methodology:quantaveandqualitave...feb 28, 2017 · c 6! snackshaveevolvedsignificantly...
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Methodology: Quan1ta1ve and Qualita1ve
1) An Online Na,onal Snacking Survey
Sample size and survey sampling error at 95% confidence level: All U.S. adults, n=2,112 ±2.2%
Parents of children under 18, n=1,187 ±2.8%
2) Hartman Group Ea,ng Occasions Compass, a comprehensive database on American ea,ng paLerns, grounded in a complete enumera,on of past-‐24-‐hour ea,ng occasions. Sample size and survey sampling error at 95% confidence level: 2012-‐2016 Adult ea,ng occasions, n=102,340 ±0.3%
2016 Adult ea,ng occasions, n=18,233 ±0.7%
3) One-‐on-‐one, in-‐home interviews in the greater SeaLle metro area 4) Virtual interviews in:
Florida, MassachuseLs, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, and Texas
Respondents qualified to par,cipate based on: • Millennials (18-‐37), Gen-‐Xers (38-‐51), Boomers (52-‐70), and
Silent (71-‐79) • Mix of gender, ethnici,es, incomes, educa,on, and household
composi,on • Primary HH shopper (50% or more of HH food shopping)
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A New Culture of Snacking 1
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The modern era of snackified ea1ng has fully emerged
91% MOD E R N S N A C K I N G MOD E L
snack
snack 8% of these consumers forego meals altogether in favor of all-‐day snacking
of consumers snack mul,ple ,mes throughout the day
How Did We Get Here? And what is in the future for snacking ?
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ShiTs in lifestyle, culture, and values Increase in snacking
Upending of tradi1onal, daily food rituals • Ea,ng paLerns/,mes disrupted by ,me pressures,
commitments
• Decline of meal planning and cooking skills
• Democra,za,on of planning, shopping, and cooking in households
Changing wellness & culinary trends • Elevated focus on food and beverages for nutri,on
• Broadening of preferences as food globalizes
• Reevalua,on of health choices
Growing accessibility to food and food types • Enables constant consump,on (& requires greater
restraint)
• Diversity of food types and new brands
Net Effect:
50% of all ea1ng occasions are snacking
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Snacks have evolved significantly
Past and Tradi1onal Emerging and Future
Fresh, Global, Experien1al Take
Prominence Values
Role of
Snacking & M
eals Snacking is
infrequent Meals are central and drive ea1ng
Snacks are for kids – treat only
Moralis1c management of snacking as consciousness of fat/salt/sugar Cracks in the dominance of meals
Snacks become compa1ble with and enablers of wellness
Snacks increasingly fluid, undefined, and ubiquitous Meals at 1mes displaced by snacks though s1ll valued
Iconic “snack” industry-‐created brands emerge Burgeoning “snack
categories” – rise of the salty snack (& accompanying beverages)
New FRESH food values ignite growth of minimally processed food & beverage for snacking
Prolifera1on of small, Premium-‐quality brands compe1ng with legacy
Packaged snack boom
Food
Indu
stry
Bran
ds
Snacks become a shared pas1me – diversion, fun, fill-‐in to meals
Home as Epicenter of Food Management: Industrially Processed Food Delivers Reliable
Convenience
Fresh & Real Defines Quality
Wellness-‐Driven ShiT in Food
Values
Limited calories and por1on-‐controlled op1ons
Legacy brands contemporize to compete
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Meals and snacks defined
The defini5on (though not the prac,ce) of Meals has a lot of consensus: • Set apart by ,me and place
• Norma1ve daypart associa,ons that mark their beginning and end
• Substan1al both for calories and quan,ty of food
• Nutri1onal balance between proteins, vegetables, and carbs
• (Ideally) shared with other people
Snacks, on the other hand, have fewer cultural underpinnings:
• Between meals—punctua,ng and/or bridging larger ea,ngs
• Low or no prep to sa,sfy demands for immediacy
• Less substan1al, ohen containing fewer than 200 or 300 calories
• No requirements for nutri1onal balance or presence of mul,ple food groups
• Happen fluidly and spontaneously, ohen during other ac,vi,es
• Individual and personalized
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… However, the boundary between what comprises a meal and a snack is increasingly blurry
“Everyone eats so differently these days. That’s why it’s kinda
confusing, because to a lot of people now, breakfast is just a slice of toast, a cup of coffee, and maybe a fruit on the way out the door. But to me those are
snacks.”
