mass. gaming commission report on mgm springfield's finances and revenue projections
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8/12/2019 Mass. Gaming Commission Report on MGM Springfield's Finances and Revenue Projections
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Financial StrengthMassachusetts Gaming Commission
June 2014
Private + ConfidentialDraft for Internal Discussion Purposes Only
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Introduction
The financial strength and capacity of the Applicant to develop (construct andopen) and operate the proposed facility.
Key Considerations:
Ability of Applicant to obtain project capital.
Current financial strength of Applicant.
Applicants expected project return over 15 year term (term of license).
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Ability to Obtain Capital: Introduction
3Draft for Internal DiscussionPurposes Only
Expectations of Applicant:
Evidence of access to capital required to fund project cost as submitted.
Assessment Approach:
Reviewed financing plan as submitted by Applicant as well as accompanyingbackground materials.
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Springfield/MGM
Capital Required $825.0
Third Party Debt $412.5-$618.8
Equity $206.3-$412.5
Total $825.0
Project Financed by Debt 50%-75%Project Financed by Equity 25%-50%
Total 100%
Financing Structure ($Million)
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on Applicant's
submission.
Ability to Obtain Capital: Funding Structure
4Draft for Internal DiscussionPurposes Only
MGM provided 2 options related to funding the project:
Option 1 proposes to fund the project through its corporate credit facility,existing cash, cash from existing operations as well as distributions receivedfrom existing unrestricted subsidiaries.
Option 2 proposes MGM contributes 25%-50% to the development with theremainder financed through project financing. The following table summarizesMGM's Option 2.
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Ability to Obtain Capital: Springfield/MGM
5
The legal name of the Applicant is Blue Tarp reDevelopment, LLC. Blue TarpreDevelopment, LLC is 99% owned by MGM International and 1% owned byPaul C. Picknelly.
MGM has suggested two financing alternatives for the development:
Option 1 Fund the development through its corporate credit facility, existingcash, cash flow from existing operations as well as distributions receivedfrom existing unrestricted subsidiaries.
Option 2 Fund the development through project financing comprised of
25% to 50% equity and the remainder obtained through project financing.
Option 1
Based on December 31, 2013 10-K As at December 31, 2013 MGM had $1.2 billion of available borrowing
capacity under its senior credit facility. MGM had $1.71 billion in EBITDA for the year ended December 31,2013. For
this same period they had $857 million in interest expense and $562 millionin capital expenditures.
Current assets at December 31, 2013 amounted to $2.7 billion while currentliabilities amounted to $2.2 billion.
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Key Financial Factors
Annualized
Estimate
Three Year
Period
Working Capital $504
Existing Borrowing Capacity $1,200
EBITDA* $1,712 $5,137
Interest Expense* -$857 -$2,571
Capital Expenditures* -$562 -$1,686
Maryland Development** -$925
Cash Available Before Capital Mkt. Transactions $1,659
Capital Market Transactions*** -$1,050
Cash Available After Capital Mkt. Transactions $609
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on information from the Applicant's subm ission.
Projected Cash Available for MGM
Three Year Period ($Million)
*** Total of $2.5 b illion of capital market transactions to be completed over nextthree years related to refinancing existing indebtedness. Assumes convertible
notes of $1.45 billion will be converted into equity without additional capital
required.
* Based on MGM 2013 10K adjusted for non-controlling interest.
** Estimated development cost for recently awarded facility in Maryland, (MGM
press release).
Ability to Obtain Capital: Springfield/MGM
6
Option 1 (Continued)
The following represents a high levelestimate of the next three yearsprojected cash availability for thedevelopment as contemplated underOption 1. This analysis contemplatesthat the only developments underconsideration during this period are the
recently awarded Maryland project andthe Massachusetts casino. The analysisassumes the Macau development ($2.9billion) is financed through projectfinancing.
In the event MGM refinances the
indebtedness owing over the next threeyears, there would be sufficient cashavailable to fund the development fromoperating capital.
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Option 2
Option 2 contemplates MGM contributing 25% to 50% equity to the
development with the remainder financed through project financing.
Barclays confirmed in writing that they were highly confident they would be ableto arrange project financing up to $619 million with MGMs contributing thebalance in equity.
Deutsche Bank Securities confirmed in writing that they were highly confidentthey would be able to arrange project financing up to $770 million providingMGM contributed 25% to 35% equity. Their letter stated they understood thetotal project cost to equal $985 million.
Proposed Equity Equity Debt Total
Equity at 25% $206 $619 $825
Equity at 50% $413 $413 $825
Springfield/MGM Project Financing ($Million)
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on information from theApplicant's submission.
Ability to Obtain Capital: Springfield/MGM
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Financial Strength: Introduction
8Draft for Internal DiscussionPurposes Only
Expectations of Applicant:
Strong balance sheet (current ratio and net asset position).
Reasonable levels of debt (debt/equity ratio).
Positive operating results (capital asset turnover and return on investment).
Assessment Approach:
Reviewed financial statements (where applicable) submitted by the Applicant
and performed financial ratio analysis to assess financial strength ofApplicant.
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Financial Strength: Definition of Ratios
9
Liquidity Ratios-Liquidity ratios are meant to provide information about anorganizations ability to meet its short-term financial obligations. Liquidity ratiosare not meant to assess the long-term sustainability of an organization, moreover,they are short-term in nature, defined within a one year time frame. In respect ofliquidity ratios we used the current ratio for our analysis.
Financial Leverage Ratios-Financial leverage ratiosprovide information aboutan organizations debt structure and its ability to repay long-term debt. In respectof financial leverage ratio, we used a debt/equity ratio in our analysis.
Asset Turnover Ratios-Asset turnover ratios provide information about howefficiently an organization is making use of its assets. The more times anorganization can turnover its assets (in terms of revenue) the greater theproductivity of the operation. In respect of asset turnover ratios we used thecapital asset turnover ratio in our analysis.
Profitability Ratios-Profitability ratios provide information about a companys
ability to generate profits. In respect of our profitability ratios we utilized a returnon investment (ROI) ratio and a times interest earned ratio in our analysis.
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Las Vegas
Sands Corp.
