market declines and volatility - unbranded (7) [read-only] management... · 2020-07-01 · 7kh...
TRANSCRIPT
What Affects a Stock’s Current Price?
1
Given all information, a stock’s current price reflects aggregate expectations about risk and return.
All Available Information
A company’s equity, its prospects for future earnings, and perceived risk
Price
Stock Prices Adjust Quickly
2
In USD.Source: BloombergThe security identified is shown for illustrative purposes only to demonstrate the investment philosophy described herein. These materials are not, and should not be construed as, a recommendation to purchase or sell the security identified or any other securities. Actual holdings will vary for each client, and there is no guarantee that any client will hold the security identified.
Heinz, 2/14/2013
“Heinz agrees to buyout by Berkshire Hathaway, 3G”
−USA Today, February 14, 2013
News travels quickly, and prices can adjust in an instant.
The Market’s Response to Crisis
3
In US dollars. Represents cumulative total returns of a balanced strategy invested on the first day of the following calendar month of the event noted. Balanced Strategy:12% S&P 500 Index,12% Dimensional US Large Cap Value Index, 6% Dow Jones US Select REIT Index, 6% Dimensional International Value Index, 6% Dimensional US Small Cap Index, 6% Dimensional US Small Cap Value Index, 3% Dimensional International Small Cap Index, 3% Dimensional International Small Cap Value Index, 2.4% Dimensional Emerging Markets Small Index, 1.8% Dimensional Emerging Markets Value Index, 1.8% Dimensional Emerging Markets Index, 10% Bloomberg Barclays Treasury Bond Index 1-5 Years, 10% FTSE World Government Bond Index 1-5 Years (hedged), 10% FTSE World Government Bond Index 1-3 Years (hedged), 10% ICE BofAML 1-Year US Treasury Note Index. Assumes monthly rebalancing. For illustrative purposes only. S&P and Dow Jones data copyright 2018 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. ICE BofAML index data copyright 2018 ICE Data Indices, LLC. FTSE fixed income indices © 2018 FTSE Fixed Income LLC. All rights reserved. Bloomberg Barclays data provided by Bloomberg. Dimensional indices use CRSP and Compustat data.
Indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Not to be construed as investment advice. Returns of model portfolios are based on back-tested model allocation mixes designed with the benefit of hindsight and do not represent actual investment performance. See “Balanced Strategy Disclosure and Index Descriptions” pages in the Appendix for additional information.
Performance of a Balanced Strategy: 60% Stocks, 40% BondsCumulative Total Return
19%
-2%
16%
2%
-1%
4%7%
33%
23% 25%
2%
40%
12%
36%
76%
61%
52% 51%
81%
47%43%
After 1 year After 3 years After 5 years
October 1987:Stock Market Crash
August 1989:US Savings and
Loan Crisis
September 1998:Asian ContagionRussian CrisisLTCM Collapse
March 2000:Dot-Com Crash
September 2001:Terrorist Attack
September 2008:Bankruptcy of
Lehman Brothers
August 2011:US Debt
Downgrade
A History of Market Ups and Downs
4
Chart end date is 12/31/2017, the last trough to peak return of 338% represents the return through December 2017.Bear markets are defined as downturns of 10% of greater from new index highs. Bull markets are subsequent rises following the bear market trough through the next new market high. The chart shows bear markets and bull markets, the number of months they lasted and the associated cumulative performance for each market period. Results for different time periods could differ from the results shown.Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment; therefore, their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio.Source: S&P data copyright 2018 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved.
