mexico political update - april 2012
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Monthly update on the presidential election process in Mexico.TRANSCRIPT
Mexico Political Update
April 2012
Mexico Political Update
April 2012
Nuricumbo + Partners
Audit •
Finance • Risk •
Strategy • Business Development
Nuricumbo + Partners
Audit •
Finance • Risk •
Strategy • Business Development
Political Parties and CoalitionsPolitical Parties and Coalitions
Statistics and Preference Polls Statistics and Preference Polls
ContactContact
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22
33
44
General OverviewGeneral Overview
Outline
Mexico
is
a
Representative
Democratic
Republic
conformed
by
32
Autonomous
States
(31 States and one Federal District).
• Both
the
Federation
and
the
States
adjust
to
the
model
for
the
division
of
powers
and
separation
of
functions,
divided
into
Executive,
Legislative, and Judicial Branch.
Mexico
is
a
Representative
Democratic
Republic
conformed
by
32
Autonomous
States
(31 States and one Federal District).
• Both
the
Federation
and
the
States
adjust
to
the
model
for
the
division
of
powers
and
separation
of
functions,
divided
into
Executive,
Legislative, and Judicial Branch.
Source: Electoral Federal Institute, 2012
Political Organization Political Organization
General Overview
• The
Executive
Branch
is
conformed
by
the
President,
elected
by
vote
for
a
period
of
6
years. Under no circumstance the President may be re‐elected.
• The Legislative Branch is vested upon the Union Congress, formed by a Lower Chamber
of 500 deputies and an Upper Chamber conformed by 128 senators.
• The Judicial Branch is vested upon the Supreme Court of Justice of the Nation, made up
by eleven ministers elected by the vote of two thirds of the Upper Chamber members.
• Elections
must be carried out through universal, free, secret and direct voting.
• The
Executive
Branch
is
conformed
by
the
President,
elected
by
vote
for
a
period
of
6
years. Under no circumstance the President may be re‐elected.
• The Legislative Branch is vested upon the Union Congress, formed by a Lower Chamber
of 500 deputies and an Upper Chamber conformed by 128 senators.
• The Judicial Branch is vested upon the Supreme Court of Justice of the Nation, made up
by eleven ministers elected by the vote of two thirds of the Upper Chamber members.
• Elections
must be carried out through universal, free, secret and direct voting.
Source: Electoral Federal Institute, 2012
Political Organization Political Organization
General Overview
Countrywide Nominated Positions: 2,127
• President
• 500 Federal Deputies
• 128 Federal Senators
• 7 State Governors
• 579 Local Deputies
• 876 Councils
• 16 Delegation Councils (Mexico City)
• 20 Municipal Boards
Election Date: July 1st, 2012
Countrywide Nominated Positions: 2,127
• President
• 500 Federal Deputies
• 128 Federal Senators
• 7 State Governors
• 579 Local Deputies
• 876 Councils
• 16 Delegation Councils (Mexico City)
• 20 Municipal Boards
Election Date: July 1st, 2012
Federal Pre‐
campaign
Dec 18th
– Feb 15th
Federal Inter
Campaign
Feb 16th
– Mar 29th
Federal
Campaign
Mar 30th
– Jun 27th
Elections July 1st
Entry President: Dec 1st
Others: Sept 1st
Agenda 2011 ‐
2012 Agenda 2011 ‐
2012
Source: Electoral Federal Institute, 2012
General Overview
New Alliance PartyNew Alliance Party
National Action PartyNational Action Party
Compromise for MexicoCompromise for Mexico
Progressive MovementProgressive Movement
Source: Senate of the Republic, 2012; Deputies Chamber, 2012; Newspaper “El Universal”, 2012.
Political Position: Center• Deputies: 141 / 500• Senators: 50 / 128
• Governors: 9 / 32 (3 PRD Coalition)
Political Position: Center• Deputies: 141 / 500• Senators: 50 / 128
• Governors: 9 / 32 (3 PRD Coalition)Political Position: Center Right
• Deputies: 261 / 500• Senators: 41 / 128• Governors: 20 / 32
Political Position: Center Right• Deputies: 261 / 500• Senators: 41 / 128• Governors: 20 / 32Political Position: Left• Deputies: 90 / 500• Senators: 33 / 128
• Governors: 6 / 32 (3 PAN Coalition)
Political Position: Left• Deputies: 90 / 500• Senators: 33 / 128
• Governors: 6 / 32 (3 PAN Coalition)Political Position: Center
• Deputies: 7 / 500• Senators: 0 / 128• Governors: 0 / 32
Political Position: Center• Deputies: 7 / 500• Senators: 0 / 128• Governors: 0 / 32
Election 2012: Parties and Coalitions’
Current SituationElection 2012: Parties and Coalitions’
Current Situation
Political Parties and Coalitions
Institutional
Revolutionary Party
National Action Party
Democratic Revolution
Party
Others ‐
Governor Election ‐
Political Map April 2012 Political Map April 2012
Source: www.eleccion2012mexico.com, 2012 and Newspaper “El Universal”
2012.