Wynn Resorts
Ltd.*
MGM Resorts
International*
Caesars
Entertainment
Corporation
Penn National
Gaming, Inc.**
Mohegan
Tribal Gaming
Authority
Boyd Gaming
Corporation
Pinnacle
Entertainment,
Inc.***
Station
Casinos LLC
Current Assets ($Million) $5,516 $2,968 $2,719 $3,770 $487 $138 $335 $599 $221
Current Liabilities ($Million) $3,130 $1,455 $2,215 $2,531 $499 $244 $454 $372 $231
Current Ratio 1.76 2.04 1.23 1.49 0.98 0.57 0.74 1.61 0.96
Total Capital Assets (Net Book Value) ($Million) $15,359 $4,934 $14,055 $13,238 $2,730 $1,476 $3,506 $3,040 $2,163
Net Revenue ($Million) $13,770 $5,620 $9,810 $8,560 $2,899 $1,340 $2,894 $1,488 $1,261
Capital Asset Turnover 0.90 1.14 0.70 0.65 1.06 0.91 0.83 0.49 0.58
Long Term Debt ($Million) $9,383 $6,587 $13,447 $20,918 $2,649 $1,649 $4,353 $4,364 $2,128Total Shareholder Equity ($Million) $7,665 -$185 $4,231 -$3,122 $2,250 $199 $470 $214 $658
Debt Equity Ratio 1.22 N/M 3.18 N/M 1.18 8.29 9.26 20.42 3.23
EBITDA (excludes unusual items) ($Million) $4,416 $1,294 $1,712 $1,700 $687 $309 $573 $270 $328
Investment ($Million)*** $17,048 $6,086 $17,678 $17,796 $4,695 $1,848 $4,823 $4,578 $2,787
Return on Investment 26% 21% 10% 10% 15% 17% 12% 6% 12%
EBITDA (excludes unusual items) ($Million) $4,416 $1,294 $1,712 $1,700 $687 $309 $573 $270 $328
Interest Expense ($Million) $271 $299 $857 $2,253 $81 $170 $344 $170 $165
Times Interest Earned 16.28 4.33 2.00 0.75 8.44 1.82 1.66 1.59 1.99
Year End 12/31/2013 12/31/2013 12/31/2013 12/31/2013 12/31/2012 9/30/2013 12/31/2013 12/31/2013 12/31/2013
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on m ost recent annual audited financial statements from gam ing companies.
*Shareholder's equity excludes that amount attributable to non-controll ing interests. EBITDA excludes that amount attributable to non-controlling interests.
**Ratios used are for 2012, prior to Penn National Gaming splitting in to two entities (GLPI and Penn National Gaming).
***In August 2013, Pinnacle Entertainment Inc. acquired Ameristar Casinos, Inc.
****Investment is defined as long term deb t plus shareholder's equity.
N/M-Not m easurable.
Capital Assets > $4 billion Capital Assets < $4 billion
Financial Ratios - Publically Traded Gaming Companies
10Draft for Internal DiscussionPurposes Only
Financial Strength: Financial Ratios, Publically TradedGaming Companies
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Financial Strength: Ratio Analysis
11
MGM Resorts International (MGM) Analysis
MGM has a satisfactory current ratio at greater than 1.
MGM has a capital asset turnover ratio of 0.7 which is line with other publicallytraded gaming companies with greater than $4 billion in capital assets.
MGM with a debt/equity ratio greater than 3 indicates they have a high proportionof debt relative to equity. It should be noted they do have $1.4 billion inconvertible notes due in 2015. At this time the stock is trading at over 50% of
the conversion price. If the notes were converted today, the debt/equity ratiowould decrease to just above 2.
MGM has a return on investment level of 10% and a times interest earned ratio of2.0. These two measures are satisfactory compared to a number of othercompanies.
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Expected Project Return: Introduction
12Draft for Internal DiscussionPurposes Only
Expectations of Applicant:
Earn a commercially reasonable return on investment.
Assessment Approach:
Internal rate of return calculation based on Applicant submitted 15-yearEBITDA. In addition the internal rate of return was assessed under twoannual discount rates (4%-15%).
Expected Project Return: Applicants Internal Rate of
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Springfield/
MGM
EBITDA ($Million)
Year 1 $97.4
Year 2 $148.6
Year 3 $155.4
Year 4 $159.6
Year 5 $163.9
Year 6 $168.3
Year 7 $172.8
Year 8 $177.0
Year 9 $181.2Year 10 $185.7
Year 11 $190.2
Year 12 $194.8
Year 13 $199.5
Year 14 $204.3
Year 15 $209.3
Total EBITDA ($Million) $2,608.0
Average EBITDA ($Million) $173.9
Development Budget ($Million)* $800.0
Internal Rate of Return** 19.5%
Internal Rate of Return (4% discount rate)** 15.0%
Internal Rate of Return (15% discount rate)** 4.1%
Internal rate of Return Calculation
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on App licant's subm ission.
**Calculation based on EBITDA, does not take into
consideration deb t versus equity financing, provides for
terminal value at end of 15 years based on earnings multiple of
5.
*Development b udget does not contain $25 million working
capital.
Expected Project Return: Applicant s Internal Rate ofReturn
Applicants expected project returns (15 years, length of license)
13Draft for Internal DiscussionPurposes Only
Applicants financial projections show a healthyfinancial return. Even applying a 15% discountrate to future earnings stream, the Applicantprojects a positive financial return, albeit belowthat of similar sized companies profiled on page10.
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Investment PlanMassachusetts Gaming CommissionJune 2014
Private + ConfidentialDraft for Internal Discussion Purposes Only
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Investment Plan: Introduction
2
The suitability of the proposed physical facility/complex plan to compete in themarket over the life of the license.
Key issues to investigate:
Commitment to spend required capital.
Timing of total development.
Consistency between quality/scope of proposed facility and expected marketpenetration and financial results.
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Required Capital: Introduction
3Draft for Internal DiscussionPurposes Only
Expectations of Applicant:
Provide evidence that capital budget includes eligible capital expenses of at
least $500 million.
Assessment Approach:
Reviewed Applicants submitted capital budgets and determined eligible andineligible expenses.
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Springfield/
MGM
Construction
Building - Casino $65,757,000
Building - Hotel $83,032,000
Building - Retail/Entertainment $48,072,000
Building - Other $40,830,000
Architectural and Engineering $22,000,000
Fit-Out - F&B/Retail/Apartment $55,469,000
Parking Garage $93,132,000
Total Construction $408,292,000
FF&E
Gaming Equipment $82,000,000
Other FF&E $25,500,000Total FF&E $107,500,000
Other Costs
License and Application Fee $85,000,000
Start-up Capital and Cage Cash $25,000,000
Financing Costs $58,000,000
Project Contingencies $24,425,000
Land $50,133,000
Pre-opening Expenses $30,000,000
Host Community Payment $5,150,000
Operating Supplies $31,500,000Total Other Costs $309,208,000
Total Budgeted Cost $825,000,000
n/p- Not provided.
Category 1 Projected Development Budget
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on Applicant's
submission.
MGMs total development budget is$825 million.
4
Required Capital: Development Budget
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Required Capital: Eligible Costs
MGMs eligible capital cost is $515.8 millionwhich meets the $500 million requirement.
5Draft for Internal DiscussionPurposes Only
Springfield/
MGM
Eligible Capital Costs
Construction
Building - Casino $65,757,000
Building - Hotel $83,032,000
Building - Retai l/Entertainment $48,072,000
Building - Other $40,830,000
Architectural and Engineering $22,000,000
Fit-Out - F&B/Retai l/Apartment $55,469,000
Parking Garage $93,132,000
Total Construction $408,292,000
FF&E
Gaming Equipment $82,000,000
Other FF&E $25,500,000
Total FF&E $107,500,000
Total Eligible Costs $515,792,000
n/p- Not provided.
