meer verkeersveiligheid & minder verkeersslachtoffers...2016/06/16 · mobility in a new...
TRANSCRIPT
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Road Safety
What does a 3 star world look like?
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STARS!
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Reality check: what you want…
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...and what you can afford!
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Road safety in numbers
Number of road fatalities is rising:
• Netherlands: 570 (2014) => 621 (2015)
• European Union: 25,700 (2014) => 26,000 (2015)
• Worldwide: 1.25 million
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Ambition in road safety
• Ambition should always be
a 5-star world
• Why settle for less…?
• 3 stars is the first step!
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On our way to 5 stars…
• 58,490 kilometres of roads tested in Europe so far
• Different countries, different challenges
• For example, in the Netherlands:
• App. 98% of national road network has 3 stars (RPS 1.0!)
Needs to be updated with RPS 3.0
• Only app. 35% of provincial road network has 3+ stars
• Urban road network: not yet tested, but increasingly important
• Not on a 3* level yet……
• Still a lot of work to be done!
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Infrastructure in Europe
• Differences across Europe, for example:
• Difference in road networks (e.g. quality, density etc.)
• Some countries are focusing on construction of new infrastructure
• Other countries are focusing on reconstruction of existing
infrastructure
• Urbanisation poses a new challenge
• Need for tailor made approach
• Continuous challenges:
• Political will
• Financial resources
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Assessment Programmes Stars in road safety: safe system aproach
• Vehicle safety
• EuroNCAP
• Human safety
• …?
• Infrastructure safety
• EuroRAP
• iRAP
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Vehicle safety
EuroNCAP:
• Internationally comparable standard
• Most cars are currently awarded 5 stars
• Passive safety (in-car) systems are included in EuroNCAP
• Not all safety systems
included in
EuroNCAP
• Unclear how drivers will react
to these systems
• Consequences for star rating?
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First steps towards a 3-star world
• Vehicle safety
• Adapted test protocols and tests in order to incorporate reliable active
support systems in EuroNCAP
• Eliminate perverted fiscal incentives such as overstimulation of
electric cars which prevents people from buying safe cars
• Anticipate new means of transport
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Human safety
• Quality of human behaviour…
• ‘Analogue’ people
• Education
• Enforcement
• (Social) context
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First steps towards a 3-star world
• Human safety
• Driver’s education needs to be adapted in order to enable the use of
autonomous systems
• A guaranteed 3-star level for drivers seems unrealistic. Therefore:
adjust the surroundings (e.g. roads, vehicle) to the driver
• 5-star cars and 5-star roads make 3-star drivers?
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Infrastructure safety
EuroRAP/iRAP:
• Internationally comparable standard
• 3 stars is considered an ‘acceptable minimum’ for now
• Currently, worldwide many roads have 3 stars or less
• ‘En route’ to 3 stars and more:
• 58,490 kilometre of roads have been tested in Europe until now
• RAP has anticipate future trends
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First steps towards a 3 star world
• Infrastructure safety
• RAP organisations should start the dialogue with car manufacturers
in order to make the link between automated cars and infrastructure
• Urbanisation needs to be taken into account in further development
of RAP, e.g. CycleRAP, UrbanRAP…?
• Municipal road authorities become more prominent stakeholders
• At the same time, continuous work needed to secure support from
national and regional road authorities
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Trends and issues
• Automated vehicles and
connected car
• Sustainability
• Urbanisation
• Smart cities
• Ageing population
• Government has utter
confidence in technology
Is EuroRAP ready for that?
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Mobility in a new context: the Digital Revolution
• 5 years to design a new car….
• 2010: 1,97 billion internet users
• 2015: 3,01 billion internet users
• 2020: half of the world population uses mobile
device to go on-line
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Trend: Automated driving and connected car
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First steps towards automated driving
• Many assistive technology systems already available:
• Automatic Cruise Control (ACC)
• Lane Departure Warning System (LDWS)
• Internet of things (IOT) /Connected car
• Radar
• Reliability of safety systems?
• Issues: uniformity, touch screens
• Driver aid or just another distraction
– Example: LDWS
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Automated driving
Levels:
0. No automation
1. Driver assistance
2. Partial automation
3. Conditional automation
4. High automation
5. Full automation
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Automated driving
• How forgiving is the technology?
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Automated driving
• Automated cars do not yet ‘communicate’ with
infrastructure (roads that cars can read)
• Businesses independently go ahead and develop
automated cars without taking infrastructure into account
(e.g. Nissan)
• Autonomous develops into ‘autistic’ and ‘selfish’
• Full benefits only after V2I / V2X communication
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Trend: (Re-)Urbanisation
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Urbanisation
• In 2020, 80% of the European population lives in urban
regions
• In 2030, over 60% of the world population lives in urban
regions
• Accelerated growth of urban populations imposes higher
requirements on the infrastructure in and around cities
• 21 of the 25 most fast growing cities are in countries with
upcoming economies
• Livability and road safety increasingly under pressure
• Need for efficient and safe use of limited space
• New means of transport are emerging
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Elektrische fietsen in alle maten en soorten Bicycle use…
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Elektrische bakfietsen en tandems in alle maten en
soorten …more bicycle types…
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Elektrische scooters in alle maten en soorten New means of transport…
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Lichte elektrische voertuigen (LEV’s) in alle maten en soorten …including LMV’s…
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Elektrische voertuigen en pickup trucks in alle maten en soorten …and other electric vehicles
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Flexible vehicle types for distribution…
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…and multiple purpose vehicles
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• Safety of ITS is still unreliable (touch screens, uniformity)
• ‘Traditional’ cars will be on the road for at least 15 more
years; drivers remain ‘in charge’ for now
• Relation automated cars and infrastructure needs to be
addressed
• Roads that cars can read
• Urbanisation will have a huge impact on mobility
• Investments in infrastructure remain necessary in the near future, but
demands are likely to change
• Continuous need to anticipate on new means of transport
• Municipal road authorities will become leading
Conclusions
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Conclusions
• There’s still a strong (business) case for safe infrastructure
• Don’t miss the boat; constant need for development
• Urbanisation has consequences for EuroRAP
• CycleRAP, UrbanRAP?
• Implementation of ‘Roads that Cars can Read’ is
necessary
• Stay connected with road authorities and business
partners
• Urban road authorities will take the lead, but don’t lose touch with
other road authorities
• Business is an important stakeholder (e.g. Nissan)
•
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Questions and discussion
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