S&P 500 Index total returns in USD, January 1926–December 2017
#65206_0618
1926 1931 1936 1941 1946 1951 1956 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016
S&
P 5
00
Ind
ex
To
tal R
etu
rn (
Lo
ga
rith
mic
Sca
le)
0%
-1%
1,000%
-100%
Bull Market
Bear Market
193%44 months
815%167 months 491%
116 months
105%48 months
90%43 months
12%5 months
52%26 months
76%30 months
86%27 months
86%33 months
282%61 months
355%92 months
63%24 months
108%61 months
338%106 months
-10%7 months
-14%14 months
-20%17 months
-15%5 months
-15%2 months
-45%25 months
-51%16 months
-43%21 months
-30%3 months
-83%34 months
-22%6 months
-22%6 months
-16%8 months
-15%5 months
-29%19 months
71%30 months
Using a 10% threshold for downturns
A History of Market Ups and Downs
5
Chart end date is 12/31/2017, the last trough to peak return of 338% represents the return through December 2017.Bear markets are defined as downturns of 20% of greater from new index highs. Bull markets are subsequent rises following the bear market trough through the next new market high. The chart shows bear markets and bull markets, the number of months they lasted and the associated cumulative performance for each market period. Results for different time periods could differ from the results shown.Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment; therefore, their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio.Source: S&P data copyright 2018 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved.
S&P 500 Index total returns in USD, January 1926–December 2017
#65206_0618
1926 1931 1936 1941 1946 1951 1956 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016
S&
P 5
00
Ind
ex
To
tal R
etu
rn (
Lo
ga
rith
mic
Sca
le)
0%
-1%
1,000%
-100%
Bull Market
Bear Market
193%44 months
-83%34 months
-22%6 months
815%167 months
-22%6 months
936%181 months
144%77 months
-29%19 months
76%30 months
844%155 months
-43%21 months
-45%25 months
-30%3 months
-51%16 months
815%153 months
108%61 months
338%106 months
Using a 20% threshold for downturns
Average Annualized Returns after New Market Highs
6
Annualized compound returns are computed for the 1-, 3- and 5-year periods subsequent to new market highs. 1,093 observations for 1-year look-ahead. 1,069 observations for 3-year look-ahead, and 1,045 for 5-year look-ahead. 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year periods are overlapping periods. The bar chart shows the average returns for the 1-, 3-, and 5-year period following new market highs. January 1990–Present: S&P 500 Total Returns Index. S&P data © 2016 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. January 1926-December 1989; S&P 500 Total Return Index, Stocks, Bonds, Bills and Inflation Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago. For illustrative purposes only. Index is not available for direct investment; therefore, its performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. There is always a risk that an investor may lose money.In US Dollars. Values represent the growth of $1 invested at market close 11/30/2017 in the S&P 500 Index (total return), © 2018 S&P Dow Jones indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Short term performance results should be considered in connection with longer term performance results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio.
S&P 500, 1/1926–12/2017
13.6%
9.8%
8.7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
1-YearLook Ahead Period
3-YearLook Ahead Period
5-YearLook Ahead Period
An
nual
ized
Co
mp
ound
Ret
urn
Average Annualized Returns after Market Decline of More than 10%
7
Market decline of 10% is defined as a month in which cumulative return from peak is -10% or lower. Annualized compound returns are computed for the 1-, 3- and 5-year periods subsequent to a market decline of at least 10%. 1,093 observations for 1-year look-ahead. 1,069 observations for 3-year look-ahead, and 1,045 for 5-year look-ahead. 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year periods are overlapping periods. The bar chart shows the average returns for the 1-, 3-, and 5-year period following a market decline of at least 10%. January 1990–Present: S&P 500 Total Returns Index. S&P data © 2016 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. January 1926-December 1989; S&P 500 Total Return Index, Stocks, Bonds, Bills and Inflation Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago. For illustrative purposes only. Index is not available for direct investment; therefore, its performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. There is always a risk that an investor may lose money.In US Dollars. Values represent the growth of $1 invested at market close 11/30/2017 in the S&P 500 Index (total return), © 2018 S&P Dow Jones indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Short term performance results should be considered in connection with longer term performance results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio.