Category 1 Projected Development
Budget- Eligible Costs
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on Applicant'ssubmission and HLT's interpretation of eligible capital
costs.
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Springfield/
MGM
Total Eligible Costs $515,792,000
Ineligible Budgeted Costs
License and Applicat ion Fee $85,000,000
Start-up Capital and Cage Cash $25,000,000
Financing Costs $58,000,000
Project Contingencies $24,425,000
Land $50,133,000Pre-opening Expenses $30,000,000
Host Community Payment $5,150,000
Operating Supplies $31,500,000
Total Ineligible Costs $309,208,000
Total Budgeted Cost $825,000,000
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on Applicant's
submission and HLT's interpretation of eligible capital
costs.
Category 1 Projected Development
Budget- Ineligible Costs
Required Capital: Ineligible Costs
MGMs ineligible costs total $309.2million.
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Project Timeline: Introduction
7Draft for Internal DiscussionPurposes Only
Expectations of Applicant:
Provided a reasonable development timeline for opening the permanent
facility.
Assessment Approach:
Reviewed planned timelines. Note: Time to obtain necessary permits notconsidered.
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Project Timeline: Applicants Proposed Timing
MGM anticipates construction to be complete 27 months from the start ofconstruction.
Projected opening date is subject to license award date.
MGMs timeline is reasonable given the size and scope of the developmentand site location.
8Draft for Internal DiscussionPurposes Only
Springfield/
MGM*Category 1 License Awarded n/p
Start of Construction July-07-14
Construction Completion 27 months
Opening Date n/p
n/p- Not provided.
Category 1 Development Schedule
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. b ased on Applicant's
submission.
*MGM stated project opening date is subject to certainfactors including the license award.
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Consistency with Financials: Introduction
9Draft for Internal DiscussionPurposes Only
Expectations of Applicant:
Consistency between size and scope of facility and operating and financial
plans.
Assessment Approach:
Reviewed capital budget and building renderings in connection with operatingand financial plans.
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Consistency with Financials: Project Overview
Draft for Internal DiscussionPurposes Only
10
Applicant
Springfield/
MGMName MGM Springfield
Location Springfield
Construction Period 27 months
Opening DateSubject to certain factors
including license award
Gaming
Slots 3,000
Table Games 100
Area (sf) 126,701
Non-Gaming
F&B Outlets 8
F&B Seats 2,065
Hotel (rooms) 250
EntertainmentBowling Alley, Cinema,
Radio/TV Studio
Exhibition/Meeting Space (sf) 19,388
Retail 8,000 sf branded retail35,000 sf outdoor retail
Parking (spaces) 3,853
Category 1 Applications- Project Summaries
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on Applicant's subm ission.
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MGM Springfield
Wynn Resortin Everett
Mohegan Sun
Massachusetts
Consistency with Financials: Springfield/MGM
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MGM Springfield
Wynn Resortin Everett
Mohegan Sun
Massachusetts
Consistency with Financials: Springfield/MGM
Located in theCity of
Springfield. Located on an
approximately14.5 acre sitebounded by:State Street to
the north, MainStreet to theeast, UnionStreet to thesouth, andColumbusAvenue to the
west.
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Consistency with Financials: Springfield/MGM
Draft for Internal DiscussionPurposes Only
13
Plan includes a 9-level (8-storey) 3,784 spotparking garage.
Additional 69 surface parking spots availableconsisting of:
47 spot Armory surface parking lot (30-minute parking).
7 spot E Columbus retail lot.
15 spot Daycare center lot.
Employee parking planned in parking garage,available offsite if necessary.
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Consistency with Financials: Springfield/MGM
Draft for Internal DiscussionPurposes Only
14
Basement Level
141,197 sf back ofhouse (yellow).
41,619 sf dock area(brown).
Basement level ofparking garage(grey).
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Consistency with Financials: Springfield/MGM
15Draft for Internal Discussion
Purposes Only
Level 1
126,701 sf gamingarea (purple).
71,450 sf of food andbeverage and 22,000sf bowling alley (red).
40,982 sf of retail(orange).
Level 1 of parkinggarage containingvalet pick up/drop offand bus drop off andparking (grey).
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Consistency with Financials: Springfield/MGM
16Draft for Internal Discussion
Purposes Only
Level 2
45,859 sf of
convention space(19,388 sf rentablespace) located abovethe casino (lightorange).
45,000 sf cinema
(dark orange)adjacent to parkinggarage.
21,659 sf ofresidential apartments(dark pink). First level
of 64,800 sf, 4-storeyapartment building(54 apartmentsuites).
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Consistency with Financials: Springfield/MGM
Draft for Internal Discussion
Purposes Only
17
Hotel (170,104 sf)
250 room four star
hotel located at westcorner of the complex(rooms range from400 sf to 900 sf).
Consistency with Financials: Scope of Core Gaming
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Springfield/ MGM
Slot Machines 3,000Table Games* 100
Gaming Positions 3,600
Slot Machine Square Footage** 90,000
Table Machine Square Footage** 30,000
Total Gaming Square Footage 120,000
Proposed Gaming Square Footage (sf) 126,701
Difference (Estimated vs. Proposed sf) 6,701
F&B Seats 2,065
F&B Seats per Position 0.57
Total Parking Spaces 3,853
Total Parking per Position 1.07
* Assumes 6 positions per table game.
** Assumes 30 sf per slot machine and 300 sf per table game.
Proposed Facility Suitability
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on Applicant's submission and
HLT estimates.
y p gFacility Components
18Draft for Internal Discussion
Purposes Only
Gaming square footage proposed atMGM is slightly greater than required
using square footage assumptions forslot machines and table games.
Proposed F&B seats per position of0.57 are reasonable given typicalindustry norms.
Proposed parking (on-site) spaces perposition of 1.07 are reasonable giventypical industry norms (1:1). There isalso the availability of additionalparking in the downtown area.
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Introduction
As part of the evaluation of Category 2 applications, HLT prepared a maassessment that included revenue estimates for each the three proposedsites as well as for all Category 1 resort casinos (one in each of the permRegions). The complete market assessment was made public as part ofapplication evaluation process.
The remainder of this report and appendices (under separate cover) sum
sections of the full market assessment that are applicable to the Categoapplications. Components of the full market assessment that are not lonfor Category 1 casinos and as such were removed, include:
All No Competition Scenarios (i.e., Category 2 facilities before the inCategory 1 casinos).
Full Competition Scenarios (low and high market share estimates) founsuccessful Category 2 application sites.
Full Competition Scenario Low for Plainville/Penn. Note: the market the Category 1 casinos in Regions A and B did not change and the mperformance estimate for Region C did not materially change under thigh market share estimates.
