lisbon & porto office market report q2 2019 · 5 u adamastor 4,260 liberty seguros financial...
TRANSCRIPT
Lisbon & Porto
Office Market Report
Q2 2019
PORTUGAL ECONOMIC
OVERVIEW
1
PORTUGAL ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
3
Q2 2019
0.5% QoQ
1.6% YoY
Q4 2017
Q2 2019
6.5% Unemployment
1.00.6% Inflation
Source: Focus Economics
-1,0%
-0,5%
0,0%
0,5%
1,0%
1,5%
2,0%
2,5%
3,0%
3,5%
Q12014
Q22014
Q32014
Q42014
Q12015
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Q42018
Q12019
Q22019
GDP Evolution - Growth Rate
Taxa de crescimento Homóloga YoY Taxa de crescimento em cadeia QoQ
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Q1
200
8
Q2
200
8
Q3
200
8
Q4
200
8
Q1
200
9
Q2
200
9
Q3
200
9
Q4
200
9
Q1
201
0
Q2
201
0
Q3
201
0
Q4
201
0
Q1
201
1
Q2
201
1
Q3
201
1
Q4
201
1
Q1
201
2
Q2
201
2
Q3
201
2
Q4
201
2
Q1
201
3
Q2
201
3
Q3
201
3
Q4
201
3
Q1
201
4
Q2
201
4
Q3
201
4
Q4
201
4
Q1
201
5
Q2
201
5
Q3
201
5
Q4
201
5
Q1
201
6
Q2
201
6
Q3
201
6
Q4
201
6
Q1
201
7
Q2
201
7
Q3
201
7
Q4
201
7
Q1
201
8
Q2
201
8
Q3
201
8
Q4
201
8
Q1
201
9
Q2
201
9
Unemployment and inflation rate
Unemployment Rate Inflation Rate
ECONOMIC TRENDS 2019
4
GDP growth forecast
1.8%
Source: Bank of Portugal
Estimated external demand growth
3.4%
Exports estimated growth
4.7%
Employment expected growth
1.2%
Slight acceleration of wages
Strong acceleration of investment
to a 6.6% change
Maintenance of the relatively strong growth
of tourism exports in the coming years.
LISBON OFFICE MARKET
Q2 2019
2
ZONE MAP– LISBON OFFICE MARKET
6
Lisbon office market is divided in 6 big zones, as
following:
Zone 1 – Prime CBD
Zone 2 – CBD
Zone 3 – Emerging Office Zone
Zone 4 – Secondary Office Zone
Zone 5 – Parque das Nações
Zone 6 – Western Corridor
LPI is the Index used to evaluate the Lisbon Office
Market Performance.
It’s a Real Estate Index that monthly shows the sq
m traded and the correspondent lease values (sq.
m./month) .
Prime CBD (Zone 1) and CBD (Zone 2) represent
the Prime Location in the Lisbon Office Market.
LISBON OFFICE MARKET
7
ZONE 1 - PRIME CBD
N.B.: All offices located outside the main zones are included in the so-called zone 7, which corresponds geographically to all the
areas of Lisbon which are not within zones 1 to 6.
Area: From Av. da Liberdade to the Praça Duque de Saldanha.
Description: The leading zone of Lisbon.
Occupiers: The main area for head offices and back offices in the banking and
insurance sector plus offices of the largest law firms.
ZONE 2 - CBD
Area: Av. da República, Av. Duque de Loulé and the Amoreiras area.
Description: Central and established area of Lisbon.
Occupiers: Service companies and state entities
ZONE 3 – EMERGING ZONE OFFICE
Area: From Campo Grande to the 2nd Circular ring road, the areas of Benfica,
Praça de Espanha and Sete Rios.
Description: Close to the main roads into and around Lisbon.
Occupiers: Head offices and back offices for the banking sector.
ZONE 4 – SECONDARY ZONE
Area: From Av. Infante Santo to the Av. 24 de Julho.
Description: Riverside and historic area of Lisbon.
