london oil sands forum 2009 · extensive energy experience with a proven track record of executing...
TRANSCRIPT
This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” including estimates of future plans and operations, cash flows, the estimated amounts and timing of capital expenditures, the assumptions upon which estimates are based and related sensitivity analyses, and other expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, assumptions or statements about future events or performance (often, but not always, using words or phrases such as “expects” or “does not expect”, “is expected”, “anticipates” or “does not anticipate”, “plans”, “estimated” or “intends”, or stating that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved). Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in the statements. Forward-looking statements are based on the estimates and opinions of the Corporation’s management at the time the statements are made.
The Corporation assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements should circumstances or management’s estimates or opinions change.
Disclaimer
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Corporate Overview Investment Summary People Project Portfolio Assets Differentiating Factors
Agenda
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All financial information is in Canadian dollars unless stated otherwise.All references to production, resources and capital expenditures are associated with Sunshine Oilsands Ltd.’s 1,000,640 acres of land (1,563.5 sections).
Sunshine Oilsands Ltd. was established in February 2007 and is a Calgary based company focused on the development of its 1,000,640 acres of oil sands leases in the Athabasca oilsands region
Share Capital Basic shares outstanding 49.0MM Fully diluted shares outstanding 56.6MM
581 shareholders (no shareholder owns greater than 10%) 7.6 million options outstanding Management owns 17% of the basic shares and 26% of the fully diluted shares
Total capital raised to date is $95 million $61.2 million invested to date in land acquisitions
Established a committed $35 million syndicated credit facility Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce $10MM – July/08 Royal Bank of Canada $10MM – July/08 Bank of Montreal $10MM – Sept/08 Alberta Treasury Branch $5MM – Oct/08
22 full time personnel and 10 consultants
Corporate Overview
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Strong Management Team & Board of Directors Extensive energy experience with a proven track record of executing large oil sands projects with companies
that include Rally Energy Corp., Deer Creek Energy Limited, Connacher Oil & Gas Ltd. and Flint Energy Services Ltd.
Key divisional management in place to support all aspects of commercial development
Significant Size and Quality Resource Base 100% ownership of one of the largest oil sands land holdings – 1,000,640 acres (1,563.5 sections), with
the exception of 8 sections in Township 89 GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. evaluation on 392 sections based on 58 core holes estimates 8.9 billion
barrels of Petroleum Initially In Place (PIIP) and 1.3 billion (best case gross lease recoverable resources), 2.4 billion (high case gross lease recoverable resources)
Diverse portfolio of assets held within three distinct business groups – conventional heavy oil, cretaceous sandstones and carbonates
Three Initial Areas Identified for Commercial Development Commercial projects identified in West Ells and Thickwood – West Ells 10,000 bbl/d application to be filed
in Q1 2009 and the Thickwood 10,000 bbl/d application to follow in Q4 2010 Production capacity of 130,000 bbl/d from 50 sections in the West Ells and Thickwood areas Potential conventional heavy oil production at Muskwa by year end 2009 – provides short line of sight to
cash flow
Pure Oil Sands Investment Opportunity with Significant Growth Prospects Pilot in Harper to explore carbonate in situ response and recovery potential Tremendous reserve upside potential through future delineation programs
Investment Summary
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John Kowal, B.Comm., MBA – Co-CEO +20 years experience Previously CFO for Total E&P Canada and Deer Creek Energy
