measuring ir effectiveness · •investor selling . know what you control 9 investor perception...

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NIRI Chicago March 22, 2017 Measuring IR Effectiveness & How Investor Perception Research Can Help © 2016 Rivel Research Group All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any form or by any means, without permission in writing from the copyright owner. 1 Bill Franklin – Assistant Treasurer, Discover Financial Services Dee Johnson – Principal, Dee Johnson Investor Comm. Doug Fox - Managing Director, Clermont Partners Alon Kutai – Senior Managing Director, Rivel Research Group

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Page 1: Measuring IR Effectiveness · •Investor selling . Know What You Control 9 Investor perception Study . COMMON MISPERCEPTIONS ABOUT PERCEPTION STUDIES • “We have really good relationships

NIRI Chicago

March 22, 2017

Measuring IR Effectiveness & How Investor Perception Research Can Help

© 2016 Rivel Research Group All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced in any form or by any means, without permission in writing from the copyright owner.

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Bill Franklin – Assistant Treasurer, Discover Financial Services Dee Johnson – Principal, Dee Johnson Investor Comm. Doug Fox - Managing Director, Clermont Partners Alon Kutai – Senior Managing Director, Rivel Research Group

Page 2: Measuring IR Effectiveness · •Investor selling . Know What You Control 9 Investor perception Study . COMMON MISPERCEPTIONS ABOUT PERCEPTION STUDIES • “We have really good relationships

Rivel Research Group

WHO IS RIVEL RESEARCH GROUP? Founded in 1991

Core philosophy – Buy side determines what constitutes IR Best Practices

Exclusive focus on investor perception research

150+ custom investor perception studies annually

Research-based IR best practices - Rivel Intelligence Council™

Work with over half of the S&P 500

8,500+ telephone interviews annually with buy-side and sell-side

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Page 3: Measuring IR Effectiveness · •Investor selling . Know What You Control 9 Investor perception Study . COMMON MISPERCEPTIONS ABOUT PERCEPTION STUDIES • “We have really good relationships

An Age Old Problem…

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How to measure IR effectiveness?

Page 4: Measuring IR Effectiveness · •Investor selling . Know What You Control 9 Investor perception Study . COMMON MISPERCEPTIONS ABOUT PERCEPTION STUDIES • “We have really good relationships

How Much Is Good IR Worth?

+10% +10% +10% +10% +10% +10%

-15%

-25%

-17.5%-12.5%

-20% -20%

-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

Valuation PREMIUM* from "superb" IR

Valuation DISCOUNT* from "poor" IR

* Median

2007 2009

Impact on Valuation of Superb versus Poor Investor Relations (Unaided)(Among US respondents who believe IR affects a company's valuation)

2010 2011 2013

US Buy-side

2015

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Page 5: Measuring IR Effectiveness · •Investor selling . Know What You Control 9 Investor perception Study . COMMON MISPERCEPTIONS ABOUT PERCEPTION STUDIES • “We have really good relationships

How Buy-Side Defines Good IR

5

57%

79%

80%

86%

91%

93%

95%

Accuracy of sell-side research

Proactive investor communication

Securing mgmt meetings

Command of the business strategy

Informing mgmt of investor concerns

Advocating transparency from mgmt

Responsiveness

Top Drivers of IRO Credibility to the Buy-side* (Aided) (Total Global Buy-side, February 2016, n=350)

* Multiple responses.

Page 6: Measuring IR Effectiveness · •Investor selling . Know What You Control 9 Investor perception Study . COMMON MISPERCEPTIONS ABOUT PERCEPTION STUDIES • “We have really good relationships

How CEOs Define Good IR

36%

44%

55%

56%

60%

79%

Accuracy of analyst research reports

Uses mgmt time efficiently

High quality company events

Able to attract the right investors

Command of the business strategy

Keeps management informed ofinvestor concerns

How the C-Suite Measures IRO Performance* (Aided) (Total North American CEOs and CFOs, December 2014, n=156)

* Multiple responses.

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Page 7: Measuring IR Effectiveness · •Investor selling . Know What You Control 9 Investor perception Study . COMMON MISPERCEPTIONS ABOUT PERCEPTION STUDIES • “We have really good relationships

Measuring IR Effectiveness

What IR team controls:

• Who follows the story

• What they hear

• IRO knowledgeability

• IRO investor outreach

• IRO responsiveness

• IRO Candor

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What IR team facilitates:

• Management access

• Disclosure

• Transparency

Make sure you know what you (the IR Team) can control!

Page 8: Measuring IR Effectiveness · •Investor selling . Know What You Control 9 Investor perception Study . COMMON MISPERCEPTIONS ABOUT PERCEPTION STUDIES • “We have really good relationships

Know What You Control

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What IR team has no control over:

• Sell-side ratings

• Stock price

• Number of meetings mgm’t agrees to attend

• Investor buying

• Investor selling

Page 9: Measuring IR Effectiveness · •Investor selling . Know What You Control 9 Investor perception Study . COMMON MISPERCEPTIONS ABOUT PERCEPTION STUDIES • “We have really good relationships

Know What You Control

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Investor perception Study

Page 10: Measuring IR Effectiveness · •Investor selling . Know What You Control 9 Investor perception Study . COMMON MISPERCEPTIONS ABOUT PERCEPTION STUDIES • “We have really good relationships

COMMON MISPERCEPTIONS ABOUT PERCEPTION STUDIES

• “We have really good relationships with our investors. We get excellent and ongoing feedback from the buy-side and sell-side. They aren’t shy. They tell us how they feel. A study will only tell me what I already know.”

• “My stock is near a 52-week high and everything is wonderful. The only time to

do a study is when something is wrong or the stock is faltering.”

• “It sends the wrong signal to the investment community. They will think we are worried about something.”

• A perception study is too expensive…..It’s a nice-to-have, not an I gotta have.

Page 11: Measuring IR Effectiveness · •Investor selling . Know What You Control 9 Investor perception Study . COMMON MISPERCEPTIONS ABOUT PERCEPTION STUDIES • “We have really good relationships

Measuring IR Effectiveness

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Questions to measure investors’ opinion of IR team’s effectiveness…

• What do you believe are the key elements of our business strategy?

• What drives value for you as you think about our company?

• How would you say we differentiate from our investment peers?

• Would you say that the IR team is

• Responsive

• Knowledgeable

• Candid

Page 12: Measuring IR Effectiveness · •Investor selling . Know What You Control 9 Investor perception Study . COMMON MISPERCEPTIONS ABOUT PERCEPTION STUDIES • “We have really good relationships

Action Steps

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• Ensure management understands the importance of IR as a value driver.

• The buy-side sees as much as a 30% valuation delta between those

companies with superb IR versus poor IR.

• Have a strong command of the strategy.

• Proactively summarize investor sentiment for management on a regular basis.

• As management credibility is the single most prominent investment driver, be vigilant in guarding management credibility by challenging overly aggressive goals.