managing numbers in northern ireland spa seminar - 12 april 2011 janet graham, annie doyle and...

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Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

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Page 1: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland

SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011

Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Page 2: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

How can SPA support your planning in admissions?

Strategic leadership in admissions is an integral to an institutions learning and teaching strategy, management and planning.

SPA suggests an applicant experience strategy would underpin planning in admissions and support the management and processes of both academic and professional staff

The benefits for the institution: more integrated ways of working, with possible efficiency gains enhanced staff professionalism and understanding of strategy improved quality practices and procedures which may give

competitive advantage and enhance reputation ability to take advantage of external changes quickly

The benefits for the applicant: transparency and a better experience

Page 3: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Context for admissions planning and management for 2011 and beyond

Planning now for this year and beyond - working with internal colleagues and learning from external colleagues - can help you and your institution manage the policy and processes more effectively

Planning needs to be underpinned by robust systems in terms of

• IT, good quality data and analysis

• and the ability to use it for management , policy and process development

Page 4: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland

Working in small groups

1. Agree the order (1-8) you would prioritise as to relevance for managing applications.

2. Taking your top priority, agree three initiatives to manage the situation better.

N.B. Being able to reach agreement on a strategy in a timely

fashion is key to good management.

Page 5: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland

Faced with increased demand for limited supply of places, how do you prioritise:

monitoring

conversion rate predictors

policy enactment

entry criteria and offer-making

Having prioritised, what initiatives manage the situation best?

staffing levels

staff training

competitor tracking

future modelling / planning

Page 6: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Monitoring

monitor, monitor, monitor

Information is power

knowledge that change is happening (not happened)

understanding of variables within any change

evidence to justify quick action

benchmarks for tracking and reflection

Without adequate data you are reduced to the anecdotal and the reactionary – neither is a sound basis for prioritising

Page 7: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Conversion rate predictors

Reliant on good data and good monitoring

If this is an exceptional year, then senior management should be involved now

Remember the vices as well as the virtues of predicting on past conversion rates Are your applicants the same (has the increase shifted the

distribution/mix)?

Are your requirements the same (is it now harder/easier to convert)?

Are your competitors the same (don’t forget insurance)?

Are there any historically hidden numbers (e.g. progression agreements)?

Page 8: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Policy enactment

Policy is defining and binding

It can act as justification for your actions, but can also restrict your options for change

It is more difficult to change quickly and needs more planning to implement

It is very much a statement for the future as well as now

Most factors under admissions’ control will be in policy, so difficult to change anything without addressing policy

Page 9: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Entry criteria and offer-making

The key control devices in admissions

Reliant on good monitoring and conversion predictors

Changes will affect all other aspects of admissions, particularly: Conversion rates Competitors (and how you are perceived in relation to them) Advisors’ impressions for future years

Transparency in entry criteria (Entry Profiles) will aid matching and moderate applications

Care in wording offers can be an aid to acceptance and an asset at Confirmation

Don’t forget feedback and think of alternatives

Page 10: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Staffing levels

• Changes elsewhere only effective if you have enough of the right staff to process applications

• How do you know whether or not you have enough staff to deal with the increase?

• Can you predict whether this is temporary or long-term staffing demand?

• Can the demand be mediated by other resources (IT; procedural efficiencies; support from other areas)?

Page 11: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Staff training

• Changes elsewhere only effective if your staff are aware and able to enact them

• How quickly can all your admissions staff respond to change?

• How quickly can they spot change?

• Who has the authority to invoke change?

• Who is responsible for following change through?

Page 12: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Competitor tracking

• External influencers on your numbers are far harder to predict then internal

• Do you know who they are and how they’re changing?

• Do you know what your applicants’ expectations are (are you creating them or are you reacting to expectations given to them by others)?

• Understand that applicants are competing with each other and that you are competing with other institutions

Page 13: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Future modelling/planning

• Is this a one off year?

• If so what impact will your actions have on future recruitment?

• If not, are you embedding change to pre-empt this new trend, or are you going to have to react year-on-year?

Page 14: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Quick Fixes

Bending the rules How appropriate do you feel these options are in exceptional times?

• Dropping equal consideration

• Changing standard offers mid-cycle

• New entry requirements mid-cycle

• Less transparency

• New contextual data

• Gathered field

• Closing courses

• Changing progression agreements with partners

Page 15: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Quick Fixes

Know your enablers How well do you know and control the key internal enablers to change?

How quickly can you utilise and redirect them?

• staff• systems• funds

N.B. these should be more than just resources

Page 16: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Collaborative Fixes

Who should you collaborate with internally • and how do you do it?

Who should you collaborate with externally • and how do you do it?

Think about: • who to collaborate with and why• what to collaborate on• when and how such collaboration should take place

Page 17: Managing Numbers in Northern Ireland SPA Seminar - 12 April 2011 Janet Graham, Annie Doyle and Leslie Currie

Thank you, and time for lunch!

Email [email protected], call 01242 544891www.spa.ac.uk