market report office - colliers international · the buildings berrini one, thera corporate, lwm...
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São paulo
www.colliers.com.br
1st QUARtER 2014 | OFFICE
MARKET REPORT OFFICECLASSES A+, A AND B OFFICE MARKET REPORT
Exinting Inventory:
4.03 million sqm
under Construction Inventory:
961 thousand sqm
under project Inventory:
221 thousand sqm
Delivered in the Quarter:
12 thousand sqm
availability: 13.5%: Market
18.8%: a+ and a7.7%: B
Net absorption: 16 thousand sqm:
Market- 8.016: a+ and a
- 8.839: B
avg asked lease price:R$ 106/sqm/month:
MarketR$ 119/sqm/month:
a+ and aR$ 88/sqm/month: B
MIGRATION OF COMPANIES SHALL PREVAIL IN 2014
MaRKET oVERVIEWThe characteristic that shall prevail during 2014 and probably 2015 is the migration of companies. Actually, the market is going through a moment of transformation and modernization. This process occurred in a very fast pace compared to the historic and how the market has behaved in last years. This increase ally with economic uncertainties issues is contributing to potential tenants get good negotiations.
The migrations mentioned not always means expansions, since in most part of the old buildings there are loss of efficiency due to the constructive model and lack of applied technology. The current number of modern properties allows in some cases, even with a decreasing occupied space to remain stable or increase the efficiency. Another important feature concerns to the unification of some operations that were distributed in several buildings.
Prices are expected to become more sensitive during the course of the year, since according to developers forecast, a total of 278,000sqm will be added to the high standard market up to December.
EXISTING INVENToRYWith the delivery of 12,000sqm, Q1 ended with 4.03 million sqm of existing inventory considering classes A+, A and B. As occurred in the last periods, the amount received was lesser than the previously estimated by the developers.
The buildings that have been delivered are: Design Tower / Vila Olímpia, Corujas / Pinheiros and Sphere Corporate / Jardins.
HIstORICAL EXIstING INVENtORY (MILION sQM) – CLAssEs A+, A AND B
3.145 3.2803.638
4.023 4.035
2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1 2014Classes A+ and A Class B
1.334 1.439 1.7552.107 2.110
1.812 1.8411.884
1.916 1.926
The submarket of Roque Petroni has 30% of inventory under construction, with an expected delivery of most of these projects for next two years, followed by submarket of Vila Olímpia with 21% with a massive participation of the two towers of Camargo Correa.
CollIERS INTERNaTIoNal | p. 2
MARKET REPORT OFFICE | 1st QUARtER 2014
DIstRIBUtION OF EXIstING INVENtORY BY sUBMARKEt (%)
Vila Olimpia 15
Brooklin 14
Roque Petroni 9
Faria Lima 10
Itaim 8
Paulista 9
Pinheiros 7
Santo Amaro 7
Chácara SantoAntonio 6
Jardins 6
Morumbi 3Cidade Jardim 3 Barra Funda 3
INVENtORY UNDER CONstRUCtION BY sUBMARKEt (%)
Vila Olimpia 21Brooklin 11
Roque Petroni 30
Faria Lima 8
Itaim 5
Paulista 5
Pinheiros 3
Chácara Santo Antonio 12
Jardins 1Barra Funda 4
AVAILABILItY RAtE BY CLAss (%)
22.0
26.3
9.311.1
5.77.4 6.9 7.7
10.512.8 13.1 13.5
9.79.0
27.726.1
A+ A B MarketQ3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014Q2 2013
HIstORICAL OF AVAILABILItY RAtE (%) – MARKEt
3,22,3
8,6
13,1
2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1 2014
13,5
For Q2 ending around 100,000sqm are expected in Brooklin through the buildings Berrini One, Thera Corporate, LWM Corporate Center, The Bridge Tower and CEB – Centro Empresarial Berrini. In Faria Lima submarket the expected deliveries are the projects Vera Cruz and Praça Faria Lima.
Opposite to the observed in last quarter, the percentage of Class A + decreased because this is the profile of property with the highest occupancy rates. For classes A and B there was an increase, a situation that may prevail or fluctuate during the course of the year.
