meet the management may 26, 2009 helsinki...biomass value chain offers strategic opportunities •...

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UPM MEET THE MANAGEMENT May 26, 2009 Helsinki

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  • UPM

    MEET THE MANAGEMENTMay 26, 2009Helsinki

  • It should be noted that certain statements herein which are not historical facts, including, without limitation, those regarding expectations for market growth and developments; expectations for growth and profitability; and statements preceded by "believes", "expects", "anticipates", "foresees", or similar expressions, are forward-looking statements. Since these statements are based on current plans, estimates and projections, they involve risks and uncertainties which may cause actual results to materially differ from those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, but are not limited to: (1) operating factors such as continued success of manufacturing activities and the achievement of efficiencies therein including the availability and cost of production inputs, continued success of product development, acceptance of new products or services by the Group's targeted customers, success of the existing and future collaboration arrangements, changes in business strategy or development plans or targets, changes in the degree of protection created by the Group's patents and other intellectual property rights, the availability of capital on acceptable terms; (2) industry conditions, such as strength of product demand, intensity of competition, prevailing and future global market prices for the Group's products and the pricing pressures thereto, financial condition of the customers and the competitors of the Group, the potential introduction of competing products and technologies by competitors; and (3) general economic conditions, such as rates of economic growth in the Group's principal geographic markets or fluctuations in exchange and interest rates.

    Forward-looking statement

  • UPM STRATEGY

    Jussi PesonenPresident & CEO

    May 26, 2009

  • PURPOSEWe create value from renewable and recyclable materials by combining expertise and technologies within fibre based, energy-related and engineered materials businesses.

    In the new forest industry, we reshape markets through cost leadership, change readiness and leading innovation. We develop smart, sustainable products and solutions for customers worldwide.

    VISION

    The front-runner of the new forest industry.

  • STRATEGYUPM's three business groups

    Energy and pulp Paper Engineered materials

  • New business structure leverages the company's competitive advantages

    sets the basis for market driven operations in all three Business Groups

    develop energy related and pulp businesses

    strengthen the cost leadership by optimizing resources, production and investments as well as decreasing complexities in Paper

    increase the weight of fast growing higher value added businesses in Engineered Materials

    new segment reporting to increase transparency of the results and value creation in the company

  • STRATEGYEnergy & Pulp

    Strategy actions

    Grow in biomass based energy incl. biofuels

    Leverage high self sufficiency in electricity after OL3 nuclear power plant

    Increase share of low cost pulp

    Sawmilling for wood and biomass sourcing

    Pulp mills

    Hydro power assets

    Shares of associated companies in pulp and energy

    Forests & Timber

    Biofuels

  • STRATEGYPaper

    Strategy actions

    Focus on European profitability: cost leadership, supply chain management and lean investments

    Growth in China and other emerging markets

    Consolidation in Europe

    Magazine

    Newsprint

    Fine

    Speciality papers

  • STRATEGYEngineered Materials

    Strategy actions

    Industry leadership in label materials

    Grow in Plywood

    Develop new businesses like RFID, Wood plastic composite based on proprietary know how

    Label

    RFID tags and inlays

    Plywood

    Wood plastic composites

  • STRATEGYStrategy actions – portfolio of choices and opportunities

    Energy & Pulp

    Paper

    Engineered Materials

    Grow in biomass based energy incl. biofuelsLeverage high self sufficiency in electricity after OL3 nuclear power plantIncrease share of low cost pulp Sawmilling for wood and biomass sourcing

    Focus on European profitability: cost leadership, supply chain management and lean investmentsGrowth in China and other emerging marketsConsolidation in Europe

    Industry leadership in label materialsGrow in PlywoodDevelop new businesses like RFID, Wood plastic composite based on proprietary know how

  • Biomass value chain offers strategic opportunities

    • forestry• harvesting• sorting on site• drying

    Pulpwoodfor pulp and paper

    Forest residuesSmall woodStumps

    PlywoodSawn timber

    PulpPaperCardboard

    BiodieselHeatElectricity

    Forest biomass Logsfor wood products

    Recycling

  • UPM strategy - Key messages

    Long termUPM will reshape its portfolio:

    new markets, engineered materials and energy related businesses broaden our scope. Fibre based businesses continue to form the

    cornerstone of our strategy.

    Short to medium termSecure profitability and cash flow through undisputed cost

    leadership.

