market report us lodging
TRANSCRIPT
Singapore: Hotel Market Market Report - March 2019
MARKET REPORT
US Lodging Market Overview
AUGUST 2021
Monthly Report – February 2021
Monthly Report – August 2021 Edition U.S. Lodging Market Overview
Horwath HTL | Global Leader in Hospitality, Tourism and Leisure Consulting
0
5
10
15
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25
30
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
Jun-2
0Ju
l-20
Aug-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
Jan-2
1
Feb-21
Mar-21
Apr-21
May-21
Jun-2
1Ju
l-21
Aug-21
Sep-21
Oct-21
Nov-21
Dec-21
Wee
kly
Roo
m N
ight
s
Millions
Actual Demand 2019 Average Weekly Demand 3-Month Moving Average
Trend Flatterning Trend
Transient75%
Group20%
Contract5%
76% 76%72% 73% 74% 70% 75% 72% 73% 73% 73% 73% 73% 75% 75% 75% 75% 75% 76%
24% 24%
28% 27%26%
30% 25% 28% 27% 27% 27% 27% 27% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 24%
-
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20
25
30
35
40
45
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
Jun-2
0Ju
l-20
Aug-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
Jan-2
1
Feb-21
Mar-21
Apr-21
May-21
Jun-2
1Ju
l-21
Aug-21
Reporting Non Reporting Room Nights Available
MillionsU.S. Lodging Demand Recovery Trend U.S. Lodging Supply Change and Reporting Participation
U.S. Lodging Market Mix/Change - August
ADR % Change
Occ. % Change
U.S. Lodging RNA/RND Change by Chain Scale
98%Portion of 2019 average weekly
demand recovered
66%YE 2019
Occupancy
55%Estimated 2021
Occupancy
Source: STR; Horwath HTL 1
% Change Occ %
Note: Data is 2021 compared to 2019.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
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80
-35
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
Luxury UpperUpscale
Upscale UpperMidscale
Midscale Economy IndependentsUnited States
Rooms Avail % Change Rooms Sold % Change Occ %
-20.6
-41.3
-16.7
12.2
4.2
-17.7
-100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20
Transient
Group
Contract
% Change
Monthly Report – February 2021
Monthly Report – August 2021 Edition U.S. Lodging Market Overview
Horwath HTL | Global Leader in Hospitality, Tourism and Leisure Consulting
44.6%49.3%
44.9% 44.5%
37.6%
49.9%
9.5%
8.1% 13.8% 12.8%
13.6%
7.1%2.6%
7.6%0.6% 1.9%
3.5%
1.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Urban Airport DestinationResort
Spa Convention Boutique
56.7%
41.6% 39.5% 37.9% 37.2%
6.7%
10.0% 12.0%12.3% 15.3%
1.4%
4.0% 4.2%4.0%
2.8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
< 300 300-500 501-750 751-1000 > 1000
61.1%55.5%
50.9% 51.3% 51.3%48.4% 47.3%
51.7%
58.3%
8.5%
7.9%
7.9%10.3% 8.8%
8.6% 8.6%
9.9%
7.8%
2.3%
2.5%
1.9%2.2%
1.8%2.4%
2.0%
2.7%
2.8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
NewEngland
MiddleAtlantic
SouthAtlantic
EastNorth
Central
EastSouth
Central
WestNorth
Central
WestSouth
Central
Mountain Pacific
Horwath HTL | Global Leader in Hospitality, Tourism and Leisure Consulting
Monthly Occupancy by Region Monthly Occupancy by Size Monthly Occupancy by Selected Type
2Source: STR; Horwath HTL
Monthly Report – February 2021
Monthly Report – August 2021 Edition U.S. Lodging Market Overview
Horwath HTL | Global Leader in Hospitality, Tourism and Leisure Consulting
© GeoNames, Microsoft, TomTomPowered by Bing
9.1
3.1
0.3 3.0
-17.3 -3.3
6.2
-5.1
20.4
-25.2 -4.1
-5.1
-3.9-7.1
-4.1
19.4
4.2
-24.0
13.6
-13.8
28.8
1.2-8.5
3.9
1.2
-26.4
-6.3
-7.6
-6.0
-2.8
-5.7
-8.4
11.5
10.6
0.3
-6.0
4.7
1…
-3.8
-21.5
-8.9
-7.2
16.2
© GeoNames, Microsoft, TomTomPowered by Bing
62.80
179.23
63.39 46.58
119.20 116.44
83.38
61.80
120.40
74.40 66.45
60.96
49.6659.28
51.11
201.80
91.51
73.10
57.44
56.40
132.71
63.4671.25
1…
69.93
118.62
70.76
50.86
69.73
45.49
109.67
88.43
97.17
95.67
79.10
60.02
89.67
1…
79.09
98.43
64.41
82.43
136.05
Monthly RevPAR % Change by State RevPAR by State
Top 25 Performing MarketsTop 5 Markets by RevPAR Percent Change
August 2021 vs August 2019Bottom 5 Markets by RevPAR Percent Change
August 2021 vs August 2019
+∞
∞
3
–
Source: STR; Horwath HTL
2607.3
San Diego, CA, -1.8
Miami, FL, 1.2