S&P 500, 1/1926–12/2017
11.2%
10.2%9.6%
0%
5%
10%
15%
1-YearLook Ahead Period
3-YearLook Ahead Period
5-YearLook Ahead Period
An
nual
ize
d C
om
pou
nd R
etur
n
S&P 500 Total Return Index Highs
8
In US dollars.Note: 1,093 observations for 1-year look-ahead, 1,069 for 3-year look-ahead, and 1,045 for 5-year look-ahead.January 1990–Present: S&P 500 Total Return Index, S&P data copyright 2018 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. January 1926–December 1989: S&P 500 Total Return Index, Stocks, Bonds, Bills and Inflation Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago.For illustrative purposes only. Index is not available for direct investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Percent of cases where index is higher after monthly closing high vs. any monthly closing level
• 30% of monthly observations were new closing highs.
• Average returns were similar after a new monthly closing high or any previous monthly closing level.
• The percent of cases where the index was higher was similar after a new monthly closing high and after any previous monthly closing level.
January 1926–December 2017
Look- AheadPeriod
Percent of Cases Where Index Was Higher
(after new high)Avg. Return
(after new high)
Percent of Cases Where Index Was Higher
(after any previous level)Avg. Return
(after any previous level)
1 year 80.9% 13.6% 75.0% 12.3%
3 years 84.2% 36.8% 83.5% 39.6%
5 years 84.2% 62.7% 87.5% 71.5%
Many Investors Follow Their Emotions
9
People may struggle to separate their emotions from their investment decisions.
Following a reactive cycle of excessive optimism and fear may lead to poor decisions at the worst times.
NervousnessOptimism
Fear
Elation
Optimism
January Return vs. Subsequent 11-Month Returnof the S&P 500 Index
10
In US dollars. Returns are of the S&P 500 Index. Copyright 2018 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved.Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment; therefore, their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with themanagement of an actual portfolio. Values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. There is always the risk that an investor may lose money. Even a long-term investment approach cannot guarantee a profit.
1926–2017
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1926 1936 1946 1956 1966 1976 1986 1996 2006 2017
Re
turn
s
February - December Return January Return
The Importance of Long-Term Discipline
11
In US dollars. S&P data copyright 2018 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. 1-Month Treasury Bills Index is the IA SBBI US 30 Day TBill TR USD. Treasury Index data sourced from Ibbotson Associates, via Morningstar Direct. For illustrative purposes only. Indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Values change frequently, and past performance may not be repeated. There is always the risk that an investor may lose money.
Annualized Compound Returns (%)
1926–2017 1965–1981 1982–2017
S&P 500 Index 10.16 6.33 11.77
One-Month US Treasury Bills 3.35 6.66 3.89
Picking the Fastest Lane Isa Stressful Guessing Game
12
Likewise, trying to anticipate the movement of the market adds anxiety and undue risk.
US Large Cap Market Intra-year Gains and Declines vs. Calendar Year Returns
13
In US dollars. Data is calculated off rounded daily returns. US Large Cap is the S&P 500 Index; S&P data copyright 2018 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. Largest Intra-Year Gain refers to the largest market increase from trough to peak during the year. Largest Intra-Year Decline refers to the largest market decrease from peak to trough during the year. Indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. There is always the risk that an investor may lose money. Even a long-term investment approach cannot guarantee a profit.
1990–2017
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
120%
130%
199
0
199
1
199
2
199
3
199
4
199
5
199
6
199
7
199
8
199
9
200
0
200
1
200
2
200
3
200
4
200
5
200
6
200
7
200
8
200
9
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
Re
turn
s
Calendar Year Return Largest Intra-Year Gain Largest Intra-Year Decline
US Market Intra-year Gains and Declines vs. Calendar Year Returns
14
In US dollars. Data is calculated off rounded daily returns. US Market is the Russell 3000 Index. Largest Intra-Year Gain refers to the largest market increase from trough to peak during the year. Largest Intra-Year Decline refers to the largest market decrease from peak to trough during the year. Frank Russell Company is the source and owner of the trademarks, service marks, and copyrights related to the Russell Indexes. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. There is always the risk that an investor may lose money. Indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. There is always the risk that an investor may lose money. Even a long-term investment approach cannot guarantee a profit.
