lect 6 - process capability
TRANSCRIPT
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Control Charts
for Attributes
p-chart: A chart used for controlling theproportion of defective services orproducts generated by the process.
p = p(1p)/nWhere
n = sample size
p = central line on the chart, which can be either the historical
average population proportion defective or a target value.
z = normal deviate (number of standard deviations from the average)
Control limits are: UCLp = p+zp and LCLp= pzp
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Hometown BankExample
The operations manager of the booking services department of Hometown Bankis concerned about the number of wrong customer account numbers recorded by
Hometown personnel.
Each week a random sample of 2,500 deposits is taken, and the number of
incorrect account numbers is recorded. The results for the past 12 weeks are
shown in the following table.
Is the booking process out of statistical control? Use three-sigma control limits.
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Sample Wrong Proportion
Number Account # Defective
1 15 0.006
2 12 0.0048
3 19 0.00764 2 0.0008
5 19 0.0076
6 4 0.0016
7 24 0.0096
8 7 0.00289 10 0.004
10 17 0.0068
11 15 0.006
12 3 0.0012
Total 147
Hometown BankUsing a p-Chart to monitor a process
n = 2500
p =147
12(2500)= 0.0049
p = p(1p)/n
p = 0.0049(10.0049)/2500
p = 0.0014
UCLp = 0.0049 + 3(0.0014)
= 0.0091
LCLp = 0.0049 3(0.0014)
= 0.0007
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Hometown BankUsing a p-Chart to monitor a process
Example
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In class Problem
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Control Charts
Two types of error are possible with controlcharts
A type I error occurs when a process is
thought to be out of control when in factit is not
A type II error occurs when a process is
thought to be in control when it isactually out of statistical control
These errors can be controlled by the choice
of control limits
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Process Capability
Process capability is the ability of theprocess to meet the design specificationsfor a service or product.
Nominal value is a target for designspecifications.
Tolerance is an allowance above or below
the nominal value.
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20 25 30
Upper
specification
Lower
specification
Nominal
value
Process Capability
Process is capable
Process distribution
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Process is not capable
20 25 30
Upper
specification
Lower
specification
Nominal
value
Process distribution
Process Capability
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Process capability ratio, Cp, is the tolerance width divided by 6 standard
deviations (process variability).
Process Capability Ratio, Cp
Cp =Upper specification - Lower specification
6
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Cpk= Minimum ofUpper specificationx
3
x Lower specification
3 ,= =
Process Capability Index, Cpk, is an index that measures the potential
for a process to generate defective outputs relative to either upper
or lower specifications.
Process Capability Index, Cpk
We take the minimum of the two ratios because it gives the worst-case situation.
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Intensive Care Lab
Example
Upper specification = 30 minutesLower specification = 20 minutes
Average service = 26.2 minutes
= 1.35 minutes
The intensive care unit lab process has an average turnaround time
of 26.2 minutes and a standard deviation of 1.35 minutes.
The nominal value for this service is 25 minutes with an upper
specification limit of 30 minutes and a lower specification limit of 20
minutes.
The administrator of the lab wants to have three-sigma performance
for her lab. Is the lab process capable of this level of performance?
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Cpk= Minimum ofUpper specificationx
3
x Lower specification
3 ,= =
Upper specification = 30 minutes
Lower specification = 20 minutes
Average service = 26.2 minutes
= 1.35 minutes
Intensive Care Lab
Assessing Process Capability
Cpk= Minimum of26.2 20.0
3(1.35) ,30.026.2
3(1.35)
Cpk= Minimum of 1.53, 0.94 = 0.94Process
Capability
Index
Example
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Cp =Upper specification - Lower specification
6
Cp =30 - 20
6(1.35)
= 1.23 Process Capability Ratio
Before Process ModificationUpper specification = 30.0 minutes Lower specification = 20.0 minutes
Average service = 26.2 minutes
= 1.35 minutes Cpk = 0.94 Cp = 1.23
Intensive Care LabAssessing Process Capability
Does not meet 3 (1.00 Cpk) target due to a shift in mean
(Note variability is ok since Cp is over 1.0)
Example
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In Class Problem
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In Class Problem
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Lower
specification
Mean
Upper
specification
Nominal value
Six sigma
Four sigma
Two sigma
Effects of Reducing
Variability on Process Capability
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Range Population in rangeExpected frequency outside
range
Approx. frequency for daily
event
1 0.682689492137 1 in 3 Twice a week
2 0.954499736104 1 in 22 Every three weeks
3 0.997300203937 1 in 370 Yearly
4 0.999936657516 1 in 15,787Every 43 years (twice in a
lifetime)
5 0.999999426697 1 in 1,744,278Every 5,000 years (once in
history)
6 0.999999998027 1 in 506,842,372 Every 1.5 million years
What it means to operate at 6-sigma
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Six Sigma
3.4 defects per million
Cpk = 2
Impact of number of parts or production stepson yield:
6 sigma 4 sigma 3 sigma
1 100% 99% 99%
5 100% 97% 71%
10 100% 94% 50%
100 99.97% 54% 0%
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Designing in 6-sigma
Reduce the number of parts in a product
Reduce the number of steps in a process
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Six Sigma
Six Sigma is a comprehensive and flexible system forachieving, sustaining, and maximizing business successby minimizing defects and variability in processes.
It relies heavily on the principles and tools of TQM.
It is driven by a close understanding of customer needs;the disciplined use of facts, data, and statistical analysis;and diligent attention to managing, improving, and
reinventing business processes.
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Six SigmaImprovement Model
1. Define Determine the current processcharacteristics critical to customer satisfactionand identify any gaps.
2. Measure Quantify the work the process doesthat affects the gap.
3. Analyze Use data on measures to performprocess analysis.
4. Improve Modify or redesign existing methods tomeet the new performance objectives.
5. Control Monitor the process to make sure highperformance levels are maintained.
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Six Sigma Implementation
Top Down Commitment from corporate leaders.
Measurement Systems to Track Progress
Tough Goal Setting through benchmarking best-
in-class companies. Education: Employees must be trained in the
whys and how-tos of quality.
Communication: Successes are as important to
understanding as failures.
Customer Priorities: Never lose sight of thecustomers priorities.
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Six Sigma Education
Green Belt: An employee who achieved the first level of
training in a Six Sigma program and spends part of his or
her time teaching and helping teams with their projects.
Black Belt: An employee who reached the highest levelof training in a Six Sigma program and spends all of his
or her time teaching and leading teams involved in Six
Sigma projects.
Master Black Belt: Full-time teachers and mentors to
several black belts.
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International QualityDocumentation Standards
ISO
9000
A set of standards governing documentation
of a quality program.
ISO
14000
Documentation standards that require participating
companies to keep track of their raw materials use
and their generation, treatment, and disposal of
hazardous wastes.
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1. Category 1 Leadership 120 points
2. Category 2 Strategic Planning 85 points
3. Category 3 Customer and Market Focus 85 points
4. Category 4 Measurement, Analysis, and
Knowledge Management 90 points
5. Category 5 Human Resource Focus 85 points
6. Category 6 Process Management 85 points
7. Category 7 Business Results 450 points
Malcolm Baldrige National QualityAward
Named after the late secretary of commerce, a strong proponent of
enhancing quality as a means of reducing the trade deficit. The
award promotes, recognizes, and publicizes quality strategies and
achievements.