Political Parties and Coalitions
Josefina Vazquez Mota• Party: National Action Party• Education: Economy / Institutional Studies• Former Position: Minister of Education
Josefina Vazquez Mota• Party: National Action Party• Education: Economy / Institutional Studies• Former Position: Minister of Education
• Book: Our Opportunity: a
Mexico for Everyone, 2011.• Website: josefina.mx/
Enrique Peña Nieto• Party: Institutional Revolutionary Party• Education: Law / MBA• Former Position: Governor of State of Mexico
Enrique Peña Nieto• Party: Institutional Revolutionary Party• Education: Law / MBA• Former Position: Governor of State of Mexico
• Book: Mexico, the Great
Hope, 2011.
• Website:
www.enriquepenanieto.com/
Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador• Party: Democratic Revolution Party• Education: Political Science • Former Position: Governor of Federal District
Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador• Party: Democratic Revolution Party• Education: Political Science • Former Position: Governor of Federal District
• Book: The Mafia that took
over Mexico (2010).
• Website:
http://www.amlo.si/
Presidential CandidatesPresidential Candidates
Gabriel Quadri De la Torre• Party: New Alliance• Education: Civil Engineering / Master in Economy• Former Position: General Manager Ecosecurities
Gabriel Quadri De la Torre• Party: New Alliance• Education: Civil Engineering / Master in Economy• Former Position: General Manager Ecosecurities
• Book: Public Policies:
Sustainability and Environment
• Website: www.nueva‐
alianza.org.mx/
Source: Newspaper “El Universal”
2012.
Political Parties and Coalitions
Pillar 1: Security
• Guarantee the rule of law
• Integral
security
through
prevention,
control and punishment.
•Modernization of the army forces
• Reinforcement
of
health
and
educative
services.
• Increase
of
Federal
Police
up
to
150,000
elements.
Pillar 1: Security
• Guarantee the rule of law
• Integral
security
through
prevention,
control and punishment.
•Modernization of the army forces
• Reinforcement
of
health
and
educative
services.
• Increase
of
Federal
Police
up
to
150,000
elements.
Pillar 2: Welfare
• Construction
of
1,500 high schools and 150
universities.
• Increase from 8 to 16 million scholarships
• Ensure
1%
of
GDP
for
Science
and
Technology.
• Creation of the Ministry of Culture
• Construction
of
more
hospitals
countrywide.
Pillar 2: Welfare
• Construction
of
1,500 high schools and 150
universities.
• Increase from 8 to 16 million scholarships
• Ensure
1%
of
GDP
for
Science
and
Technology.
• Creation of the Ministry of Culture
• Construction
of
more
hospitals
countrywide.
Main Proposals: National Action PartyMain Proposals: National Action Party
Source: josefina.mx/, 2012.
Political Parties and Coalitions
Pillar 3: Productivity
• Development of Balanced budget policies
• Realistic and actual Labor Reform
• Development
of
new
Technological‐base
incubators.
• Boost
the
credit
for
Micro
and
Small‐sized
Companies.
• Minority
and
selective
private
investment
in PEMEX (National Oil Company).
Pillar 3: Productivity
• Development of Balanced budget policies
• Realistic and actual Labor Reform
• Development
of
new
Technological‐base
incubators.
• Boost
the
credit
for
Micro
and
Small‐sized
Companies.
• Minority
and
selective
private
investment
in PEMEX (National Oil Company).
Pillar 4: A Better Mexico
• Treatment for 100% of waste water
• Boost of wind energy sources
• Reinforcement
of
the
US
– Mexican
bilateral relation.
• New
incentives
for
green
technologies
and
environmental conservation.
• Defend the rights and interests of Mexicans
abroad.
Pillar 4: A Better Mexico
• Treatment for 100% of waste water
• Boost of wind energy sources
• Reinforcement
of
the
US
– Mexican
bilateral relation.
• New
incentives
for
green
technologies
and
environmental conservation.
• Defend the rights and interests of Mexicans
abroad.
