lect 6 - process capability

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    Control Charts

    for Attributes

    p-chart: A chart used for controlling theproportion of defective services orproducts generated by the process.

    p = p(1p)/nWhere

    n = sample size

    p = central line on the chart, which can be either the historical

    average population proportion defective or a target value.

    z = normal deviate (number of standard deviations from the average)

    Control limits are: UCLp = p+zp and LCLp= pzp

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    Hometown BankExample

    The operations manager of the booking services department of Hometown Bankis concerned about the number of wrong customer account numbers recorded by

    Hometown personnel.

    Each week a random sample of 2,500 deposits is taken, and the number of

    incorrect account numbers is recorded. The results for the past 12 weeks are

    shown in the following table.

    Is the booking process out of statistical control? Use three-sigma control limits.

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    Sample Wrong Proportion

    Number Account # Defective

    1 15 0.006

    2 12 0.0048

    3 19 0.00764 2 0.0008

    5 19 0.0076

    6 4 0.0016

    7 24 0.0096

    8 7 0.00289 10 0.004

    10 17 0.0068

    11 15 0.006

    12 3 0.0012

    Total 147

    Hometown BankUsing a p-Chart to monitor a process

    n = 2500

    p =147

    12(2500)= 0.0049

    p = p(1p)/n

    p = 0.0049(10.0049)/2500

    p = 0.0014

    UCLp = 0.0049 + 3(0.0014)

    = 0.0091

    LCLp = 0.0049 3(0.0014)

    = 0.0007

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    Hometown BankUsing a p-Chart to monitor a process

    Example

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    In class Problem

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    Control Charts

    Two types of error are possible with controlcharts

    A type I error occurs when a process is

    thought to be out of control when in factit is not

    A type II error occurs when a process is

    thought to be in control when it isactually out of statistical control

    These errors can be controlled by the choice

    of control limits

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    Process Capability

    Process capability is the ability of theprocess to meet the design specificationsfor a service or product.

    Nominal value is a target for designspecifications.

    Tolerance is an allowance above or below

    the nominal value.

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    20 25 30

    Upper

    specification

    Lower

    specification

    Nominal

    value

    Process Capability

    Process is capable

    Process distribution

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    Process is not capable

    20 25 30

    Upper

    specification

    Lower

    specification

    Nominal

    value

    Process distribution

    Process Capability

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    Process capability ratio, Cp, is the tolerance width divided by 6 standard

    deviations (process variability).

    Process Capability Ratio, Cp

    Cp =Upper specification - Lower specification

    6

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    Cpk= Minimum ofUpper specificationx

    3

    x Lower specification

    3 ,= =

    Process Capability Index, Cpk, is an index that measures the potential

    for a process to generate defective outputs relative to either upper

    or lower specifications.

    Process Capability Index, Cpk

    We take the minimum of the two ratios because it gives the worst-case situation.

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    Intensive Care Lab

    Example

    Upper specification = 30 minutesLower specification = 20 minutes

    Average service = 26.2 minutes

    = 1.35 minutes

    The intensive care unit lab process has an average turnaround time

    of 26.2 minutes and a standard deviation of 1.35 minutes.

    The nominal value for this service is 25 minutes with an upper

    specification limit of 30 minutes and a lower specification limit of 20

    minutes.

    The administrator of the lab wants to have three-sigma performance

    for her lab. Is the lab process capable of this level of performance?

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    Cpk= Minimum ofUpper specificationx

    3

    x Lower specification

    3 ,= =

    Upper specification = 30 minutes

    Lower specification = 20 minutes

    Average service = 26.2 minutes

    = 1.35 minutes

    Intensive Care Lab

    Assessing Process Capability

    Cpk= Minimum of26.2 20.0

    3(1.35) ,30.026.2

    3(1.35)

    Cpk= Minimum of 1.53, 0.94 = 0.94Process

    Capability

    Index

    Example

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    Cp =Upper specification - Lower specification

    6

    Cp =30 - 20

    6(1.35)

