malaysian palm oil: our role in the global oils & fats market 2015... · with the principles...
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Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
Malaysian Palm Oil:
Our Role in The Global Oils & Fats Market
Dr. Kalyana Sundram
Deputy Chief Executive Officer
M alaysian Palm Oil Council
Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
Oils and Fats Production (1990 – 2014)
1990 Production : 80.89 million MT
2014 Production : 199.75 million MTSource: Oil World
0,00%
Rapeseed oil
10,09% Soybean oil
19,90%
Palm oil13,62%
Sunflower oil
9,73%
Others46,67%
Rapeseed Oil
13.61% SoyabeanOil
22.56%
Palm oil29.63%
Sunflower Oil
8.17%
Others26.04%
2014 Exports :78.58 million MT, with palm as major export
Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
Global Consumption of Major Oils and FatsCONSUMPTION – PALM OIL VS OTHER OILS in 2014
Soybean oil
22,45%
Sunflower oil
7,37%
Palm oil
30,00%
Rapeseed oil
12,69%
Others
27,50%
Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
Palm Oil Supply from Malaysia and Indonesia (‘000 MT)
Source : Oil World
2011(MT)
2012(MT)
2013(MT)
2014(MT)
Change 2014/
2013 (MT)
Change 2014/2013 (%)
Production
(Malaysia)18,912 18,785 19,216 19,500 284 1.48
Production
(Indonesia)24,300 26,900 28,300 30,100 1,800 6.36
Total 43,212 45,685 47,516 49,600 2,084 4.39
Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
NET IMPORTING & EXPORTING COUNTRIES
FOR OILS AND FATS (2014)
Russia
Philippines
Canada
Ukraine
Brazil
Argentina
Malaysia
Indonesia
Taiwan
Nigeria
South Korea
South Africa
Turkey
Japan
Egypt
Mexico
Iran
Bangladesh
Pakistan
North Africa
India
EU-27
China
-15000 -10000 -5000 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000
Net Importers
Net Exporters
FAO estimates that by 2050, rising population and incomes
will require 70 percent increase in global food production
› Net exporters of oils and fats – Asia Pacific (palm oil) & Americas (soybean)
› The rest of the countries are net importers
Source : Oil World
Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
Source : FAOSTATS
WORLD ARABLE & PERMANENT CROP LAND
PER CAPITA
Per capita crop land has declined since 1960 thus more pressure on farms to increase yields
Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
DISTRIBUTION OF AGRICULTURAL AREA
Livestock , 71.27%
Other Crops, 23.17%Oilseeds, 5.25%
Oil Palm, 0.31%
Total Agricultural Area : 5 Billion HectaresSource : FAOSTATS
Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
HIGH LAND PRODUCTIVITY OF OIL PALM YIELD – PALM OIL VS OTHER OILSEEDS
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
Soybean Oil Sunflower Oil
Rapeseed Oil
Palm Oil
0.36 0.420.59
Seed Oil
Palm Oil
Productivity of oil palm is:
• 11x more thansoyabean
• 10x more than sunflower
• 7x more than rapeseed
3.68
(Kernel Oil)
Source: * FAO ** Oil World *** MPOB
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
PresentHigh commercial
yield Best expt plotMax Biol. Yield 12
MEETING FUTURE PALM OIL DEMAND IS
DEPENDENT ON YIELD IMPROVEMENTS
Bad Karma reduces palm oil yieldsNature Reviews Genetics 16, 624-625 (2015) doi:10.1038/nrg4022
Oil palm genome sequence reveals divergence of interfertilespecies in Old and New worldsNature 500, 335–339 (2013) doi:10.1038/nature12309
* Both Nature publications from Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB)
Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
Source 2015 2030
Food 147.2 160.7
Biofuels 57 102
TOTAL 204.2 262.7
PROJECTED GLOBAL BIOFUEL REQUIREMENTS (MT) AND
PRODUCTION BY COUNTRIES
Source: Legge
Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
Malaysia, ASSURING FUTURE
SUSTAINABLE SUPPLY OF PALM OIL
Consumer demand for palm oil in
Europe now requires it is sourced from
a sustainable source
The EU demand for CSPO will be fully
met as there is ample supply of CSPO
“Customers are always right” to this
end Malaysia will meet and supply
what the customers want
Apart from RSPO there are other
ongoing sustainable certification
schemes including ISCC, MSPO, ISPO
etc.
Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
Year
Matured Land
Area
('000 Ha)
Production
('000 MT)
Efficiency
Ratio
1985 1,480 4,133 1: 2.79
1990 2,030 6,095 1: 3.00
2000 3,370 10,840 1: 3.22
2005 4,050 14,961 1: 3.69
2014 4,689 19,667 1: 4.20
MALAYSIAN PALM OIL PRODUCTION
EFFICIENT USE OF LAND
Source : MPOB
Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
MALAYSIAN SUSTAINABLE PALM OIL (MSPO)
The Malaysian Sustainable Palm Oil (MSPO) standard is beingtested by the industry before its implementation by the end of thisyear
MSPO was developed to address the grouses of mid-range andsmallholder oil palm cultivators who face difficulty complyingwith the principles and standards of the Roundtable onSustainable Palm Oil (RSPO) certification due to exorbitantcharges, conflicting views of inspectors and changing criteria
A pilot run for seven palm oil mills and seven estates have beencompleted.
20% of the local palm oil industry adheres to the voluntary RSPOcertification
Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
Rising demand for Malaysian palm oil due to health and sustainability
According to a Credit Suisse financial analysis, this versatile oil is expected to become much more prevalent in the coming years. Demand for Malaysian palm oil to increase by 2030 in line with the Credit Suisse projections. The worldwide interest in healthy, natural fats and the global recognition of Malaysia’s sustainable palm oil industry are part of the reasons for this potential increase in its usage.
Globally, fats to grow from current 26% calories to
31% by 2030.
SAFA % en. to increase from 9.4% to 13%.
Per capita fat consumption will grow 1.3% over
the next 15 years
•Among foods, winners are eggs, milk, dairy
products and nuts with annual growth of 2.5-4%.
•Meat consumption to grow at 1.4% and fish at 1.6%
So where will be the source for such
sustainable production come from?
Will you apply ILUC concepts?
Monounsaturates and Magic of Olive Oil!
•"Difficult to define "Mediterranean diet“
•"Monos are neutral from health perspective
and little to support that nuts and olive oil help
reduce CVD associated mortality"
Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
Malaysia, Indonesia To Establish Council Of Palm Oil Producing Countries (CPOPC)
Quote from Hon. Minister of Plantation Industries & Commodities, Malaysia,
Datuk Amar Douglas Uggah Embas
• Jointly promote the benefits of the oil palm industry while ensuring price stability along with downstream industry developments
• Indonesia and Malaysia to harmonise Indonesian Sustainable Palm Oil (ISPO) and Malaysian Sustainable Palm Oil (MSPO) standards
• Socio-economic development of smallholders will be championed
• Promote environmentally sustainable practices in the oil palm industry
• Improve cooperation in R&D to unlock potential across the value chain.
• Both countries will facilitate private sector initiatives in developing the Green Economic Zone in Indonesia, while promoting value addition to the palm oil industry
Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
CONSERVATION EFFORTS: MALAYSIAN
PALM OIL INDUSTRY
Malaysian Palm Oil Wildlife
Conservation Fund (MPOWCF)
Launched in 2006
Euro 5 Million; direct PO industry
contribution was Euro 2.5 Million.
Euro 10 Million as grant from
Malaysian government
MPOWCF welcomes donations &
grants
Matches third party funding on a 1:1
basis
Copyright by Malaysian Palm Oil Council 2015
Sustainability is not an issue that cannot be managed by Malaysian palm oil.
Western environmental NGOs need to pool their resources with producers
to achieve realistic objectives
Palm Oil will continue to assist the developing countries promote poverty
eradication, improve income for small holders and uplift the economy of
developing nations
Palm oil production is fully gearing itself to meet sustainability certification
demands and adopts the 3Ps of sustainability – People, Planet and Profit.
CONCLUSIONS