Main Proposals: National Action PartyMain Proposals: National Action Party
Source: josefina.mx/, 2012.
Political Parties and Coalitions
1. Recovery of Peace and Freedom
• Reduce
kidnapping
and
homicides
to
50%,
reducing
extortions
and
trafficking;
develop
a
National Strategy to reduce violence.
2. An Inclusive Mexico without Poverty
• Set
conditions
to
allow
15
million
people
to
overcome
poverty
and
the
disappearance
of
food poverty; guarantee women, indigenous and disabled people’s rights.
3. More and Better Jobs
• Triple
the
economic
growth
of
the
last
decade
and
create
more
than
one
million
jobs
per
year; increase investment in infrastructure.
1. Recovery of Peace and Freedom
• Reduce
kidnapping
and
homicides
to
50%,
reducing
extortions
and
trafficking;
develop
a
National Strategy to reduce violence.
2. An Inclusive Mexico without Poverty
• Set
conditions
to
allow
15
million
people
to
overcome
poverty
and
the
disappearance
of
food poverty; guarantee women, indigenous and disabled people’s rights.
3. More and Better Jobs
• Triple
the
economic
growth
of
the
last
decade
and
create
more
than
one
million
jobs
per
year; increase investment in infrastructure.
Main Compromises: Compromise for Mexico CoalitionMain Compromises: Compromise for Mexico Coalition
Source: http://www.enriquepenanieto.com, 2012.
Political Parties and Coalitions
4. Quality Education for Everyone
• Offer
more
and
qualified
education
for
everyone,
reaching
an
universal
cover
from
kindergarten
to
high‐school
level;
at
least,
cover
45%
of
higher
education;
and
being
the
1st
place of the PISA standard (Program for International Student Assessment) in Latin America.
5. Recovery of the Mexican Leadership in the World
• Consolidate
Mexico
as
emerging
power
and
contribute
in
the
solution
of
global
problems,
such as climate change or drugs, people and weapon trafficking.
6. Efficient Government
• Offer certainty and results to the people in order to achieve the mentioned compromises.
4. Quality Education for Everyone
• Offer
more
and
qualified
education
for
everyone,
reaching
an
universal
cover
from
kindergarten
to
high‐school
level;
at
least,
cover
45%
of
higher
education;
and
being
the
1st
place of the PISA standard (Program for International Student Assessment) in Latin America.
5. Recovery of the Mexican Leadership in the World
• Consolidate
Mexico
as
emerging
power
and
contribute
in
the
solution
of
global
problems,
such as climate change or drugs, people and weapon trafficking.
6. Efficient Government
• Offer certainty and results to the people in order to achieve the mentioned compromises.
Main Compromises: Compromise for Mexico CoalitionMain Compromises: Compromise for Mexico Coalition
Source: http://www.enriquepenanieto.com, 2012.
Political Parties and Coalitions
1. Promote the Revolution of Conscience and a Critical Thinking
• Recover
the
sense
of
community;
restore
political
ethics
through
the
regulation
of
wages;
boost an Integral Human Rights Vision without hierarchies; defend cultural diversification.
2. Orient the State to serve the People
• Develop
of
the
productive
capacity;
increase
resources
for
education,
health,
housing,
environment and social affairs; renegotiate the external debt; set up a new federalism.
3. Democratization of the Media
• Create
autonomous
institutions
aimed
to
regulate
radio
and
TV
broadcasting;
promote
the
creation of cultural and educative shows; guarantee Internet access as information right.
1. Promote the Revolution of Conscience and a Critical Thinking
• Recover
the
sense
of
community;
restore
political
ethics
through
the
regulation
of
wages;
boost an Integral Human Rights Vision without hierarchies; defend cultural diversification.
2. Orient the State to serve the People
• Develop
of
the
productive
capacity;
increase
resources
for
education,
health,
housing,
environment and social affairs; renegotiate the external debt; set up a new federalism.
3. Democratization of the Media
• Create
autonomous
institutions
aimed
to
regulate
radio
and
TV
broadcasting;
promote
the
creation of cultural and educative shows; guarantee Internet access as information right.
Main Proposals: Progressive MovementMain Proposals: Progressive Movement
Source: http://www.amlo.si/
2012.
Political Parties and Coalitions
Source: http://www.amlo.si/
2012.
4. Create a New Economy
• Labor
protection
and
promote
formal
jobs;
fight
extortion;
promote
democracy
at
the
Unions; promote the insertion of young people into the labor market.