—Audie (49)
Snacks are not just complemen1ng but replacing meals
21% of consumers are snacking more than they were 5 years ago …
… Of that number, 42% have done so while cunng back the number of meals eaten in a day.
What classifies as a “snack” is broadening
38% of consumers say they ohen have lehovers as a snack.
In turn, the structure of meals is changing, crea1ng new gray spaces
50% of “mini meal” eaters say that the occasion replaced a tradi,onal breakfast, lunch, or dinner (20% were in addi,on to a meal).
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2 Modern Snacking Framework
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The Modern Snacking Framework: Genng to the “why” of snacking
OPTIMIZATION Snacking that helps one fulfill physical
and mental performance demands
NOURISHMENT Snacking that meets needs for daily sustenance, long-‐term wellness, and health
management
PLEASURE Snacking that fulfills emo,onal desires for enjoyment, craving,
and comfort
TOP OPTIMIZATION NEEDS • Quick Energy • Recovery & Rejuvena,on
• Mental Focus • Stress Management
Key ADributes: Protein, Fat, Fiber, Caffeine, Condi,on-‐specific vitamins and minerals, An,oxidants, Botanicals (plants, herbs, and extracts), Adaptogenic botanicals, LOW sugar
TOP NOURISHMENT NEEDS • Hunger Abatement • Hydra,on Management • Sustained Energy • Condi,on Management
Key ADributes: Water, Whole grains, Fiber, Protein, Fat, Probio,cs, Minimal sugar
TOP PLEASURE NEEDS • Indulgence & Reward • Comfort & Craving • Variety • Discovery
Key ADributes: Good taste, Dis,nc,ve flavor/texture, Iconicity/nostalgia, Surprise & delight, Beauty/design, Global flavor, Interac,ve
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Key needs during snacking occasions Presence of Needs on Occasions
(By Percentage of Total Occasions)
39%
26%
12%
9%
45%
26%
17%
7%
I was just hungry
Tide me over un1l the next meal
Sustained energy
Would rehydrate me
42%
26%
14%
8%
Total Occasions
56% of all snacking
occasions reflect some need for Nourishment
33%
14%
9%
5%
5%
36%
9%
11%
8%
6%
A familiar taste experience
Would help me relax/unwind
Something other than the usual flavors
I wanted something different to eat
Something other than the usual textures Snack occasions
Meal occasions
34%
12%
10%
6%
5%
49% of all snacking
occasions reflect some need for
Pleasure
19%
16%
9%
3%
16%
13%
8%
2%
Would refresh me
Would quench my thirst
Would wake me up
Would support athle1c training/performance
15%
18%
8%
2%
34% of all snacking occasions reflect some need for
Op1miza1on
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Approaches to and antudes about snacking
Approaches to Snacking (By Total Consumers)
48%
41%
38%
30%
29%
Snacking is a way for me to include more fruits and vegetables in my diet
I manage my snacking to ensure I have sustained energy to get through the day
Ea1ng more snacks allows me to manage my appe1te
Snacking is a cri1cal tool in my weight management strategies
Snacking allows me to control my calories throughout the day
Nourishment
48%
45%
39%
Snacking is a way for me to refuel aTer strenuous ac1vity
I consume beverages throughout the day to manage my alertness or focus
Snacking is a way for me to maintain focus throughout the day Op1miza1on
46%
41%
32%
30%
I snack for comfort
Snacking is something I use as a reward/treat myself
I try to have healthier meals so I can indulge when I snack
Snacking allows me to try new/global flavors Pleasure
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52%
52%
51%
34%
35%
48%
44%
36%
30%
30%
46%
30%
29%
25%
23%
Snacking helps me include more fruits and vegetables
I manage my snacking to ensure I have sustained energy to get
through the day
Ea1ng more snacks allows me to manage my appe1te