Tampa, FL, 6.0Phoenix, AZ, 7.1
Norfolk/Virginia Beach, VA, 10.7
-3
0
3
6
9
12
15
San Francisco/San Mateo, CA,
-59.9
New York, NY, -41.0
Minneapolis, MN, -37.7
Seattle, WA, -37.6Boston, MA,
-31.2
-70
-60
-50
-40
-30
Monthly Report – February 2021
Monthly Report – August 2021 Edition U.S. Lodging Market Overview
Horwath HTL | Global Leader in Hospitality, Tourism and Leisure Consulting
© GeoNamesPowered by Bing
140
134
131134
146 140
149
134
131
121
140 121
131 126
122
157
133
136
126
126
122
135
119
128
136
128
149
125
125
157
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148
146
125
165
111
0
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25
30
2020
-01-04
2020
-02-04
2020
-03-04
2020
-04-04
2020
-05-04
2020
-06-04
2020
-07-04
2020
-08-04
2020
-09-04
2020
-10-04
2020
-11-04
2020
-12-04
2021
-01-04
2021
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2021
-03-04
2021
-04-04
2021
-05-04
2021
-06-04
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-07-04
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-08-04
2021
-09-04
Milli
ons
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
6.0%
6.5%
7.0%
7.5%
8.0%
8.5%
9.0%
9.5%
10.0%
Jan'1
9Feb Mar Apr
May Jun Ju
lAug Sep Oct
Nov DecJa
n'20
Feb Mar AprMay Ju
n Jul
Aug Sep OctNov Dec
Jan'2
1Feb Mar Apr
MayJu
ne July
Augus
t
Limited-Service Avg $/ Key Full-Service Avg $/Key Total Avg $/ Key
Limited-Service Cap Rate Full-Service Cap Rate Total Hotel Cap Rate
-200%
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
500%
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
Jan'
19 Feb
Mar
Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan'
20 Feb
Mar
Apr
May Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan'
21 Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June July
Augu
st
Bill
ions US Limited-Service Volume ($) US Full-Service Volume ($) US Hotel Volume % Change
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
3/1 3/22 4/12 5/3 5/24 6/14 7/5 7/26 8/16 9/6 9/2710/1811/811/2912/201/10 1/31 2/21 3/14 4/4 4/25 5/16 6/6 6/27 7/18 8/8 8/29 9/19
Thou
sand
s
2019-2020 2020-2021
4Source: TSA; RCA; BLS; CDC; Horwath HTL Horwath HTL | Global Leader in Hospitality, Tourism and Leisure Consulting
2020 Lowest Point on Apr 14(Down 96% Compared to 2019)
Total Traveler Throughput1.05 M Increase
On Sep 20(136% up)
Total U.S. Lodging Transaction Volume
Cap rates and PPU displayed as a 12 Month Average.
COVID-19 Vaccine Doses Administered per 100 People by State (As of Sep 21, 2021)
U.S. Unemployment Claims (Seasonally Adjusted) U.S. Lodging Cap Rate & Price per Key Trend
June 9, 2020 (Peak)Unemployment Claims
24.9 Million
Sep 4, 2021Unemployment Claims
2.67 Million
+∞
∞
9/20
Monthly Report – February 2021
Monthly Report – August 2021 Edition U.S. Lodging Market Overview
Horwath HTL | Global Leader in Hospitality, Tourism and Leisure Consulting
Contact:Paul Breslin, Managing Director [email protected]
Hua Rong, Senior Consultant [email protected]
John Duran, Senior [email protected]
At Horwath HTL, our focus is one hundred percent
on hotel, tourism and leisure consulting. Our
services cover every aspect of hotel real estate,
tourism and leisure development.
We are a global brand with 49 offices in 39
countries, who have successfully carried out over
30,000 assignments for private and public clients.
We are part of the Crowe Global network, a top 10
accounting and financial services network. We are
the number one choice for companies and financial
institutions looking to invest and develop in the
industry.
Our key areas of business are:
• Hotel Planning & Development
• Hotel Asset Management
• Hotel Valuation
• Health & Wellness
• Transactional Advisory
• Expert Witness & Litigation
• Leisure
• Tourism
• Hospitality Crisis Management
5
Horwath HTL Horwath HTL ATL
Horwath HTL Atlanta
Two Ravinia Drive, Suite 350
Atlanta, Georgia 30346, USA
Tel: +1 404 410 7800
www.horwathhtl.com
Our core services are:
• Hotel Planning & Development
• Hotel Asset Management
• Hotel Valuation
• Expert Witness & Litigation Support
• Tourism & Leisure
• Wellness & Sustainability
• Hospitality Crisis Management