management presentation q2 2016 results...2016/11/08 · management presentation q3 2016 results |...
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1 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Christoph Vilanek, CEO and Joachim Preisig, CFO
Management presentation Q3 2016 results
9 November 2016| Analyst and Investor conference call
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2 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Cautionary statement
This presentation contains forward-looking statements which involve risks and uncertainties. The actual performance, results and timing of the business of freenet AG could differ materially from the expectations regarding performance, results and timing expressed in this presentation.
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to purchase any securities of freenet AG. Any such decision must not be made on the basis of the information provided in this presentation.
freenet AG does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise information provided during this presentation.
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3 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Financial and operational highlights in Q3 2016
Third quarter showed strong core business performance and valuable contribution from Media Broadcast’s B2B business
Group revenue increases by 59.6 m€ from Q2 to 867.2 m€ in Q3 2016 (+77.2 m€ yoy)
Group EBITDA increases by 13.9 m€ from Q2 to 118.2 m€ in Q3 2016 (+20.8 m€ yoy)
Customer Ownership improved by 51,000 users to 9.47 million (+263,000 yoy) during the reported quarter mainly driven by valuable postpaid customers by 35,000 to 6.43 million (+197,000 yoy)
Stable postpaid ARPU – at 21.6 € (+0.2 € compared to Q2 2016; -0.3 € yoy)
Initial go-to-market of ‘waipu.tv’ and ‘freenet TV’
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4 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
2016 is a year of strategic importance for freenet
Q1 - Q3 2016 – Building the pillars for the future
Continuous improvement of the core mobile business Sharpening of the tariff portfolio in all segments
Investment into brand recognition, brand profile and retail
Perfecting sustainable business model by varying procurement with MNOs, spreading the offer portfolio and extending multi-channel efforts
Enlargement of digital lifestyle portfolio Extension of the offering e.g. with save TV, Readly
Improvement of customer profiling and targeting
Enter the TV access arena • Acquisition of Media Broadcast GmbH and Exaring AG
• Establishment of freenet as partner of the content industry also in terms of synergies with the core business
Mobile Full penetration of LTE offerings and enlargement of data
packages Securing new channels e.g. mydealz Leverage advantage of multi-brand portfolio to optimise
lifecycle contribution per customer (migration across brands with renewal and retention)
TV product launches Initial campaign-testing in retail and within customer base Assessment and prioritizing business opportunities of the IP
technology with Exaring AG Refocus branding under the freenet umbrella MFE Energie becomes freenet energy All digital lifestyle services under freenet All captive accessories under freenet basic
Q4 2016 – Implementation of winning forces
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5 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Strong ATL-marketing and retail-sales KPIs
Brand recognition >80% Costa campaign drives prompted
brand recognition above 80% Still lower than MNO brands, but
significantly higher than competitors such as Otelo (70%) or smartmobil.de (61%)
For 60% of those that remember Costa mobilcom-debitel is not only a mobile provider but a digital lifestyle provider with a portfolio outside pure mobile access
Retail is a driver of loyalty and net-promoter-score 4000 interviews with new customers
from POS 15.06.-15.09.2016 Customer satisfaction Overall 90% Advice and sales process 92% Friendliness and staff 96%
Mystery Shopping results June and July 2016 Top md-retail-partner fulfil expectations
90% delivery on overall performance 92% delivery on advice and counselling 100% delivery on sales arguments 100% delivery on sales closing behaviour 100% delivery on after sales
92% of all sales conversations conducted with pencil selling
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6 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
freenet´s unique proposition becomes more and more a strength
Best network quality anytime, anywhere
Full access to high-speed LTE (voice and data)