Snacking is a cri1cal tool in my weight management strategies
Snacking allows me to control my calories throughout the day
Millennials (18-‐37)
Gen X (38-‐51)
Boomers (52-‐70)
Snacking for Nourishment
48%
41%
38%
30%
29%
Total
Approaches to Snacking (By Age Cohort)
Significantly different from Older Genera,on(s) at 95% CL
Popular Consumer Examples:
(Greek) yogurt
nut and granola bars
Whole fruits & vegetables
Grain chips and crackers with healthy dips
RTD tea, water, and smoothies
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Snacking for Op1miza1on
Approaches to Snacking (By Age Cohort)
62%
54%
52%
46%
45%
42%
39%
36%
26%
Snacking helps me to refuel aTer strenuous ac1vity
I consume beverages to manage my alertness or focus
Snacking is a way for me to maintain focus throughout
the day
Millennials (18-‐37)
Gen X (38-‐51)
Boomers (52-‐70)
48%
45%
39%
Significantly different from Older Genera,on(s) at 95% CL
Total Popular Consumer Examples:
Meat protein snacks
Coffee
Kombucha
Energy & sports drinks
Energy & granola bars
Func,onal beverages and ingredients
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Snacking for Pleasure
52%
49%
35%
42%
46%
43%
31%
28%
41%
33%
29%
20%
I snack for comfort
Snacking is something I use as a reward/treat myself
I try to have healthier MEALS so I can indulge when I SNACK
Snacking allows me to try new/global flavors Millennials (18-‐37)
Gen X (38-‐51) Boomers (52-‐70)
Approaches to Snacking (By Age Cohort)
Significantly different from Older Genera,on(s) at 95% CL
Popular Consumer Examples:
Chocolate & candy
Ice cream & novel,es
CSDs
Baked goods
Chips Popcorn
Globally inspired
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The Customized Balance of Snacking Behaviors and Parerns 3
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Snacking is a pursuit of Customized Balance
Work
Mental needs
Physical needs
Emo1onal needs
Taste preferences
Social situa1ons Budget
Lifestyle/ dietary choices
Personal goals
Family / living situa1on
NOURISHMENT
OPTIMIZATION PLEASURE
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Snacking can be fraught with tension
22% of all snacking is Aimless
Aimless snacking is characterized by:
• Boredom
• Ea,ng that is not food focused
• Trigger for physical sensa,on—to just “have something”
• Convenient access
• Guilt and regret aherwards
• Unmemorable ea,ng (and thus underreported)
• Unplanned (and thus jus,fied as purposeful aherward)
50%
45%
36%
36%
36%
I snack when I am bored
I snack more than I should
I snack to cope with stress/frustra1on
Snacking is a serious obstacle for my weight management strategies
I am trying to eliminate or limit snacks
Tensions of Snacking (By Total Consumers)
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When: Snacking tends to increase as the day progresses, when there is a greater desire to indulge rather than exercise restraint
23% Early
Morning Snack
68% Breakfast
25% Morning Snack
69% Lunch
43% ATernoon
Snack
82% Dinner
45% ATer-‐ Dinner Snack
26% Late Night
Snack
Percentage of Total Popula1on Par1cipa1ng in Ea1ng Occasions (Past 24 hours)
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When & What: Top food & beverage choices reflect how snacking drivers change across the day
OPTIMIZATION
NOURISHMENT
PLEASURE
30% Coffee 16% Fruit/Fruit Snacks 16% Breads and bread-‐like foods 15% Water 15% Fruit Juice/Nectar 12% Bars 10% Cheese
19% Water 14% Fruit/Fruit Snacks 14% Carbonated SoT Drink 13% Salty snacks (chips, popcorn, etc.) 11% Crackers 10% Sweets (candy, cake, ice cream) 10% Cheese
23% Sweets (candy, cake, ice cream) 15% Water 14% Carbonated SoT Drink 12% Salty snacks (chips, popcorn, etc.) 10% Fruit/Fruit snacks 9% Dairy (milk, yogurt, etc.)