In addition, some wording was modified to reflect the focus on Categoryopposed to Category 2 casinos.
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Market Assessment: Introduction
Reasonableness of Applicants revenue projections given current ancompetitive marketplace. Category 1 casinos will have to generate vrevenue from the broad regional market area that is currently beingcasinos located in neighbouring states and that will also be served bCategory 2 casino located in Plainville, Massachusetts.
Key considerations:
Size of expected market (as measured by Gross Gaming Revenu
Individual facilitys gaming revenue projections and market shar-
An individual facility's gaming revenues (or market share) is dependboth the overall size of the gaming market and competition. The sizmarkets is a function of the adult population (and its propensity to ggaming supply available in the market. The size of a gaming marketstated in terms of GGR per adult (total GGR divided by adult popula
Competition is a function gaming supply (e.g. size and scope of facioperating characteristics) available in the market.
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Applicants Projections: Introduction
The Applicants projections are summarized on the following page. Applicant retained a third party consultant to undertake a market asThe assessment was directly or indirectly used by the Applicant to aprojection estimates.
The projections summarized represent the base case scenario as co
the Applicants submission.
Note: The Applicant assumes a Category 1 casino was operational inthree designated Massachusetts casino regions and one Category 2 operational in Southeast Massachusetts.
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Applicants Projections: First Five-Year Period
100 $
$600
$800
$1,000
GR($Million)
Total GGR* Projections for Springfield/MGM
Table Games
Slot Machines
$
$485$500
$512
$332$391 $402 $412
$
$80
$94
$0
$200
$400
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Ye
T
otal
$412
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Applicants Projections: Summary
With all in-state competition, total projected GGR for the Categoin Region B was estimated at $500 million.
Springfield/MGM (Region B) - $500.0 million (Year 3)
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Market Area Extent: Introduction
Key factors in determining geographic extent of casino market areas
Size and scope of casino facilities (including number of devices, nogaming amenities, operating characteristics and tax rate)
Location of existing and future competitive facilities (including size
scope of the same)
Drive times (existing road networks) assumed 90 minutes from service casinos.
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Market Area Extent: Geographic Extent
Red lines represent 90-minute drive timesfrom all full-servicecasinos (except theCategory 2 casino).
Blue line represents60-minute drive timesfrom the approvedCategory 2 casinoPlainville Penn
National).
Generally, the States ofMassachusetts, RhodeIsland and Connecticut(and Southern NewHampshire) are within
a 90-minute drive timefrom multiple casinos
Springfield
Casino
Mohegan SunMontville
Foxwoods
Twin RiverCasino
Plainville
Park Casino
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Market Area Extent: Geographic Extent
Total market areaextent based onapproximately 90-minute drive timesfrom all existing
and potentialfuture facilities -includes all ofMassachusetts,Rhode Island andConnecticut as well
as the southgernportion of NewHampshire.
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Market Area Extent: Sub-Market Areas
The total market area was divided into 24 sub-market areas to facilshare estimates. Each sub-market area has been delineated based oof existing and proposed facilities, existing road networks, and zip cboundaries.
Existing CasinosFuture Category 1Proposed Category 2
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Size of Market: Introduction
The size of gaming markets is a function of the adult population (anpropensity to game) and gaming supply available in the market. Thgaming market can be stated in terms of GGR per adult (total GGRadult population).
Factors impacting size of market:
Adult population in market area
Number of facilities
Number of gaming devices
Scope of gaming facilities (amenities)
Acceptance of gaming as a form of entertainment
To determine the size of the market, HLT reviewed the market assereport prepared by the State when it was considering introducing creport did not include a Category 2 casino) and identified and assescomparable markets.
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Size of Market: Spectrum 2010 Report PrepaState
Key Assumptions:
Three resort casinos locatedin the geographic centre ofthe identified MassachusettsRegions.
Market area for each casinobased on a 2-hour drivetime.
Given results and
Region 1 Region 2
Primary Presentation (Moderate Case)
Adult Population 7,938,447 7,186,209
Total GGR Captured by State Casinos $496,700,731 $488,999,275 $
GGR/Adult Captured by State Casinos $63 $68
State Share of total 20.0% 20.0%
Estimated Total Market GGR/Adult $313 $340
Secondary Presentation (Moderate Case)
Adult Population 7,867,726 7,030,110Total GGR Captured by State Casinos $492,275,818 $478,377,173 $
GGR/Adult Captured by State Casinos $63 $68
State Share of total 20.0% 20.0%
Estimated Total Market GGR/Adult $313 $340
Alternate Presentation (Moderate Case)
Adult Population 7,867,726 7,030,110
Win/Adult Estimates Based on Spectrum 2010 R
assumptions of the
Spectrum 2010 Report, thesize of identified gamingmarkets (excludingincremental from hotelrooms) ranges from $250 to
$350 GGR/adult, with anaverage of $300/Adult for Appendix A Contains a detailed summar
Total GGR Captured by State Casinos $989,474,395 $466,417,744 $
GGR/Adult Captured by State Casinos $126 $66
State Share of total 40.2% 19.5%Estimated Total Market GGR/Adult $313 $340
Note: Spectrum refers to Region 1, Region 2 and Region 3. Region 1 is locate
Massachusetts (currently known as Region A). Region 2 is located in southea
(currently known as Region C) and Region 3 is central/western Massachusetts
Region B).
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on Spectrum Gaming Group, Market Analysi
Projections: An Update (prepared for the Massachusetts Legislature), March 3
assumptions.
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Size of Market: Comparison Markets
Key characteristics identified to determine comparable markets inc 3 to 5 main facilities
Urban core and suburban locations
Total market GGR~$1.0 billion
Comparison markets identified: Pittsburgh - Pennsylvania
Philadelphia Pennsylvania
,
estimated. Factors that were assessed included: A market area was defined based on a typical drive time (up to
and the location of competitive facilities.
Total adult population.
Gaming tax rates.
Current performance of market area facilities (revenue by type d b f d i )
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Horseshoe
Cleveland
Market area de
on counties witapproximate 90drive time from(i.e., purple shdue to locationcompetitive cas
Slots/VLTs Tables
Pennsylvan ia 55.0% 16.0%
West Vi rg innia 53.0% 35.0%
State Gaming Taxes
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on information
from the American Gaming Association and/or
State data.
Size of Market: Comparison MarketsPittsburgh Pennsylvania
RiversCasino
The Meadows
MountaineerPark
WheelingIsland
HorseshoeCleveland
Lady LuckCasino
90-MinutesDrive Times
fromPittsburgh
& Cleveland
RiversCasino
TheMeadows
MountaineerPark
WheelingIsland
HollywoodC l b
Lady LCasin
Columbus
90-Minutes Drive
Times fromColumbus Rocky GapCasino
Slots/VLTs Tables
Pennsylvania 55.0% 16.0%
West Virginnia 53.0% 35.0%
State Gaming Taxes
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on information
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Size of Market: Comparison MarketsPittsburgh Pennsylvania
Market area adult population (21+) estimated at 2.7 million.
