lecture 1 fsa
TRANSCRIPT
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Business Analysis Using
Financial StatementsLecture one
Suborna BaruaUnited International University
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Learning Objectives
1. Explain business analysis and its relation
to financial statement analysis
2. Identify and discuss different types ofbusiness analysis
3. Describe the component analysis
4. Learn the sources of financial information5. Accounting system features
6. Company reporting strategy
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Introduction to Business Analysis
Evaluation Prospects Evaluation Risk
Business Decision Makers
Equity InvestorsCreditors
Managers
Merger and Acquisition Analysis
External Auditors
Directors
Regulators
Employees and Unions
Business analysis is the evaluation of a companys prospects
& risks for the purpose of making business decision
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Introduction to financial statement analysis
Financial statement analysis is the process of
analyzing financial information to predict the
future financial performance and condition
An important part of business analysis
Provide a systematic and effective statement
analysis
Reliable inferences are drawn about a companyprospects and risks
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Types of
Business
Analysis
Credit Analysis Equity Analysis
Management &
Control
Mergers, Acquisitions
& Divestitures
Director OversightRegulation
External Auditing
Labor Negotiations
FinancialManagement
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Credit Analysis
LiquidityAbility to meet short-
term obligations
Focus:
Current Financialconditions
Current cash flows
Liquidity of assets
SolvencyAbility to meet long-
term obligations
Focus:
Long-term financialconditions
Long-term cash flows
Extended profitability
Credit worthiness: Ability to honor credit obligations(downside risk)
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Equity Analysis
Passive Investing
(beta strategies)
Aim:
Diversification
based on risk
propensity &
investment horizon
Example: Indexing
Active Investing(alpha strategies)
Aim:
Beat the market --earn above normalstock returns
Examples: Technical
analysis & Fundamental
analysis
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Intrinsic Value
(or Fundamental Value)
Intrinsic value > Market value Buy
Intrinsic value < Market value SellIntrinsic value = Market value Hold
Value of Company (or stock) without
reference to market value (or stock price)
Strat
egy
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Management and Control
jManagers are hired by a companys owners
to manage its business activities
jManagers make operating and financingdecision based on business analysis
jManagers monitor and control company
activities through the process of business
analysis
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Accounting Analysis
Comparability problems across firms and across time
Manager estimation error
Distortion problems Earnings management
Distortion of business
Accounting
Risk
Process to evaluate and adjust financial
statements to better reflect economic reality
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Strategy Analysis
The purpose of Business Strategy Analysis
Identify key profit drives and business risks
Assess companys profit potential at aqualitative level
Strategy Analysis involves
Industry analysis
Competitive strategy
Corporate strategy analysis
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Industry Analysis
Analyzing a firms profit potential must first assessindustry profitability. It includes:
Degree of actual and potential competition
(1) Rivalry among existing firms(2) Threat of new entrants
(3) Threat of substitute products
Bargaining power in input and output markets
(1) Bargaining power of buyers
(2) Bargaining power of suppliers
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Competitive strategy analysis
Competitive strategy analysis is the evaluation of a
companys decisions and success at establishing a
competitive advantages
Cost leadership: supply same product and serviceat the lower cost
Differentiation: supply a unique product or service
at a cost lower than the price premium customerswill pay
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Corporate strategy analysis
Involves examining whether a company is
able to create value in multiple businesses
A well-crafted corporate strategy reducescosts or increase revenues from running
several businesses in one firm.