  • ENERGY AND PULP

    Tapio KorpeinenPresident

    May 26, 2009

  • ENERGY AND PULPContents

    Energy and Pulp Business GroupEnergyPulpForest and timberBiofuelsConclusions

  • Energy– Hydropower assets and shares in energy companies

    Pulp– Pulp mills and the associated company Metsä-Botnia

    Forest and timber – UPM's forests, wood procurement, sawmills

    Biofuels

    ENERGY AND PULP Energy and Pulp Business Group

    UPM's capital employed € 11.2 billion

    UPM's operating profit € 513 million

    (excl. special items)

    UPM's sales € 9,461 million

  • ENERGY AND PULP Strategy – Energy and pulp

    DEVELOPMENT AND GROWTH:

    Biomass based, nuclear, and hydropower generation

    Growth opportunities for pulp

    Biofuel development

    IMPROVED ASSET BASE:

    Major share of UPM's strategic investments since 2003 on energy

    Investments on cost competitive pulp

    Close uncompetitive pulp capacity

    TARGET:

    Grow in low cost, emission free energy

    Increase the share of low cost pulp

    Energy and pulp are developed as market-driven businesses

  • Electricity– growing demand in Europe and globally– need to replace old fossil fuel-based capacity– integration of the Nordic and central European markets

    Pulp– world pulp demand expected to grow regardless of North

    American and European paper demand scenario– low paper demand affects availability of recovered paper– capacity growth where wood is cheap and readily available

    Biofuels– demand for renewable energy is growing – EU energy directives – demand for biofuels and biomass

    ENERGY AND PULPFavourable long-term market outlook

  • ENERGY AND PULPContents

    Energy and Pulp Business GroupEnergyPulpForest and timberBiofuelsConclusions

  • ENERGYLow-cost, low emission electricity generation

    27 %

    32 %

    30 %

    11 %

    Hydro Nuclear

    CHP (Paper) Thermal

    Total electricity generation 14.2 TWh in 2008

    Cost competitive electricity generation regardless of fuel and CO2 prices– hydro, nuclear, biofuels-based CHP

    Electricity self-sufficiency 85% in 2008– net purchases 2.5TWh– net seller in Finland (2.5TWh)

    62% of fuels used by UPM globally were biofuels in 2008– 81% in Finland

    Ongoing investment – TVO's new reactor will add 3.5TWh of

    nuclear power, starting in 2012

  • 0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1 000

    DEI

    Nuon

    RWE

    Drax

    CEZ

    Scott

    ish &

    South

    ern

    Union

    Feno

    saEn

    desa Enel

    EDP

    Vatte

    nfall

    Dong

    E.ON

    Electr

    abel

    Iberdr

    ola EDF

    Britis

    h Ene

    rgyVe

    rbund

    UPM

    Fortu

    mSta

    tkraft

    ENERGYLow CO2 emission electricity sources

    Source: PWC 2008, UPM

    kgCO2/MWh Carbon factor – CO2 emissions per electricity unit

    European average carbon factor373 kg of CO2/MWh

    107

  • ENERGYUPM intends to grow further in emission-free electricity

    UPM invests in CO2-free electricity generation to grow in electricity business– investments– joint ventures– acquisitions

    After the start-up of TVO's OL3 in 2012 UPM's capacity grows by 468 MW (18%)

    UPM wants to participate and grow in CO2-free electricity market also in the future – TVO's OL4 application to build a new

    nuclear power unit

  • ENERGY AND PULPContents

    Energy and Pulp Business GroupEnergyPulpForest and timberBiofuelsConclusions

  • 300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1 000

    '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09

    PIX NBSK PIX BHKP

    PULP Chemical pulp market prices

    USD/ton

    (Northern Bleached Softwood Kraft)

    Source: FOEX Indexes Ltd.