Top Food and Beverages Consumed on Snacking Occasions
Early and mid-‐morning snacking ATernoon snacking ATer dinner and evening snacking
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Where: While most snacking happens at home, evening snacking in par1cular orients to home
Early Morning Snack
Morning Snack
ATernoon Snack
ATer Dinner Snack
Late Night Snack
75% Home 11% Work 8% Restaurant 6% Other*
60% Home 26% Work 7% Restaurant 7% Other*
66% Home 15% Work 7% Restaurant 11% Other*
90% Home 2% Work 3% Restaurant 5% Other*
87% Home 2% Work 7% Restaurant 4% Other*
*Other includes on-‐the-‐go (bus, car, etc.), Retail store, Other place away from home
Loca1on of Snacking by Daypart
OPTIMIZATION
NOURISHMENT
PLEASURE
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With Whom: Snacking alone
51% Early
Morning Snack
53% Breakfast
54% Morning Snack
44% Lunch
50% ATernoon
Snack
27% Dinner
40% ATer-‐ Dinner Snack
52% Late Night
Snack
Por1on of Ea1ng Alone by Occasion
49% of all snacking occasions are
alone
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The Impact of Children
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73%
71%
63%
57%
55%
48%
46%
45%
41%
40%
I try to give my child(ren) nutri1onally balanced snacks
The snacks I give to my child(ren) are ones that I would eat
I try to limit the number of snacks my child(ren) has in a day
Snacking is an integral part of my child's(ren's) day
I am usually firm about which snacks my child(ren) can eat
Providing snacks to my child(ren) helps give me enough 1me to prepare meals
My child(ren) can freely choose which snacks they want to eat
I oTen give my child(ren) packaged 'fun' treats because they are easy/convenient
I oTen treat my child(ren) with a snack for good behavior
A quick snack is an effec1ve way to calm my child(ren) when upset
Parents are seeking a customized balance of fun and nutri1on in their kids’ snacking
Approaches to Children’s Snacking (Among All Households With Children)
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45%
39%
37%
36%
30%
27%
26%
25%
25%
23%
22%
20%
18%
18%
18%
17%
16%
15%
26%
43%
41%
24%
19%
19%
24%
13%
18%
11%
16%
13%
14%
15%
13%
23%
30%
10%
Is low in sugar
Ease of prepara1on
Price of snack
Is a high-‐quality item
Is made with fresh ingredients
Made with simple, recognizable ingredients
That are high in protein
Has no ar1ficial flavors/colors/preserva1ves
That are minimally processed
Has added vitamins and minerals
That are low-‐salt/lower in salt
Does not contain GMOs
Made with good fats
That is low-‐fat/lower in fat
Is made with a short list of ingredients
That are lower calorie
Will prevent me from being hungry again
Is made with organic ingredients
Parents’ Considera1ons When Choosing Snacks
Parents choosing snacks for children
Parents choosing snacks for themselves
Parents hold a higher bar for snacks for their children than for themselves
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The Snack-‐Shopping Landscape 4
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There is some significant change in where consumers buy their snacks
4%
4%
2%
3%
15%
79%
5%
4%
3%
3%
11%
81%
Other
Work
Vending Machine
Another person
Food Service
Food Retailer
Snack Occasions
Meal occasions
Significant difference from 2012 at 95% CL
3% pts
4% pts
4% pts
2% pts
1% pts 1% pts
2%
1%
3%
4%
3%
7%
11%
19%
73%
2%
2%
4%
4%
6%
6%
11%
20%
67%
Other
Drug
Dollar
Natural
Convenience
Club
Supercenter
Mass
Grocery
Snack occasions
Meal occasions
3% pts
Significant difference from 2012 at 95% CL
1% pts
1% pts
3% pts
1% pts
1% pts
3% pts
1% pts
Where Snacks and Meals Come From Snack and Meal Sourcing Among Food Retailers
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In this diversifying topography, consumers use retailers based on how they meet specific sourcing needs
Snack Des1na1ons (Convenience, Dollar, Drug)
Such des,na,ons are uniquely posi,oned to sa,sfy snack
occasions more so than meals.
