low cost carriers and airline punctuality in europe - atrs 2013

7/27/2019 Low Cost Carriers and Airline Punctuality in Europe - ATRS 2013

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GERMAN AIRPORTPERFORMANCE

GERMAN AVIATIONBENCHMARKING

Contents

1. Introduction and Literature Review2. Data Collection3. Model Description4. Results

5. Conclusions

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Contribution

Provide empirical evidence in favor of a "low-cost externality" for flight delay European picture of the issue, previous empirical works

exclusively focus on U.S. airports where data is readily available(Ater, 2012; Forbes, 2008a and 2008b; Forbes and Lederman,

2010; Forbes et al., 2011; Mazzeo, 2003; Rupp, 2009) Fits into related literature on market concentration and firm

performance.



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Dataset

102 European airports in around 80 cities Period: Daily schedules from April 2011 - December 2012 Sample size 3,486,376 observations: 23,402 flight codes, 3,300

routes, however we collected over 12 mio observations onaround 15,000 different routes

Airline is defined low-cost if it is a member of European LowFares Airline Association (ELFAA) during the sampling period.ELFAA Members (2012) are Blue Air, EasyJet, Flybe, Jet2,Norwegian Air Shuttle, Ryanair, Sverigeflyg, Transavia.com,

Vueling and Wizz Air. Schedules and Weather observations are matched in Universal

time (UTC).



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Distribution of Delays

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0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

- 1 2 0 - -

1 0 6

- 1 0 5 - -

9 1

- 9 0 - -

7 6

- 7 5 - -

6 1

- 6 0 - -

4 6

- 4 5 - -

3 1

- 3 0 - -

1 6

- 1 5 - -

1

0 - 1

4

1 5 - 2

9

3 0 - 4

4

4 5 - 5

9

6 0 - 7

4

7 5 - 8

9

9 0 - 1

0 4

1 0 5 - 1

1 9

1 2 0 - 1

3 4

1 3 5 - 1

4 9

1 5 0 - 1

6 4

1 6 5 - 1

7 9

% o

f t o t a

l f l i g

h t s

Delays

FSC LCC

ATRS Bergamo 28.06.2013 Branko Bubalo


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Model

Delay dat = Xdat + Zdat + da + t + dat ,

where f indices the flight code, d the airport of destination and tthe day of observation.

Delay d: Minutes of delay at the airport of destination Vector X: Variable of interest; LCC share at origin Vector Z: Set of Controls; LCC share at destination, Delay at

origin, Airport congestion, dummy variables for weather

condition, e.g. Foggy, Rainy, Snowy or Thundery. Routecompetition (number of airlines serving the route).

da : Controls for unobservable and immeasurable effects dat : Error term



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GERMAN AVIATION


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Further research

Step up in the crawling and in building a big database. Maybe observe all 200 airports included in the ATRSBenchmarking report for Level-of-Service indicators

Limits are set by computer resources. The crawler could run ondifferent machines, which collect subsamples.

Outlook: Collecting Information on delays, weather and ticketfares.


GERMAN AIRPORT GERMAN AVIATION


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Thank you for your attention!Questions?

Suggestions and Comments are welcome.

Please see our paper published inthe ATRS Proceedings.

[email protected]

[email protected]

www.gap-projekt.de

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low cost carriers and airline punctuality in europe - atrs 2013

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