    (Northern Bleached Hardwood Kraft)

  • 25

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    550

    0 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 35 000 40 000 45 000 50 000

    Cumulative capacity, 1000 t/a

    Delivered cash costs to Frankfurt, EUR/t

    World softwoodmarket pulp

    PULP At current market prices over half of world market pulp capacity operates on negative EBITDA

    World hardwoodmarket pulp

    UPMMetsä-Botnia

    Best European

    Best European

    Source: Pöyry estimate Q4/2008

    Price

    Price

  • 80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    2005 Ap

    r Jul

    Oct

    2006 Ap

    r Jul

    Oct

    2007 Ap

    r Jul

    Oct

    2008 Ap

    r Jul

    Oct

    2009 Ap

    r Jul

    Oct

    NBSK (EUR) Pine pulpwood BHKP (EUR) Birch pulpwood

    PULP Operating in the economic downturn: pulp prices have fallen while wood costs are still high in Finland

    Jan 2005 = 100

    Source: Metla, Board of Customs Wood prices delayed by six months

  • Operating profit turned into losses due to lower pulp price and deliveriesWood cost remained highWood and pulp inventory write downs of € 38 million in Q1 2009

    -100

    -80

    -60

    -40

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09

    57-55EBITDA

    n.a.-23%Average price, change

    -33%

    -93

    139

    Q1 2009

    n.a.Deliveries, change

    67Operating profit M€excl. special items

    269Sales, M€

    Q1 2008

    Pulp

    Associated company Metsä-Botnia

    €, millionPulp

    Operating profit excluding special items

    PULPOperating in the economic downturn

    Wood and pulp inventory write down

  • InvestmentsBotnia's 1 million tonne pulp mill in Uruguay– Started in November 2007

    Evaluating new ventures, e.g. Borea J/V in Russia– Shareholders' agreement in 2008– Investment decisions are subject to the results of the final

    feasibility study and necessary approvals from relevant authorities

    ClosuresIn Q4 2008, UPM closed its least competitive pulp mill– Tervasaari 210,000 tonnes

    In March 2009 Botnia closed its least competitive pulp mill– Kaskinen 450,000 tonnes, UPM's share 212,000 tonnes

    PULP Increasing the share of low-cost pulp

  • ENERGY AND PULPContents

    Energy and Pulp Business GroupEnergyPulpForest and timberBiofuelsConclusions

  • UPM's wood consumption was 24.8 million m³ in 2008– paper, pulp and plywood mills, sawmills and bioenergy plants– supplied forest biomass equivalent to 3.4 GWh of energy

    Forests– UPM owns 1 million hectares of forest land– supplies 10% of UPM's wood consumption– other forests under management 0.7 million hectares

    Sawmilling has an important role in biomass sourcing– annual capacity for sawn timber 2.4 million m³

    Forest biomass value chain is important in bioenergy

    FOREST AND TIMBERForest biomass sourcing and sawmilling

  • 10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    22

    24

    26

    2004 Jul 2005 Jul 2006 Jul 2007 Jul 2008 Jul 2009

    Spruce Pine Birch

    35

    40

    45

    50

    55

    60

    65

    70

    75

    2004 Jul 2005 Jul 2006 Jul 2007 Jul 2008 Jul 2009

    Spruce Pine Birch

    FOREST AND TIMBERWood prices in Finland returning to 2005 levels

    € / m³ Log prices € / m³ Fibre wood prices

    Source: Metla

  • 60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    2005 Ap

    r Jul

    Oct

    2006 Ap

    r Jul

    Oct

    2007 Ap

    r Jul

    Oct

    2008 Ap

    r Jul

    Oct

    2009 Ap

    r Jul

    Oct

    Whitewood timber Spruce logs Redwood timber Pine logs

    FOREST AND TIMBER Operating in the economic downturn: sawn timber prices have fallen while log costs are still high

    Jan 2005 = 100

    Source: Metla, Board of Customs Wood prices delayed by six months

  • -60

    -40

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09

    4-15EBITDA

    -37%

    -21%

    -8

    385

    Q12009

    n.a.Sawn timber deliveries, change

    n.a.Average price of sawn timber, change

    26Operating profit M€excl. special items

    508Sales, M€

    Q1 2008

    Forest and timber

    Operating losses mainly due to lower price and deliveries of sawn timberCost of logs remained at a high levelFair value of biological assets increased less than a year ago

    Fair value change of biological assets

    €, millionForest and timber

    Operating profit excluding special items

    FOREST AND TIMBEROperating in the economic downturn

    Wood inventory write down

  • ENERGY AND PULPContents

    Energy and Pulp Business GroupEnergyPulpForest and timberBiofuelsConclusions

  • UPM's biofuel development utilises synergies within the pulp and paper value chain, instead of competing with food value chain

    2nd generation biofuels– high quality and lowering impact on CO2 emissions throughout the

    value chain

    EU directive– biofuels 10% of all transportation fuels by 2020– 2nd generation biofuels counted with 2x weight