1979–2017
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
197
9
198
0
198
1
198
2
198
3
198
4
198
5
198
6
198
7
198
8
198
9
199
0
199
1
199
2
199
3
199
4
199
5
199
6
199
7
199
8
199
9
200
0
200
1
200
2
200
3
200
4
200
5
200
6
200
7
200
8
200
9
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3
201
4
201
5
201
6
201
7
Re
turn
s
Calendar Year Return Largest Intra-Year Gain Largest Intra-Year Decline
Reacting Can Hurt Performance
15
In US dollars. For illustrative purposes. The missed best day(s) examples assume that the hypothetical portfolio fully divested its holdings at the end of the day before the missed best day(s), held cash for the missed best day(s), and reinvested the entire portfolio in the S&P 500 at the end of the missed best day(s). Annualized returns for the missed best day(s) were calculated by substituting actual returns for the missed best day(s) with zero. S&P data copyright 2018 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. “One-Month US T- Bills” is the IA SBBI US 30 Day TBill TR USD, provided by Ibbotson Associates via Morningstar Direct. Data is calculated off rounded daily index values. Indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Performance of the S&P 500 Index, 1990–2017
Missing only a few days of strong returns can drastically impact overall performance.
TotalPeriod
Missed 1 Best
Day
Missed 5 Best Single
Days
Missed 15 Best Single
Days
Missed 25 Best Single
Days
One-Month
US T-Bills
Annualized Compound Return 9.81% 9.38% 8.21% 6.18% 4.53% 2.77%
$13,739
$12,313
$9,114
$5,365
$3,455
$2,150
Gro
wth
of
$1,
000
The Capital Markets Have Rewarded Long-Term Investors
16
In US dollars. US Small Cap Index is the CRSP 6–10 Index; US Large Cap Index is the S&P 500 Index; Long-Term Government Bonds Index is 20-year US government bonds; Treasury Bills are One-Month US Treasury bills; Inflation is the Consumer Price Index. 1-Month Treasury Bills Index is the IA SBBI US 30 Day TBill TR USD. Treasury Index data sourced from Ibbotson Associates, via Morningstar Direct. CRSP data provided by the Center for Research in Security Prices, S&P data copyright 2018 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. Bonds, T-bills, and inflation data provided by Morningstar. Indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is no guarantee of future results
Monthly growth of wealth ($1), 1926–2017
$0
$1
$10
$100
$1,000
$10,000
$100,000
1926 1936 1946 1956 1966 1976 1986 1996 2006 2016
$22,985 US Small Cap Index
$7,347 US Large Cap Index
$143 Long-TermGovernment Bonds Index
$21 Treasury Bills
$14 Inflation (CPI)
Distribution of US Market Returns
17
In US dollars. CRSP data provided by the Center for Research in Security Prices, University of Chicago. The CRSP 110 Index measures the performance of the total US stock market, which it defines as the aggregate capitalization of all securities listed on the NYSE, AMEX, and NASDAQ exchanges. Indices are not available for direct investment; therefore, their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
CRSP 1–10 Index returns by year1926–2017 1949
20.2
195120.7
196321.0
199311.1
198221.0
19700.0
201411.6
201721.1
Positive Years: 69 75% 19530.7
200412.0
199621.4
Negative Years: 23 25% 20110.8
195912.7
194421.5
19601.2
195213.4
198322.0
19871.7
201613.6
197922.6
199731.4
19482.1
196814.1
199824.3
200331.6
19392.8
196514.5
195525.2
198532.2
1966-8.7
19473.6
200615.5
199925.2
193632.3
1973-18.1
1932-8.6
19344.1
194216.1
197626.8
198032.8
1929-15.2
1940-7.1
19844.5
196416.1
196126.9
192733.5
2000-11.4
1946-6.2
20075.8
197116.1
193828.2
199134.7
2001-11.1
1990-6.0
20056.2
201216.2
194328.4
201335.2
1969-10.9
1977-4.3
19787.5
198616.2
196728.7
199536.8
1930-28.8
1962-10.2
1981-3.6
19568.3
197216.8
200928.8
192838.4
193544.4
2008-36.7
1974-27.0
1941-10.1
2015-0.5
19268.4
201017.7
198928.9
194538.5
195845.0
1931-43.5
1937-34.7
2002-21.1
1957-10.0
1994-0.1
19929.8
198818.0
195029.6
197538.8
195450.0
193356.7
-50% to -40% -40% to -30% -30% to -20% -20% to -10% -10% to 0% 0% to 10% 10% to 20% 20% to 30% 30% to 40% 40% to 50% 50% to 60%
Historical Distribution of US Large Cap Market’s Daily Returns
18
In US dollars.US Large Cap is the S&P 500 Index. S&P data copyright 2018 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global. All rights reserved. The information shown here is derived from the index.Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment; therefore, their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. There is always the risk that an investor may lose money.
