lung function in the era of the global lung initiative · 2019-09-10 · z-scores to the rescue...

43
Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative: Changing how we think about lung function Larry C. Lands, MD, PhD Professor of Pediatrics, McGill University Director, Pediatric Respiratory Medicine, MCH-MUHC [email protected]

Upload: others

Post on 14-Jul-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Lung Function in the Era of the

Global Lung Initiative: Changing

how we think about lung function

Larry C. Lands, MD, PhDProfessor of Pediatrics, McGill University

Director, Pediatric Respiratory Medicine, MCH-MUHC

[email protected]

Page 2: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

“Making a clinical diagnosis is an art, where test

results help to confirm or reject the diagnosis.”

Quanjer et al, ERJ 2012

Page 3: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

What is Normal?

Sodium 140 mmol/L

Hemoglobin 180 g/L

FEV1 77% predicted

Page 4: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

FEV1 across Ages

Stanojevic et al, AJRCCM 2009

Males Females

Page 5: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Cross-Age Predictions

FVC

FEV1

FEF25-75

Stanojevic et al, ERJ 2010

Page 6: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

The Bell Curve

Page 7: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Statistical Modeling for the GLI

Lower (Upper) Limit of Normal: LLN (ULN)

Comprises 5% of the population

Modeling based on height2.5

Takes into account variability between individuals

Uses z-scores (based on SD)

Page 8: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Variations Between Individuals

Coefficient of Variation = Standard Deviation/Mean

The SD normalized for its mean value

By tradition, we have assumed a 10% coefficient of

variation, so

2 X CV is ±20%, ie 80-120% considered as

NORMAL

WHAT IF THE CV WAS MORE THAN 10%?

Page 9: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Coefficient of Variation

FVC

FEV1

FEF25-75

Stanojevic et al, ERJ 2010

Page 10: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Z-scores To the Rescue

Z-score combines % predicted and the variation

between individuals “to give a single number that

accounts for age- and height-related lung function

variability expected within comparable healthy

individuals”

LLN of a z-score is -1.64 (lowest 5%)

ULN of a z-score is +1.64 (highest 5%)

Stanojevic et al, ERJ 2010

Page 11: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Going Global

Caucasians African-Americans

North East Asians South East Asians

Quanjer et al, ERJ 2012

Page 12: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Who’s Who?

White: Caucasian

Black: African-American

North-East Asian: North China, Korea

South-East Asia: South China, Thailand, Taiwan

Other: other groups or mixed ethnicity

Page 13: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Going Global-FEV1

Quanjer et al, ERJ 2012

Males Females

Page 14: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Going Global-Accuracy of Input Values

Quanjer et al, ERJ 2012

Entering 160 cm instead of 161 cm for height changes

the predicted value for FEV1 by 1.3%

Age needs to be to 1 decimal point: Using 14 years

instead 14.9 underestimates FEV1 by 4.7%

For a 14 year old male, combining these 2 errors would

result in a 6% difference in predicted value

Page 15: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Going Global-Coefficient of Variation

Quanjer et al, ERJ 2012

Males

Page 16: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Coefficient of Variation

FVC

FEV1

FEF25-75

Stanojevic et al, ERJ 2010

Page 17: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Going Global-5% LLN

Quanjer et al, ERJ 2012

Females

Page 18: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

FEV1/FVC without GLI

Swanney et al, Thorax 2008; Hansen et al, Chest 2007

Page 19: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Problems with Fixed FEV1/FVC

Quanjer et al, ERJ 2012

Page 20: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

FEV1/FVC with GLI

Quanjer et al, ERJ 2012

Males Females

Page 21: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Assessing Obstruction-Do we need FEF25-75?

Quanjer et al, ERJ 2014

% FVC, FEV1, FEV1/FVC

WNL and low FEF25-75

Page 22: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Assessing Obstruction-Do we need FEF25-75?

Lukic and Coates, Ped Pulmonol 2015

Page 23: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Going Global-Comparison with

Other Prediction Equations

Quanjer et al, ERJ 2012

Page 24: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Going Global-Test Interpretation

Quanjer et al, ERJ 2012

Using multiple tests that are physiologically linked and

applying the 5% LLN to each of them has a multiplicative

effect leading to more false positives

Combining FEV1, FVC, FEV1/FVC would give about

10% (10.4-10.6%) abnormal

Using the 2.5% (z-score: -1.96) reduces this to 5.6-

5.8% abnormal

Suggested:

For screening and case finding use -1.96 (2.5%)

For those with prior lung disease, borderline values

more likely to be associated with disease and so use -1.64

(5%)

Page 25: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Going Global-Test Interpretation

Culver et al, AJRCCM, 2017

Page 26: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Example 1

Mild Asthma with BD Response

Page 27: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Example 2

Moderate-severe Cystic Fibrosis

Page 28: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Example 3

Tracheal Rings

Page 29: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Lum S et al. Thorax 2012;67:A18

Copyright © BMJ Publishing Group Ltd & British Thoracic Society. All rights reserved.

UK Validation Study

Page 30: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Changes in Cormic Index (Sitting

Height/Standing Height)

Quanjer et al, Chest 201517 year old women in

Japan

Page 31: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

FEV1

FVC

FEV1/FVC

Lum, PLOS ONE, 2016

South Asian Children

UK South Asian Children

Page 32: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

FEV1

FVC

FEV1/FVC

Lum, PLOS ONE, 2016

South Asian Children (India)

South Asian Children

Centre B: Northern India

Page 33: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Arigliani, AJRCCM, 2017

African-American or

African

Page 34: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Oh, Canada!

Coates, Ann Am Thorac Soc, 2016

Page 35: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Hüls, PLOS ONE, 2016

Germany, Ja!

Page 36: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

GLI May Not Always Apply

Abdullah et al, Respirology 2018

Page 37: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

2003 2010 Δ/year

mean p mean p mean p

Fev1 (ml) Observed 1107.4 2435.9 180.4

Predicted 1123.2 2497.5 188.3

δ -15.8 NS -61.6 * -7.9 *

FVC (ml) Observed 1120.7 2824.1 233.4

Predicted 1216.0 2876.4 227.8

δ -95.2 ** -52.3 ** 5.6 **

FEV1/FVC (%) Observed 96.6 85.5 -1.57

Predicted 92.9 87.1 -0.8

δ 3.7 ** -2.4 ** -0.77 **

FEF25-75 (ml/s) Observed 1621.3 2766.9 152.8

Predicted 1602.6 2955.8 185.2

δ 18.7 NS -269.6 ** -32.3 **

Piccioni, BMC Pulm Med, 2015

Longitudinal Assessment

Page 38: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Piccioni, BMC Pulm Med, 2015

Longitudinal

Assessment

Page 39: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Armspan to Predict Height

Quanjer et al, ERJ 2014

Page 40: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Diffusing Capacity

Cooper et al, Breathe 2017

Page 41: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

GLI DLCO for Caucasians

Compared to values frequently

used in devicesStanojevic et al, ERJ 2017

Page 42: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Ethnicity and Lung Volumes

Kirkby et al, Ped Pulmonol 2013

Page 43: Lung Function in the Era of the Global Lung Initiative · 2019-09-10 · Z-scores To the Rescue Z-score combines % predicted and the variation between individuals “to give a single

Conclusions

• Pulmonary function tests are clinical data with an

expected range of normal

• Generalized equations allows for measurement

across the age span and wider applicability

• More data on other population groups is required

• Using a 5% Lower Limit of Normal (LLN) allows for

more accurate classification of patients