Doug Brown, B.Sc., P.Eng. – Co-CEO and Chief Operating Officer +20 years experience Previously VP of Operations & Engineering with Rally Energy Corp. and VP Corporate Development and Planning with Flint Energy
Services
Tom Rouse, B.Comm., CMA – Chief Financial Officer +20 years experience Previously CFO for Patch International and Great Plains Exploration
Dr. Songbo Cong, PhD, P.Eng. – Vice President, Facilities Engineering +20 years experience Previously Principal Project Engineer with Honeywell International and Aspen Technology
Dan Dugas – Vice President, Field Operations +25 years of experience Previously Operations Supervisor for EnCana, Foster Creek and Amoco BP, Wolf Lake
Jason Hancheruk, RPFT – Vice President, Regulatory, Environmental and Stakeholder Affairs +7 years experience in oil sands regulatory approvals Previously involved in projects for Chevron, Shell, JACOS, Nexen
Gordon Sanders – Vice President, Drilling and Construction +35 years experience in drilling, completions and construction Previously with First Calgary Petroleum, Ecumed, Centurion, Rally Energy, Mobil Oil, HCO Energy, Morgan Hydrocarbons, Ledge
Resources
David Sealock, BA – Vice President, Corporate Operations +20 years experience Previously VP of Corporate Services with MegaWest Energy and management positions with Total E&P Canada and Deer Creek
Energy Al Stark, B.Comm., CGA – Controller
+18 years experience Previously Finance Director for Rally Energy Corp. and VP, Finance with Ziff Energy Group
Management Team
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Michael J. Hibberd, BA, MBA, LLB Co-Chairman of Sunshine Oilsands Ltd. Chairman and Co-CEO of Sunshine Oilsands from February 2007 to October 6, 2008 Chairman of Heritage Oil Corp and Heritage Oil Ltd, and director of six other public companies
Songning Shen, M.Sc., P.Geol Co-Chairman of Sunshine Oilsands Ltd. President and Co-CEO of Sunshine Oilsands from February 2007 to October 6, 2008 Extensive knowledge of Alberta oil sands, former exploration manager with Connacher Oil &
Gas and senior consultant to Koch Canada Exploration Kevin Flaherty, MBA
Chairman and CEO of Celtic Minerals Director of Carpathian Gold Inc., Linear Gold Corp.
Raymond Fong, P.Eng. Director of Stealth Ventures and Abenteuer Resources Corp.
Zhijun Qin, M.Sc. CEO of GPT Group
Mike Seth, BA Sc. President of Seth Consultants Ltd. Previously Chairman of McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd.
Greg Turnbull, BA, LLB Regional Managing Partner (Calgary) with McCarthy Tétrault LLP Director of several public oil and gas companies
Board of Directors
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Project Portfolio
8Time
Prod
uctio
n
Technology: HorizontalAPI: 14-16Steam: NoDiluents: NoPricing: LLB - 5%Depth: 400mOther:
Water flooding at later stages to sustain recovery
4-10% recovery on Primary
30% recovery on Enhanced
Short time line to cash flow
Controllable capital and lifting costs
Conventional Heavy Oil
CretaceousSandstone
Carbonate
Technology: SAGD API: 8-10Steam: YesDiluents: YesPricing: LLB - 5% (Blended)
- 40% (Hot)Depth: 220m-250mOther:
40-50% Recovery
Reliable, Predictable
Reservoir conformance maturing & predisposed to optimization
Technology: CSS or SAGDAPI: 9-12Steam: YesDiluents: YesPricing: LLB - 15% (Blended)
- 50% (Hot)Depth: 550mOther:
Potential 30% Recovery
Knowledge base and emerging technologies growing
Tech
nolo
gy E
volu
tion
Sunshine’s project portfolio falls into three business groupings
Assets
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West Ells
Ells
Harper
Muskwa
Portage/Pelican Lake
Thickwood
GLJ resource estimate (based on only 392 sections and 58 core holes)
• 8.9 Billion PIIP• 2.4 Billion recoverable (high case)• 1.3 Billion recoverable (best case)
1,000,640 Acres (1,563.5 Sections)
• Six (6) Primary Areas• 100% ownership and operatorship
Area participants include Shell, Husky, CNRL, Total, Athabasca, Suncor, Chevron and Imperial
Assets: GLJ Resource Summary
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Area (Contingent + Prospective)
2008 Program# of Core
WellsPIIP
Total (mstb)
Formation
Cretaceous
Type
Carbonate
Gross Lease(mstb)
Best Case
Resources
High Case
Present Value (10%) (Best Case) (MM$) (*)
Present Value (10%) (High Case) (MM$) (*)
Ells 22 2,943,040 2,943,040 711,982 884,223 $1,166 $1,751
Harper 4 2,199,818 280,587 1,919,231 - 536,087 - $542
