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Loss of Control Inflight Accident Analysis
2
Global Aviation Accident Analysis
Global Aviation Accident Data 2010 – 2014 A total of:
415 accidents reported during this period: 409 accidents have been assigned an accident category
88 Fatal Accidents
86 accidents have been assigned an accident category 2,541 fatalities
3
Frequency of Total Accidents
4
94 92
75 81
73
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Num
ber o
f Acc
iden
ts
Global Accidents per Year
Source: IATA GADM
Percentage of Total Accidents by Region
5
14%
18%
8%
18%
12%
8%
19%
3%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
22%
24%
AFI
ASPA
C
CIS
EUR
LATA
M
MEN
A
NAM
NAS
IA
Perc
enta
ge o
f Acc
iden
ts
Percentage of Total Accidents by Region
Source: IATA GADM
Frequency of Total Accident by Accident Categories
6
90
72
50
38 34 34 33 26
12 10 9 1
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Runw
ay /
Tax
iway
Exc
ursi
on
Gea
r-up
Lan
ding
/ G
ear C
olla
pse
Gro
und
Dam
age
Loss
of C
ontr
ol In
-flig
ht
Cont
rolle
d Fl
ight
Into
Ter
rain
(CFI
T)
Har
d La
ndin
g
In-fl
ight
Dam
age
Tails
trik
e
Und
ersh
oot
Off
Airp
ort L
andi
ng /
Ditc
hing
Oth
er E
nd S
tate
Mid
-air
Colli
sion
Num
ber o
f Acc
iden
ts
Total Accidents by Category
Source: IATA GADM
Percentage of Global Accident Categories
7
22%
18%
12%
9% 8% 8% 8%
6%
3% 2% 2% 0%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
22%
24%
Runw
ay /
Tax
iway
Exc
ursi
on
Gea
r-up
Lan
ding
/ G
ear C
olla
pse
Gro
und
Dam
age
Loss
of C
ontr
ol In
-flig
ht
Cont
rolle
d Fl
ight
Into
Ter
rain
(CFI
T)
Har
d La
ndin
g
In-fl
ight
Dam
age
Tails
trik
e
Und
ersh
oot
Off
Airp
ort L
andi
ng /
Ditc
hing
Oth
er E
nd S
tate
Mid
-air
Colli
sion
Perc
enta
ge o
f Acc
iden
ts Percentage of Accident Categories
Source: IATA GADM
8
IOSA vs. Non-IOSA Accidents
9
IOSA vs. Non-IOSA Total Accident Rates
2.77 2.63
2.11 2.24 1.92
1.75 1.78
1.06
1.48
1.09
4.73 4.36
3.94
3.53 3.32
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
ACCI
DEN
T RA
TES
PER
MIL
LIO
N S
ECTO
RS
IOSA VS. NON-IOSA REGISTRY ACCIDENT RATE
All Accident Rate IOSA Registry Accident Rate Non-IOSA Registry Accident Rate
Source: IATA GADM
10
Aircraft Propulsion: Jet / Turboprop Hull Loss
Fatal Accidents by Categories
11
Accident Frequency and Survivability
12
13
LOC-I Accident Analysis
Loss of Control Inflight Accidents 2010 - 2014 There were a total of 415 commercial accidents during this period:
38 of these accidents were LOC-I 37 were fatal accidents Resulted in 1,242 out of 2,541 fatalities
14
Frequency of LOC-I Accidents per year
15
LOC-I Accident Rates
16
17
18
19
20
Jet aircraft were involved in 13 accidents
Turboprop aircraft were involved in 25 accidents
21
Aircraft Propulsion: Jet vs. Turboprop
22
Jet/Turboprop LOC-I Fatal Accidents
0.68 opposed to 0.09
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Contributing Factors
Latent Conditions (deficiencies in...) Errors (related to…)
Flight Operations 24% Manual Handling / Flight Controls 29%
Safety Management 24% SOP Adherence / SOP Cross-verification 26%
Flight Ops: Training Systems 18% Intentional 16%
Regulatory Oversight 18% Unintentional 11%
Flight Ops: SOPs & Checking 13% Callouts 8%
Environmental Threats Undesired Aircraft States
Meteorology 37% Vertical / Lateral / Speed Deviation 21%
Icing Conditions 13% Operation Outside Aircraft Limitations 16%
Poor visibility / IMC 13% Unnecessary Weather Penetration 16%
Thunderstorms 13% Unstable Approach 11%
Lack of Visual Reference 11% Abrupt Aircraft Control 5%
Airline Threats Countermeasures
Aircraft Malfunction 37% Overall Crew Performance 32%
Contained Engine Failure/Powerplant Malfunction 24% Contingency Management 16%
Operational Pressure 8% Captain should show leadership 11%
Fire / Smoke (Cockpit/Cabin/Cargo) 5% Leadership 11%
Monitor / Cross-check 11%
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25
Contributing Factors – Latent Conditions
26
Contributing Factors – Environmental and Airline Threats
27
Contributing Factors – Flight Crew Error
28
Contributing Factors – Undesired Aircraft State
29
LOC-I Accidents in MENA
LOC-I Accidents in MENA per Year
30
Contributing Factors in LOC-I: MENA Region
31
Meteorology and Aircraft Malfunction were cited as contributing factors