Cost saving or revenue increases come from
specialized resources that the firm has to
exploit synergies across these businesses
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Prospective
AnalysisAccounting
Analysis
Business
Environment &Strategy Analysis
Industry
Analysis
Strategy
Analysis
Financial
Analysis
Analysisof Sources
&Uses of
FundsProfitability
Analysis
Risk
Analysis
Cost of Capital Estimate Intrinsic Value
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Financial Analysis
Profitability analysisEvaluate returnon investments
Risk analysis Evaluate riskiness
& creditworthiness
Sources and uses Evaluate source &
of funds analysis deployment of funds
Common tools
Ratioanalysis
Cashflow
analysis
Process to evaluate financial position and
performance using financial statements
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Prospective Analysis
Intrinsic Value
Business Environment
& Strategy Analysis
Accounting Analysis
Financial Analysis
Process to forecast future payoffs
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Sources of financial information
j Principle financial statements
The balance sheet
The income statement
The statement of cash flow
The statement of stockholders equity
Notes to the financial statements
Auditors report Management discussion and analysis
Other data sources
Chairpersons letter, Finance press, Web sites,
Industry statistics, Economic indicators.
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KodakDec 31, 1998 (In millions, except per share data)
Liabilities andAssets Shareholders EquityCurrent Assets
Current LiabilitiesCash and cash equivalents $ 457Payables $ 3,906
Marketable securities 43Short-term borrowings 1,518
Receivables 2,527Taxes - income and other 593
Inventories 1,424Dividends payable 142
Deferred income tax charges 855Deferred income tax credits 19
Other 293Total current liabilities 6,178Total current assets 5,599
OtherLiabilitiesProperties
Long-term borrowings 504Land, buildings and equipment at cost 13,482Post-employment liabilities 2,962
Less: Accumulated depreciation 7,568Other long-term liabilities 1,032
Net properties 5,914Deferred income tax credits 69
Other AssetsTotal liabilities 10,745Goodwill (net of accumulated
amortization of $534) 1,232 Shareholders' EquityLong-term receivables andother non-current assets 1,705 Common stock, par value $2.50 per share,
Deferred income tax charges 950,000,000 shares authorized; issued
Total Assets391,292,760 shares
Additional paid in capital
978
Retained earnings
902
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
6,163
(111)
Treasury stock, as cost, 68,494,402 shares
7,932
Total shareholders' equity
3,944
Total liabilities and equity
3,988
$ 14,733
283
$ 14,733
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Balance Sheet
Total Investing = Total Financing
= Creditor Financing + Owner Financing
Kodak Financing
$14,733 = $10,745 + $3,988
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Income StatementKodak
For Year Ended Dec. 31, 1998 (In millions, except per share data)
Sales $13,406Cost of goodssold 7,293
Gross profit 6,113Selling, generaland administrativeexpenses 3,303Research and development costs 880
Purchased research and development 42Restructuring costsand asset impairments -
EARNINGS FROM OPERATIONS 1,888
Interestexpense 110
Other income (charges) 328Earnings before incometaxes 2,106
Provision for incometaxes 716Earnings from continuing operations 1,390Gain on sale of discontinued operations -
NET EARNINGS $
1,390
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Statement of Shareholders EquityKodak
For year ended Dec. 31, 1998
Accumulated
Additional Other
Common Pail In Retained Comprehensive Treasury
(In millions, except number ofshares) Stock Capital Earnings Income (Loss) Stock Total
Shareholders Equity Dec 31, 1997 978 914 5,343 (202) (3,872) 3,161
Netearnings - - 1,390 - - 1,390
Other comprehensive income (loss):Unrealized holding gainsarising during
period ($122 million pre-tax) - - - - - 80
Reclassification adjustment for gains includedin netearnings ($66 million pre-tax) - - - - - (44)
Currency translation adjustment - - - - - 59
Minimum pension liability adjustment($7 million pre-tax) - - - - - (4)
Other comprehensive income - - - 91 - 91
Comprehensive income - - - - - 1,481
Cash dividends declared - - (570) - - (570)
Treasury stock repurchased (3,541,295 shares) - - - - (258) (258)
Treasury stock issued underemployee plans