Thickwood 24 2,070,144 1,828,725 241,419 398,143 572,940 $544 $846
Saleski 4 761,974 320,937 441,037 - 123,129 - $44
East Long Lake 4 162,355 162,355 34,472 69,789 $118 $288
Crew Lake 0 320,982 320,982 - 19,086 - $51
Portage 0 66,870 66,870 - 13,308 - $15
Pelican 0 383,797 383,797 107,008 165,031 $219 $432
Muskwa 0 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Goffer 0 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
TOTAL 58 8,908,980 6,307,293 2,601,687 1,251,605 2,383,593 $2,046 $3,968
Evaluated by GLJ as at April 30, 2008 based on 392 sections and 58 core holes
Does not include recent Ells land purchase estimated to contain 83.4 million bbls best estimate contingent and $210 million NAV10% at July 1/08 GLJ metrics
Does not include any value attribution to conventional heavy oil lands
(*) Before Tax
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Conventional heavy oil production potential in Muskwa and Portage/Pelican Lake project areas
Potential short line of sight to cash flow in 2009 at Muskwa
Evaluations of Muskwa and Portage / Pelican Lake not included in GLJ assessments
Conventional Heavy Oil Projects
Operator EnCana CNRL BroncoProducing Now Now NowDepth (meters) 400 - 500 400 - 500 400 - 500Gravity (API) 14-16 14-16 14-16Process Horizontal Horizontal HorizontalPeak Production (bbl/d) 23,250 35,500 1,935
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
bbls
/day
Forecast - Primary Production
High Case, Management, bbl/d
GLJ High Case, Rate Estimated, bbl/day
Capex $141.3 MillionBarrels 15.2 MillionF&D $9.30
Capex $88.8 MillionBarrels 10.7 MillionF&D $8.30
Capex $84.5 MillionBarrels 5.3 MillionF&D $15.94
Muskwa Primary Production Scenarios
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0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
bbls
/day
Forecast – Primary and Enhanced Production
Oil Production, bbl/d
Primary Development
Project Phase
Estimated Period
Expected Heavy Oil Production(bbl/d)
Cumulative Capital Cost
2010Phase 1 1,800 $31,000,000Phase 2 2011 3,100 $49,000,000Phase 3 2012 3,800 $68,290,000Phase 4 2013 - 2017 4,000 $127,149,000Phase 5 2017 - 2025 1,900 $141,290,000
Enhanced Development
Project Phase
Estimated Period
Expected Heavy Oil Production(bbl/d)
CumulativeCapital Cost
Phase 1 2017 2,900 $111,155,000Phase 2 2018 4,160 $111,655,000Phase 3 2019 4,861 $221,905,000Phase 4 2020 - 2030 5,695 $316,905,000
Phase 5 2031 - 2034 2,000 $318,905,000
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Total Capital for Primary & Enhanced $460,195,000
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Drilling and seismic programs identified in West Ells and Thickwood
West Ells Phase 1-10,000 bbl/d application filed by Q1 2009
Thickwood Phase 1-10,000 bbl/d application filed by Q4 2010
Targeted to realize 130,000 bbl/d upon full development of two commercial areas consisting of 50 sections
Staggered construction phases at each area to manage labour shortages and maximize production efficiencies
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Projects Company Net Pay(m) Porosity Bitumen
Saturation
Reservoir Depth
(m)Facies
West Ells Sunshine 15-22 34% 78% 250 Deltaic Sands
Thickwood Sunshine 12-20 31% 73% 220 Deltaic Sands
Great Divide Connacher 15-21 32% 85% 400 Channel SandsChristina
Lake EnCana 25 35% 81% 400 Channel Sands
Hangingstone Jacos 15-24 33% 80% 350 Channel Sands
Mackay River Petro-Canada 15-35 34% 74% 137 Channel Sands
Joslyn Total 15-25 33% 80% 110 Channel Sands
Ells River Chevron 15-30 33% 78% 220 Deltaic Sands
Dover 1 AOSC 15-24 34% 78% 250 Deltaic Sands
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More than 60% of the world’s oil reserves are held in carbonate reservoirs (1)
Bitumen and heavy oil have been successfully recovered from carbonates around the world
Canada holds the largest global carbonate opportunity
Total resources of 440 Billion PIIP (2)
26.4% of Alberta bitumen is deposited in carbonate reservoirs (3)
Sunshine’s management team was responsible for Rally Energy’s Issaran field start-up, commissioning and operations
Selected Heavy Oil Carbonates ProjectsCountry Canada Oman Egypt SyriaOperator UNOCAL PDO (Shell) Rally TanganyikaProducing 1970's-80's Now Now NowDepth (meters) 200-500 500 200-600 600-1400Gravity (API) 5 - 9 16 10 -12 17 - 19Process Various TAGOGD CSS CSSSteam to Oil Ratio 8x - 14x 4x 4x NAPeak Production (bbl/d) 630 30,000 10,000 TBARecoverable bbls (bnbbl) 38 0.3 0.2 TBA(1) Source: Schlumberger Market Analysis 2007, BP Statistical Review 2007
