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    Spending and

    Output in theShort Run: Part 1

    Spending and

    Output in theShort Run: Part 1

    Lecture 4

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    Contents

    1. Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    2. The Components of Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    3. Planned Spending Versus Actual Spending

    4. Consumption Function

    5. Planned Aggregate Expenditure and Output

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    Planned Aggregate ExpenditureTotalplannedspending on final goods and

    services

    Output at each point in time is determinedby the amount that the people throughoutthe economy want (plan) to spend.

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    The Components of Planned AggregateExpenditure

    1. Consumer expenditure orConsumption (C)Household spending on durables,

    nondurables, and services

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    The Components of Planned AggregateExpenditure

    2. Investment expenditure (I),New capital goods spendingNew residential spending

    Increases in inventories

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    The Components of Planned AggregateExpenditure

    3. Government purchases (G)Federal, state, and local governments

    spending on goods and services

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    The Components of Planned AggregateExpenditure

    4. Net exports (NX)Exports - imports

    Therefore,

    PAE = C + I + G + NX

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    Planned Spending Versus ActualSpendingIn the Keynesian model, output is

    determined by PAE.Actual expenditures may not equal PAE.

    If inventories are larger than expected:

    o I > planned Investment (IP)If inventories are smaller than expected:

    o I < IP

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    Planned Aggregate Expenditure PAE = C + Ip + G + NX

    Because firms meet demand at preset prices

    and cannot control how much they sell, theiractual investment (including inventory) may differform planned investment. Thats why we write Ip

    for planned investment to distinguish from I

    (actual investment).

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    PAE = C + Ip + G + NX

    For consumption, govt. spending andnet export we assume planned andactual spending are the same. So we

    need not write Cp Gp,etc.

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    Consumer Spending and the Economy

    Consumption (C) accounts for two thirds oftotal spending

    The primary determinant ofC isdisposable income or Y - T ( or Yd)

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    Consumption Function

    It shows the relationship betweenconsumption spending and itsdeterminants, in particular,

    disposable (after-tax) income

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    Relating Consumption to Income and OtherDeterminantsThe consumption function:

    C = + c(Y - T)

    = a constant; represents the non income determinantof C (also called autonomous consumption).

    Consumer optimism

    Wealth

    Real interest rates

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    Consumption FunctionC = + c(Y - T)

    C = + cYd

    c= marginal propensity to consume

    c = the amount by which consumption

    rises when disposable income rises by$1; 0 < c< 1

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    A Consumption Function

    Disposable income Y-T

    Consum

    ptions

    pending

    C

    Consumption

    function

    Slope = c = MPCC

    T)-c(YCC +=

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    MB MC The U.S. Consumption Function,

    1960-2001

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    Planned Aggregate Expenditure andOutputThe relationship between changes in

    production and income and PAECis a large part ofPAE

    Cdepends on Y

    PAEdepends on Y

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    ExamplePAE = C + IP + G + NX

    C = + c(Y T)

    PAE = + c(Y T) + IP + G + NX

    Suppose

    = 620; c = 0.8; T = 250; IP= 220; G =300; NX = 20

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    Example:Then: Substituting

    PAE = 620 + 0.8(Y - 250) + 220 + 300 + 20

    PAE = 620 + 0.8Y - 0.8(250) + 220 + 330 +

    20

    PAE = 620 + 0.8Y - 200 + 220 + 300 + 20

    PAE = (620 - 200 + 220 + 300 + 20) + 0.8Y

    PAE = 960 + 0.8Y

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    Planned Aggregate Expenditure

    ExamplePAE = 960 + 0.8Y

    0.8 = Marginal propensity to consume

    (MPC)If Y increases by $1, Cwill increase by 80

    cents (c= 0.80)

    Cis part ofPAEPAEincreases by 80 cents ($1 X 0.80)