Daily Total Returns: January 1990–December 2017
Gray lines show two standard deviations from mean (-2.17%, 2.26%), which is a statistical measurement of historical volatility that represents 95% of all outcomes. A volatile stock tends to have a higher standard deviation from the mean.
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
-10.0% -8.0% -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0%
Fre
qu
en
cy
Proportion of daily returns below:-10%: 0.00%
-7%: 0.06%-5%: 0.21%-3%: 1.03%
Proportion of daily returns above:10%: 0.00%
7%: 0.04%5%: 0.20%3%: 1.03%
The Impact of Volatility
19For illustrative purposes only.
Impact on a Hypothetical $100,000 Portfolio
Year 1 Return
Year 2 Return
Average Return
Compound Return
Value at End of Year 2
Portfolio 1 50% -50% 0% -13.4% $75,000
Portfolio 2 10% -10% 0% -0.5% $99,000
Markets Have Rewarded Discipline
20In US dollars. MSCI data © MSCI 2018, all rights reserved. Indices are not available for direct investment. Their performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Growth of a dollar—MSCI World Index (net dividends), 1970–2017
A disciplined investor looks beyond the concerns of today to the long-term growth potential of markets.
$0
$1
$10
$100
$59
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2017
US home prices hit bottom
Fiscal cliff worries
Eurozone debt crisis
S&P 500 down 46%
Subprime mortgage
crisis
Hurricanes Katrina
and RitaIraq war begins
Dotcom stock crash
9/11 terrorist attacks
Y2K Scare
Russian financial
crisisAsian
currency crisis
Income tax rates rise
Iraq invades Kuwait
Savings and loan crisis
Dow drops 23% on Black Monday
US inflation at 13.5%
BusinessWeek: “The Death of Equities”
Gold hits record high
S&P 500 down 43%
Oil prices quadruple
Arab oil embargo
Brexit
Focus on What You Can Control
21Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. International investing involves special risks such as currency fluctuation and political instability. Investing in emerging markets may accentuate these risks. Diversification does not eliminate the risk of market loss This is for informational purposes only and is not to be construed as investment or tax advice. Talk to your financial advisor prior to making an investment decision.
A financial advisor can offer expertise and guidance to help you focus on actions that add value. This can lead to a better investment experience.
• Create an investment plan to fit your needs and risk tolerance.
• Structure a portfolio along the dimensions of expected returns.
• Diversify globally.
• Manage expenses, turnover, and taxes.
• Stay disciplined through market dips and swings.
Appendix
Balanced Strategy Disclosure and Index Descriptions
23
Information provided by Dimensional Fund Advisors LP.The Dimensional Indices have been retrospectively calculated by Dimensional Fund Advisors LP and did not exist prior to their index inceptions dates. Accordingly, results shown during the periods prior to each Index’s index inception date do not represent actual returns of the Index. Other periods selected may have different results, including losses. The model’s performance does not reflect advisory fees or other expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. There are limitations inherent in model allocations. In particular, model performance may not reflect the impact that economic and market factors may have had on the advisor’s decision making if the advisor were actually managing client money. The balanced strategies are not recommendations for an actual allocation.
