Employment rates of the highly educated native-born
Higher employment rates among foreign-born
Higher employment rates among native-born
AUT
BEL
CHE
CZE
DEU
DNK
ESPEST
FIN
FRA
GBRGRC
HUNIRL
ISL
ITA
LUX
NLD
NORPOL
PRT
SVK
SVN
SWECAN
MEXNZL
USA
TUR
AUS
ISR
CHL
OECD
25
35
45
55
65
75
85
25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80
Empl
oym
ent r
ates
of th
e low
-edu
cated
fore
ign-b
orn
Employment rates of the low-educated native-born
Higher employment rates among native-born
Higher employment rates among foreign-born
Disadvantage extends to the children of immigrants
Share of low-educated young people neither in employment nor education or training (NEET) among the total youth (15- to 25-year old), by place of birth, 2012-13
7
0
5
10
15
20
25
Native-born Foreign-born who migrated before age 15
