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Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Jane Hall, Ron Smith

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Page 1: Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Hall.pdf · Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Jane Hall, Ron Smith. Site Relevant Critical

Long-term trends in exceedance

of critical loads for UK SACs

Jane Hall, Ron Smith

Page 2: Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Hall.pdf · Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Jane Hall, Ron Smith. Site Relevant Critical

Site Relevant Critical Loads

HabitatFeatures(1-33)

Acidity CL68% sites

NutN CL69% sites

Acidity CL79% sites

NutN CL87% sites

Acidity CL68% sites

NutN CL88% sites

SSSIs

SPAs

SACs

6875

257

616HabitatFeatures(1-48)

HabitatFeatures(1-27)

Page 3: Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Hall.pdf · Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Jane Hall, Ron Smith. Site Relevant Critical

Example: Migneint SAC

Code Habitat Feature Acidity CL applied EUNIS

code

Nutrient N CL

(kg N ha-1 year-1)

H3130 Oligotrophic lakes None available C1.1 3

H3160 Dystrophic lakes None available C1.4 3

H4010 Wet heath Heath F4.11 10

H4030 Dry heath Heath F4.2 10

H7130 Blanket bog Bog D1 5

H7140 Transition mire/quaking bog Bog D2 10

H7150 Depressions on peat substrate Bog D2 10

H7230 Alkaline fens Not sensitive D4.1 15

H8220 Plants in crevices on acid rocks Montane F2 5

H91A0 Acidic oak woodland Unmanaged wood G1.8 10

S1393 Slender Green Feather Moss Bog D2 10

Page 4: Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Hall.pdf · Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Jane Hall, Ron Smith. Site Relevant Critical

H4010 Acidity CL and exceedance

Aciditycriticalloads

Sulphur andNitrogen deposition

Acidity exceedance

Page 5: Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Hall.pdf · Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Jane Hall, Ron Smith. Site Relevant Critical

H4010 Nutrient N CL and exceedance

Nutrient N critical load Nutrient N exceedanceNitrogen deposition

Page 6: Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Hall.pdf · Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Jane Hall, Ron Smith. Site Relevant Critical

Migneint results by habitat feature

Code Habitat Feature Acidity exceedance

keq ha-1 year-1

Nutrient N exceedance

keq ha-1 year-1 (kg N ha-1 year-1)

Min Max Min Max

H3130 Oligotrophic lakes N/A N/A 0.99 (13.9) 1.49 (20.9)

H3160 Dystrophic lakes N/A N/A 0.99 (13.9) 1.49 (20.9)

H4010 Wet heath Not Exceeded 1.11 0.46 (6.4) 0.99 (13.9)

H4030 Dry heath Not Exceeded 1.11 0.46 (6.4) 0.99 (13.9)

H7130 Blanket bog 0.2 1.18 0.81 (11.3) 1.34 (18.8)

H7140 Transition mire/quaking bog 0.2 1.18 0.46 (6.4) 0.99 (13.9)

H7150 Depressions on peat substrate 0.2 1.18 0.46 (6.4) 0.99 (13.9)

H7230 Alkaline fens N/A N/A 0.1 (1.4) 0.63 (8.8)

H8220 Plants in crevices on acid rocks Not Exceeded 1.43 0.81 (11.3) 1.34 (18.8)

H91A0 Acidic oak woodland Not Exceeded 1.92 1.08 (15.1) 1.68 (23.5)

S1393 Slender Green Feather Moss 0.2 1.18 0.46 (6.4) 0.99 (13.9)

Note: Exceedances calculated assuming each habitat occurs across entire site!

