laura (stevens) thompson – university of nebraska-lincoln
DESCRIPTION
A Regional Investigation of In-season Nitrogen Requirements for Maize Using Model and Sensor Based Recommendation Approaches. Laura (Stevens) Thompson – University of Nebraska-Lincoln Richard Ferguson – University of Nebraska – Lincoln Dave Franzen – North Dakota State University - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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A Regional Investigation of In-season Nitrogen Requirements for Maize
Using Model and Sensor Based Recommendation Approaches
Laura (Stevens) Thompson – University of Nebraska-LincolnRichard Ferguson – University of Nebraska – Lincoln
Dave Franzen – North Dakota State UniversityNewell Kitchen – USDA-ARS, Columbia, MO
Martha Mamo – University of Nebraska - Lincoln
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Key Questions1. How do two different in-season N rate recommendation strategies – model (Maize-N) vs. sensor (with Holland-Schepers algorithm) – compare across a broad region?2. How do different hybrids and populations impact these N recommendation strategies?3. How do other sensor algorithms compare?
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Model Approach
Maize-N Model : Nitrogen Rate Recommendation for Maize
(Yang, H.S., et al., UNL, 2008)
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weather
Planting date
Previous crop
Soil and OM info
Other Ncredits
Fertilizer source
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Economically Optimum N Rate
Attainable Yield
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Sensor Approach
- RapidScan3 band: red, red-edge, NIR
- NDRE with Holland/Schepers algorithm for N rate calculation
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Locations
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Treatments
2 Hybrids: High & low drought tolerance
2 Plant Populations: ~79,000 & 104,000 plants ha-1
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Treatments4 Nitrogen Strategies: Unfertilized Check – 0 kg ha-1
High N Reference – 224-280 kg ha-1
Maize-N Model & Crop Canopy Sensor - Initial N rate:
Nebraska = 84 kg ha-1 Missouri = 56 kg ha-1
North Dakota = 0 kg ha-1
In-season rates:Determined by model and sensor
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16 treatments:(2 Hybrids X 2 Plant Populations X 4 Nitrogen Strategies)
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Nebraska
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Missouri
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North Dakota
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Harvest
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Results and Discussion
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Key Questions1. How do two different in-season N rate recommendation strategies – model vs. sensor (with Holland-Schepers algorithm) – compare across a broad region?2. How do different hybrids and populations impact these N recommendation strategies?3. How do other sensor algorithms compare?
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2012 20130
50
100
150
200
250
300Sensor In-Season N RateSensor Initial N RateInitial N Rate
N A
pplic
ation
Rat
e (k
g ha
-1)
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NE-
MC
NE-
CC
MO
-LT
MO
-RO
ND
-DN
ND
-VC
NE-
MC
NE-
CC
MO
-TR
MO
-BA
ND
-AR
ND
-VC
2012 2013
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
ba
b
b
b c
b
d
c
a
a
a a
a
ab
ab
a
a
b
ba
a
a a
a
b
b
b a
c
a a
a
a a
a a
a
a
a
a
aa
a
Reference Sensor Model CheckYi
eld
(Mg
ha-1
)
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NUE
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NE-
MC
NE-
CC
MO
-LT
MO
-RO
ND
-DN
ND
-VC
NE-
MC
NE-
CC
MO
-TR
MO
-BA
ND
-AR
ND
-VC
2012 2013
0
20
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180
200
b
b
b
b
b
b bb
a
b
a
a
aa
a
a
a
a
b
a
a
c c
bb
bc
cb
cc b
Model Sensor Reference
Parti
al F
acto
r Pro
ducti
vity
of N
(k
g gr
ain
kg N
-1)
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NE-
MC
NE-
CC
MO
-LT
MO
-RO
ND
-DN
ND
-VC
NE-
MC
NE-
CC
MO
-TR
MO
-BA
ND
-AR
ND
-VC
2012 2013
0
10
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80
b a a a a b b b a aa a a a a a a a a a ab a b a a c c b b a b
Model Sensor Reference
Agr
onom
ic E
ffici
ency
(k
g gr
ain
incr
ease
kg
N-1
)
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NE-
MC
NE-
CC
MO
-LT
MO
-RO
ND-
DN
ND-
VC
NE-
MC
NE-
CC
MO
-TR
MO
-BY
ND
- AR
ND
- VC
2012 2013
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
bab
ca
a c
c
d
c
a
a
b bc
aa
a
a
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aba
a
a a
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a
b ac
a aa
b c
ba
a
a
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a
b ba
Check Model Sensor Reference
Profi
t ($
ha-1
)
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(Model—Sensor)
Site N-input Yield Profit AE PFPN
kg ha-1 kg ha-1 $ ha-1 kg grain increase kg N-1 kg grain kg N-1
NEMC12 67 -545 -181* -10* -72.4*
NECC12 25 -657 -157* -8 -47.9*
MOLT12 36 377 21 -7 -13.9*
MORO12 55 -- -- -- --
NDDN12 117 629 -8 -8 -21.9*
NDVC12 151 755 -15 -3 -101.7*
NEMC13 85 1377* 177* -9* -39.3*
NECC13 82 81 -74 -11* -53.7*
MOTR13 165 3528* 510* -39* -81.2*
MOBA13 -20 -485* -73 3 6.0*
NDAR13 24 270 28 2 -37.1*
NDVC13 -59 -735 -79 -- --*Indicates significant difference at P≤0.05.