    = 1.23 Process Capability Ratio

    Before Process ModificationUpper specification = 30.0 minutes Lower specification = 20.0 minutes

    Average service = 26.2 minutes

    = 1.35 minutes Cpk = 0.94 Cp = 1.23

    Intensive Care LabAssessing Process Capability

    Does not meet 3 (1.00 Cpk) target due to a shift in mean

    (Note variability is ok since Cp is over 1.0)

    Example

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    In Class Problem

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    In Class Problem

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    Lower

    specification

    Mean

    Upper

    specification

    Nominal value

    Six sigma

    Four sigma

    Two sigma

    Effects of Reducing

    Variability on Process Capability

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    Range Population in rangeExpected frequency outside

    range

    Approx. frequency for daily

    event

    1 0.682689492137 1 in 3 Twice a week

    2 0.954499736104 1 in 22 Every three weeks

    3 0.997300203937 1 in 370 Yearly

    4 0.999936657516 1 in 15,787Every 43 years (twice in a

    lifetime)

    5 0.999999426697 1 in 1,744,278Every 5,000 years (once in

    history)

    6 0.999999998027 1 in 506,842,372 Every 1.5 million years

    What it means to operate at 6-sigma

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    Six Sigma

    3.4 defects per million

    Cpk = 2

    Impact of number of parts or production stepson yield:

    6 sigma 4 sigma 3 sigma

    1 100% 99% 99%

    5 100% 97% 71%

    10 100% 94% 50%

    100 99.97% 54% 0%

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    Designing in 6-sigma

    Reduce the number of parts in a product

    Reduce the number of steps in a process

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    Six Sigma

    Six Sigma is a comprehensive and flexible system forachieving, sustaining, and maximizing business successby minimizing defects and variability in processes.

    It relies heavily on the principles and tools of TQM.

    It is driven by a close understanding of customer needs;the disciplined use of facts, data, and statistical analysis;and diligent attention to managing, improving, and

    reinventing business processes.

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    Six SigmaImprovement Model

    1. Define Determine the current processcharacteristics critical to customer satisfactionand identify any gaps.

    2. Measure Quantify the work the process doesthat affects the gap.

    3. Analyze Use data on measures to performprocess analysis.

    4. Improve Modify or redesign existing methods tomeet the new performance objectives.

    5. Control Monitor the process to make sure highperformance levels are maintained.

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    Six Sigma Implementation

    Top Down Commitment from corporate leaders.

    Measurement Systems to Track Progress

    Tough Goal Setting through benchmarking best-

    in-class companies. Education: Employees must be trained in the

    whys and how-tos of quality.

    Communication: Successes are as important to

    understanding as failures.

    Customer Priorities: Never lose sight of thecustomers priorities.

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    Six Sigma Education

    Green Belt: An employee who achieved the first level of

    training in a Six Sigma program and spends part of his or

    her time teaching and helping teams with their projects.

    Black Belt: An employee who reached the highest levelof training in a Six Sigma program and spends all of his

    or her time teaching and leading teams involved in Six

    Sigma projects.

    Master Black Belt: Full-time teachers and mentors to

    several black belts.

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    International QualityDocumentation Standards

    ISO

    9000

    A set of standards governing documentation

    of a quality program.

    ISO

    14000

    Documentation standards that require participating

    companies to keep track of their raw materials use

    and their generation, treatment, and disposal of

    hazardous wastes.

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    1. Category 1 Leadership 120 points

    2. Category 2 Strategic Planning 85 points

    3. Category 3 Customer and Market Focus 85 points

    4. Category 4 Measurement, Analysis, and

    Knowledge Management 90 points

    5. Category 5 Human Resource Focus 85 points

    6. Category 6 Process Management 85 points

    7. Category 7 Business Results 450 points

    Malcolm Baldrige National QualityAward

    Named after the late secretary of commerce, a strong proponent of

    enhancing quality as a means of reducing the trade deficit. The

    award promotes, recognizes, and publicizes quality strategies and

    achievements.