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6/18/2013 1 Member Induction GCC’s Financial Challenges Pete Bungard Jo Walker 21 st May 2013

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Page 1: Member Induction GCC’s Financial Challenges · GCC’s Financial Challenges Pete Bungard Jo Walker 21st May 2013 . 6/18/2013 2 . 6/18/2013 3 . 6/18/2013 4 . 6/18/2013 5 Cuts Close

6/18/2013

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Member Induction

GCC’s Financial

Challenges

Pete Bungard

Jo Walker

21st May 2013

Page 2: Member Induction GCC’s Financial Challenges · GCC’s Financial Challenges Pete Bungard Jo Walker 21st May 2013 . 6/18/2013 2 . 6/18/2013 3 . 6/18/2013 4 . 6/18/2013 5 Cuts Close

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Page 3: Member Induction GCC’s Financial Challenges · GCC’s Financial Challenges Pete Bungard Jo Walker 21st May 2013 . 6/18/2013 2 . 6/18/2013 3 . 6/18/2013 4 . 6/18/2013 5 Cuts Close

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Page 4: Member Induction GCC’s Financial Challenges · GCC’s Financial Challenges Pete Bungard Jo Walker 21st May 2013 . 6/18/2013 2 . 6/18/2013 3 . 6/18/2013 4 . 6/18/2013 5 Cuts Close

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Page 5: Member Induction GCC’s Financial Challenges · GCC’s Financial Challenges Pete Bungard Jo Walker 21st May 2013 . 6/18/2013 2 . 6/18/2013 3 . 6/18/2013 4 . 6/18/2013 5 Cuts Close

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Cuts

Close

Cheaper

New Thinking

to Stem Demand

Day Job

(2010 funding world)

New Tricks

to maintain a service

Transform; compete out or think out

How is GCC Funded?

Page 6: Member Induction GCC’s Financial Challenges · GCC’s Financial Challenges Pete Bungard Jo Walker 21st May 2013 . 6/18/2013 2 . 6/18/2013 3 . 6/18/2013 4 . 6/18/2013 5 Cuts Close

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Gloucestershire County Council - MTFS Net

Expenditure Budget 2013/14

Gloucestershire County Council – 2013/14

Budget Book and MTFS Link:

http://www.gloucestershire.gov.uk/budget

Page 7: Member Induction GCC’s Financial Challenges · GCC’s Financial Challenges Pete Bungard Jo Walker 21st May 2013 . 6/18/2013 2 . 6/18/2013 3 . 6/18/2013 4 . 6/18/2013 5 Cuts Close

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Gloucestershire County Council - MTFS Gross

Expenditure Budget 2013/14

Dedicated Schools Budget 2009-10

to 2013-14

Page 8: Member Induction GCC’s Financial Challenges · GCC’s Financial Challenges Pete Bungard Jo Walker 21st May 2013 . 6/18/2013 2 . 6/18/2013 3 . 6/18/2013 4 . 6/18/2013 5 Cuts Close

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Capital Proposals 2013/14

Reducing Funds….

Page 9: Member Induction GCC’s Financial Challenges · GCC’s Financial Challenges Pete Bungard Jo Walker 21st May 2013 . 6/18/2013 2 . 6/18/2013 3 . 6/18/2013 4 . 6/18/2013 5 Cuts Close

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3.4%

-2.1%

-1.0%

-3.6% -4.0%

-3.0%

-2.0%

-1.0%

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0% GCC

2010-11 %

2011-12 %

2012-13 %

2013-14 %

Movements in the Budget

2010-11 to 2013-14

Total of Yr on Yr % change: -3.3%

-20.0%

-15.0%

-10.0%

-5.0%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

Adults Children & Families

Communities & Infrastructure

(Excluding Waste) Waste Corporate & Support

Costs

2010-11 % 2011-12 % 2012-13 % 2013-14 %

Movements in the Budget by Service

Area 2010-11 to 2013-14

Total of Yr on Yr

% change: +5.5%

Total of Yr on Yr

% change: -18.5%

Total of Yr on Yr

% change: +14.4%

Total of Yr on Yr

% change: -31.1%

Total of Yr on Yr

% change: -14.2%

Page 10: Member Induction GCC’s Financial Challenges · GCC’s Financial Challenges Pete Bungard Jo Walker 21st May 2013 . 6/18/2013 2 . 6/18/2013 3 . 6/18/2013 4 . 6/18/2013 5 Cuts Close

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Budget change 2012/13 to 2013/14

£m.

2012/13 425.2.

Pay/Prices/Pensions 7.5.

Cost Increases 12.3.

Cost reductions (35.2)

Sub total 2013/14 409.8.

Public Health 21.1.

Total 2013/14 430.9.

Robustness of Budget Proposals: Reserves

Reserve Category

Balance as at

31st March 2013

£000

Earmarked Reserves 88,096

Schools Related Reserves 22,139

General Reserves 19,721

Capital Grants Unapplied

Reserve 2,956

Total Reserves 132,912

Page 11: Member Induction GCC’s Financial Challenges · GCC’s Financial Challenges Pete Bungard Jo Walker 21st May 2013 . 6/18/2013 2 . 6/18/2013 3 . 6/18/2013 4 . 6/18/2013 5 Cuts Close

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Earmarked Reserves – 31st March 2013

Forecast: £89 million

Earmarked Reserves

£89 million

Contractual Commitments

£19 million

Meeting the Challenge

£15 million

Capital Fund

£17 million

Economic Stimulus Reserve

£9.5 million

Insurance Fund

£11 million

Technical Funding

Reserves

£17.5 million

Future Challenges 2014/15-16/17

• Increasing demand for services – population, geographical

• Funding cuts and changes

• Inspections/Quality audits – expecting more

• Rules are changing eg legislation

• Local Tax?

Page 12: Member Induction GCC’s Financial Challenges · GCC’s Financial Challenges Pete Bungard Jo Walker 21st May 2013 . 6/18/2013 2 . 6/18/2013 3 . 6/18/2013 4 . 6/18/2013 5 Cuts Close

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Funding Gap if Council Tax Frozen

Cost Increases

Funding Reductions

Total

= £101m

2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Cost Increases 11.5 13.5 15.9 17.3

Funding Reductions -13.0 -13.3 -8.8 -7.8

Funding Gap if Council Tax increased by 2.0% pa

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

£ m

illi

on

Cost Increases

Funding Reductions

Total

= £82m

2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Cost Increases 11.5 13.5 15.9 17.3

Funding Reductions -8.5 -8.7 -4.0 -2.9

Page 13: Member Induction GCC’s Financial Challenges · GCC’s Financial Challenges Pete Bungard Jo Walker 21st May 2013 . 6/18/2013 2 . 6/18/2013 3 . 6/18/2013 4 . 6/18/2013 5 Cuts Close

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Cuts

Close

Cheaper

New Thinking

to Stem Demand

Day Job

(2010 funding world)

New Tricks

to maintain a service

Transform; compete out or think out

30% cut in

Highways

spend

Restricted

Access to

Residential

Care

30% cut in

Support

Services

Closed

•3 Day Centres

•School

Improvement

Service Universal to

Targeted

Youth

Support

Lost

2,000

staff

12% cut by

outsourcing

Childrens’

Centres

34% cut in

the

subsidised

Bus Network

Reduced

support available

through

individual care

packages

Property

disposals

generated

£20.7 million

40% cut

in

Planning

50% cut in

Trading

Standards

Reablement