    UPM is piloting concepts for biodiesel, bioethanol and bio-oil– Technical requirements for investment decisions in place by the end

    of 2009

    BIOFUELS UPM's biofuel development

  • ENERGY AND PULPContents

    Energy and Pulp Business GroupEnergyPulpForest and timberBiofuelsConclusions

  • Low-cost, low emission electricity generation

    Competitive pulp mill assets

    Investment requirements in the current assets are low

    Current business environment is challenging– pulp and sawn timber prices have fallen and demand is low– wood costs to decline in 2H09

    Favourable long-term market outlook– growth opportunities in electricity, pulp and biofuels

    ENERGY AND PULP Conclusions

  • PAPER

    Jyrki OvaskaPresident

    May 26, 2009

  • Operating in the low-demand environmentConclusions

    Paper Business GroupStructural advantage and cost leadership

  • Publication papers (magazine papers and newsprint) and fine and speciality papers

    Customers are publishers, printers, merchants and paper converters

    19 paper mills in Europe, China and the US, sales representation in 55 countries

    Paper includes the mechanical and deinked pulp production and the combined heat and power (CHP) plants operating on paper mill sites (1/3 of UPM’s total power generation)

    Combined annual paper production capacity ~11.5 million tonnes

    PAPER Paper Business Group

    Paper52%

    UPM's capital employed € 11.2 billion

    Paper49%

    UPM's operating profit € 513 million

    (excl. special items)

    Paper72%

    UPM's sales €9,461 million

  • PAPERStrategy – Paper

    DEVELOPMENT AND GROWTH:

    Consolidation in Europe

    Proactive response to paper end-use

    developments

    Growth in China and other emerging

    markets

    IMPROVED COST BASE:

    Close uncompetitive capacity

    Improve operating efficiency

    Effective supply chain management

    Lean investments

    TARGET:

    European profitability

    Growth in new markets

    Paper is well positioned and ready to benefit from industry consolidation in Europe

  • Paper Business Group

    Operating in the low-demand environmentStructural advantage and cost leadership

    Conclusions

  • 100

    200

    300

    400

    051015202530

    WEAK

    STRONG

    - Technical age, years -

    - Weighted averagePM capacity, 1 000 t/a -

    UPM

    Stora Enso

    Sappi

    IP

    Norske Skog

    Domtar

    Nippon

    Oji

    AbitibiBowater

    APP

    Including newsprint, MFS, SC, CWC, std. CWF, std. UWF

    100

    200

    300

    400

    051015202530

    WEAK

    STRONG

    - Technical age, years -

    - Weighted averagePM capacity, 1 000 t/a -

    Stora Enso

    M-real Myllykoski

    SappiNorske Skog

    Burgo

    Mondi

    SCAHolmen

    NOTE: Currently idled Nordland PM2 is excluded from the analysis

    UPM

    PAPERUPM has modern well invested assets with limited investment needs

    Source: Pöyry

    Printing papers - EuropePrinting papers - Global

  • PAPER Effective supply chain management

    Uniform modus operandi

    Management by supply chain KPIs (key performance indicators)

    Higher efficiency in order-to-deliveryprocess

    Cost savings in working capital

    Maintaining good level of service

  • PAPERCost inflation is easing up

    Chemical pulp pricing is significantly coming down

    RCP prices are declining

    Wood cost will remain high through Q2 and then reduce

    Electricity prices are declining, but with a long time delay

    Oil based chemicals and logistics cost

    Temporary layoffs

    Fixed costs are expected to be lower

    Fibre costs29 %

    Other variable

    costs12 %

    Fixed costs19 %

    Energy costs15 %

    Capital charges

    15 %

    Delivery costs10 %

    European graphic papers producers

    Average cost structure

    Source: Pöyry

  • 0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

    Recycled fibre (deinked pulp)Mechanical pulpChemical pulp

    Optimisation of diversified fibre portfolio

    – Hardwood pulp – net buyer incl. Botnia

    – Softwood pulp – net seller incl. Botnia

    – Mechanical pulp – integrated into paper production

    – RCP – procurement to be involved in the value chain

    PAPEROptimization of diversified fibre base has improved the cost structure

    Fibres used in UPM's paper production, %

    Diversified fibre portfolio enables development of different fiber mixes

  • Paper Business Group

    Operating in the economic downturnStructural advantage and cost leadership

    Conclusions

  • -9,0

    -7,4

    -5,9

    -4,3

    -2,8

    -1,2

    0,3

    1,9

    3,4

    5,0

    1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009-25

    -20

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    PAPERWeaker economic growth affects demand for European graphic paper demand