Transparency and involvement in next-gen-technology
Unlimited capacity
Usage right of original network brands
Unlimited access to all networks and MNO tariffs
Retail-minus model mitigates risk from severe changes in usage patterns
Margin based procurement model delivers plannable gross profit
COGS and MVNO type of conditions allow competitive offers in No-frills / Sim-only market segment
Various procurement models secure gross margin
Procurement without minimum guarantees or minimum consumption
Negligible risk from exponential growth in data consumption
No participation in network CAPEX
Independent from disruption
Multi-year agreement with Vodafone and sales contract for broadband and cable access
Magenta bundle offers and cooperation in Smart Home with Telekom
10 year remedy for Telefonica
Broader MNO cooperation secures relationship
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7 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
freenet is the sole provider covering any needs profitably
freenet portfolio serves all segments, needs and target groups
MNO Original tariffs
ALLNET- and
SMART WORLD NO FRILLS PREPAID
MNO brands CallYa, Magenta
and channel brands e.g. Media Markt
Own portfolio targeting
additional needs
MNO tariff plans leveraging MNO
marketing spendings
Original MNO tariffs with mobilcom-debitel (at own expenses and for own account) mobilcom-debitel Allnet and Smartphone tariffs with subsidy klarmobil, callmobile, freenetmobile Sim-only offering MNO brands, as well as klarmobil, callmobile and partner brands (Media Markt)
PREMIUM VALUE DISCOUNT PREPAID
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8 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Procurement model enables best quality at lowest price – achieving profitable growth
FREEFLAT 1.000
FREEFLAT 2.000
FREEFLAT 4.000
Congstar Allnet Flat+
otelo Allnet Flat Max
Monthly subscription (SIM-Only) 9.95 € 11.95 € 14.95 € 30.00 € 29.99 €
Voice Allnet Allnet Allnet Allnet Allnet
SMS 0,09 € Allnet Allnet Allnet Allnet
Data 1 GB 2 GB 4 GB 4 GB 4 GB
Speed / Technology HSDPA 21 Mbit/s
HSDPA 21 Mbit/s
HSDPA 42 Mbit/s
HSDPA 42 Mbit/s
HSDPA 42 Mbit/s
Data usage Fair only! Fair only! Fair only! Fair only! Fair only!
TCO 24 months 238.80 € 286.80 € 358.80 € 720.00 € 719.76 €
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9 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Customer Ownership growth +2.9 per cent year-on-year
Improvement of customer ownership largely due to increase of postpaid customers by 3.2 per cent (+197,000 yoy) and an increase of the no-frills customer base by 2.2 per cent (+67,000 yoy)
Further decline of prepaid customer base to 2.59 million attributable to the further deactivation of inactive SIM-Cards (technical churn)
Total customer base at 12.06 million – below previous years’ figure of 12.28 million
6.23 6.31 6.36 6.39 6.43
2.97 2.99 3.01 3.02 3.04
Q3 2015
Q4 2015
Q1 2016
Q2 2016
Q3 2016
Customer Ownership Postpaid No frills
9.21 9.30
9.37 9.42 9.47 [in million]
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10 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Postpaid ARPU stable on track, +20 cent from Q2
Postpaid ARPU Improved by 0.2 euros to 21.6 euros
compared to previous quarter Data revenue share at 34.61%
No frills ARPU At 2.5 euros slightly exceeds the
previous quarter figure by 0.1 euros
Prepaid ARPU On par with the previous years’ figure
and +0.1 euros compared to previous quarter
21.6
21.2 21.5
21.7
21.1 21.1 21.4
21,9
21.1 21.1 21.4
21.9
21.3 21.5 21.4
21,6
Q4 2013 toQ4 2014
Q1 2014 toQ1 2015
Q2 2014 toQ2 2015
Q3 2014 toQ3 2015
Q4 2014 toQ4 2015
Q1 2015 toQ1 2016
Q2 2015 toQ2 2016
Q3 2015 toQ3 2016
2.6 3.2
2.5 3.2
No frills Prepaid
Q3 2015
Q3 2016
[EUR/month]
+0.20 +0.20 -0.10 -0.10 -0.50 +0.40 0.00 -0.30
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11 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
100% of Media Broadcast Group, Cologne
Conversion to DVB-T2 HD standard in
March 2017
Extensive TV campaign, supported by public and
private channels
Potential of roughly 7 million DVB-T1 users
24,99% of EXARING AG, Munich
12,000 km exclusive fibre-optic infrastructure
23 million households connected via peering
contracts
Extensive PR campaign, initial tests of online
campaigns
Both TV offerings now presented in 280 shops
Supply chain full of around 4 million boxes by
13 manufacturers
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12 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Promising marketing and research KPIs for freenet TV Within four weeks after launch of end-customer communication at the end of August, spontaneous brand recognition tripled