Occupiers: Small businesses in various sectors.
ZONE 5 – PARQUE DAS NAÇÕES
Area: Parque das Nações.
Description: The most recently developed area of Lisbon with excellent transport
and other facilities.
Occupiers: HQs of multi national companies and state services.
ZONE 6 – WESTERN CORRIDOR
Area: Along the A5 motorway, up to Porto Salvo and Alfragide.
Description: A zone on the periphery of Lisbon along the motorway to Cascais.
Supply is generally in office parks.
Occupiers: HQs of multi national and IT companies.
8
Source: Savills Research
LISBON OFFICE MARKET- Q2 2019
68,290 sq.m.
Consultants
and Lawyers
18,841 sq.m.
Relocation
45%
Take-upMost Dynamic
Business Sector
Best Performing
Zone
Prime Zone
21,565 sq.m.
Q1 2019 vs Q2 2019
(% variation)
63%
Reason for Letting
21,565
sq.m.
5,500
sq.m.
14,817
sq.m.
0
sq.m.
Zone 1
Prime CBD
Zone 2
CBD
Zone 3
Emerging
Zone
Zone 4
Secondary
Office Zone
7,002
sq.m.
Zone 5
Parque das
Nações
14,908
sq.m.
Zone 6
Western
Corridor
4,498
sq.m.
Zone 7
Other Zones
3,372 sq.m. 9,340 sq.m. 6,521 sq.m. 19,838 sq.m. 2,708 sq.m.
68,290 sq.m.
54
NR TRANSACTIONS
MARKET TOTAL
TAKE - UP
MARKET TOTAL
LISBON OFFICE MARKET- Q2 2019
Source: Savills Research
Q1
201
9
Q1
201
9
Q1
201
9
Q1
201
9
0 sq.m.
Q1
201
9
Q1
201
9
Q1
201
9
0 sq.m.
10
Source: Savills Research
LISBON OFFICE MARKET- Q2 2019
21
14
3 3
1 1
19
14
9
45
3
0
5
10
15
20
25
Until 300 sq.m. 301 - 800 sq.m. 801 - 1.500 sq.m. 1.501 - 3.000sq.m.
3.001 - 5.000sq.m.
> 5.000 sq.m.
Nº
deals
Number of deals by interval area
Q1 2019 Q2 2019
30%
61%
9%
Reasons for letting (% GLA)
Expansion of area
Relocation
New company in Lisbon
11
Source: Savills Research
LISBON OFFICE MARKET- Q2 2019
43
01
24
21
75
3
53
5 13
85
82
39
18
84
1
48
11
33
9
22
24
3
11
34
10
67
69
53
24
9
20
02
0
57
65
95
76
0
3 000
6 000
9 000
12 000
15 000
18 000
21 000
24 000
sq.m
.
Take-up by Business Sector
Q1 2019 Q2 2019
12
TOP 10 – Deals Done Q2 2019
Source: Savills Research
Market Zone New/Use Building GLA Tenant Business Sector Demand Reason
1 N Av. Fontes Pereira de Melo 41 9,950 KPMG Consultants and Lawyers Relocation
1 N Av. Fontes Pereira de Melo 41 6,950 PLMJ Consultants and Lawyers Relocation
3 U Open 5,471 Teleperformance Portugal Business Services Expansion of area
5 U Adamastor 4,260 Liberty Seguros Financial Services Relocation
7 U EUA 43 4,246 Conectys Business Services New business in Lisbon
6 U Arquiparque I, 4 4,193 Sociedade Portuguesa do Ar Líquido, S.A. Other Services Expansion of area
3 U Malhoa 19 3,215 Sitel TMT's & Utilities Relocation
6 U Q61 - Dona Amélia 3,069 Efacec Business Services Relocation
3 U Espaço Sete Rios - Twin Towers 2,102 EDP Distribuição Business Services Expansion of area
3 U José Malhoa, 22 1,934 KW Consultants and Lawyers Relocation
LISBON OFFICE MARKET- Q2 2019
LISBON OFFICE MARKET – Q2 2019
13
Source: Savills Research
Building ZoneArea
[sq.m.]Occ% Conclusion
António Pedro, 111 7 4,897 100% Q3 2018
Infante Dom Henrique, 342 5 8,000 100% Q2 2018
Camilo Castelo Branco, 36 - 44 1 3,312 100% Q2 2018
Espaço Sete Rios - Twin Towers 3 6,000 40% Q4 2018
Edifício LACS 4 4,000 100% Q2 2018
Beato 1904 7 2,001 100% Q2 2018
Marquês de Pombal 14 (AXA) 1 5,230 100% Q1 2018
Cinema Quarteto 2 1,048 0% Q2 2018
FPM 41 1 18,538 100% Q1 2019
TOTAL 53,026 sq.m.
