Kyoto Protocol and

It’s Effect in Bangladesh

United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) established an international agreement in 1997, setting targets for industrialized countries to cut their Greenhouse gas (GHG’s) emission.

Kyoto Protocol

Targets of Kyoto Protocol

Reduce the GHGs emissions to 5% below 1990 levels by 2008-2012.

Kyoto Protocol comes into force

It had been ratified by at least 55 countries.

It had been ratified by nations accounting for at least 55% of emissions from what the treaty calls ‘Annex 1’ countries.

Kyoto and World

1912 1948 1984

2020 2056 2099

Global Temperature

Global Warming and Bangladesh

www.earthtrends.wri.org

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1950 1975 1998 2004

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Bangladesh

Per Capital CO2 Emissions (Thousands Metric Ton)

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www.earthtrends.wri.org

Annual air pollution by industrial sectors

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Annual water pollution by industrial sectors

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Export by Major commodities:

Readymade GarmentsFish, and Shrimps Jute and jute made goodsLeather and leather goodsTeaFurnace oil, and BitumenHandicrafts

Bangladesh and it’s Economy

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Growth rates of important industrial sectors

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Year Amount in Crore TK. Amount in million US $

1990-91 169.20 48

1991-92 258.90 68

1992-93 428.50 110

1993-94 411.70 103

1994-95 822.40 205

1995-96 1135.40 278

1996-97 1580.00 370

1997-98 2450.10 539

1998-99 2910.50 606

1999-2000 3649.80 725

2000-01 4766.80 883

2001-02 4977.30 867

2002-03 5379.20 923

2003-04 6055.00 1027

Export of Export Processing Zone

Statistics Department Bangladesh Bank: Export Receipts 2003-2004

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Major Commodities 2001-2002 (Tk in Crore)

2002-2003 (Tk in Crore)

2003-2004 (Tk in Crore)

Readymade Garments 19269.00 20852.10 26189.20

Fish, and Shrimps and Prawns

1689.70 1859.00 2283.70

Jute and jute made goods

1396.80 1271.80 1279.80

Leather and leather goods

1308.00 1228.80 1444.00

Tea 379.00 401.00 453.50

Furnace oil, Naphtha and Bitumen

64.50 136.20 151.6

Handicrafts 35.10 38.20 43.0

Others 1726.60 1999.60 2589.10

Total 25959.00 27863.90 34525.60

Statistics Department Bangladesh Bank: Export Receipts 2003-2004

2001-02 2002-03 2003-04

GDP at current market prices (billion TK) 2,732 3,006 3,330

GDP at constant market price (billion TK) 2,253 2,371 2,520

Per capital GDP at current market price (TK) 20,754 22,530 24,628

Per capital GDP at constant market price (TK) 17,112 17,772 18,637

Sector growth rate of GDP at constant price (%) Agriculture 0 .01 3.08 4.09 Industry 6.53 7.26 7.60Services 5.43 5.38 5.66

Investment at current prices (billion TK)Private Consumption 458 517 594Public Consumption 174 186 206

Domestic savings at current price (billion TK) 496 560 650

National savings at current prices (billion TK) 640 748 847

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Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics, June 2005

Kyoto Protocol and it’s effects

Increase the cost of production

Effects on SSE, export oriented organizations and other manufacturing firms

Effects on the export

Increase unemployment rate

Increase daily consumption cost

Decrease saving of the country

Investment goes down

Increase cost and decrease profit

Commodity Effects on Costs Effects on Profits

Corn + 31.7 % - 47.0%

Soybeans + 27.3% - 20.5%

Wheat + 26.4% - 57.2%

Cotton + 25.4% - 49.1%

Hogs + 10.3% - 84.5%

Milk + 7.5% - 53.1%

The Kyoto Protocol and U.S. Agriculture,” The Heartland Institute, October 31, 1998

Kyoto Protocol

Cost of Production

goes up

Industry will

Turn Off

Export will be go down

Unemployment Rise up

Savings Decreases

Investment Goes down

GDP goes down

Kyoto Protocol and it’s effects

Assumptions

Plant trees

Develop new quota policy to the developing countries

Goods are produced by only the expert country

Invent new cost effective technology which doesn’t increase both the CO2 and the cost of production

Confuse, Please Ask ???

Thank you all