Five casino within market area (three in Pennsylvania and two in generating currently total GGR of $919.1 million.
If all GGR generated at the identified facilities originates from witdefined market area, the Pittsburgh market has a captured GGR p
of ~$350.
That said, a substantial portionof the West Virginia casinosbusiness likely originates from
GGR
Adult Population 2,651,862
Pennsylvania Casinos
Pittsburgh Market Area GGR and GGR/Ad
o eyon e e ne
Pittsburgh market area). If halfof West Virginia casinos GGRoriginates outside the definedmarket area, the Pittsburghmarket area has a capturedGGR per adult rate of ~$300.
ot n , ,
Table Win $105,273,685
Subtotal Pennsylvania $629,458,580
West Virginia Casinos
Slot Win $259,719,313
Table Win $29,971,943
Subtotal West Virginia $289,691,257
Total Pittsburgh Market Area $919,149,837
Source: HLT Advisory Inc based on information from Pennsylvania
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Size of Market: Comparison MarketsPhiladelphia Pennsylvania
SandsCasino
Market area deon counties witapproximate 60time from Philapurple shaded location of com
casinos.
SugarHouse
HarrahsPhiladelphia
ValleyForge
Sands
MountAiry
HollywoodCasino
ParxCasino
60-MinutesDriveTimes
ParCasi
SugarHouse
HarrahsPhiladelphia
ValleyForge
Hollywood
Casino
DelawareParkHollywood
Casino
Slots/VLTs Tables
Pennsylvania 55.0% 16.0%
Delaware 59.5% 35.0%
State Gaming Taxes
AtlanticCity
Casino
DelawarePark
Dover'sPark
HollywoodCasino
MarylandLive
60-MinutesDrive
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Size of Market: Comparison MarketsPhiladelphia Pennsylvania
Market area adult population (21+) estimated at 4.6 million. Five casino within market area (four in Pennsylvania and one in D
Total current GGR $1.3 billion.
If all GGR generated at identified facilities originates from within market area, the Philadelphia market area has a captured GGR peof ~$300.
GGR
GGR %
Distribution
GGR/
Adult
Adult Population 4,559,573
Philadelphia Market Area GGR and GGR/Adult Estimates
ennsyvan a as nos
Slot Win $857,026,385 63.7% $188
Table Win $311,299,389 23.1% $68Subtotal Pennsylvania $1,168,325,773 86.8% $256
Delaware Casinos
Slot Win $148,339,200 11.0% $33
Table Win $29,066,199 2.2% $6
Subtotal Delaware $177,405,399 13.2% $39
Total Philadelphia Market Area $1,345,731,172 100.0% $295
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Size of Market: Existing Market Area CompetRhode Island
Based on secondaryinformation sources, HLTestimates that 50% of casinosGGR originates from the Stateof Massachusetts.
Twin River Newport
Gaming Devices
Slots 4,500 1,000
Tables 66
F&B Facilities
Rhode Island Casinos - Characteristics
Twin RCas
Slots/VLTs Tables
Rhode Island 60.8% 18.0%
Connecticut 25% - 30%
State Gaming Taxes
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on information
from the American Gaming Association and/or
State data.
F&B Outlets 2 1
Food Court 3
Other Ancillary Facilities
Entertainment Outlets 2 1
Entertainment 29,000 sf and
200 seats
400 seats
Other Characteristics
Smoking Allowed Yes Yes
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on data from casino annualreports, State gaming commission reports, and casino
websites
Mohegan SunCasino Foxwoods
Casino
Casino Name 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 201
Slot Revenue
Twin River* $329 $375 $407 $400 $424 $463 $4
Newport $77 $73 $68 $62 $53 $50 $
Rhode Island Casino Performance ($Millio
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Size of Market: Existing Market Area CompetExisting Competitive Facilities Connecticut
Mohegan Sun Foxwoods
Gaming Devices
Slots* 5,559 6,229
Tables 330 350
F&B Facilities
F&B Outlets 17 17
Connecticut Casinos - Characteristics
Casino Name FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY201Slot Revenue
Mohegan Sun $922 $856 $780 $746 $711 $
Foxwoods $803 $748 $688 $650 $637 $
Subtotal Slot GGR $1,725 $1,604 $1,468 $1,396 $1,348 $1,
Table Revenue
Mohegan Sun $360 $375 $306 $296 $305 $
Foxwoods $342 $359 $355 $335 $312 $
Subtotal Table GGR $702 $734 $661 $631 $617 $
Total GGR
Mohegan Sun $1,282 $1,231 $1,086 $1,042 $1,016 $
Foxwoods $1,145 $1,107 $1,043 $985 $949 $
Total GGR $2,427 $2,338 $2,129 $2,027 $1,965 $1,
Connecticut Casino Performance ($Million)
Estimates for FY2012 and FY2013 based on data reported by the State of Connecticut, d
Mashantucket Pequot Tribal Nation Bondholder Presentation (Aug 2012) and HLT estima
Based on secondaryinformation sources, HLTestimates that 30% ofcasinos GGR originates fromthe State of Massachusetts.
Food Court 4 2
Other Ancillary FacilitiesEntertainment Outlets 3 2
Entertainment 10,000 seats
400 seats
350 seats
4,000 seats
1,500 seats
Additional Convention Space 100,000 sf 50,000 sf
Hotel Rooms 1,200 2,205
Other Characteristics
Smoking Allowed Yes Yes
Tax Rate
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on data from casino annual reports,
25%-30% of slot revenue
.
information from the State of Connecticut Department of Consumer Protection and HLT e
Slots/VLTs Tables
Rhode Island 60.8% 18.0%
Connecticut 25% - 30%
State Gaming Taxes
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on information
from the American Gaming Association and/or
State data.
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Size of Market: Existing Market Area CompetExisting Competitive Facilities - RI & CT
Category 1 & 2 casinos will have to compete with established RhodeConnecticut casinos for a share of the market.
Twin Rivers (Rhode Island) has a market competitive advantageCategory 2 casino due to its size and scope of gaming offering (4machines and 66 table games), and smoking. Its gaming tax raamenity offerings is similar to the Category 2 casino.
Category 1 casinos on the other hand will have a competitive adTwin Rivers casino due to its greater range of non-gaming amenlower tax rate.
The Connecticut casinos have a market competitive advantage oCategory 2 casino due to their size and scope of gaming offeringslot machines each and 300 table games each), their amenity faofferings (hotel rooms and meeting space, multiple food and bevoutlets, and multiple entertainment facilities), their tax rate and
The size and scope, amenities offering and tax rate (for slot gamCategory 1 casinos is very similar to Connecticut casinos (excep
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Size of Market: Massachusetts Market AreaPotential GGR/Adult - Conclusions
Based on the review of the Spectrum Report and identified compamarkets, HLT believes that a GGR/adult level ranging between $3is appropriate to estimate the size of the Massachusetts casino ma
Connecticut and Rhode Island casinos currently penetrate the Masmarket (estimated at ~$750 million) and will compete with Massacasinos in the future for a share of the market (in total, the broadmarket will contain eight casinos when fully developed).