    Paper demand growth (%, trailing 3 month)

    Sources: Cepiprint, Cepifine, OECD

    Euro zone composite leading indicator

    Graphic paper demand growth

    Euro zone composite leading indicator

  • -14

    -12

    -10

    -8

    -6

    -4

    -2

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    e

    2009

    e

    2010

    e

    2011

    e

    Total advertising expenditure growth, %

    Source: Zenith Optimedia March 2009

    PAPERGrowth of advertising expenditure – recovery is forecasted from 2010

    Print media advertising growth by region (excl. direct mail), %

    -14

    -12

    -10

    -8

    -6

    -4

    -2

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    e

    2009

    e

    2010

    e

    2011

    e

    North America

    AsiaEurope Asia

    Europe

    North America

    Forecast Forecast

  • PAPERDevelopment of ad-spend last 10 years – change in role of print media vs. the Internet

    15 24 24 24

    4451 51 46

    46

    55 58 612

    6 921

    127

    163169

    181

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    1998 2000 2004 2008

    20 22 21 21

    35 41 38 41

    3138 45

    550

    1 3

    17

    97

    115123

    154

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    1998 2000 2004 2008

    US$, billion US$, billion US$, billion

    NORTH AMERICA EUROPE ASIA PACIFIC

    Source: Zenith Optimedia Advertising spend in current dollars – March 2009

    5 6 6 720 23 25 26

    27 3035 410

    13

    1262

    7081

    103

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    1998 2000 2004 2008

    Total

    Other

    Internet

    TV

    News

    Maga

  • PAPERRegional paper demand by end-use 2008

    Books & Directories

    Magazines Catalogues

    Direct marketing

    Business forms &

    Envelopes

    Cut sizeNewspapers

    EuropeNorth America

    Newspapers

    Books & Directories

    Magazines

    CataloguesDirect marketing

    Business forms &

    Envelopes

    Cut size

    Source: CEPI, GAPTRACK, UPM

  • PAPERCustomers have a choice:different paper grades for the same end-use

    WFU

    WFC

    LWC

    SC

    MFS

    Newsprint

    Copy paperBusinessforms +

    Envelopes

    Direct marketingCataloguesMagazines

    Book/DirectoriesNewspaper

    Consumer papersAdvertising materialPublishing

    Source: UPM5 – 10% 11 – 30% 31 – 50% over 50%3% and below

    Paper grade's share of total end-use consumption

    End-use

    Grade

  • PAPERUPM is prepared to cope with the lower demand environment in Europe

    Improved cost competitiveness – lower fixed costs due to less machines and improved operational

    efficiency of large and cost competitive production units– closed 2.1 million tonnes of paper making capacity– restructuring, streamlining and targeted investments– achieved better product and market mix– optimisation of diversified fibre base

    Effective supply chain management– reduction of working capital– improved internal efficiency

  • PAPERPaper – operating in the economic downturn

    Sales declined by 22%Higher prices maintainedSignificant reduction in fixed costs through restructuring and flexible way of workingLower pulp costs compensated for the increase in energy costs

    EBITDA margin increased to 13.7% (11.8%)

    -4%-1%-22%Sales growth, %

    10,6412,7532,028Paper deliveries, 1,000 t

    885209187EBITDA, M€

    0%

    50

    11.8

    1,773

    Q1 2008

    12,613.7EBITDA, % of sales

    -26%

    37

    1,367

    Q1 2009

    -7%Paper deliveries, % change

    250Operating profit, M€excl. special items

    7,011Sales, M€

    2008Paper

  • Paper Business GroupBusiness environmentStructural advantage and cost leadershipConclusions

  • Conclusions

    Focus in market driven operations– flexibility with good customer service and wide range of graphic

    papers – customer segmentation for good targeting

    Cost competitiveness is # 1 priority– cost leadership by optimising resources and production– tight investment policy– new ways of operating to leverage competitive advantages

    UPM is well positioned– focus to grow in the new markets (China, Eastern Europe, Russia)– readiness to benefit from industry restructuring in Europe

  • © UPM 58

  • ENGINEERED MATERIALS

    Jussi VanhanenPresident

    May 26, 2009

  • Contents

    Engineered Materials Business GroupLabelPlywoodNew businessesConclusions

  • Label Self-adhesive label materials for product labelling andvariable information printing

    Plywood Technical birch and spruce products for construction andindustrial end-uses

    RFID RFID tags and inlays for information or data management

    Wood plastic composites for outdoor constructions

    ENGINEERED MATERIALS Businesses in the Business Group

    UPM's capital employed € 11.2 billion

    UPM's operating profit € 513 million

    (excl. special items)

    UPM's sales €9,461 million

  • ENGINEERED MATERIALSWhat is common between the businesses?