NEW SUPPLY Q1 2019: 18,538 sq.m.
STOCK 2019 = 4,272,488 sq.m.
Zone2015
[sq.m.]
2016
[sq.m.]
2017
[sq.m.]
2018
[sq.m.]
Q1 2019
[sq.m.]
Q2 2019
[sq.m.]
Prime CBD 597,767 597,767 595,139 552,918 553,112 571,650
CBD 1,096,077 1,096,077 1,096,077 932,622 940,640 940,640
Emerging Zone 491,247 502,350 501,738 513,850 543,947 548,246
Secondary Zone 390,225 387,804 418,536 343,472 360,315 360,315
Parque das Nações 359,149 359,149 361,389 414,618 417,118 417,118
Western Corridor 909,036 916,250 916,250 934,946 965,469 965,469
Zone 7 768,003 778,524 778,524 463,173 469,050 469,050
TOTAL 4,611,504 4,637,921 4,667,653 4,155,599 4,249,651 4,272,488
Lisbon Office Stock Concluded Supply 2018 | Q1 2019
14
LISBON OFFICE MARKET – Q2 2019
Source: Savills Research
Pipeline confirmed
Building Conclusion date Market Zone GLA (sq.m) Pre-Let In negotiation
Fontes Pereira de Melo, 41 Q2 2019 1 18,538 14,400
Castilho, 213 Q3 2019 1 1,869
Defensores de Chaves, 4 Q3 2019 2 4,576
Quinta da Alagoa E2 e E3 Q3 2019 6 6,525
Quinta da Alagoa E4 Q4 2019 6 2,850
República, Paço do Saldanha Q4 2019 2 6,100
HUB Creativo do Beato 2020 7 11,000
Metropolis 2020 3 15,000 15,000
Monumental 2020 2 18,000
Galerias RITZ Q2 2020 1 2,300
EXEO – Fase 1 2021 5 30,000 8,500
BNP Paribas - Alcântara 2021 4 37,000 37,000
K Tower Q2 2021 5 15,000 7,000
AGEAS Headquarters Q3 2021 5 17,400 17,400
Carnaxide Tower 2021 6 13,770
TOTAL 199,928 83,800 15,500
Pipeline to be confirmed (project phase)
Building Conclusion date Market Zone GLA(sq.m) Pre-Let In negotiation
3ª Torre Colombo 2021 (to be confirmed) 3 30,000
EXEO – Phase 2 To be defined 5 38,000
Entrecampos To be defined 2 148,480
Metropolis To be defined 3 30,000
Amoreiras Prime To be defined 2 55,053
Former Fábrica Barros To be defined 5 30,000 30,000
HQ Jerónimo Martins Project Phase - Date conclusion to be defined 3 22,000 22,000
Offices Braço de Prata Project To be defined 7 7,000
TOTAL 360,533 52,000
LISBON OFFICE MARKET – Q2 2019
15
Source: Savills Research
9,0
1%
9,5
0%
13
,92
%
6,1
2%
5,8
2%
23
,42
%
11
,66
%
6,2
0%
8,5
8% 9,8
1%
6,0
4%
5,0
5%
23
,51
%
10
,38
%
6,2
3%
7,9
9%
8,5
7%
7,1
2%
3,0
8%
21
,89
%
9,6
7%
4,5
0%
6,9
5%
6,1
2%
5,0
7%
2,4
2%
18
,99
%
8,1
0%
3,6
6%
0,0
33
3,8
3%
0,3
5%
0,0
14
12
,08
%
5,2
3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Prime zone CBD Zone Emerging Zone Secondary Zone Parque das Nações Western Corridor Global Market