More than 80 per cent of the TV viewers remember having seen the spot
freenet TV achieved high degree of campaign recognition 38 per cent (compare Sky at 27 per cent and Unity Media at 4 per cent)
More than 71 per cent of DVB-T2 interested parties (potential buyers) feel addressed by the TV spot and approx. 60 per cent feel motivated to purchase the product – this represents a corresponding increase of 30 percentage points
Digitization report 2016 proves excellent basis for DVB-T2 HD
More than 7.4 million households in Germany use DVB-T on TV, laptop or on mobile devices – representing 19 per cent of all TV households, in some core regions (if/where private channels are available) the number even surges up to 35 per cent
More and more viewers benefit from the advantage of using digital terrestrial television – the portable and mobile reception of TV signal; compared to 2015 an increase of 10 per cent
Prompted brand recognition amounts to 23 per cent 4 weeks after campaign launch.
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13 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Early performance indicators with strong upward trend
▪ Our operational performance indicators point to a considerable rise of consumer interest
▪ This is attributable to the pre-sales activities of Media Broadcast, being primarily focused on the launch of the TV campaign late August
▪ Now we change “messaging” to convert interest into immediate hardware sales
▪ Thereby, we manage the supply chain to delete risk of supply bottlenecks in the transition process in March 2017 and boost the sales figures
781
331461
100
11x
1,146
184157164
132
30
6x
September August July June May
338
174100
3x
k.A. k.A.
Operational KPIs since freenet acquisition and involvement
Contacts customer service (Index)
Unique Users freenet.tv website (Index)
Average stay spent on freenet.tv (in seconds)
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14 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Still 6 months to go for the launch – but all signals positive
tripling the contact volume since
August 2016
3 website visitors
multiplied by 11 times
11 increase of the set-top-box sales
after launch of first campaign (August)
+80%
pieces of hardware in supply chain
4 million unique visitors on freenet.tv
in September
269,000 equivalent value of ATL advertising
19 million
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15 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
waipu.tv launch in October with promising early indicators
75% of direct entry users swype the TV picture to their TV-screen within the first couple of days
>60% of the registered users open waipu.tv emails with latest TV tips and more than a half click either the record function or deep dive into the suggested program
High satisfaction with user interface, feature set and functionality, high engagement and usage
Daily extended self care information based on customer feedback
Amazon Fire to be added as platform by end 2016
PR campaign with more than 100 clippings during the
first week caused a number of new contacts
Local broadband providers seeking to peer
Content providers searching to play out special
interest or sequential event content
Retail providers looking to copy mobilcom-debitel
instore-TV-solution based on waipu.tv
Game and e-sport operators to broadcast their
events
…...
Waipu.tv B2C qualitative results Waipu.tv B2B opportunities
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16 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Q1-Q3 2016 Q1-Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2015
Revenue 2,424.1 2,291.1 867.2 790.1
Gross profit 645.7 574.9 234.1 197.1
EBITDA 311.7 272.4 118.2 97.3
Depreciation and amortisation -89.4 -52.6 -31.9 -18.4
EBIT 211.7 219.9 81.2 79.0
Interest result -41.5 -29.2 -14.0 -9.9
EBT 170.2 190.7 67.2 69.0
Taxes on income -8.2 -17.6 -9.2 -7.1
Group result 162.1 173.1 58.0 61.9
Earnings per share (€) 1.30 1.35 0.46 0.48
Financial statements Income statement information
Revenue improved by 9.8% yoy mainly due to contribution from Media Broadcast in the amount of 70.1 m€. EBITDA of 118.2 m€ (+21.4% yoy) includes contribution of 10.0 m€ from the investment in Sunrise Communications Group AG Depreciation and amortisation increased by 13.5 m€ yoy based on the increase in property, plant and equipment and intangible assets related to the recent transactions (Media Broadcast and EXARING) and associated final purchase price allocations.