Dimensional US Large Cap Value Index is compiled by Dimensional from CRSP and Compustat data. The index targets securities of US companies traded on the NYSE, NYSE MKT (formerly AMEX), and Nasdaq Global Market with market capitalizations above the 1,000th-largest company whose relative price is in the bottom 30% of the Dimensional US Large Cap Index after the exclusion of utilities, companies lacking financial data, and companies with negative relative price. The index emphasizes securities with higher profitability, lower relative price, and lower market capitalization. Profitability is measured as operating income before depreciation and amortization minus interest expense scaled by book. Exclusions: non-US companies, REITs, UITs, and investment companies. The index has been retroactively calculated by Dimensional and did not exist prior to March 2007. The calculation methodology was amended in January 2014 to include profitability as a factor in selecting securities for inclusion in the index.
Dimensional US Small Cap Index is compiled by Dimensional from CRSP and Compustat data. Targets securities of US companies traded on the NYSE, NYSE MKT (formerly AMEX), and Nasdaq Global Market whose market capitalization falls in the lowest 8% of the total market capitalization of the eligible market. The index emphasizes companies with higher profitability. Profitability is measured as operating income before depreciation and amortization minus interest expense scaled by book. Exclusions: non-US companies, REITs, UITs, and investment companies. The index has been retroactively calculated by Dimensional Fund Advisors and did not exist prior to March 2007. The calculation methodology was amended in January 2014 to include profitability as a factor in selecting securities for inclusion in the index.
Dimensional US Small Cap Value Index is compiled by Dimensional from CRSP and Compustat data. Targets securities of US companies traded on the NYSE, NYSE MKT (formerly AMEX), and Nasdaq Global Market whose relative price is in the bottom 35% of the Dimensional US Small Cap Index after the exclusion of utilities, companies lacking financial data, and companies with negative relative price. The index emphasizes securities Sources and Descriptions of Data with higher profitability, lower relative price, and lower market capitalization. Profitability is measured as operating income before depreciation and amortization minus interest expense scaled by book. Exclusions: non-US companies, REITs, UITs, and investment companies. The index has been retroactively calculated by Dimensional and did not exist prior to March 2007. The calculation methodology for the Dimensional US Small Cap Value Index was amended in January 2014 to include direct profitability as a factor in selecting securities for inclusion in the index.
Dimensional International Marketwide Value Index is compiled by Dimensional from Bloomberg securities data. The index consists of companies whose relative price is in the bottom 33% of their country’s companies after the exclusion of utilities and companies with either negative or missing relative price data. The index emphasizes companies with smaller capitalization, lower relative price, and higher profitability. The index also excludes those companies with the lowest profitability and highest relative price within their country’s value universe. Profitability is measured as operating income before depreciation and amortization minus interest expense scaled by book. Exclusions: REITs and investment companies. The index has been retroactively calculated by Dimensional and did not exist prior to April 2008. The calculation methodology for the Dimensional International Marketwide Value Index was amended in January 2014 to include direct profitability as a factor in selecting securities for inclusion in the index.
There is no guarantee investment strategies will be successful. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal.
The model's performance does not reflect advisory fees or other expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. There are limitations inherent in model allocations. In particular, model performance may not reflect the impact that economic and market factors may have had on the advisor's decision making if the advisor were actually managing client money. The balanced strategies are not recommendations for an actual allocation.
International Value represented by Fama/French International Value Index for 1975 -1993. Emerging Markets represented by MSCI Emerging Markets Index (gross dividends) for 1988 -1993. Emerging Markets weighting allocated evenly between International Small Cap and International Value prior to January 1988 data inception. Emerging Markets Small Cap represented by Fama/French Emerging Markets Small Cap Index for 1989 -1993. Emerging Markets Value and Small Cap weighting allocated evenly between International Small Cap and International Value prior to January 1989 data inception. Two-Year Global weighting allocated to One-Year prior to January 1990 data inception. Five-Year Global weighting allocated to Five-Year Government prior to January 1990 data inception.