%
Vacancy rate by market zone
1º half 2015 1º half 2016 1º half 2017 1º half 2018 1º half 2019
16
Source: Savills Research
LISBON OFFICE MARKET- Q2 2019
€1
9,0
0
€1
5,8
0
€1
5,0
0
€1
1,0
0
€1
6,0
0
€1
2,5
0
€2
0,5
0
€1
7,0
0
€1
6,0
0
€1
5,4
7 €1
7,0
0
€1
3,5
0
€2
1,0
0
€1
7,0
0
€1
4,0
0 €1
6,0
0
€1
7,0
0
€1
3.5
0
€2
2,0
0
€1
8,0
0
€1
6,0
0
€1
6,0
0 €1
8,0
0
€1
4,5
0
€2
2,0
0
€1
8,0
0
€1
8,0
0
€1
6,0
0 €1
8,0
0
€1
4,5
0
0,00 €
5,00 €
10,00 €
15,00 €
20,00 €
25,00 €
Prime Zone CBD Zone Emerging Zone Secondary Zone Parque das Nações Western Corridor
€/s
q.m
./m
month
Prime rents by market zone
2016 2017 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019
PORTO OFFICE MARKET
Q1 2019
3
PORTO OFFICE MARKET– Q2 2019
18
Source: Savills Research
* Gross floor area
Take-up Q1 2019: 3,775 sq.m.
Nº deals: 13
Average GLA (quarter): 290 sq.m.
Take-up Q2 2019: 10,665 sq.m.
Nº deals: 16
Average GLA (quarter): 666 sq.m.
Q1 2019 – Main transactions Q2 2019 – Main transactions
BuildingGLA
(sq.m.)Tenant Reason for letting
R. Tenente Valadim 956* Gabinete Advogados Relocation
Torre das Antas 559 MEO | ALTICE New project
Boavista II 467 Grant Thornton & Assoc. New offices
Prévoir 406 Crédito Agrícola Relocation
BuildingGLA
(sq.m.)Tenant Reason for letting
R. Delfim Ferreira 8,132 Fair Journey Biologics Expansion
A&A – Av. Méneres 4,000 Revolut New offices
Torre do Foco 1,500 Ipoges Iberia New offices
Urbo 1,157 Enolis Expansion
19
Source: Savills Research
Market ZonesPrime Rents (€/sq.m./month)
Q2 2019
CBD €18.00
Baixa €17.00
ZEP – Zona Empresarial do Porto €14.00
Oriental €13.00
Matosinhos €14.00
Maia €13.00
Gaia €13.00
Future Supply - PIPELINE
Pipeline: > 150.000 sq.m.
PORTO OFFICE MARKET– Q2 2019
Building GLA (sq.m.) Conclusion date
Porto Business Plaza * 15,500 2020
Urbo Business Center 16,100 2019
Porto Office Park ( POP) 31,000 2019
Palácio dos Correios 16,800 2019
Expansão do Centro Empresarial da Lionesa* 45,000 After 2020
Projeto ICON Offices 24,000 After 2020
Boavista Office Center * 8,000 2019
Edifício Sonae - Maia Business Center ( Sede) 7,000 2019
* Expansion | Requalification | Renovation
Thank youFrom the team here at Savills Portugal
Praça Marquês de Pombal 16, 7º
1250-163 Lisboa
+351 21 313 9000
Praça Mouzinho de Albuquerque 113, 3º
4100-359 Porto
+351 22 120 1387
savills.pt