mcfw & mcfs: the future - mbacasecomp.com · project schedule and costs (million inr) year....
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MCFW & MCFS: THE FUTUREFUTURE CONSULTANCY
PRESENTING TO: VI JAY KUMAR AND THE M&M BOARD MEMBERS
Asper School of Business
Haneen ShoumanNicole PeloquinAditya KediaAdam Ells
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KEY ISSUE
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
Which ownership models should M&M use for sustained growth and profitability
through MCFS and MFCWÉ
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CRITICAL CHALLENGES
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Profitability
• Operations• Supply
Chain Management
Financial Struggle
• Profitability• Funding
Ownership Structure
• Company-based
• Franchise Business
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RECOMMENDATION
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
M&M should combine MFCW & MFCS to leverage synergies and rapidly scale
Combine ExpandGrow
Internationally
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STRATEGIC GOALS FOR MFSC AND MFCW
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Scale Up• 1,290 to 2,000 outlets by 2018• Double Annual Sales to
550,000 units
Internationalize• Enter new markets
Expend Service Network• 280 to 400 by 2018
Grow Turnover• Tenfold to INR 10
billion by 2021
MFCWMahendra First Choice
Wheels
MFCSMahendra First Choice
Service
M&MMahendra & Mahendra
Limited
Profitability
Growth
Synergy
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M&M STRUCTURE
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M&M`s two subsidiaries are facing elusive profits.
M&
M MFCWMFCS
• Sale & purchase of multi-brand preowned vehicles• Franchise Model• Private Equity (46.76% for M&M)
• Leading service chain for automobiles of all makes• Converting to Franchise Model• 100% subsidiary
• Multifaceted sister companies (Finance, IT)
• International Presence (South Africa, China)
MFCW, 55%
MFCS, 45%
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FUNDING NEEDS
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MFCW
Looking at raising equity
International partners
Growth opportunity
MFCS
Need to raise $40 to $50 million
Invest in branding & marketing
Needs a robust ecosystem for competitive advantage
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POSSIBLE SYNERGIES
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Any strategy put forward must capitalize on the synergies.
MFCS MFCW
Synergy
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GROWING MARKETS
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
120200
330
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2008 2016 2021
CAR SERVICING MARKET SIZE IN INR BILLIONS
300960
2500
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2008 2016 2021
PREOWNED MARKET SIZE IN INR BILLIONS
Both markets are showing excellent potential in India.
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THE INDIAN CONSUMER
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Mahindra`s name is a trusted name in a market where the consumer values trust and relations the most.
1st time buyers
Uneducated
Transparency & Trust
Personal Relationship
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COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
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The gap in offering a one stop shop is evident as only OEM`s are able to do that.
Carz
Carnation Auto
Autozone
My TVS All Car Services
Bosch Car Service
OEM`s
MFCS
MFCW
CombinedSeparate
THE GAP
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ANALYSIS SUMMARY
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Strengths Challenges
Opportunities Threats
• Franchise Model• Industry Knowledge• Relationships
• Not profitable• Funding required• New endeavor
• Competition• OEM and independent players• Global entrants
• Market Potential• Available funding• The GAP in Offering
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GROWTH STRATEGIES
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Divest
Prepare for Public Sale
Combine into Single Entity
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ALTERNATIVE 1: DIVEST
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
Pros ConsMFCW and MFCS are not profitable, M&M should divest of one entity to
infuse funds into the second entity.
Example: Sell MCFW and invest funds into MFCS.
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ALTERNATIVE 2: PREPARE FOR A PUBLIC SALE
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
Pros ConsMFCS and MFCW should
each prepare for a public sale.
Example: Initial Public Offering
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ALTERNATIVE 3: COMBINE INTO SINGLE ENTITY
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
Pros ConsCombine MFCS and MFCW
under one brand to leverage synergies and
rapidly scale.