(3,272,713 shares) - (58) - - 186 128
Tax reductions- employee plans - 46 - - - 46
Shareholders Equity Dec 31, 1998 $978 $902 $6,163 ($111) ($3,944) $3,988
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Statement of Cash Flows
Cash flows from operating activities:
Earnings from continuing operations $ 1,390Adjustmentsto reconcileto net cash provided by operating activities:Depreciation and amortizationPurchased research and developmentProvisions (benefit) for deferred incometaxes(Gain)loss on sale/retirement ofassets(Increase) decrease in receivables (1)(Increase) decrease in inventories(Decrease) increase in liabilitiesexcluding borrowings (516)Other items, net (278)
Totaladjustments 931,483
Cash flow from Investing activities:Additionsto properties
(1,108)Proceeds from sale ofassetsCash flows related to sales of businesses (59)
Acquisitions, net of cash acquired (949)Marketablesecurities- sales 162Marketablesecurities- purchases (182)
Net cash used in investing activities (1,839)Cash flows from financing activities:Net increase (decrease) in borrowings with original maturities of 90 days orless 894Proceeds from other borrowings 1,133Repayment of other borrowings (1,251)
Dividendsto shareholders (569)Exercise ofemployeestock options 128Stock repurchase programs (258)Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities 77
Effect ofexchange rate changes on cash 8
Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents (271)
KodakFor year Ended Dec. 31, 1998 (In millions)
Net cash provided by operating activities
(166)
42853
202
(43)
297
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Financial
Statement Links -
Kodak
Statement of Cash Flows
for Year Ended Dec. 31, 1998
Operating Cash flows $ 1,483
Investing Cash flows (1,839)
Financing Cash flows 77
Exchange rate changes on cash 8
Net Change in Cash $ (271)
Cash Balance, Dec. 31, 1997 728Cash Balance, Dec. 31, 1998 $ 457
Statement of Shareholders Equity
for Year Ended Dec. 31, 1998
Share Capital, Dec. 31, 1997 $ 1,892
Adjustments/Stock Issue (12)
Share Capital, Dec. 31, 1998 $ 1,880
Retained Earnings, Dec. 31, 1997 $ 5,141Add: Comprehensive Income 1,481
Less: Dividends (570)
Retained Earnings, Dec. 31, 1998 $ 6,052
Treasury Stock, Dec. 31, 1997 $ 3,872
Treasury Stock Issued 186
Treasury Stock Repurchased (258)
Treasury Stock, Dec. 31, 1998 $ 3,944
Income Statement
for Year Ended Dec. 31, 1998
Sales $13,406
Expenses 12,016
Net Earnings $ 1,3 90
Other Comprehensive Income 91
Comprehensive Income $ 1,481
Balance Sheet
Dec. 31, 1997
Assets
Cash $ 728
Non-Cash Assets 1 2,417
Total Assets $13,145
Liabilities & Equity
Total liabilities $ 9,984
Equity:
Share Capital 1,892
Retained Earnings 5,141
Treasury Stock (3,872)
Total equity $ 3,161
Liabilities & Equity $13,145
Balance Sheet
Dec. 31, 1998
Assets
Cash $ 457
Non-Cash Assets 14, 276
Total Assets $14,733
Liabilities & Equity
Total liabilities $10,745
Equity:
Share Capital 1,880
Retained Earnings 6,052
Treasury Stock (3,944)
Total equity $ 3,988
Liabilities & Equity $14,733
(Period of time)
(Periodoftim
e)(Periodoftime)
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Sources of financial information
Auditing
y
Set by International AccountingStandards Board
y Not currently accepted in U.S.
y SEC under pressure to accept
IAS
y SEC requires Audit Report
y Audit opinion can be:
- clean (fairly presented)
- qualified (except for)
- disclaimer (no opinion)- adverse (not fairly presented)
y Check Auditor quality & independence
Auditors
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Sources of financial information
Notes to financial statementsj The first notes provide a summary of the firms accounting policies
j Other notes present details about particular accounts such as inventory;
property, plant and equipment; investment; long term debt.
j The notes also include
Major acquisitions or divestitures
Officer and employee retirement, pension and stock option plans
Leasing arrangement
The term, cost and maturity of debt
Pending legal proceeding
Income taxes
Contingencies and commitments
Operating segments
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Sources of financial informationMD&A
One of ways management communicates
the reasons for changes in financial and
operating data
The content of the section includes
coverage of any favorable or unfavorable
trends and significant events or
Uncertainties in the areas of liquidity,capital resources, and results of operations.