    Higher added value businesses with growth potential– Growing end-uses, UPM's market share

    Businesses with opportunity for renewal– New end-use areas

    In-house know-how and development plays a significant role

    There are some synergy advantages but– each business is operated independently and– the development potential of each business is maximised

  • Source: FINAT, TLMI and UPM Raflatac estimates.Pie size indicates the current market size in m².

    ENGINEERED MATERIALSTwo global companies in the labelstock business

    UPM RaflatacAvery Dennison

    Other main competitorOther competitors

  • ENGINEERED MATERIALS UPM clear market leader in the plywood business

    0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

    Vänerply

    Ilim-Bratsk

    Fanerny Komi

    Sonae

    Fankom

    Syktyvkar

    Latvijas Finieris

    Sveza

    Metsäliitto

    UPM

    1000 m3

    STK 9.2.2009 Sources: finnforest.com, latvijas.lv, plysorol.fr, pyrabelisk.com, sveza.com, vanerply.se

  • ENGINEERED MATERIALS UPM Raflatac market leader in RFID business Indexed inlay turnover in 2008

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    UPM Raflatac Avery DennisonRFID*

    Alien* Tagsys* KSW*

    UPM Raflatac turnover = 100

    Source: UPM Raflatac estimates* Estimated inlay turnover

  • Engineered Materials Business GroupLabelPlywoodNew businessesConclusions

  • ENGINEERED MATERIALSLabel – operating in the economic downturn

    Sales declined by 10-20% depending on the region

    Prices increased by 9%, which fully compensated higher raw material costs

    Reduction in fixed costs even before restructuring benefits materializing

    The start-up of new factory in Wroclaw successful

    3-3Operating profit, M€excl. special items

    n.a.+9%Average price, change

    n.a.-10-20%Deliveries, change

    116EBITDA, M€

    4.5

    242

    Q1 2008

    2.7EBITDA, % of sales

    223

    Q1 2009

    Sales, M€

    Label

  • ENGINEERED MATERIALS Labelstock consumption is driven by consumer demand and shipping activity

    Foodlabelling

    Beveragelabelling

    Personal Care labelling

    Home Carelabelling

    Retail, Logistics & Transport labelling

    Current topics– Consumer demand has slowed down due to economic downturn– Pricing discipline– Completed investments and restructuring actions have secured a

    competitive asset base

  • ENGINEERED MATERIALSStrategy – Label

    IMPROVED COST BASE:

    Restructuring theEuropean operations

    IMPROVED ASSET BASE:

    Changshu, China2006

    Dixon, USA2008

    Wroclaw, Poland2008

    TARGET:

    Cost leadership

    Profitable growththrough new productand service launches

    Label as a cost competitive growth business

  • Engineered Materials Business GroupLabelPlywoodNew businessesConclusions

  • ENGINEERED MATERIALS Plywood – operating in the economic downturn

    Operating profit declined due to significantly lower delivery volumes and lower pricesWood costs remained at a high level – write down takenExtensive production downtime was taken at all mills

    -30

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    30

    Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09

    26-23EBITDA

    n.a.-11%Average price of plywood, change

    -42%

    -28

    75

    Q1 2009

    n.a.Plywood deliveries, change

    21Operating profit M€excl. special items

    157Sales, M€

    Q1 2008

    €, million Operating profit excluding special items

    Wood inventory write down

  • ENGINEERED MATERIALS Plywood demand driven by construction and transportation industry activity

    Current topics– Strong deceleration in construction and transportation– Capacity management – Cost cutting in general

    Construction Transportation Furniture industry

  • Engineered Materials Business GroupLabelPlywoodNew businessesConclusions

  • ENGINEERED MATERIALS New businesses: in-house know-how forms the basis for further business development