Snack Generalists (Tradi,onal Grocery)
Despite aLri,on, grocery remains the
most enduring channel for rou,ne snack shopping.
Snack Innovators (Natural/Specialty)
The Natural/Specialty channel provides
unique, playful, and globally inspired items that have a health and quality connec,on.
Snack Specialists (Online Subscrip,on Services)
A small but diversified channel, online subscrip,on services
specialize in snack explora,on.
Snack Pantry Stockers (Mass, Supercenter, Club)
These channels orient to large stock-‐up
purchases and allow for one-‐stop shopping of snacks and beyond.
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Food service is mee1ng the need for Immediate Consump1on occasions
63%
32%
16%
14%
3%
2%
Food retailer
Food service
Work
A vending machine
Another person
Other
Sourcing for Immediate Consump1on Snacking Occasions (Not Including Dining at Food Service)
Significant difference from 2012 at 95% CL
10% pts
11% pts
Immediate Consump1on (IC): Ea1ng occasions in which at least some items for that occasion were purchased within an hour of ea1ng/drinking (includes ea,ng out/restaurant occasions)
18% of snacking occasions are IC
Since 2012
5% pts
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Final Takeaways from the Future of Snacking 5
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The future of snacking presents mul1ple opportuni1es for companies to relate with consumers around new, flexible ea1ng styles
ERA OF EXPLORATION
Ø Recommenda1on: Posi,on snacks as a chance to engage in playful food explora,on.
MEAL-‐SNACK BLURRING
Ø Recommenda1on: Create and promote new offerings that service the malleability of the snackified meal.
NEW LANGUAGE FOR NEW OCCASIONS
Ø Recommenda1on: Draw on the variety of exis,ng consumer language around snacks to define new snacking moments.
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MODERN NEEDS
Ø Recommenda1on: Orient your offerings to at least one of the three fundamental drivers of Nourishment, Op,miza,on, or Pleasure.
MODERN TENSIONS
Ø Recommenda1on: Recognize your role in crea,ng as well as resolving some of the tensions that consumers have around snacking behaviors and choices.
The future of snacking presents opportuni1es for companies to guide product development from a needs-‐based perspec1ve
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The future of snacking demands an understanding of occasion dynamics in addi1on to needs in order to develop the most compelling solu1ons
FLEXIBLE PATTERNS
Ø Recommenda1on: Explore not only what needs your product(s) addresses but how those needs are expressed through occasions that have a daypart or week-‐part relevance.
PORTABILITY FOR MOBILITY
Ø Recommenda1on: Consider not only how package design simplifies the OTG user experience but how the essence of the product itself enables a mobile lifestyle.
Ø Recommenda1on: Retail store designs can op,mize layouts to serve snacking occasions and facilitate quick throughput and checkout experiences.
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The future of snacking will fully embrace freshness
FRESH EXPECTATIONS
Ø Recommenda1on: Consider how product formula,on as well as all aspects of the consump,on currently signal contemporary no,ons of quality or may need to be revamped.
Ø Recommenda1on: The right product mix at retail that reflects the desire for fresh as well as iconic or more processed favorites is key.
FRESH & FAST RETAIL
Ø Recommenda1on: Retailers can disrupt expecta,ons by making moves to overlap with food service offerings in ways that are believable and deliver on quality and experience.
Ø Recommenda1on: Food service—par,cularly QSR and fast casual—must con,nue efforts to message directly to snacking occasions.
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ABOUT THE HARTMAN GROUP
The Hartman Group is the premier food and beverage consultancy in the world. Companies and brands across all segments of the food and beverage industry benefit from our unparalleled depth of knowledge on consumers, culture, trends and demand-‐side market strategy. We listen closely to understand our clients’ business challenges and tailor solu,ons that deliver transforma,ve results. Through a unique suite of integrated custom, primary research capabili,es, market analy,cs, and business strategy services, we uncover opportunity spaces and avenues for growth. We deliver more compelling insights that fuel inspira,on and ideas for innova,on.
3150 Richards Road, Ste. 200 Bellevue, WA 98005 Tel (425) 452 0818 Fax (425) 452 9092 www.hartman-‐group.com