Both Rhode Island and Connecticut casinos have significant cadvanta es over the Cate or 2 casino.
Category 1 casinos have a competitive advantage over Rhodcasinos and the Category 2 casino, and will be able to effectiwith Connecticut casinos.
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Market Shares: Introduction
The market performance of the proposed Category 1 facilities will bon:
Size and Scope of propose facility.
Operating environment compared to competitive casinos (e.g., type of gaming devices permitted including restrictions, tax rate
policy, amenity facilities and use of the same to drive visitation,
Proximity to competitive facilities.
Proximity to market area population.
Facilit ca acit constraints e. . number of ermitted amin parking, etc.).
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Market Shares: Competitive Environment
Proposed Category 1facilities are similar in sizeand scope relative existingcompetitors:
Three of four existingcompetitive casinoscontain between 4,500and 6,300 slotmachines, offer tablegames and have various
Region B Category 2Springfield/
MGM
Revere/
Mohegan
Everett/
Wynn
Plainville/
Penn National Twin RiveGaming Devices
Slots* 3,000 4,240 3,072 1,250 4,500
Tables 100 120 150 66
F&B Facilities
F&B Outlets 7 20 9 2 2
Food Court 1 n/p n/p 1 3
Other Ancillary Facilities
Entertainment Outlets 1 2 1 2
Entertainment To partner with
existing centres
(e.g., Mass
Mutual &
Symphony
Hall/CityStage)
38,000 sf
(950 seat) multi-
purpose venue
1,000 seat multi-
purpose venue,
500 seat outdoor
amphitheatre
< 100
seats
29,000 sf a
200 seats
Additional Convention
Space
19,388 sf
Hotel Rooms 1 Hotel
(250 rooms)
2 Hotels
(325 and 175
1 Hotel
(500 rooms)
Proposed Category 1 and Competitive Casino Characteristics
Massachusetts Rhod
Region A
anc ary ac es.
Category 1 facilities areproposed to offerbetween 3,000 and4,240 slots and between100 to 150 table games.
Retail 8,000 sf branded
retail 35,000 sf
outdoor retail
Sub-contracted
the Retail, Dining
& Entertainment("RDE") complex
is 150,000 sf
89,140 sf in retail
corridor (premium
retail stores andrestaurants)
2 retail
outlets
Other Characteristics
Smoking Allowed No No No No Yes
Tax Rate 25% of total
GGR
25% of total
GGR
25% of total
GGR
49% of slot
revenue
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. Based on casino annual reports, state gaming commission reports, individual casino websites and Applic
n/p: not provided.
* Connecticut slot machines totals based on December 2012 as reported by the State of Connecticut.
60.8% of
18% of ta
The Category 1 facilities will operate in an environment similar to competitors (i e similar tax rates on slot gaming) However unli
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Market Shares: Full Competition
Key Assumption/Notes:1. Size of market under full competition (i.e., including the awarded
casino) has been estimated based on a $300 GGR/adult, a $350 as well as on a blended GGR/adult level. The blended GGR/adultbeen generally based on the following assumptions:
$375 for areas with a casino. $325 for areas adjacent to casino markets.
$275 for all other areas.
Note: GGR adult includes both slot and table GGR.
2. Three Category 1 facility locations assumed for the proposed of assessment: Boston (Region A), Springfield (Region B) and TaunC).
3. Inflow from beyond the defined market area has not be estimateCategory 1 facilities.
4. For the purposes of this analysis, timing (i.e. when a facility will operational) was not factored into the analysis, nor was potentia
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Market Shares: Full CompetitionRegion B (Springfield) Market Shares Resul
Market Areas
Market
Shares
At $300/
Adult
Blended
Ad
Massachusetts South Central - Springfield 80.0% $104,408,400 $13
Connecticut North Central 30.0% $66,092,940 $7
Markets Within 0-30 Minutes $170,501,340 $20
Worcester/Milford 25.0% $29,623,800 $3
Massachusetts North Central 80.0% $26,854,080 $2
Massachusetts West 80.0% $26,297,520 $2
Connecticut East 5.0% $7,032,915 $
Connecticut West 10.0% $41,485,170 $3
Markets Within 30-60 Minutes $131,293,485 $13
Leominster 25.0% $11,258,550 $1
Boston Suburbs - Northwest 15.0% $14,190,975 $1
Boston Suburbs - Southwest 15.0% $8,451,000 $
Springfield (Region B) Category 1 Casino - Summary of GGR EsSub-market areas havebeen organized(generally) by drivetimes for illustrationpurposes only.
. , ,
Rhode Island North 5.0% $8,692,800 $1
New Hampshire Southwest 20.0% $16,098,600 $1
Markets Within 60-90 Minutes $60,234,375 $6
Central Boston 5.0% $11,724,375 $1
Central Boston - North 5.0% $5,798,625 $
Central Boston - South 5.0% $3,426,630 $
Rhode Island South 5.0% $2,839,665 $
Raynham 5.0% $2,169,870 $
Massachusetts Southwest 5.0% $4,762,275 $
Massachusetts Southeast 5.0% $3,459,285 $
Cape Cod 5.0% $2,915,850 $
Boston Suburbs - North 5.0% $7,598,640 $
Boston Suburbs - South 5.0% $2,690,055 $
New Hampshire East 5.0% $6,802,395 $
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45%
35%
75%
75%
75%
50%25%
Market Shares: Full CompetitionRegion A (Boston) Market Shares Results
50%
5%
5%35%
30, 60minute d
are incillus
purpo
10%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5% 5% 5%
10%
10%
10%
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Market Shares: Full CompetitionRegion A (Boston) GGR Estimates
Market Areas
Market
Shares
At $300/
Adult
Blen
Central Boston 75.0% $175,865,625 $
Central Boston - North 75.0% $86,979,375
Central Boston - South 50.0% $34,266,300
Boston Suburbs - North 75.0% $113,979,600 $
Boston Suburbs - South 20.0% $10,760,220
Markets Within 0-30 Minutes $421,851,120 $
New Hampshire East 50.0% $68,023,950
Boston Suburbs - Northwest 45.0% $42,572,925
Boston Suburbs - Southwest 25.0% $14,085,000
Raynham 10.0% $4,339,740
Plainville 10.0% $3,084,900
Massachusetts Southwest 5.0% $4,762,275
Massachusetts Southeast 10.0% $6,918,570
Boston (Region A) Category 1 Casino - Summary of GGR ESub-market areas havebeen organized(generally) by drivetimes for illustrationpurposes only.
