lipids and cardiovascular disease prevention epidemiology clinical trials evidence dietary and...
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Lipids and Cardiovascular Disease Prevention
•Epidemiology
•Clinical Trials Evidence
•Dietary and Pharmacologic Management
Nathan Wong
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
(2.60) (3.25)(3.90)(4.50) (5.15) (5.80)(6.45) (7.10) (7.75) (8.40)(9.05)
Cholesterol and CHD: Seven Countries Study
TC mg/dL (mmol/L)
CHDmortality rates
(%)
Verschuren WMM et al. JAMA. 1995;274:131-136.
100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 325 350
Northern EuropeUnited StatesSouthern Europe, InlandSouthern Europe, MediterraneanSiberiaJapan
Effects of Increasing TC Levels on the Risk for CHD in the Presence of Other Risk Factors
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
185 210 235 260 285 310 335
Low HDL
Smoking
Hyperglycemia
Hypertension
No Other Risk Factors
Schaefer EJ, adapted from the Framingham Heart Study
CH
D R
isk
Per
100
0 (i
n 6
yea
rs)
Serum Cholesterol (mg/dL)
Total Cholesterol Distribution: CHD vs Non-CHD Population
Adapted from Castelli WP. Atherosclerosis. 1996;124(suppl):S1-S9.
35% of CHD 35% of CHD Occurs in Occurs in People with People with TC<200 mg/dLTC<200 mg/dL
150 200
Total Cholesterol (mg/dL)
250 300
No CHD
CHD
Framingham Heart Study—26-Year Follow-up
HDL-C Distribution in US Adults
RF = risk factorsData from NHANES III, 1988–1994
HDL-C (mg/dL)
< 35 35–< 45 45–< 60 60CHD
02468
10
121416
2 RF, no CHD
No. o
f US
adul
ts (m
illion
s)
CHD Risk According to HDL-C LevelsFramingham Study
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
25 45 65HDL-C (mg/dL)
CH
D r
isk
rati
o
Kannel WB. Am J Cardiol 1983;52:9B–12B
2.0
1.0
0
4.0
Wine Consumption and CHDCHD = -4.99W + 652.4
r = -0.580
0 20 40 60 80 100
Finland
U.S.Australia
New ZealandIrelandU.K.
CanadaDenmarkNorway
Sweden
NetherlandsW. Germany Belgium Austria
Japan
Switzerland Italy
France
Wine, liter/capita-year
Mortality rate
1000
800
600
400
200
CHD Risk According to HDL-C LevelsProspective Cardiovascular Münster Study
110
3021
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
< 35 35–55 > 55
Inci
den
cep
er
1,0
00
(in
6 y
ears
)
HDL-C (mg/dL)
Assmann G, ed. Lipid Metabolism Disorders and Coronary Heart Disease. Munich: MMV Medizin Verlag, 1993
186 events in 4,407 men (aged 40–65 y)
Low HDL-C Levels Increase CHD Risk Even When Total-C Is Normal
Risk of CHD by HDL-C and Total-C levels; aged 48–83 yCastelli WP et al. JAMA 1986;256:2835–2838
02468
101214
< 40 40–49 50–59 60< 200
230–259200–229
260
HDL-C (mg/dL) Tota
l-C (m
g/dL
)
14
-y in
cid
en
ce
rate
s (%
) fo
r C
HD
11.24
11.91
12.50
11.91
6.56
4.67
9.05
5.53
4.85
4.153.77
2.782.06
3.83
10.7
6.6
Hypertriglyceridemia Increases CHD Risk in Patients with Low HDL-C Levels
Prospective Cardiovascular Munster Study
* Bar represents 5% of subjects in which 25% of CHD events occurred.
24 31
116
245
0
50
100
150
200
250
5.0 > 5.0
*
LDL-C/HDL-C ratio
Inci
den
cep
er
1,0
00
(in
6 y
ears
)TG < 200 mg/dL
TG 200 mg/dL
Distribution of HDL-C Levels in Men With CHD
VA-HIT Study Group
HDL-C level Whites Blacks All subjects (mg/dL) (n = 2,891) (n = 572) (n = 8,578)
< 35 42% 20% 38%
35–40 25% 23% 25%
> 40 32% 57% 36%
Rubins HB et al. Am J Cardiol 1995;75:1196–1201
}63%
CHD Incidence Related to HDL-C Levels in Various Trials
% c
han
ge in r
isk
per
1
mg
/dL
incr
em
en
t in
HD
L-C
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
FHSLRCF
CPPTMRFIT
FHSLRCF
CHD incidence
Men Women
Population, Gender, and Ethnic Variability in HDL-C Levels
Mean HDL-C level (mg/dL)
Population Men Women
United States (NHANES III)1
Whites 44 54
African-Americans
51 55
Turkey (Turkish Heart Study)2
37 42
1. NHANES III, 1988–1994 (unpublished data)2. Mahley RW et al. J Lipid Res 1995;36:839–859
Ethnic Variations in Lipid Parameters
Insulin Resistance Atherosclerosis Study African- Non-HispanicAmericans Hispanics Whites P value
n 462 (27%) 546 (34%) 612 (38%) < 0.001
Total-C (mg/dL) 212.5 211.1 213.2 0.782
LDL-C (mg/dL) 143.8 139.4 140.7 0.410
HDL-C (mg/dL) 47.0 42.3 44.0 < 0.001
TG (mg/dL) 102.1 147.7 134.0 < 0.001
Haffner SM et al. Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 1999;19:2234–2240.
Lp(a) in Atherogenesis: Another Culprit?