Balanced Strategy Disclosure and Index Descriptions
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Information provided by Dimensional Fund Advisors LP.The Dimensional Indices have been retrospectively calculated by Dimensional Fund Advisors LP and did not exist prior to their index inceptions dates. Accordingly, results shown during the periods prior to each Index’s index inception date do not represent actual returns of the Index. Other periods selected may have different results, including losses. The model’s performance does not reflect advisory fees or other expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. There are limitations inherent in model allocations. In particular, model performance may not reflect the impact that economic and market factors may have had on the advisor’s decision making if the advisor were actually managing client money. The balanced strategies are not recommendations for an actual allocation.
Dimensional International Small Cap Index (January 1990–present): The index is compiled by Dimensional from Bloomberg securities data. Market-capitalization-weighted index of small company securities in the eligible markets excluding those with the lowest profitability and highest relative price within the small cap universe. Profitability is measured as operating income before depreciation and amortization minus interest expense scaled by book. Exclusions: REITs and investment companies. The index has been retroactively calculated by Dimensional and did not exist prior to April 2008. The calculation methodology for the Dimensional International Small Cap Index was amended in January 2014 to include direct profitability as a factor in selecting securities for inclusion in the index. July 1981–1989: Created by Dimensional, the index includes securities of MSCI EAFE countries in the bottom 10% of market capitalization excluding the bottom 1%. All securities are market capitalization weighted. Each country is capped at 50%; rebalanced semiannually.
Dimensional International Small Cap Value Index (January 1990–present): The index is defined as companies whose relative price is in the bottom 35% of their country’s respective constituents in the Dimensional International Small Cap Index after the exclusion of utilities and companies with either negative or missing relative price data. The index also excludes those companies with the lowest profitability within their country’s small value universe. Profitability is measured as operating income before depreciation and amortization minus interest expense scaled by book. Exclusions: REITs and investment companies. The index has been retroactively calculated by Dimensional and did not exist prior to April 2008. The calculation methodology for the Dimensional International Small Cap Value Index was amended in January 2014 to include direct profitability as a factor in selecting securities for inclusion in the index. Prior to January 1990: Created by Dimensional, the index includes securities of MSCI EAFE countries in the top 30% of book-to-market by market capitalization conditional on the securities being in the bottom 10% of market capitalization, excluding the bottom 1%. All securities are market-capitalization weighted. Each country is capped at 50%; rebalanced semiannually.
Dimensional Emerging Markets Index is compiled by Dimensional from Bloomberg securities data. Market-capitalization-weighted index of all securities in the eligible markets. The index has been retroactively calculated by Dimensional and did not exist prior to April 2008. Exclusions: REITs and Investment Companies.
Dimensional Emerging Markets Small Cap Index (January 1994–present): The index is compiled by Dimensional from Bloomberg securities data. The index is a market-capitalization-weighted index of small company securities in the eligible markets excluding those with the lowest profitability and highest relative price within the small cap universe. Profitability is measured as operating income before depreciation and amortization minus interest expense scaled by book. Exclusions: REITs and investment companies. The index has been retroactively calculated by Dimensional and did not exist prior to April 2008. The calculation methodology for the Dimensional Emerging Markets Small Index was amended in January 2014 to include profitability as a factor in selecting securities for inclusion in the index. Prior to January 1994: Fama/French Emerging Markets Small Cap Index.
Dimensional Emerging Markets Value Index (January 1994–present): The index is compiled by Dimensional from Bloomberg securities data. The index consists of companies whose relative price is in the bottom 33% of their country’s companies after the exclusion of utilities and companies with either negative or missing relative price data. The index emphasizes companies with smaller capitalization, lower relative price, and higher profitability. The index also excludes those companies with the lowest profitability and highest relative price within their country’s value universe. Profitability is measured as operating income before depreciation and amortization minus interest expense scaled by book. Exclusions: REITs and investment companies. The index has been retroactively calculated by Dimensional and did not exist prior to April 2008. The calculation methodology for the Dimensional Emerging Markets Value Index was amended in January 2014 to include profitability as a factor in selecting securities for inclusion in the index. Prior to January 1994: Fama/French Emerging Markets Value Index.