. , ,
Markets Within 30-60 Minutes $149,619,060 $
New Hampshire Southwest 35.0% $28,172,550Leominster 35.0% $15,761,970
Worcester/Milford 25.0% $29,623,800
Rhode Island North 5.0% $8,692,800
Rhode Island South 5.0% $2,839,665
Markets Within 60-90 Minutes $85,090,785
Massachusetts North Central 5.0% $1,678,380
Massachusetts South Central - Springfield 5.0% $6,525,525
Massachusetts West 5.0% $1,643,595
Connecticut East 5.0% $7,032,915
Connecticut North Central 5.0% $11,015,490Connecticut West 5.0% $20,742,585
Markets Beyond 90-Minutes $48 638 490
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Market Shares: Full CompetitionRegion C (Taunton) GGR Estimates
Market Areas
Market
Shares
At $300/
Adult
Blende
A
Raynham 47.5% $20,613,765 $
Massachusetts Southwest 50.0% $47,622,750 $
Markets Within 0-30 Minutes $68,236,515 $
Central Boston 5.0% $11,724,375 $
Central Boston - North 5.0% $5,798,625
Central Boston - South 15.0% $10,279,890 $Boston Suburbs - South 25.0% $13,450,275 $
Boston Suburbs - Southwest 20.0% $11,268,000 $
Plainville 20.0% $6,169,800
Massachusetts Southeast 60.0% $41,511,420 $
Cape Cod 60.0% $34,990,200 $
Rhode Island North 10.0% $17,385,600 $
Rhode Island South 10.0% $5,679,330
Taunton (Region C) Category 1 Casino - Summary of GGR EsSub-market areas havebeen organized(generally) by drivetimes for illustrationpurposes only.
Markets Within 30-60 Minutes $158,257,515 $1
Boston Suburbs - North 10.0% $15,197,280 $
Boston Suburbs - Northwest 15.0% $14,190,975 $Leominster 15.0% $6,755,130
Worcester/Milford 15.0% $17,774,280 $
Connecticut East 5.0% $7,032,915
Markets Within 60-90 Minutes $60,950,580 $
New Hampshire East 10.0% $13,604,790 $
New Hampshire Southwest 5.0% $4,024,650
Massachusetts North Central 5.0% $1,678,380
Massachusetts South Central - Springfield 5.0% $6,525,525
Massachusetts West 5.0% $1,643,595
Connecticut North Central 5.0% $11,015,490 $Connecticut West 5.0% $20,742,585 $
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R bl f A li t R P j
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Reasonableness of Applicants Revenue ProjeSpringfield/MGM
At $300 Blended At $350
HLT's Defined Market Area* $416.2 $452.9 $485.6
Other Sources of Revenue
Outside HLT's Defined Market Area** n.a. n.a. n.a.
Projected GGR for Springfield Category 1 Casino
HLT Estimates vs. MGM Financial Projections
Gaming Revenues by Areas
HLT Estimate
MGMs casino will generate $436.7 million or 87.4% of its total reveHLTs defined market area. This amount is similar to HLTs estimatblended GGR/adult level.
In addition, MGMs casinocould also generate inflow ofabout $62.9 million or12.6% of total revenue.
Note: while some of the
MassMutuel Centre n.a. n.a. n.a.
Hall of Fame n.a. n.a. n.a.
Traffic Counts n.a. n.a. n.a.Tourist n.a. n.a. n.a.
Hotel n.a. n.a. n.a.
Total Other Sources n.a. n.a. n.a.
Total GGR $416.2 $452.9 $485.6
n.a.: Not available
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on information from Union Gaming Analytics, MGM Re
Springfield Market Study - Appendix Update, November 2013 and HLT estimates.
* $436.7 million in GGR for Year 3 are estimated to come from within the defined HLT ma
information provided in MGM's third party market assessment and HLT estimates
likely will be generated byresidents of the definedmarket area, HLT hasassumed that these othersources represent inflow forthe purposes of this
assessment.
R bl f A li t R P j
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Reasonableness of Applicants Revenue ProjeSummary
MGMs revenue projections are consistent with HLTs market assesFurther, MGMs inflow estimates are reasonable and consistent witmarketing program submitted (i.e., leverage existing visitation to Springfield area and New York State given Springfields location reNew York).
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Market AssessmentAppendices
Private + ConfidentialDraft for Internal Discussion Purposes Only
Massachusetts Gaming Commission
June 2014
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Table of Contents
Appendix A: Summary of Spectrum 2010 Report
Appendix B: Comparison Markets
Appendix C: Full Competition Detailed Tables
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Appendix A: Spectrum 2010 Report
In February 2008, Spectrum was retained by the Commonwealth oMassachusetts to analyze the proposal to authorize three commercdestination casino resorts in the State and to project its potential imreport was titled Comprehensive Analysis: Projecting and PreparinPotential Impact of Expanded Gaming on Commonwealth of Massacand dated August 1, 2008 (Spectrum 2008 Report).
In 2010, Spectrum updated the original estimates prepared in 2008updated report was titled Market Analysis, Gross Gaming Revenue
An Update and dated March 31, 2010 (Spectrum 2010 Report).
It should be noted, that Spectrum did not consider the introduction
Category 2 (slots only) facility in the State in both of their reports.
The following pages provide a summary of the Spectrum 2010 Rep
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Appendix A: Spectrum 2010 Report
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Appendix A: Spectrum 2010 ReportAssumptions
Each set of projections/presentations can be summarized as follo
1. Primary Presentation assumes the following:
Two-hour drive time population estimates based on county geography.
Year three (stabilized year) each facility will capture 20.0visits generated from market area.
Each casino with 3,000 slots, 100 tables, 40 poker tables aroom hotel.
2. Secondary Presentation assumes the following:
Two-hour drive time population estimates based on zip codgeography.
Year three (stabilized year) each facility will capture 20.0visits generated from market area.