• Identical to LDL particle except for addition of apo(a)
• Plasma concentration predictive of atherosclerotic disease in many epidemiologic studies, although not all
• Accumulates in atherosclerotic plaque
• Binds apo B-containing lipoproteins and proteoglycans
• Taken up by foam cell precursors
• May interfere with thrombolysis
Lp(a): An Independent CHD Risk Factor in Men of the Framingham Offspring Cohort
RR=relative risk; HT=hypertension; GI=glucose intolerance.
Bostom AG et al. JAMA. 1996;276:544-548.
1.9 1.8 1.81.2
2.73.6
RR
0.1
1
10
2
5
0.2
0.5 Lp(a) TC HDL-C HT GISmoking
Lipid Management:Clinical Trial Data
Effect of Lifestyle Changeson Angiographic CAD
Study N Patient type Therapy
Duration
(yr)
% (Control-Treatment)
Progression Regression
Lifestyle 28 CAD Diet, exercise,meditation
1 35 -40
STARS 90 CAD, high TC Diet (including fiber)
3.2 35 -38
Heidelberg 113 CAD Diet + exercise 1 25 -15
Superko HR, Krauss RM. Circulation . 1994;90:1056-1069.
-9
-47
-9
-20
-14
-23
-8.5
-19
-11
-34
-50
-45
-40
-35
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
%+
* Net difference between treatment and control groups (P values are for events).
TC * CHD events *
N=number enrolled.
Early Primary-Prevention Trials: Overview
WHO: ClofibrateN=15,745, P<0.05
Oslo: Diet/smoking cessation N=1,232, P=0.02
Upjohn: ColestipolN=2,278, P0.02
LRC-CPPT: CholestyramineN=3,806, P<0.05
HHS: Gemfibrozil N=4,081, P<0.02
Early Secondary-Prevention Trials: Overview
* Net difference between treatment and control groups (P values are for events).
N=number enrolled; ns=not significant.
-6-9-10
-13-13
-29
-23
-35
-50
-45
-40
-35
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0TC * CHD events *
CDP: Niacin (n=1,119)N=8,341, P=ns
CDP: Clofibrate (n=1,103)N=8,341, P=ns
Stockholm: Clofibrate + niacinN=555, P=ns
POSCH: Partial ileal bypassN=838, P<0.001
%+
-20
-26
5
-31-33
-22-25
-35
8
-34
-42
-30
-20
-28
5
-24
-20
-9
-45
-40
-35
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
WOSCOPS (N=6,595) 4S (N=4,444) CARE (N=4,159)
N=number enrolled.
TC LDL-C
HDL-C
1o prevention
2o prevention
2o prevention
Summary of Effects of Lipid Lowering on Lipids and Clinical Events in Recent Statin
TrialsNonfatal MI/CHD death
CHD death
All-cause mortality
%+
-20
-26
5
-33
-22
-31*-35
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
Shepherd J et al. N Engl J Med. 1995;333:1301-1307.
* P<0.0005.† P=0.042.‡ P=0.051.
†
TC LDL-C
HDL-C
Nonfatal MI/CHD death
CHD death
All-cause mortality
WOSCOPS: Effects of Lipid Lowering on Coronary Events in Primary Prevention Trial in Men
‡
%+
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
170 182 190 200 220
Baseline LDL-C (mg/dL)
PlaceboPravastatin
5-year
event rate
(per 100)
WOSCOPS Group. Circulation. 1998;97:1440-1445.
WOSCOPS: Relation of Baseline LDL-C to Event Rate
4S Group. Lancet. 1994;344:1383-1389.
*P<0.00001.†95% CI: -27 to -54. ‡P=0.003.
4S: Effect of LDL-C Lowering on Coronary Events in Secondary Prevention Trial
-25
-35
8
-42 †
-30 ‡
-34
-45
-40
-35-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-50
5
10
TC LDL-C
HDL-C
Nonfatal MI/CHD death
CHD death
All-cause mortality
%+
*
4S: Effects of Cholesterol Lowering on Noncoronary Ischemic Symptoms and Angina
Fra
ctio
n o
f p
ati
en
tsF
ract
ion
of
pa
tie
nts
0.0000.0050.0100.0150.0200.0250.0300.0350.0400.045
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66 72Months Months
MonthsMonths
0.0000.0050.0100.0150.0200.025
0 6 1218 243036 4248 5460 6672
0.000.050.100.150.200.250.300.350.40
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66 720.000.010.020.030.040.050.06
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66 72
SimvastatinPlacebo
Intermittent Claudication Carotid Bruit
Angina Cerebrovascular Events
19.1
14.515.9
12.9
8.59.9
0
10
20
30
40Placebo (n=503)
Simvastatin (n=518)
Totalmortality
Coronarymortality
Revascularization
Percent of
patients
P=0.009 P=0.003 P=0.003
4S: Lipid Lowering Reduces CHD Event Rates in 65-Year-Old Subjects
-35 -34 -34 -31
-88-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
Cost of simvastatin
therapyLDL-C
Hospital days
Major CHD events
Hospital costs
*P<0.0001.†Translates to savings of $3,872/patient.‡Translates to cost of $0.28/day.
* †
LDL-C CHD events Admissions Net cost of therapy
‡
4S: Clinical and Economic Benefits of Treatment Over 5-Yr Period
%
+
LIPID: Effect of Lipid Lowering on Lipid Values and Coronary Events in CHD Patients With Average
Cholesterol
LIPID Study Group. N Engl J Med. 1998;339:1349-1357.
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
TC LDL-C
NonfatalMI/CHDdeath
CHDdeath
All-causemortality
HDL-C
-18
-25 -24* -24*-22*
5
*P<0.001
LIPID: Reduction in Nonfatal MI and CHD Death Risk Stratified by Age at Baseline
-32
-20
-28
-15
40
30
20
10
0
Age
<55 55-64 65-69 70
LIPID Study Group. N Engl J Med. 1998;339:1349-1357.
%