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0 50 100 150 200 250 3000
50
100
150
200
250
300
f(x) = 1.27431426127476 xR² = 0.71679300851386
f(x) = 0.851025562693765 xR² = 0.848935509637397
MOLT12 ModelNEMC12 ModelNDAR13 ModelMOBA13 ModelNEMC13 ModelNECC13 ModelMOTR13 ModelNECC12 ModelMOLT12 SensorNEMC12 SensorNDAR13 SensorMOBA13 SensorNEMC13 SensorNECC13 SensorMOTR13 SensorNECC12 SensorIdeal Line 1:1Total N Applied (kg ha-1)
ON
R (k
g ha
-1)
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MOLT12 NEMC12 NDDN12 NDVC12 MOBA13 MOTR13 NEMC13 NECC13 NDAR13-800
-700
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100 Model Sensor
cha
nge
in $
ha-
1 fr
om O
NR
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Model SensorRecommended more N; better protected yield Recommended less N; had higher NUE
2008 version did not use current year’s weather for mineralization. 2013 version does have capability.
Performed well when unexpected N was supplied. Responsive to in-season additions of N.
Does not attempt to account for N losses due to denitrification, leaching, or volatilization.
Can account for losses of N due to denitrification, leaching, or volatilization if they are evident in plant reflectance.
Compared to ONR, model more closely approximates and errs by over-recommending N.
Compared to ONR, sensor errs by under- recommending N.
Does not rely on the N status to be expressed in crop.
If N losses or additions have occurred but are not yet evidenced in the plant by the time of sensing, they will not be accounted for.
Attempts to predict effect of weather between in-season N application and harvest based on historical long-term weather.
Cannot predict effects of weather on crop health and N availability between in-season N application and harvest.
Maize-N requires more information input by user. It also requires user input unique values to generate a spatial recommendation.
Sensor requires little information from user. It intrinsically generates spatial recommendations.
Profit loss due to excess N applied. Profit loss due to reduced yield.
User convenience. Narrow window of application time.
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ConclusionsConsider combining Model and Sensor approaches.
Model can provide ONR or expected yield that are required by sensor algorithms.
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Key Questions1. How do two different in-season N rate recommendation strategies – model vs. sensor (with Holland-Schepers algorithm) – compare across a broad region?2. How do different hybrids and populations impact these N recommendation strategies?3. How do other sensor algorithms compare?
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Hybrid Differences
Hybrid A Hybrid B0.37
0.372
0.374
0.376
0.378
0.38
0.382
0.384
0.386
0.388
MOLT12
NDR
E
Hybrid A Hybrid B0
1
2
3
4
5
6
MOLT12
Yiel
d (m
g ha
-1)
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Population Differences
NECC12 NEMC12 MOLT12 NDDN12 NDVC12 NECC13 MOTR13 NDVC130
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
0.45 High PopulationLow Population
NDR
E
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Sufficiency Index (SI) =
Sufficiency Index (SI) =
ORSufficiency Index (SI) =
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NECC12 NEMC12 MOLT12 NDDN12 NDVC12 NECC13 MOTR13 NDVC13-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
0
12.4
2.6
-48.6
14.6
2823.5
1.10
-11-4.5
42.9
-17-23.5 -21.3
-2.7
N rate change if SI=low population target/high population referenceN rate change if SI=high population target/low population reference
N-ra
te c
hang
e (k
g ha
-1)
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ConclusionsHybrid and plant population differences impact sensor
data, and consequently has potential to impact N recommendations.
SI values for different hybrids were not significantly different for many sites.
It is recommended that reference crop be of the same population as the target crop being sensed.
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Key Questions1. How do two different in-season N rate recommendation strategies – model vs. sensor (with Holland-Schepers algorithm) – compare across a broad region?2. How do different hybrids and populations impact these N recommendation strategies?3. How do other sensor algorithms compare?
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How do other sensor algorithms compare?
2012 20130
50
100
150
200
250
300 Sensor + Missouri Algorithm In-Season N RateSensor plus Missouri Algorithm Initial N RateSensor plus Oklahoma Algorithm Initial N RateSensor plus Holland-Schepers Algorithm Initial N RateInitial N Rate
N R
ate
(kg
ha-1
)
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0 50 100 150 200 250 3000
50
100
150
200
250
300
f(x) = 1.64575313324631 xR² = 0.576191706369774
c) Sensor + Minnesota Algorithm
0 50 100 150 200 250 3000
50
100
150
200
250
300
f(x) = 0.788662025852812 xR² = 0.612823803738177
d) Sensor + Missouri Algorithm
0 50 100 150 200 250 3000
50
100
150
200
250
300
f(x) = 0.814459203252938 x
a) Maize-N Model
0 50 100 150 200 250 3000
50
100
150
200
250
300
f(x) = 1.33405985111089 xR² = 0.64731948680574
b) Sensor + Nebraska Algorithm
ON
R (
kg
ha-1
)
N Recommendation (kg ha-1)
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ConclusionsVarious algorithms have large differences in N rates
recommended.When compared to ONR, performance and tendency to
over or under recommend N at all sites and at individual state’s sites varied.
Highlights the importance of algorithm selection to be used with sensor data.
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Thanks to…DuPont Pioneer and the International Plant
Nutrition Institute for funding of this projectDr. Ferguson, Dr. Mamo – UNL, Dr. Franzen –
NDSU, Dr. Kitchen – USDA-ARS, Columbia, MOGlen Slater and graduate students Nick Ward,
Brian Krienke, Lakesh Sharma, Honggang Bu, and Brock Leonard for their assistance
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Questions?