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The U.S. financial reporting system
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
y Independent, quasi-judicial government agency
y Administer securities regulations & disclosures
y Can modify & set GAAP, if necessary
y Rarely directly challenges FASBy Major player in global accounting
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The U.S. financial reporting system
Financial Accounting standards board
jFASB is a nongovernmental body with
seven full-time members
j
Sets accounting standards for all companyissuing audited financial statements
j Issues statements of financial accounting
standards (SFAS) and interpretation (part of
GAAP)
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The U.S. financial reporting system
Financial Accounting Standards Board
Generally Accepted Accounting Principles
Provide input to
Help set
Securities and
Exchange
Commission
Unions
Investors
Accountants
Politicians
Lenders
Others
AICPA
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International reporting system
International Accounting Standards (IAS)
y Set by International Accounting
Standards Board
y Not currently accepted in U.S.
y SEC under pressure to accept IAS
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Demands for financial reporting
Creditors
Equity Investors
y Active & Speculative Investors rely on
financial reports
y Solvency & Liquidity analysis relieson financial reports
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Demands for financial reporting
Internal Users External Users
Managers
OfficersInternal Auditors
Sales Managers
Budget Officers
Controller
Lenders
ShareholdersGovernments
Labor Unions
External Auditors
Customers
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Accounting system feature
jAccrual accounting
jAccounting standards and auditing
GAAP reduce managers ability to distortaccounting information
Auditing improves the quality of accounting
informationjManagers reporting strategy
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Reporting strategy
Reporting strategy is policies used by management
when choosing accounting method, normally
designed to achieve specific reporting objectives
There are four common strategies
Overstating financial performance and condition
Building hidden reserves
Taking a bathOff-balance-sheet financing
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Recent Issue
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Study questions and problems
j C.Stern, chief financial officer of R-M Corp, has just reviewed the
current years third-quarter financial results. R-M Corp sets an
annual target for earnings growth of 12%. It now appears likely that
the company will fall short of that goal and achieve only a 9%
increase in earnings. This would have a potentially detrimentalimpact of the firms stock price. Stern wants to develop alternative
plans to stimulate earnings during the last quarter in order to reach
the 12% target.
j Discuss techniques that could be used increase earnings.
Differentiate between those that would
(a) Increase earnings but lower quality of reported earnings.
(b) Increase earnings and also have a positive real impact on the
firms financial position.
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Study questions and problems
j Read the auditors report for Royal Appliance Co. What type ofopinion was issued by the auditors? Explain why this type of opinionwas given.
To the shareholders and Board of Directors of Royal Appliance Co.
We have audited the Consolidated Financial Statements of RoyalAppliance Co. of this form 10-K. These financial statements are theresponsibility of the Companys management. Our responsibility is toexpress an opinion and these financial statements based on our audits.
We conducted our audits in accordance with generally acceptedstandards. Those standards require that we plan and perform the auditsto obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statementsare free of material misstatement. An audit includes examining
We believe that our audits provide a reasonable basis for our opinion.
Continue to next slide
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Study questions and problems
In our opinion, the financial statements referred to above present
fairly, in all material respects, the consolidated financial position of
Royal Appliance Co. as of Dec. 31,1994 and 1995, and the
consolidated results of their operations and their cash flow for each of
the three years in the period ended Dec. 31,1995, in conformity withGAAP.
As discussed in footnote 1 to the Consolidated Financial
Statements, effective September 1995, the Company changed its
method of accounting for domestic inventories from the last-in , first-
out(L
IFO) method to the first-in, first-out(FIFO) method.Coopers & Lybrand LLP
Cleveland, Ohio
March 27,1996