Page 7: Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Hall.pdf · Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Jane Hall, Ron Smith. Site Relevant Critical

Exceedance results summarised by site

Parameter calculated Acidity Nutrient N

Number features with critical loads 8 11

Number features with exceedance of critical loads 8 11

% features with exceedance of critical loads 100% 100%

Site Area (ha) with critical loads 19958 19968

Maximum exceeded area (ha) 19958 19968

% maximum exceeded area 100% 100%

Maximum AE (keq year-1) 15881 28030

Maximum AAE (keq ha-1 year-1) [kg N ha-1 year-1] 0.80 1.40 [19.6]

Example: Migneint SAC

AE = Accumulated ExceedanceAE (keq year-1) = Exceedance (keq ha-1 year-1) * exceeded area (ha)

AAE = Average Accumulated ExceedanceAAE (keq ha-1 year-1) = AE / total habitat area (ha)

Page 8: Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Hall.pdf · Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Jane Hall, Ron Smith. Site Relevant Critical

Exceedance results summarised by country

Example: Wales (SACs)

Parameter calculated Acidity Nutrient N

Number of sites 85 85

Number of sites with critical loads 71 79

Number of sites with exceedance of critical loads for >= 1 feature 67 74

% of sites with exceedance of critical loads for >= 1 feature 94% 94%

Number features with critical loads 298 387

Number features with exceedance of critical loads 256 345

% features with exceedance of critical loads 86% 89%

Site Area (ha) with critical loads 119877 283955

Maximum exceeded area (ha) 106741 174136

% maximum exceeded area 89% 61%

Maximum AE (keq year-1) 95035 168712

Maximum AAE (keq ha-1 year-1)[kg N ha-1 year-1] 0.79 0.59 [8.3]

AE = Accumulated ExceedanceAE (keq year-1) = Exceedance (keq ha-1 year-1) * exceeded area (ha)

AAE = Average Accumulated ExceedanceAAE (keq ha-1 year-1) = AE / total habitat area (ha)

Page 9: Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Hall.pdf · Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Jane Hall, Ron Smith. Site Relevant Critical

SAC Acidity exceedance maps

Maximum AAE per siteNo. features No. exceeded features

Page 10: Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Hall.pdf · Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Jane Hall, Ron Smith. Site Relevant Critical

UK acidity exceedance trends for SACs

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1995-97 1998-2000 1999-2001 2001-03 2002-04 2003-05 2004-06 2005-07 2006-08 2007-09 2008-10 2009-11 2010-12 2011-13 2012-14

AA

E (k

eq/h

a/ye

ar)

per

cen

tage

%sites exceeded %features exceeded MaxAAE

Parameter Results 2012-14 Decline since 1995

% sites with >=1 feature exceeded* 76% 15%

% features exceeded* 69% 17%

Maximum AAE (keq ha-1 year-1)** 0.66 56% (0.85 keq ha-1 year-1)

* Calculated as percentage of sites/features with critical loads** Calculated using total area of sites with critical loads

Page 11: Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Hall.pdf · Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Jane Hall, Ron Smith. Site Relevant Critical

SAC Nutrient N exceedance maps

No. features No. exceeded features Maximum AAE per site

Page 12: Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Hall.pdf · Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Jane Hall, Ron Smith. Site Relevant Critical

UK Nutrient N exceedance trends for SACs

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1995-97 1998-2000 1999-2001 2001-03 2002-04 2003-05 2004-06 2005-07 2006-08 2007-09 2008-10 2009-11 2010-12 2011-13 2012-14

AA

E (k

g N

/ha/

year

)

per

cen

tage

%sites exceeded %features exceeded MaxAAE

Parameter Results 2012-14 Decline since 1995

% sites with >=1 feature exceeded* 90% 5%

% features exceeded* 78% 11%

Maximum AAE (kg N ha-1 year-1)** 9.1 35% (5 kg N ha-1 year-1)

* Calculated as percentage of sites/features with critical loads** Calculated using total area of sites with critical loads

Page 13: Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Hall.pdf · Long-term trends in exceedance of critical loads for UK SACs Jane Hall, Ron Smith. Site Relevant Critical

Conclusions: SRCL exceedances

Exceedance of acidity critical loads:

- significant reductions in number sites/features with exceedance

- in line with reductions in acid deposition since 1995

Exceedance of nutrient nitrogen critical loads:

- smaller reductions in number sites/features with exceedance

- smaller reductions in nitrogen deposition since 1995

Remember: summary results may be “worst-case”:

- “% of sites with at least one feature exceeded”

- critical loads for some features may not be exceeded

- “Maximum AAE” of all features (by site/country)

- AAE for some features may be smaller

Could improve estimates of site areas at risk…

If UK-wide spatial digital data of site habitat cover were available