(2) Alberta Energy and Utilities Board
(3) Alberta Research Council
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$385 million for first 10,000 bbl/d, which includes infrastructure costs $55 million in one time costs dedicated to access road and co-gen
10,000 bbl/d SAGD design 12 well pairs 800 meter horizontal length 100 meter spacing Optimal injection pressure 2000 kpa SOR 3.3 Production rates: 800 bbl/d per well pair Management estimated operating cost of $25.10 per bbl (assumes a natural
gas price of $10.00/mcf)
Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012DBM Application Submission Regulatory ApprovalDetailed EngineeringProcurementShop FabricationSite CivilRoad Alignment with CPP Spur Road LOC Submitted Spur Road LOC Approved, Permits Received Spur Road ConstructionFacility CivilFacility MechanicalFacility ElectricalCommissioning
Two initial project areas encompassing 50 sections West Ells Thickwood
Distance between facilities is 18 miles
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2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
West Ells Phase 1 ApplicationWest Ells Phase 1 Materials and ConstructionWest Ells Phase 1 First Oil Thickwood Phase 1 ApplicationThickwood Phase 1 Materials and ConstructionThickwood Phase 1 First Oil West Ells Phase 2 ApplicationWest Ells Phase 2 Materials and ConstructionWest Ells Phase 2 First Oil Thickwood Phase 2 ApplicationThickwood Phase 2 Materials and ConstructionThickwood Phase 2 First Oil West Ells Phase 3 ApplicationWest Ells Phase 3 Materials and ConstructionWest Ells Phase 3 First Oil Thickwood Phase 3 ApplicationThickwood Phase 3 Materials and ConstructionThickwood Phase 3 First Oil
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Project Phase Estimated First Oil
Expected Bitumen Production(bbl/d)
Capital Expenditures
(Millions)
Initial Cumulative Capital Expenditures
(Millions)West Ells Phase 1 2012 10,000 $385 $385Thickwood Phase 1 2014 10,000 $375 $760West Ells Phase 2 2015 30,000 $620 $1,380Thickwood Phase 2 2017 30,000 $620 $2.000West Ells Phase 3 2018 25,000 $620 $2,620Thickwood Phase 3 2020 25,000 $620 $3,240
Total 130,000 $3,240 $3,240
Capital (M
illions)
Time
Full cycle capital efficiency = $25,000 per bbl/d
$-
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Bbl
s pe
r day
, Ann
ualiz
ed T
herm
al
Thickwood Phase 3
West Ells Phase 3
Thickwood Phase 2
West Ells Phase 2
Thickwood Phase 1
West Ells Phase 1
Cumulative Capital Profile
Engineering BDR
Proven Track Record “Fast and Good” Proven Design Operational Builds
Environmental Millennium Environmental
Management Solutions (MEMS) Sector Leader for Environmental
Approval Applications for oil sands Juniors
Successfully Progressed and Defended Numerous oil sands Recovery Projects
Turnkey Preparation and Delivery
Core Analysis Loring Tarcore Labs Ltd.
Patented core analysis process
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Assets One of the largest land holdings in the Athabasca Region (1,000,640 acres) Portfolio consists of three asset groupings
conventional heavy oil - short line of sight to cash flow Cretaceous - high value, medium term SAGD assets Carbonates - substantial long term value assets
People Proven track record of execution with other successful companies (Rally Energy, Deer Creek,
Connacher, Flint) Divisional leaders in place Proven operations experience with sandstone and carbonate reservoirs
Capital Structure Broad shareholder base No controlling shareholder (all shareholders <10%) Efficient and transparent structure with managed dilution
Resources Tremendous upside potential GLJ evaluations predicated on only 58 core holes resulting in 8.9 billion bbls (PIIP)
Production Growth Large Production potential Potential to realize 130,000 bbls/day production identified on only 50 sections
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Sunshine Oilsands Ltd. Suite 1400, 700-4th Avenue, SWCalgary, Alberta, CanadaT2P 3J4
Tel: +1 (403) 984-1450Fax: +1 (403) 455-7674Doug Brown: +1 (403) 984-1438John Kowal: +1 (403) 984-1439Email: [email protected]
[email protected]: www.sunshineoilsands.com
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