The greatest variation occurred in the submarket of Vila Olímpia, which decreased by 7% compared to the fourth quarter of 2013, explained by leases in the buildings Sky Corporate and Vila Olímpia Corporate.
In contrast, the submarket of Pinheiros had a significant increase due to the devolutions on building Eldorado Business. Brooklin and Santo Amaro submarkets also showed an increase.
aVaIlaBIlITY RaTEThe availability rate keeps the already expected increase for the course of 2014 ending at 18.8% for Class A+ and A, and 7.7% for Class B. Considering all three classes, the percentage calculated is 13.5% against 13.1% in the previous quarter.
The increase is explained by the negative quarterly net absorption, due to the moving of companies from old to modern properties as mentioned previously.
p. 3 | CollIERS INTERNaTIoNal
MARKET REPORT OFFICE | 1st QUARtER 2014
EXIstING INVENtORY (tHOUsAND sQM) X AVAILABILItY RAtE (%)
107
557
241
108
397337
245
126
347284
379
274
628
Inventory Availability
3.7
12.7
18.4
13.916.3
5.2 5.5
30.2
8.611.2
17.4
9.9
19.1
Vila O
limpia
Brooklin
Roqu
e Petr
oni
Faria
Lima
Itaim
Paulist
a
Pinheir
os
Santo
Amaro
Chác
ara
Santo
Antonio
Jardi
ns
Morumbi
Cidad
e Jard
im
Barra F
unda
NEt ABsORPtION BY sUBMARKEt (tHOUsAND sQM)
02
-4
1
6 5
-4
-18
3
-7
4
-2 -3
69
-7
-2
02
-7
0
18
22
21
5
0
-13
4
-4
3
-4-2
6
0
5
-9
4
000
-6
3 41 2 1 0
-2 -2
2 1
Vila O
limpia
Brooklin
Roqu
e Petr
oni
Faria
Lima
Itaim
Paulist
a
Pinheir
os
Santo
AmaroCh
ácara
Santo
Antonio
Jardi
ns
Morumbi
Cidad
e Jard
im
Barra F
unda
NET aBSoRpTIoNConsidering the classes A+, A and B, the net absorption verified was -16,000sqm. Class A buildings contributed in higher proportion to the total with -19.000sqm. The main devolutions were in the buildings: CENU – Centro Empresarial Nações Unidas and Berrini 500, located at Brooklin and Brazilian Financial Center in the submarket of Paulista. Class A + buildings had a positive net absorption of 11.000sqm.
NEt ABsORPtION BY CLAss (sQM)
A+ A B MarketQ3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014Q2 2013
8
39
26
11
0
-6
5
-19
-4
-31
12
-9
4 3
43
-13
CollIERS INTERNaTIoNal | p. 4
MARKET REPORT OFFICE | 1st QUARtER 2014
pRICESThe average asked lease price (classes A +, A and B) at the end of the first quarter was R$ 106.45, compared to R$ 108.73 in the fourth quarter of 2013.
Considering only classes A + and A, the average of R$ 119.26 represents a decrease of 2% compared to the third quarter of 2013.
The asked lease prices for Class B increased by 1.7% from the previ-ous quarter.
HIstORICAL AVERAGE AsKED LEAsE PRICE (R$/sQM/MONtH)
R$ 107.45
R$ 123.60 R$ 125.50 R$ 121.73 R$ 119.26
R$ 62.19R$ 72.33
R$ 89.50 R$ 86.89 R$ 84.85
Classes A+ and A Class B2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1 2014
AVERAGE AsKED LEAsE PRICE BY sUBMARKEt (R$/sQM/MONtH)
R$ 59.29
R$ 77.00
R$ 115.60
R$ 91.21
R$ 73.33
R$ 64.87
R$ 117.82
R$ 145.00
R$ 108.02
R$ 167.71
R$ 93.26
R$ 160.00
R$ 93.86
R$ 130.00
R$ 96.83
R$ 60.00
R$ 143.33
R$ 113.76
R$ 127.50
R$ 88.08
R$ 117.88
R$ 73.66
R$ 63.50
R$ 50.75
R$ 132.72
R$ 88.46
Vila O
limpia
Brooklin
Roqu
e Petr
oni
Faria
Lima
Itaim
Paulist
a
Pinheir
os
Santo
Amaro
Chác
ara
Santo
Antonio
Jardi
ns
Morumbi
Cidad
e Jard
im
Barra F
unda
Classes A+ and A Class B
Faria Lima is the submarket with the highest average asked lease price, with R$ 167.71. Santo Amaro is the one with the lowest average, with R$ 50.75.