[in EUR million]
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17 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Nine-months Group and Segment overview [in EUR million]
1) Including proceeds from Sunrise 16.3 m€
Revenue Gross profit
2,424.1 2,291.1
+5.8%
574.9 645.7
+12.3%
EBITDA
272.4
+14.4%
311.7
Free cash flow
217.4
+20.8%
262.7 Group
Mobile Communications 2,258.6 2,249.6
+0.4%
539.3 540.9
+0.3%
283.6
+6.3%
301.61
TV and Media 148.1 72.6
18.4
Q1 – Q3 2016
Q1 – Q3 2015
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18 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Shareholders'equity
Borrowings
Trade accountspayable
Other liabilities
4,194.0 4,141.8 Total
Intangible assets
Goodwill
Trade accountsreceivable
Cash and cashequivalents
Other assets
4,194.0 4,141.8 Total
Financial statements
Shareholders‘ equity and liabilities Assets
532.4
1,379.9
485.0
1,536.2
260.5
30.9.2016 30.6.2016 adjusted1
Balance sheet information [in EUR million]
Equity ratio at 31.7 per cent as of 30 September 2016 (30.8 per cent as of 30 June 2016)
1,329.5
1,734.3
665.2
465.1
30.9.2016 30.6.2016 adjusted1
543.5
1,379.9
464.1
1,550.3
204.0
1,277.0
1,730.9
666.9
467.0
1) Retrospective adjustment due to finalised purchase price allocation (PPA) of Media Broadcast Group.
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19 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
805.0 898.0 787.7
31.03.2016 30.06.2016 30.09.2016
Development of net debt and debt ratio
[in EUR million]
1) Debt ratio is defined as net debt² divided by the EBITDA of the last twelve months.
2) Financial debt minus cash and cash equivalents minus market value of freenet’s share in Sunrise Communication Group AG on the reference date (Closing price on 30.09.2016 of the Sunrise share on the Swiss stock exchange, converted from CHF to EUR by Bloomberg at the officially fixed exchange rate)
2.2 2.3 1.9
Debt ratio within target range of 1.0 - 2.5
Debt ratio1
Net debt2
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20 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Placing of a promissory note loan totaling 350 million euros for out-financing the existing syndicated bank loan
Promissory notes November 2016
tranche 1 (fix)
tranche 2 (var.)
tranche 3 (fix)
tranche 4 (var.)
tranche 5 (fix)
Volume (m€) 63.5 161.0 90.5 23.0 12.0
Interest rate p.a. 1.00% 1.00% 1.28% 1.20% 1.68%
Maturity 2020 2020 2022 2022 2024
Transaction details Investment grade structure and pricing Drawing at the lower end of the marketing range at favourable conditions (average initial margin of 1.11% p.a.; maturity
structure between 4 and 8 years)
Lead arrangers Bayerische Landesbank, Landesbank Baden-Württemberg, Norddeutsche Landesbank, ING Bank
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21 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Q1-Q3 2016 Q1-Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2015
Cash flow from operating activities 297.0 237.1 80.8 86.0
Cash flow from investing activities -847.9 -20.1 -8.9 -5.7
thereof net capex -34.2 -19.7 -9.5 -4.8
Cash flow from financing activities 541.7 -125.3 -15.4 -0.7
Change in cash and cash equivalents -9.2 91.7 56.5 79.6
Free cash flow1 262.7 217.4 71.3 81.1
Financial statements Cash flow information [in EUR million]
1) Free cash flow is defined as cash flow from operating activities, minus investments in property, plant and equipment and intangible assets, plus proceeds from the disposal of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets.