Each casino with 3,000 slots, 100 tables, 40 poker tables aroom hotel
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Appendix A: Spectrum 2010 Report
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Appendix A: Spectrum 2010 ReportAssumptions
Key revenue modeling assumptions:
Adult population: 73.2% of total population (US Census Burea
Gaming Incidence Rate: 28.0% (Harrahs National Survey)
Avg. Annual Trips: 6.7 (Harrahs National Survey)
Regions Share of Visits: 20.0% for each region for primary anprojections. Alternative projection estimated at 40.2% for Re19.5% for Region 2 and 20.7% for Region 3
Gaming Value of Visits: $150 (based on Atlantic City Model), b
Gross Slot Win: 68.1% of total GGR (Atlantic City Average) Gross Table Win: 29.9% of total GGR (Atlantic City Average)
Gross Poker Win: 2.0% of total GGR (Atlantic City Average)
Tax Rate: 27.0% of GGR after $100,000 minimum
Incremental GGR from hotel estimated based on:* Casino to capture 36 0% of total hotel visitors
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Appendix A: Spectrum 2010 Report
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Appendix A: Spectrum 2010 ReportAlternate Projections - Results
Table below presents the results for Year Three (2016) under the moderate c
Region 1 Region 2 Region 3
Market Area Win
Adult Population 7,867,726 7,030,110 7,769,099
Gaming Participation Rate 28% 28% 28%
Gaming Population 2,202,963 1,968,431 2,175,348
Avg. Visits/Gaming Pop 6.7 6.7 6.7Total Gaming Visits 14,759,854 13,188,486 14,574,830
Region's Share of Total 40.2% 19.5% 20.7%
Total Region's Visit 5,933,461 2,571,755 3,016,990
Gaming Value/Visit $167 $181 $136
GGR from Market $989,474,395 $466,417,744 $411,490,946 $1
Alternate Presentation (Moderate Scenario) - Year 3
Incremental Win
Number of Rooms 2,000 1,500 1,500 Available Room Nights 730,000 547,500 547,500
Incremental Room Nights Capture Rate Beyond 2 hrs. 37% 37% 37%
Incremental Room Nights Captured Beyond 2 hrs. 270,100 202,575 202,575
Gaming Value/Room $339 $339 $339
Incremental GGR from Hotel $109,716,982 $82,287,736 $82,287,736
Total GGR $1,099,191,377 $548,705,480 $493,778,682 $2
Source: Spectrum Gaming Group, Market Analysis, Gross Gaming Revenue Projections: An Update (prepared
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Appendix B: Comparison Markets
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90-MinDrive T
Rivers
MountaineerPark
HorseshoeCleveland
Appendix B: Comparison MarketsPittsburgh
Slots/VLTs Tables
Pennsylvania 55.0% 16.0%
West Virginnia 53.0% 35.0%
State Gaming Taxes
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on information
from the American Gaming Association and/or
State data.
asno
TheMeadows
WheelingIsland
HollywoodColumbus
Market area defined based on counties
Lady LuckCasino
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Appendix B: Comparison Markets
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Appendix B: Comparison MarketsPittsburgh
$1.00
$1.25
$1.50
n($Billion)
Pittsburgh Area Casino Gross Gaming Revenue Trends
Casinos in West Virginia
Casinos in Pennsylvania
The Meadows
Tables GamesIntroduced inWest Virginia
(Fall 2007)
Rivers CasinoOpened in
Pennsylvania(Aug 2009)
La
OPen
(Ju
$0.83
Tables GamesIntroduced inPennsylvania
(Jul 2010)
$0.93$0.99
CasinosIntroduced in
Ohio(May 2012)
$0.25
$0.50
.
CasinoWi
Pennsylvania(Jun 2007)
0.70
$0.46
$0.65
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d k
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GGR D
Adult Population 2,651,862
Pittsburgh Market Area GGR and GGR/Adult
Appendix B: Comparison MarketsPittsburgh - Captured GGR/Adult Estimate
If we assumed all GGR generated at the identified facilities originatethe defined market area (~90 minute drive-time from Pittsburgh urthe Pittsburgh market has a captured GGR per adult rate of ~$350.substantial portion of the West Virginia casinos business likely origiOhio (beyond the defined Pittsburgh market area).
If we assumed that halfof West Virginia casinos
Pennsylvania Casinos
Slot Win $524,184,895Table Win $105,273,685
Subtotal Pennsylvania $629,458,580
West Virginia Casinos
Slot Win $259,719,313
Table Win $29,971,943
Subtotal West Virginia $289,691,257
Total Pittsburgh Market Area $919,149,837
the defined market area,the Pittsburgh marketarea has a captured GGRper adult rate of ~$300.
Appendix B: Comparison Markets
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Appendix B: Comparison MarketsPhiladelphia
Parx
Sands
Mount Airy
HollywoodCasino
60-MinutesDrive Times
Casino
SugarHouse
HarrahsPhiladelphia
a eyForge
DelawarePark
Hollywood
Casino
Appendix B: Comparison Markets
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Appendix B: Comparison MarketsPhiladelphia
ParxCasino
SugarHouse
ValleyForge
SandsCasino
Hollywood
Casino
Slots/VLTs Tables
Pennsylvania 55.0% 16.0%
Delaware 59.5% 35.0%
State Gaming Taxes
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on information
from the American Gaming Association and/or
State data.
Market area definecounties within a 6drive time from Ph
HarrahsPhiladelphia
DelawarePark
HollywoodCasino
Appendix B: Comparison Markets
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Appendix B: Comparison MarketsPhiladelphia
State County
Total
population
GamerPopulation
21+
GamerPopulation %
of Total
Pennsylvania Bucks 627,053 465,150 74%
Pennsylvania Chester 506,575 361,632 71%
Pennsylvania Delaware 561,098 403,686 72%
Pennsylvania Montgomery 808,460 597,409 74%
Pennsylvania Philadelphia 1,547,607 1,112,813 72%
Subtotal Pennsylvania 4,050,793 2,940,690 73%
Delaware New Castle 546,076 391,477 72%Subtotal Delaware 546,076 391,477 72%
New Jersey Burlington 451,336 332,574 74%
New Jersey Camden 513,539 370,772 72%
New Jersey Gloucester 289,586 209,074 72%
New Jersey Mercer 368,303 266,737 72%
New Jersey Salem 65,774 48,250 73%
Pittsburgh Market Area Population by County
Population and Gaming Supply Market Area Adult Population (2
at 4.6 million.
Five casino within market area Pennsylvania and one in Delaw
Total current GGR $1.3 billion.
Casinos Slots Tables To
Pennsylvania Casinos
Philadelphia Market Area
Existing Casino Facilities
Current Performance*
Subtotal New Jersey 1,688,538 1,227,406 73%
Total Philadelphia 6,285,407 4,559,573 73%
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on US Census Bureau and HLT estimates.
Parx Casino $373,491,166 $116,073,435
Harrah's Philadelphia $240,437,437 $78,189,710
SugarHouse Casino $183,028,836 $84,520,980Valley Forge Casino Resort $60,068,946 $32,515,263
Subtotal $857,026,385 $311,299,389 $1
Delaware Casinos
Delaware Park $148,339,200 $29,066,199
Subtotal $148,339,200 $29,066,199
Total Philadelphia $1,005,365,585 $340,365,588 $1
* Twelve months ending September 2013.
Source: HLT Advisory Inc. based on the Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board
Appendix B: Comparison Markets
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Appendix B: Comparison MarketsPhiladelphia
$6.0
$8.0
$10.0
ues($Billion)
Casino Revenue Performance in the BroaderRegional Casino Market Area
Maryland Hollywood Park
Sands Casino Resort Bethlehem
Philadelphia
Delaware Park
Atlantic City
$5.5$5.8
$5.5
$5.0$5.1
$5.0 $5.1
$2.0
$4.0
GamingReve
.
Appendix B: Comparison Markets