p. 5 | CollIERS INTERNaTIoNal
MARKET REPORT OFFICE | 1st QUARtER 2014
tOtAL A+ A AND B (EXIstING MARKEt)
sUBMARKEt
Barra Funda
Brooklin
Chácara Santo Antonio
Cidade Jardim
Faria Lima
Itaim
Jardins
Morumbi
Paulista
Pinheiros
Roque Petroni
Santo Amaro
Vila Olímpia
Total
tOtAL AREA (sQM)
107,451
557,911
241,149
108,247
397,063
337,903
245,900
126,219
347,024
284,431
379,871
274,524
628,124
4,035,817
AVG A+ A (R$/sQM/MONtH)
R$ 77.00
R$ 115.60
R$ 73.33
R$ 145.00
R$ 167.71
R$ 160.00
R$ 130.00
R$ 96.83
R$ 143.33
R$ 127.50
R$ 117.88
R$ 63.50
R$ 132.72
R$ 119.26
AVG B (R$/sQM/MONtH)
R$ 59.29
R$ 91.21
R$ 64.87
R$ 117.82
R$ 108.02
R$ 93.26
R$ 93.86
R$ 60.00
R$ 113.76
R$ 88.08
R$ 73.66
R$ 50.75
R$ 88.46
R$ 88.39
AVG MARKEt (R$/sQM/MONtH)
R$ 68.14
R$ 107.47
R$ 69.10
R$ 135.94
R$ 147.81
R$ 137.75
R$ 111.93
R$ 84.,56
R$ 128.54
R$ 114.36
R$ 103.14
R$ 57.13
R$ 117.97
R$ 106.45
AVAILABLE AREA (sQM)
4,002
71,096
44,323
15,075
64,806
17,461
13,496
38,166
29,786
31,726
66,285
27,196
120,183
543,601
AVAILALIBILtY (%)
3.7%
12.7%
18.4%
13.9%
16.3%
5.2%
5.5%
30.2%
8.6%
11.2%
17.4%
9.9%
19.1%
13.5%
STaTISTICS TaBlE
Exiting Inventory:502 thousand sqm
Under Construction Inventory:136 thousand sqm
Availability: 34.9%
Net Absorption:-2,5 thousand sqm
Avg Asked Lease PriceR$ 54.07/sqm/month
ALPHAVILLE
EXISTING INVENToRY aND aVaIlaBIlITY RaTEAlphaville office market ended the first quarter of 2014 with 502 thousand, sqm, and the same amount of the previous period. The availability rate remained stable in comparison to the previous quarter at 34%.
The buildings that have the largest amount of square meters available for lease remains: Canopus Alphaville, iTower and Brascan Century Plaza.
CollIERS INTERNaTIoNal | p. 6
MARKET REPORT OFFICE | 1st QUARtER 2014
NET aBSoRpTIoN aND pRICESThe net absorption of Q1 is -2,546sqm. Class A + properties contributed to the negative net absorption.
The average asked lease price decreased by 5% compared to last quarter.