Cash flow from operating activities at 80.8 m€ – positive impact from 10.7 m€ EBITDA increase (before Sunrise) and 2.1 m€ yoy decline of tax payments; negative effect from 18.6 m€ increase of net working capital
Cash flow from investing activities mainly related to property, plant and equipment of Media Broadcast Group, cash effective investments of 9.5 m€ entirely financed out of the company’s own resources
Cash flow from financing activities Increased significantly year-to-date mainly due to the financing of the acquisitions
Free cash flow – year-to-date increase mainly due to the higher EBITDA as well as the received Sunrise dividend
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22 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
FY 2015 370.2 - 10.3 - 44.3 - 30.4 - 0.6 284.5 FY 2016e >400 -10 - 40 - 50 -20 +30 ~340
Detailed Bridge from EBITDA to free cash flow Q1 – Q3 2016 [in EUR million]
Free cash flow Capex Tax payments Change in net working capital
EBITDA
311.7
-2.6
-34.2 -16.2 +30.1
Other Sunrise EBITDA (no cash)
Sunrise dividends
-26.2 +0,1
262.7
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23 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Management reiterates guidance for financial year 2016
Customer ownership
Postpaid ARPU
Group revenue
Group EBITDA
Free cash flow (FCF) 1
Dividend pay out
Guidance 2016 > 400.0 m€ ² ~300.0 m€ 3 1.60 €/share 4
Results 2015 + 376,000 21.4 € 3,117.9 m€ 370.2 m€ 284.5 m€ 1.55 €/share
Guidance 2015 370 m€ 280 m€ 50-75% of FCF
1) Free cash flow is defined as cash flow from operating activities, minus investments in property, plant and equipment and intangible assets, plus proceeds from the disposal of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets.
2) As before, we assume that the consolidation of the Sunrise-shares will lead to additional EBITDA in financial year 2016 (not included in guidance). 3) Dividend payment of 30.1 m€ from Sunrise Communications Group AG not included in guidance. 4) Dividend of 1.60 euros per dividend-bearing share for the financial year 2016 to be proposed by the Executive Board.
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24 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
freenet Group management We take time for your questions
Joachim Preisig, CFO
CFO of freenet AG since 2010
CFO of debitel AG since 2006
CFO of T-Mobile / Head of Group Controlling at Deutsche Telekom AG since 2002
CFO at O2 since 1996
Christoph Vilanek, CEO
CEO of freenet AG since 2009
Management positions at debitel AG since 2005
Consultant for telecommunication with McKinsey&Company since 2001
Management positions in Direct Marketing and Media 1991 - 2001
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25 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Hollerstrasse 126 Investor Relations 24782 Büdelsdorf +49 (0) 40 513 06 778 www.freenet-group.de [email protected]
Thank you.
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26 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
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27 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Shareholder structure Major shareholders of freenet AG
* Including attributions according to German Securities Trading Act
As of 30 September 2016
89.29%
5.55% 5.16%
3.70% 82.54% 3.05%
Flossbach von Storch AG*
Allianz Global Investors GmbH*
The Capital Group Companies, Inc.*
Deutsche Asset Management Investment GmbH*
Other shareholders / free float**
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28 | Management presentation Q3 2016 results | 08/11/2016
Overview over current financing and maturity structure
[in EUR million]
54.5 64.5
274.5
443.0
163.5
93.5
12.0 23.5
240.0
800.0
100.0
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Promissory notes Syndicated bank loan
Issue Instrument Volume Maturity
2012 Promissory note 119 m€ 2017, 2019
2015 Promissory note 100 m€ 2020, 2022
2016 (March) Promissory note 560 m€ 2021, 2023, 2026
2016 (November) Promissory note 350 m€ 2020, 2022, 2024
2016 Syndicated bank loan 1,140 m€ 2017, 2019, 2021
Average financing cost below 2.0 per cent p.a.