Example: Mahindra First Choice
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DECISION CRITERIA
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Profitability
FundingGrowth Availability of financing to invest back into the business
Positioning for growth within India and international markets
High annual revenue and profitable by 2020
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DECISION MATRIX
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ALTERNATIVE 1:DivestSell MCFW
ALTERNATIVE 2:Prepare for a Public SaleInitial Public Offering
ALTERNATIVE 3:Combine into Single EntityMahindra First Choice
ProfitabilityHigh annual revenue and profitable by 2020
FundingAvailability of financing back into the business
GrowthDomestic & international markets
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RECOMMENDATION
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
M&M should combine MFCW & MFCS to leverage synergies and rapidly scale
Combine ExpandGrow
Internationally
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FUTURE FORWARD
• Complete Brick & Click Experience
• Profitable by 2017 and forward
• Moved into South Africa
Mahindra First
Choice
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
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STRATEGIC IMPLEMENTATION
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• Raise equity for the efforts
• Create Mahindra First Choice
Combine
• Combined dealerships
• Data integration• Infrastructure re-
use
Expand• Leverage
international relationships to enter new markets
Global presence
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RAISING FUNDS
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
Valuation of MCFS
Propose creation of Mahindra First Choice to partners in MFCW
Sell stakes of MFCS to private equity partners of MFCW
Register new entity: Mahindra First Choice
Allows raising capital for both entities without further diluting your equity in the profitable
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MAHINDRA FIRST CHOICE
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Brands
M & MPrivate equity
partnersMFC
MFCS MFCW
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HOW WOULD THE OWNERSHIP MODEL WORK
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MFCS
• Offload corporate store and continue franchising
• Preference to MFCW
MFCW
• Continue expanding • Promotional channel
for MFCS
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VALUE PROPOSITION FOR FRANCHISEE OWNERS
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One brand owners• Referral program incentive• B2B contract and agreement opportunities
Both brands• Reduced royalty fees• Enhances relationship with the customer
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WHAT DOES M & M NEED
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Customer referral incentives
Invest in developing the ecosystem for MFCS
Cross access on both IT platforms
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CUSTOMER JOURNEY
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MFCW
Consumer buys used car
Data flow
MCFS knows when the car needs servicing
Customer contacted
CarWorkzMFCS
AssessProspect
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GROW INTERNATIONALLY
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Rising middle class in South Africa
Uber and other transport services
MFC as the sell and service point
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FINANCING• Based on the Valuation of
MFCW (INR 1.5Billion), a 2.47x revenue multiplier values the combined company at INR 4.4 Billion
• We propose a sale of INR 811 million rupees to fund the expansion
• Mahindra will have a 60% stake in the new organization
Total PE Mahindra OwnershipMFCW 2355.0 913 1,442 47%MFCS 1,955 2,355
New Combined 4,310 1,724 2,586 60%
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
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PROJECT SCHEDULE AND COSTS (MILLION INR)Year Cash FlowQuarter 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
ExpendituresRaise Capital for MFC -10Create Combined Entity -10Offload Corporate MFC Stores & Expand -500Tech Advancement and Integration -500Prospect SA -300ExpandTotal Cost 1,320-
Capital RaisingPE FundingMFCS Corporate Owned Store SalesTotal Revenue 961
NET Cash Flow 359-
811 150
547 -180 -528
FY 17/18 FY 18/19 FY 19/20 FY 19/20
264.0- 330.0- 528.0- 198-
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
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MFCW (MILLION INR)
MFCW FY 16/17 FY 17/18 FY 18/19 FY 19/20 FY 20/21Revenue 953 2,518 2,895 3,399 3,650 P&L 161- 125.88 144.76 169.94 182.52 Cars Sold 220,000 550,000Outlets 1,200 2,000 2300 2,700 2,900 Cities 650 1,083 1,246 1,463 1,571
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
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MFCS (MILLION INR)
MFCS FY 16/17 FY 17/18 FY 18/19 FY 19/20 FY 20/21Revenue 791 5,500 7,500 8,500 10,000 P&L 455- 275.00 375.00 425.00 500.00 Total Workshops 250 550 750 850 1,000 Company Owned 15 0 0 0 0Clusters 20 40 30 34 40
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
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COMBINED (MILLION INR)
Combined FY 16/17 FY 17/18 FY 18/19 FY 19/20 FY 20/21Revenue 1,745 8,018 10,395 11,899 13,650 P&L 615- 400.88 519.76 594.94 682.52 Project costs 264.0- 330.0- 528.0- 198- Financing 547 -180 -528Net Cash Flow 683.88 9.76 461.06- 484.52
At a 7% Inflation Rate, NPV is INR 640 Million
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
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RISKS AND MITIGATIONS
• Royalties invested back in their business
1 Franchisee Backlash
• Seek External Debt Financing
2 Time to Profit or Cash Flow
• Cross promoting coupon on the app and IT platform
3 Customer Adoption1
Prob
abili
ty
Impact
2
3
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
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KPIS AND CONTROLSConcern KPI FY 20/21 FY 25/26
ProfitabilityMahindra First Choice
Net Income INR 182.52 Million
INR 182.52 Million
ProfitabilityFranchisee
Net Income 5% 10%
Growth Revenue -Markets
INR 13.6 Billion +1 International Market
INR 20 Billion +2 International Market
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
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RECOMMENDATION
Define Analyze Evaluate Recommend Implement Risks & Mitigate
M&M should combine MFCW & MFCS to leverage synergies and rapidly scale
Combine ExpandGrow
Internationally