5. Fight Monopolies
• Promote
Law
reforms
(Economic
Federal
Law);
promote
competitive
pricing;
create
specialized court houses; broaden the training for judges.
6. Fight Corruption
• Reduce
salary
of
Government
officials;
impose
the
accountability
of
Government
officials;
remove additional cash bonus of Government officials; fight bravery.
4. Create a New Economy
• Labor
protection
and
promote
formal
jobs;
fight
extortion;
promote
democracy
at
the
Unions; promote the insertion of young people into the labor market.
5. Fight Monopolies
• Promote
Law
reforms
(Economic
Federal
Law);
promote
competitive
pricing;
create
specialized court houses; broaden the training for judges.
6. Fight Corruption
• Reduce
salary
of
Government
officials;
impose
the
accountability
of
Government
officials;
remove additional cash bonus of Government officials; fight bravery.
Main Proposals: Progressive MovementMain Proposals: Progressive Movement
Political Parties and Coalitions
Source: www.nueva‐alianza.org.mx/
2012.
1. Quality and Equity of Education
• Reduce the educative lag and increase schooling levels; decrease inequalities among regions
and social groups; increase educative quality; strengthen scientific / technological research.
2. Labor Opportunities
• Promote economic expansion and jobs creation; broaden labor offer; facilitate the access to
labor market and fight informality; broaden social and economic benefits.
3. The Family as the Central Axis of Society
• Promote conditions that facilitate coexistence between groups and persons; promote values
such as respect, tolerance, solidarity; promote actions that benefit single mothers.
1. Quality and Equity of Education
• Reduce the educative lag and increase schooling levels; decrease inequalities among regions
and social groups; increase educative quality; strengthen scientific / technological research.
2. Labor Opportunities
• Promote economic expansion and jobs creation; broaden labor offer; facilitate the access to
labor market and fight informality; broaden social and economic benefits.
3. The Family as the Central Axis of Society
• Promote conditions that facilitate coexistence between groups and persons; promote values
such as respect, tolerance, solidarity; promote actions that benefit single mothers.
Main Proposals: New AllianceMain Proposals: New Alliance
Political Parties and Coalitions
4. Equality and Dignity
• Promote
the
access
for
all
people
to
alimentation,
health
and
education;
fight
violence;
promote respect to Human Rights; promote the development of indigenous communities.
5. Defend the Environment
• Promote actions intended to
the restoration of
damaged
ecosystems;
promote
actions
that
allow economic growth and jobs creation without harming the environment.
4. Equality and Dignity
• Promote
the
access
for
all
people
to
alimentation,
health
and
education;
fight
violence;
promote respect to Human Rights; promote the development of indigenous communities.
5. Defend the Environment
• Promote actions intended to
the restoration of
damaged
ecosystems;
promote
actions
that
allow economic growth and jobs creation without harming the environment.
Main Proposals: New AllianceMain Proposals: New Alliance
Source: www.nueva‐alianza.org.mx/
2012.
Political Parties and Coalitions
Source: Electoral Federal Institute, 2012
Percentual Budget per Party Percentual Budget per Party
$32,168,433.46
$52,538,959.12
$33,843,516.27
$8,716,067.32
Total $127,266,976.20
Monetary Budget per PartyMonetary Budget per Party
Note: USDExchange Rate: $13.20 pesos / USD
Statistics and Preference Polls
45,478
2,806
2,345
1,421
1,372
Foreign VotersForeign Voters
Registered Voters 84,610,389
Foreign Voters 59,044
Total Registered VotersTotal Registered Voters
Source: Electoral Federal Institute, 2012
Percentage of time broadcasted in
Radio and TV per Candidate
Percentage of time broadcasted in
Radio and TV per Candidate
Media: Broadcast MonitoringMedia: Broadcast Monitoring
Period: March 30th
– April 5th, 2012Note: 493 selected News Programs
Statistics and Preference Polls
Voters’
Preference PollVoters’
Preference Poll
Question: If today were the Presidential Election, which candidate would you vote for? Source: Newspaper “El Universal”
2012.
Statistics and Preference Polls
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504, San Jose Insurgentes 03900, Mexico City
Tel. Office: + 52 (55) 5339 5839
Mobile: + 52 (55) 5453 6309
E‐mail: [email protected]
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Nuricumbo + Partners
Address: Plateros 16 –
504, San Jose Insurgentes 03900, Mexico City
Tel. Office: + 52 (55) 5339 5839
Mobile: + 52 (55) 5453 6309
E‐mail: [email protected]
Web: www.nuricumbo.com
Skype: nuricua BB Pin: 21BD8276
Contact