making the most of longitudinal data chair: deborah wilson (dcsf) speakers: clare baker, helen wood,...
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Making the Most of Longitudinal DataChair: Deborah Wilson (DCSF)
Speakers:Clare Baker, Helen Wood, Michael Greer (DCSF)
Rémi Dewitte (Gide)
Presentation at DCSF Conference: The Use of Evidence in Policy Development and Delivery, 9 February 2010
Longitudinal Studies in DCSF Longitudinal studies, and other data, are key resources for DCSF
They help us to understand and address important policy questions. In particular to:
Understand individual life courses Understand the impact of policy changes Help to explain the causes of social inequality
and underachievement
Why review our use of studies? ONS Cross-Government review DCSF Data and Statistics Strategy
Raise awareness within the Dept of existing data sources Identify current and potential use for existing studies and identify
gaps Review our support for DCSF-funded longitudinal studies
– LSYPE, YCS, EPPSE
– ALSPAC, MCS, USoc, FACS … Departmental policy and structural changes
Workshop Overview
Today’s workshop will examine the one of the Department’s biggest and most successful longitudinal studies - LSYPE
This workshop will
show how we involve policy colleagues in the LSYPE cycle provide an interactive demonstration of 'iLSYPE'
Introducing the Longitudinal Study of Young People in England (LSYPE)
Large-scale cohort study tracking over 15,000 young people and their parents
Annual interviews from age 13/14 (Year 9)- cohort currently aged 19/20
Over sampled FSM households & ethnic minorities to ensure good representation
Further EM boost from wave 4 (age 16/17)
LSYPEUnique and invaluable dataset for policy making- used both proactively
and reactively
Initially funded by HM Treasury, intended as a cross-government project – currently managed by DCSF
Research aims –
factors affecting educational progresstransitions following compulsory education, effects of background and behaviours, attitudes and experiences
moves us towards causality
Broad content- including data linking
Our unique selling point!
Who takes part in LSYPE?Wave 1 (13/14) 2004
Young people and both parents
≈ 15,500 responding households (74%)
Wave 2 (14/15) 2005
Young people and both parents
≈ 13,500 responding households (86%)
Wave 3 (15/16) 2006
Young people and both parents
≈ 12,500 responding households (92%)
Wave 4 (16/17) 2007
Young people and one parent
≈ 11,500 responding households (92%)
Wave 5 (17/18) 2008
Young people only
≈ 10,500 responding young people (89%)
Wave 6 (18/19) 2009
Young people only
≈ 9,793 responding young people (87%)
Survey Content“Main” Parent “Second” Parent Young PersonEmployment Histories – including incomeRelationship histories (household composition)Demographics (ethnicity, gender, religion, disability etc)
Educational experiences/attainment- including bullying and truancyAspirationsOut of school activities- both positive & riskyHealth, disability & SENCaring responsibilitiesRelationship with parentsAttitudes & experiences re: local communityRelationships, sexuality etc.
Aspirations for the young personAttitudes to schooling and educationContact with servicesFamily Cohesion
Non policy-specific questions facilitate the long-term, strategic nature of the study but presents challenges with policy
engagement
The LSYPE Cycle2009 2010
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M JW8 handover to OGD’s/ESRC
W7 starts: consultation/Contract.
W7 questionnaire design, piloting and programming.
W7 fieldwork
W6 Questionnaire finalised, piloting and programming.
W6 Fieldwork. W6 data processing, checking and in-house creation of DVs.
W6 production and publication of Statistical Bulletin (publication June 2010).
W5 data checking and DVs.
W5 Production and publication of Statistical Bulletin (publication June 2009).
W5 Data Enhancement, publicity and analysis for policy.
Challenges
Timeliness- longitudinal data takes time to produce
Multiple stakeholders- and managing their expectations
Maintaining a strategic focus
Lack of engagement
Limited resources
Engaging with Policy
Marketing of LSYPE- awareness raising events; providing information
Crucial, targeted consultation at the start of each wave- and throughout
Providing tools to allow colleagues to explore the data first-hand (iLSYPE)
Providing analysis
How have LSYPE data been used?
By DCSF:
Annual National Statistics publications: http://www.dcsf.gov.uk/rsgateway/DB/SBU/b000795/index.shtml http://www.dcsf.gov.uk/rsgateway/DB/SBU/b000850/index.shtml
Unpublished analyses:
RPA/NEETs:
Well qualified NEETs
Barriers to re-engagement
EMA eligibility/take-up
Jobs without training
Positive activities
Behavioural problems:
Contact with Educational Welfare, Social Services and the Police
Teenage Pregnancy Strategy Refreshment:
Characteristics of 17 year-old parents
How have LSYPE data been used?
LSYPE research framework agreement and research programme:- Fast and responsive tender process for research- Framework contractors build expertise with LSYPE
So Far: Published
Disengagement from Education among 14-16 year olds
Risky Behaviours & social Activities
Drivers and Barriers to Educational Success
Examination Performance of Ethnic Minority pupils
In the pipeline…..
Bullying
Community Cohesion
Alcohol Use
IAG
Youth crime and anti-social behaviour
Young People from Pakistani ethnic origin are more positive than their peers about the fairness of society
“Britain today is a place where people are usually treated fairly no matter what background they come from”
5
5
6
15
15
14
10
13
13
42
48
53
47
49
57
61
60
62
40
38
31
32
30
25
25
21
21
12
9
9
6
6
4
4
6
4
0 20 40 60 80 100
Black Caribbean
White
Mixed
Black African
Other
Bangladeshi
Indian
Other Asian
Pakistani
Percentage
Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree
Source: LSYPE Wave 5 and YCS 13 sweep 2
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
FTE
Apprenticehips/GST
Job with training
Other Ed/Training
JWT
NEET
Act
ivity
at
16 in
pre
-RP
A w
orld
percentage income eligible for EMA (16 yo, 2006/07)
Raising the Participation Age will have an impact on the volumes eligible for EMA
These young people will need to find appropriate training
Do young people who miss out on level 2 find it significantly more difficult to find a job or training place?
0
10
20
30
40N
one
1 D
-G2
D-G
3 D
-G4
D-G
5 D
-G6
D-G
7 D
-G8
D-G
9 D
-G10
D-G
1 A
*-C
2 A
*-C
3 A
*-C
4 A
*-C
5 A
*-C
6 A
*-C
7 A
*-C
8 A
*-C
9 A
*-C
10 A
*-C
11 A
*-C
12 A
*-C
13 A
*-C
14+
A*-
C
GCSEs and equivalencies
Per
cent
age
NE
ET
NEET at 16
NEET at 17
The future of LSYPE
Cohort aged 19/20, wave 7 interviews are being piloted
Working closely with ESRC and OGDs for the possibility for ESRC to take over management of LSYPE after wave 7 (end 2010)- Subject to Cross-Government funding
Development work for a second cohort (LSYPE2) - subject to Cross-Government funding
Tips for engaging with policy Awareness raising and maintaining is crucial
– Big bang followed by a slow burn– Provide lots of user-friendly information and identify sources of
help
Recognise that engagement requires resource- but it is worth investing in
Keep your eye on the bigger picture
Use analysis as a hook
Make data easily accessible
