leading by innovationecmaindia.in/uploads/image/45imguf_mr.anupamdave(jcb).pdf · source : world...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
LEADING BY INNOVATION
![Page 2: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Off-highway Machinery LandscapeEarthmoving Equipment
Construction Vehicles
Material Handlers
Construction Equipment
Tractors/Agri-equipments
![Page 3: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Source : World Market Analysis
World CE Market
0
0.25
0.5
0.75
1
1.25
1.5
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2015 2020
Mar
ket
Size
in m
illio
n un
its
53.3%
17.3%14.6%
14.6%
BRIC
Europe
USA
25%
15%
38%
32%
26%
ROW
‘Shifting Leaders of Global Economic Growth’
![Page 4: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Low growth Rate
28,239 41,240 37,089 33,607 48,974 62,685 56,194 47,114 39,797 41,006 45,962 54,060 64,812
70,637
39%46%
-10% -11%
48%
28%
-10%-16% -16%
4%12%
18% 20%8%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Industry Volume Growth Rate
India CE Market
Strong Long Term Potential
![Page 5: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Vehicular Emissions Challenge
![Page 6: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Environment – Vital Stats
• Global CO2 emissions expected to increase by 1.9% annually between 2001& 2025 that may result in more than 5ºC temperature rise.
• Developing countries’ emissions are expected to grow above the worldaverage at 2.7%
• 31% of petroleum oils consumed by CEV & tractors and second to Transportsector.
• Each gallon of fuel CEV burns adds 20 pounds of CO2 in the environment
• This means we are adding ~4 Tonnes of CO2/vehicle/year*Source: Petrofed and Indian Oil corp. Limited
![Page 7: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
2020 Estimated Fuel Demand
6.20 bn
15.30bn
2013 2020
Lite
rs in
mill
ion
![Page 8: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Fuel Efficiency as an Opportunity
There is a case to therefore incentivize the Innovations driving fuel efficiency programs in industry
![Page 9: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Emissions – CEV Market
![Page 10: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Power bands
CEV TractorsVolume share
Only Wheeled Application
Total Vol. - 50 K Total Vol. - 550 K
![Page 11: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
BS IV : Implications
• Step changes needed on engine platforms.
• Significant investments and lead times :• OEM Readiness• FIE Manufacturing capacity readiness• After Treatment technology viability / footprint
• Customer Impact : Initial Price and After-market , equipment serviceability and maintenance.
• Fuel quality, availability and infrastructure pan India.
![Page 12: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Technology Shift (In Cylinder )
Combustion System
Optimized Nozzle Spray Pattern, Zero sac vol.
Re entrant Piston Bowl
4 Valves per cylinder
Fuel Injection Equipment(FIE)Inline Pump
Rotary Pump
Common Rail SystemThird generation (2200 bar)
Better Swirl RatioHydraulic Lash
Adjuster
![Page 13: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Air Management
Turbocharger, TCIC, WG TC
Variable Geometry TC
Basic EGR
Cooled EGR
EGR with controller(Pneumatic/ Electrical)
High Pressure /Low Pressure
Two Stage TC
Exhaust Gas Recirculation
Technology Shift Air Management
![Page 14: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Aftertreatment Technology Strategy
Diesel Particulate Filter
(DPF)Particulate Oxidation
Catalyst(POC)
Consists of particle collecting and the regeneration device
Reduction of Ultra fine particle
Filter Efficiency >99%
ChallengesRegeneration
Thermal failure
Filter Efficiency of 60-80%(Less than DPF)
Passive regeneration(Typically)
Less sensitive to ash accumulation
Diesel Oxidation
Catalyst (DOC)
Additional Transformation of No to NO2.
PM reduction with SoF oxidation.
Low Maintenance and cost
Challenges:Low Sulfur Diesel
Challenges:Thermal & Chemical stabilityFormation of sulfuric acid
![Page 15: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Selective Catalytic Reduction
(SCR)
Nox absorber Catalyst (NAC)
Lean NOx Trap (LNT)
Urea Decomp-osition
SCR Reaction
Ammonia blocking
Urea – Aqueous solution, Freezing at -11°CCatalyst
Urea injection and control systemOptimized for good fuel efficiency
Lean ModeNox Stored as nitrate
Rich Mode Nitrate to NO2 ; NO2 to N2
NOx conversion efficiency 10%-25%
Option for retrofit/Easy to install and integrate
ChallengesSulfur poisoning / desulfurizationLong-term stability / thermal agingLimited DeNOx regen operation area.
ChallengesInfrastructure & Cost Sulfur poisoning / desulfurization Low temperature range.
Aftertreatment Technology Strategy
![Page 16: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Key Challenges
T4f Compliance
Challenges related to T4final development :
Packaging and sign-off of exhaust after-treatment installation including • SCR (catalyst)• DEF (diesel exhaust fluid) injection system and • On board diagnostic to monitor and control the NOx content in the
exhaust Complex technology for after market support & End user
Fuel Quality and Adulteration would pose challenge to system reliability. Cost to end Customer.
2021/22
Hug
e In
vest
men
t
Price
Incr
ease
![Page 17: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Alternate Energy
Fuel Efficiency up by 40%Carbon footprints reduction by 30 %
![Page 18: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Efficiency Improvement
Exha
ust E
nerg
y
Elec
trifi
catio
n
Turbocharger
Turbo Compounding
WHR
Start Stop
Macro Hybrid
Hybrid
Electrical vehicles
Heavy Duty Cycle Light
Cost
![Page 19: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Summary
NRMM industry is on a cross road where it needs to preparing for next level of Challenges.
BS IV significant impact on powertrain footprint (technology, manufacturing, FIE, supply chain, after-sales as well as the Customer).
No. of Potential solutions for BS IV possible, but key lies in well Integrated Solution that meets end Customer requirement and Aftermarket support.
Industry is ready with technology, however the lead times high to establish the footprint.
![Page 20: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
NRMM Industry population would rise by 2020, pressure on fuel demand and environment impact esp. CO2 emissions.
Fuel Efficiency is the big opportunity, need for Innovations to generate at least 30% reduction.
Opportunity areas : Efficiency Innovations, Hybrid Technologies, Alternate Fuels, FE Labeling, Incentivization etc.
Summary
![Page 21: LEADING BY INNOVATIONecmaindia.in/Uploads/image/45imguf_Mr.AnupamDave(JCB).pdf · Source : World Market Analysis World CE Market 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009](https://reader034.vdocuments.site/reader034/viewer/2022042301/5ecc28120aafd800fe193fa9/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Thank You