AVAILABILItY RAtE (%) X EXIstING INVENtORY (tHOUsAND sQM)
490
Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014
34.833.2
34.4 34.9
490
502 502
Inventory Availability
NEt ABsORPtION BY CLAss (tHOUsAND sQM)
98
2
-3
8
2
-5
10
2
8
-4
1
4
01
A+ A B MarketQ3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014Q2 2013
AVERAGE AsKED LEAsE PRICE (R$/sQM/MONtH)
R$ 58.67
R$ 56.21R$ 56.64
R$ 54.07
Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014
STaTISTICS TaBlE
tOtAL A+ A AND B (EXIstING MARKEt)
sUBMARKEt
Alphaville
tOtAL AREA (sQM)
502,966
AVG A+ A (R$/sQM/MONtH)
R$ 61.84
AVG B (R$/sQM/MONtH)
R$ 38.55
AVG MARKEt (R$/sQM/MONtH)
R$ 54.07
ABsORÇÃO LÍQUIDA (mil m²)
175,685
AVAILABLE AREA (M²)
AVAILALIBILtY (%)
173,139 34.9
p. 7 | CollIERS INTERNaTIoNal
MARKET REPORT OFFICE | 1st QUARtER 2014
Average Leasable Floor Area (sqm)
Average Unit Leasable Area (sqm)
Average Building Leasable Area (sqm)
Average of Floors
Floor Type
Building Management System
Parking Ratio per Square Meter of Leasable Area
MAIN CHARACtERIstICs
750
300
7,100
12
Floor Channel/Raised
Optional
1 parking space/44 sqm
1,100
700
12,000
12
Raised
Partial
1 parking space/35 sqm
1,600
800
28,000
19
Raised
Complete
1 parking space/32 sqm
BAA+
SoME CHaRaCTERISTICS BY ClaSS
International Airport (Guarulhos) >>22 km
<< Alphaville18 km
Vila Olímpia
JardinsCidade Jardim
Morumbi
Pinheiros
Barra Funda
Itaim
Brooklin
Roque Petroni
Chácara Sto. Antonio
Santo Amaro
Domestic Airport (Congonhas)
Faria Lima
Paulista
Collies International Corporate O�ce
Marginal Pinheiros
Marginal Tietê
Rod. Castelo Branco
Av. N
açõe
s Unid
as
Av. Rebouças
Av. Bandeirantes
MAP OF sÃO PAULO sUBMARKEts
p. 8 | CollIERS INTERNaTIoNal
MARKET REPORT OFFICE | 1st QUARtER 2014
www.colliers.com.br
CollIERS oppoRTuNITIES
Ed. ChicagoLeasePaulista - SPTotal Area: 2,160 sqmRef: 3145
Ed. Memorial office BuildingLeaseBarra Funda – SPTotal Area: 2,500 sqmRef: 3143
EENu (Espaço Empresarial Nações unidas)LeaseChácara Sto. Antonio - SPTotal Area: 3,500 sqmRef: 3140
Ed. Tenente NegrãoLeaseItaim Bibi – SPTotal Area: 500 sqmRef: 3139
Ed. DoMo Corporate aBCLeaseSão Bernardo do Campo - SPTotal Area: 308 sqm to 30.600 sqmRef: 3109
Ed. São luiz GonzagaLeasePaulista - SPTotal Area: 2,320 sqmRef: 3146
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REal ESTaTE CoNSulTaNCY FoR INDuSTRIal, oFFICE, RETaIl, laND, RuRal, HoTElS, HoSpITalS aND EDuCaTIoNal INSTITuTIoNS
. Real Estate Investments
. Tenant and Landlord Representation - Leasing, Acquisition and Sale
. Advisory and Disposals for real estate assets and/or portfolios
. Build-to-Suit and Sale & Leaseback Operations
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. Real Estate Valuation for Leasing, Acquisition, Sale and Guarantee
. Market and Technical-Financial studies, Highest and Best use studies
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. Research and Market Intelligence
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. absorption: Amount of sqm occupied in the previous period
. Development Category: Real estate properties are classified as A+, A, B and C
. Stock / Inventory: Amount of usable constructed area in square meters
. availability Rate: Ratio between area available area and total area
. Ceilings Height: Space between the finished flooring and the 1st structure ceiling interference
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This document was prepared by Colliers International Brazil. All information in this material may be changed without prior notice. Colliers International is a worldwide affiliation of independently owned and operated companies. This publication is the copyrighted property of Colliers International and /or its licensor(s). © 2013. All rights reserved.