metro vancouver 2040
TRANSCRIPT
Metro Vancouver
2040Planning for our Future
www.nikolasbadminton.com
“86% of the people in the developed world will live in cities by 2050.”
Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg22129524-100-vertical-farms-sprouting-all-over-the-world/
1. Trends in workspace configurations.
2. Large and diverse talent pools.
3. Ecosystems of advisers and services.
4. Maintaining a competitive edge.
Source: http://blogs.wsj.com/briefly/2016/07/14/the-future-of-cities-green-building-to-driverless-cars-at-a-glance/
6m in BC by 2040
3.4m by 2041
Metro Vancouver 2040 Smart Cities Citizen-focused Architecture 2017 to 2025 Predictions
Metro Vancouver
2040
GROWTH EFFICIENCY
PROTECTION AFFORDABILITY EMPLOYMENT
TRANSPORTATION REDUCTION
Changing Citizens
Certainty Variety
Significance Connection/Love
Growth Contribution
Millennials(45 to 60 years old)
“Now that the economic shackles are coming off today’s young urbanites, cities that want to stay vibrant have to figure out how to convince them—and their growing families—to stick around”
Source: http://fortune.com/2016/03/28/millennials-leaving-cities/
The ‘safe generation’
2007
2008
More people on earth have access to cell phones than toilets.
Out of the world's estimated 7 billion people, 6 billion have access to mobile phones.
Source: United Nations, 2015
$446bn
$608bn
$541bn$373bn
$255bn
Gen Z(20 to 43 years old)
The ‘activist generation’ shaped by
big tech companies
What’s next?
“Social commentator Neer Korn has suggested there could be a backlash against consumerism from the cohort that follows Generation Z.”
Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Generation_Z
Zero Margin Economy
Basic Minimum Income
Smart Cities
CONNECTIVITY
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3442115/Download-boxsets-blink-eye-Record-breaking-superfast-broadband-50-000-TIMES-faster-current-speeds.html
“This technology will be everywhere in 10 to 15 years, it will be incorporated into every light and every device.”
Harald Burchardt PureLi-Fi COO
Internet of Things
“4.9 billion connected things will be in use in 2015, up 30 percent from 2014, and will reach 25 billion by 2020.”
Gartner
Source: https://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2905717
Smart Buildings
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2agi5xxBnfU
https://mitei.mit.edu/news/transparent-solar-cells
“If this technology replaced all the glazing on the One World Trade Center building in New York City, the windows could power more than 350 apartments.”
ENERGY.GOV
http://www.energy.gov/articles/turning-windows-solar-panels
Really Smart Buildings
“Food production must increase with 60% to be able to feed the growing population expected to hit 9 billion in 2050.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1clRcxZS52s
"We're growing in 16 days what otherwise takes 30 days in a field - using 95% less water, about 50% less fertilizers, zero pesticides, herbicides, fungicides"
David Rosenberg, CEO, AeroFarms
Source: http://www.cnbc.com/2015/06/24/vertical-farming-the-next-big-thing-for-food-and-tech.html
Programmable Cities
Bristol
Chicago
Chicago Array of Things
Start at 00:46s to 1:47s
“Monitors in station agent booths were seen with the message, “You Hacked. ALL data encrypted,” and the culprit allegedly demanded 100 Bitcoin (about $73,000).”
WIRED
Source: https://www.wired.com/2016/11/sfs-transit-hack-couldve-way-worse-cities-must-prepare/
“SFMTA’s backup servers did not appear to be among the thousands of impacted machines, which could allow the agency to avoid paying the ransom and restore their computers from previous copies of their system data.”
HoodLineSource: http://hoodline.com/2016/11/hackers-hold-sfmta-s-computer-network-hostage-for-73k-ransom
“Between April 2014 and the end of 2015, the FBI received 4,291 reports of ransomware attacks. Losses over that period totaled nearly $50 million.”
FUSION
http://fusion.net/story/278801/hackers-ransomware-hospital-smart-cities/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pL9q2lOZ1Fw https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hcoVMXLTQzw
Power Grids Traffic Grid
Internet of Things (IoT) botnet “Mirai" spawned a 620Gbps DDoS against
KrebsOnSecurity.
“The malware relied on factory default or hard-coded usernames and passwords to compromise vulnerable IoT devices such as insecure routers, IP cameras, digital video recorders and the like.”
Source: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2016/10/10/iot_botnet/
Mode Shift
BICYCLES CO-OPS
AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES TRANSIT & HAULAGE
Bicycles
Daily cycling trips in Vancouver: 100,000 Approx 10% of all trips are made by bike.
Cycling is the fastest growing mode of transportation in Vancouver. From 2008 to 2011 alone, trips by bike increased by a full 40%
100,000 trips made within 2.5 months of launch.
<add in experimental raised London bikeways - SkyCycle>SkyCycle
Co-ops
“Canada has 5,000 cars available to more than 280,000 users”
U.S.-based Transportation Sustainability Research Center (TSRC), 2014
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/small-business/sb-growth/car-sharing-not-just-for-grocery-runs-any-more/article24142203/
http://www.bloomberg.com/features/2016-ev-oil-crisis/
Autonomous Vehicles
2000 deaths per year
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/rob-commentary/how-autonomous-vehicles-will-transform-economies/article28931855/
1. A car always opts for property damage over personal injury; 2. It never distinguishes between humans based on
categories such as age or race; 3. If a human removes his or her hands from the steering
wheel the car’s manufacturer is liable if there is a collision.
3 LAWS OF DRIVERLESS CARS
Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg23130923-200-germany-to-create-worlds-first-highway-code-for-driverless-cars/
Transit & Haulage
Lausanne, Switzerland Trikala, Greece Zhengzhou, China Wageningen, Netherlands
<add in experimental raised London bikeways - SkyCycle>
Citizen Architecture
Certainty Variety
Significance Connection/Love
Growth Contribution
1. Evolving through feedback and collaboration. 2. Lower cost and self-optimizing. 3. Community-focused, social, & people-friendly. 4. Sustainable, Configurable, Extensible, & Contextual. 5. Secure.
2017 to 2025Predictions
1New municipal, and organizational, solutions will be discovered in design charrettes involving employees & citizens.
2Developers, Data Scientists, and Security Experts will be foundational in the running of all city functions.
3Suburban-to-city & city-to-city transit connections will become more extensive & efficient and we embrace GVRD as a ‘mega-region’.
4Cities will become more walkable & bike-friendly with fewer vehicles on the streets and the introduction of pedestrian zones.
5 Automated vehicles will make up 10% of on-street traffic.
Metro Vancouver
2040Planning for our Future
www.nikolasbadminton.com