    RFID– Basis of development: joint customer base with

    labelstock business and material know-how– UPM has a strong position as a reliable, long-term

    supplier of RFID tags and inlays– Current focus: make full use of Chinese factory

    and widen product portfolio

    UPM ProFi– Wood plastic composite materials made from

    waste deriving from UPM Raflatac value chain– Current focus: extension of distribution reach and

    ramping up new German factory– Exploring new end-uses for the material

  • Engineered Materials Business GroupLabelPlywoodNew businessesConclusions

  • Conclusions

    Secure the profitability in an environment of strong but temporary slowdown of demand, without risking future opportunities

    Seek ways to utilize the economic slowdown for improving our long-term prospects

    Profitable growth through new product and service launches

    New, synergetic and significant business opportunities

    Favourable long-term market outlook

  • FINANCIALS

    Jyrki SaloCFO

    May 26, 2009

  • FINANCIALSEBITDA development in Q1 2009

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    EBITDAQ108

    EBITDAQ109

    € million

    337

    128

    Prices, currency

    Deliveries

    Wood costs Energy

    costs Otheritems

    Fixed costs

    Wood and pulp inventory write-down

  • -80

    -70

    -60

    -50

    -40

    -30

    -20

    -10

    0

    10

    20

    Q107 Q207 Q307 Q407 Q108 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109

    Publication papers Fine and speciality papers Sawn timber Plywood

    FINANCIALSUPM's production has been curtailed to respond to changes in demand

    Delivery change from previous year (%)

    -26%-27%

    -37%-42%

  • FINANCIALSCost deflation materialising with a delay

    Cost breakdowntotal €8.4bn in 2008

    Energy 11%

    Fibre 28%

    Delivery 10%

    Chemicals 13%

    Personnel 17%

    Other 15%

    Fixed costs– permanent savings– temporary lay-offs

    Fibre costs– wood– RCP– purchased pulp

    Energy costs

    Oil-based chemicals and logistics costs

    Other raw materials

    6%

  • 10

    11

    12

    13

    14

    15

    16

    17

    18

    19

    20

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    FINANCIALSWood prices in Finland returning to 2005 levels – 2009 still burdened by high wood costs

    Fibre wood prices in Finland, € / m³

    Source: Metla

    UPM's wood costs expected to decrease with a

    delay

    Birch

    Pine

    6 month averagedelayed by 6 months

  • 210

    14

    196

    -78

    274

    -73

    216

    131

    128

    Q1 2009

    -121

    4

    -125

    -175

    50

    -99

    -106

    255

    337

    Q1 2008

    70Cash flow after capex

    -292Finance costs and income taxes

    -558Capital expenditure

    26Asset sales and acquisitions

    96Cash flow after investing activities

    -132Change in working capital

    628Net cash from operating activities

    1,052Cash flow before change in working capital

    1,206EBITDA

    2008€, million

    FINANCIALSCash flow

  • FINANCIALS Cash flow and actions to preserve cash

    -750

    -500

    -250

    0

    250

    500

    750

    1 000

    1 250

    Q104

    Q204

    Q304

    Q404

    Q105

    Q205

    Q305

    Q405

    Q106

    Q206

    Q306

    Q406

    Q107

    Q207

    Q307

    Q407

    Q108

    Q208

    Q308

    Q408

    Q109

    € million, trailing 12 months

    WOC reduction

    Dividend cutCapex cut

    Net cash flow from operations

    Cash flow after investing activities

    Cash flow improvement from:

  • 0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    04 05 06 07 08 09e

    FINANCIALS Capital expenditure 2009 estimate € 300 million

    € million

    Depreciation excl. amortization of goodwill

    Strategic investments

    Operational investments

    551

    300

    Estimate

    Q1 2009 capital expenditure was € 67 million

  • 0200400600800

    1 0001 2001 4001 6001 8002 000

    Res

    t of

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    2013

    2014

    2015

    2016

    2017

    2018

    2019

    -202

    6

    2027

    2028

    2029

    2030

    Committed Facilities Loans

    Liquidity on 31 March 2009 was € 1.7bnIn March, the € 1.5bn loan facility maturing in 2010 was replaced by a new three-year € 825m facility

    FINANCIALSMaturity profile – moderate repayments for the next three years

    € million

  • FINANCIALSConclusions

    # 1 Priority: cash preservation and profitability

    Cost deflation materialising with a delay

    Solid balance sheet and good liquidity

    Balance demand and supply with temporary lay-offs