Metropolitan Transport Forum

Are Melbourne’s Growth Areas Sustainable?

Griff DavisGeneral Manager Advocacy and Communications

22 February 2012

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An interface municipality - part urban/part rural• Area of 490 sq kms• Metropolitan Ring Road• Melbourne Airport – 17 minutes• Docks 27 minutesGrowth:• 2009/10 growth 173 residents/week (net) • 2010-15 anticipated growth 35,000 people• 2010 approx. 5,550 new lots created• 2010 4,700 building permits• Last 4 years 17,100 building permits• Existing suburbs as well as new suburbs• South Morang Rail Extension (SMRE)• Melbourne Wholesale Fruit & Vegetable MarketCurrent Population: 162,000• In raw numbers Whittlesea is currently the

second largest growing LGA in Victoria• Expected to grow to 295,000 persons

by 2031, with 90,000 persons within new UGB area

Context: Location and Growth

Indicators Growth Areas vs Metro

Growth rate 2.7% 1.5% ?Jobs to population 27% 43%

Education, health, 6% 9%comm services andrec facilities service index

Yr 12 quals 39% 48%

Higher quals 10% 19%

Unemployment 5% 4%

Detached houses 82% 65%

Housing stress 19% 17%

**Youth disengagement 19% 15%**Source: SGS Economics and Planning for NGAA Cost Benefit Analysis of Investment in Growth Areas Nov 2009

• Narrow and vulnerable employment base• Lower education reduced opportunities • Escalated need for early intervention services (14%

growth since 2009, 20% growth anticipated over next two years)

• 45% increase in HACC services between 2005 and

• Community transport has a two year waiting list 2009

• Dental services – 2 years

• Respite services - coming

Concentration of DHS funded

*Community Service Organisations

*Excludes kindergartens

Oil and mortgage vulnerability in Melbourne, 2001.

'Unsettling Suburbia: The New Landscape of Oil and Mortgage Vulnerability in Australian Cities‘(Griffith University Urban Research Program )

Oil and mortgage vulnerability in

Melbourne, 2006.

Transport in the City of Whittlesea

•Public transport deficiencies in new residential developments fosters isolation and inhibits a sense of community connectedness.•Rapid population growth is overtaxing the area’s road and transport links. •Residents across the municipality are heavily car dependent.•Households spend a disproportionate amount of money operating cars to access schools, jobs, shopping, medical appointments etc.

H e a v y R a i l

In t e r c h a n g e

F r e e w a y s

M a in R o a d s

L ig h t R a i l

URBANGROW TH

AREASReservoir

YanYean

Reservoir

Tree

MILLPARK

EPPING

KANGAROO GROUND

RESEARCH

NUTFIELD

ARTHURS CREEK

WHITTLESEA

CRAIGIEBURN

DONNYBROOK

KALKALLO

W OODSTOCK

HUMEVALE

W OLLERT

SOMERTON

CAMPBELLFIELD

YARRAMBAT

DIAMONDCREEK

GREENSBOROUGH

ELTHAM

BUNDOORA

RESERVOIR

THOMASTOW N

WATTLEGLEN

HURSTBRIDGE

YANYEAN

E x is t in g U r b a n A r e a s

H e a v y R a i l

In t e r c h a n g e

F r e e w a y s

M a in R o a d s

L ig h t R a i l

URBANGROW TH

AREASReservoir

YanYean

Reservoir

Tree

MILLPARK

EPPING

KANGAROO GROUND

RESEARCH

NUTFIELD

ARTHURS CREEK

WHITTLESEA

CRAIGIEBURN

DONNYBROOK

KALKALLO

W OODSTOCK

HUMEVALE

W OLLERT

SOMERTON

CAMPBELLFIELD

YARRAMBAT

DIAMONDCREEK

GREENSBOROUGH

ELTHAM

BUNDOORA

RESERVOIR

THOMASTOW N

WATTLEGLEN

HURSTBRIDGE

YANYEAN

M a jo r A c t iv i t y C e n t r e s

E m p lo y m e n t

R e s id e n t ia l

G r o w t h A r e a s :

SOUTHMORANG

EMPLOYMENTAREA

YanYean

Reservoir

Tree

SOUTHMORANG

DOREENMERNDA

YanYean

Reservoir

Tree

YanYean

Reservoir

Tree

COOPERSTREET

EMPLOYMENTAREA

YanYean

Reservoir

Tree

EPPINGNORTH

YanYean

Reservoir

Tree

F in d o n R o a d U p g r a d e

R o a d P r o je c ts :

P le n t y R o a d U p g r a d e

E p p in g R o a d U p g r a d e

E d g a r s R o a d E x t e n s io n

B r id g e In n R o a d U p g r a d e

C r a ig ie b u r n B y p a s s

E 6 A r t e r ia l

H e a v y R a i l R e s e r v e /T r a n s p o r t C o r r id o r

F u t u r e T r a n s i t :

L ig h t R a i l E x t e n s io n

Vic Urban - Aurora10,000 lots approx.

A V Jennings - Lyndarum1400 lots approx.

Miracle Investments - Horizons 3076200 lots approx.

Hayston Valley Pty Ltd - Hayston Valley375 lots approx.

Australand - Legends Hill105 lots approx.

Miracle Investments - Bluestone Views200 lots approx.

Epping North East LSP5,000 lots approx.Incl. Investa (Eucalypt)Evolve (Summerhill), AVJ (Lyndarum 2), and Villawood

Epping North Growth Area

20,000 lots total

Joint responsibility of all levels of Government to define appropriate directions and to provide certainty in tangible ways

LG has varying capacity to define appropriate directions and to provide certainty but does not have the capacity to deal with the broader structural issues in isolation

Growth areas must be viewed within a broader metropolitan contextGrowth areas can no longer be viewed as single purpose housing destinations

Work towards a fully resolved growth areas frameworkAll growth areas have common servicing requirements at a structural level

• Application of traditional neighbourhood design philosophy for growth areas

Promote a sense of community and place via creation of neighbourhoods as the fundamental building block

Certainty of partnership with State A successful growth area is a triple bottom line positive effect for the State

Attributes of Growth Area Planning

New Facilities included in 15 Year New Works Program

Facility Type Numberof

Facilities

2010/11to

2014/15

2015/16to

2019/2020

2020/21to

2024/25

Community Activity Centres (CAC) 12 9 3 0

Pavilions 18 10 8 0

Football/Soccer Ovals 20 13 7 0

Tennis Courts 6 4 1 0

Aquatic/Leisure Centres 2 0 2 0

Libraries 2 0 2 0

Primary Schools 25-30 20?

Secondary Schools 5-10 4?

Hospitals 1

Council’s Financial Planning

Accumulated Deficit for the Next 15 Years

$30.5

$66.9

$139.1

$171.5

$111.8

$47.4

$176.5

North Growth Corridor

$0.0

$50.0

$100.0

$150.0

$200.0

20

10

/20

11

20

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/20

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20

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20

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Mill

ion

s

The Victorian Government develop infrastructure provision plans as the next step below its Growth Corridor Plans addressing both local and regional service delivery requirements and funding.

In collaboration with the Federal Government develop an Infrastructure Fund involving among other mechanisms infrastructure bonds.

Recommendations

Transport – the Key to Liveability

There is a strong link between transport disadvantage, social exclusion and well being..........

especially in the Interface Councils.

The Australian Research Council Project on Transport Disadvantage,

Social Exclusion and Well Being – Policy implications for the Interface Councils of Melbourne

(Stanley, Currie & Delbosc, November 2010)