†kv÷ uªv÷ bkz¨bwu gÛ rvw÷m iqv©wks mÖ“c rjevqyi cwiez©b, `y‡h©vm i evsjv‡`‡ki...
TRANSCRIPT
†Kv÷ Uªv÷ BKz¨BwU GÛ Rvw÷m Iqv©wKs MÖ“c www.coastbd.org
www.equitybd.org
Rjevqyi cwieZ©b, `y‡h©vM
I evsjv‡`‡ki DcK~j
evsjv‡`‡ki †gvU AvqZ‡bi kZKiv 32 fvMB DcK~jxq AÂjf~³|
mv‡o wZb †KvwU A_©vr †gvU RbmsL¨vi cÖvq 28 fvM †jvK DcK~jxq A‡j emevm K‡i|
we‡k¦i †gvU RbmsL¨vi 20% Ges 40% DcK~jxq A‡ji h_vµ‡g 30 Ges 100 wK‡jvwgUv‡ii g‡a¨ emevm K‡i |
evsjv‡`‡ki DcK‚j
Rbmvavi‡Yi mvgvwRK I
A_©‰bwZK Ae¯’vb
DcK~jxq A‡ji kZKiv 54 fvM cwieviB Kvh©Kifv‡e f~wgnxb
1991 n‡Z 2001,‡Z MociZv evwl©K RbmsL¨v e„w×i nvi 1.29%|
2020 mvj bvMv` DcK~jxq RbmsL¨v 3.5 †KvwU †_‡K †e‡o cÖvq 4.5 †KvwU n‡e|
K…wlwfwËK cwiev‡ii msL¨v Kg‡e
19
41
31
9
30
58
112
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
A-K…wl cwievi ¶zyª K…wl cwievi gag K…wl cwievi e„nr K…wl cwievi
1960
1996
ga¨g K…wl cwievi µ‡g ¶z`ª K…lK I cieZ©x‡Z A-K…wl cwiev†i cwiYZ n‡”Q
cªvwš—K I ¶z`ª K…wl cwiev†ii
msL¨v evo‡Q
DcK~jxq K…wl wfwËK RxweKvi aviv
1960 mv‡j ga¨g K…wl cwievi wQj 31 %; 1996 mv‡j ga¨g K…wl cwievi K‡g n‡q‡Q 11%|
A-K…wl cwievi e‡o‡Q 19 % †_‡K 30%
SuywKi KviY
gvbe m„ó wech©q58%
cÖvK…wZK wech©q19%
Abvb7%
kvmb/i vóªKvVv‡gvRwbZ16%
mvgvwRK
I A_©‰bwZK SzuwKi
cvkvcvwk DˇivËi evo‡Q cÖvK…
wZK `y‡h©v‡Mi fqvenZv
evsjv‡`‡ki DcK~jxq SzuwKi
DcK~jxq RxebhvÎvi gvb,
Mo Avqy, gv_vwcQz Rwgi cwigvY,wk¶v- ¯^v¯’¨‡mev my‡hvM, mvgvwRK
wbivcËv ‡`‡ki g~j f~L‡Ûi †P‡q Kg|
DcK~jxq SzuwKiKviY
evsjv‡`k g~jZ wbPz GjvKv,
e Øxc Ges c veb f~wg
‡gŠmywg Rjevqyi cÖfve|
we¯—xY© I D¤§y³ DcK~jfvM
cÖPÛ †mªvZ I evqycÖevn,
fvOb I cwjmÂvq‡bi MwZgqZv I
ˆewPΨ,
mgy‡`ªi ¯^vfvweK XvjygqZv BZ¨vw`
†h Kvi‡Y evo‡Q
`y‡h©vM SzuwK
AwZgvÎvq Kve©bRv
Z (MÖxb
nvDR) M¨m
wbM©gY,
c„w_exi EòZv
e„w× I Rjevqyi
cwieZ©b
Emission of Major GHG Gases
280
0.8 0 0
353280
484
1.720
100
200
300
400
500
600
CO2 Methene CFC-11 CFC-12
Am
ount
, PP
M
Pre Industrial
In 1990
cÖvK…wZK m¤ú` AvniY, bMivqb
RbmsL¨v e„w× bqv D`vixKiY
†fvMcwðgv‡`i aviYveûRvwZK †Kv¤úwbi
gybvdv wjáv
†h Kvi‡Y evo‡Q
`y‡h©vM SzuwK
Rxevk¥ R¡vjvbx †_‡K cÖwZeQi wgk‡Q 5.7 x 109 U. Kve©b,
eb DRv‡i †hvM n‡”Q 0.60.5 x 109 U. Kve©b,
Kqjvi e¨vcK e¨env‡ii cÖwZeQi 200 wg Ub Kve©b †hvM nq, hv Kve©b 3% ch©š— evov‡Z cv‡i,
wm‡g›U Drcv`b 5% nv‡i evo‡Q, hv cÖPzi Kve©b-†hvM Ki‡Q
‰ewk¦K DòZv e„w× I Rjevqyi cwiewZ©Z
†cÖ¶vcU
eQi mgy`ªc„‡ôi D”PZve„w× ( †m.wg)
DòZv e„w× (wWMÖx †mw›Uª‡MÖW)
evwicv‡Z cwieZ©b(1990-Gi Zzjbvq)
2030
30 ‡gŠmywg FZz‡Z 0.7 Ges kxZKv‡j 1.3 DòZv evo‡e
kxZKv‡j 3% evwicvZ Kg, †gŠmywg FZz‡Z 11% †ekx
2050
50 ‡gŠmywg FZz‡Z 11 Ges kxZKv‡j 1.8 DòZv evo‡e
kxZKv‡j 37% Kg Ges †gŠmywg FZz‡Z 28% †ekx
m~PK/ welq AvksKvRbK Ae¯’v
2050 mvj
2100 mvj
‡gvU mgy`ª c„‡ôi D”PZv e„w×, †m.wg.
153 460
f~wg wbg¾b, †m.wg. 140 240DcK~j fv½b, wK.wg. 1.5 3Avevm f~wgi wejywß, eM© wK.wg.
16 34
RbmsL¨vi ¯’vbPz¨wZ %
13 40
g¨vb‡MÖvf GjvKvi wejywß
79 95
mgy`ª c„‡ôi D”PZv e„w× I fwel¨Z evsjv‡`k
wec`MÖ¯’ evsjv‡`k
D”PZv 1 wg e„wׇZ 15-17% GjvKv Zwj‡q hv‡e|
2 †KvwU gvbyl cwi‡ek DØv¯‘‡Z cwiYZ n‡e
wbgœf~wg c vweZ nIqvi wec` 29 kZvsk evo‡e, K·evRvi †_‡K e`i†gvKvg ch©š— 145 wK.wg. `xN© †ejvf~wg Wy‡e †h‡Z cv‡i|
2030 mvj bvMv` DcK~j eivei 58 nvRvi †n. Rwg Zwj‡q hv‡e|
2050 mvj bvMv` avb Drcv`b 10% Ges M‡gi Drcv`b 30 % Kg‡e
evo‡Q Avgv‡`i wec` Geographical Disaster †hgb- f~wgK¤ú,
mybvgx, wMwi AMœyrcvZ BZ¨vw` Zzjbvq Hydro-metrological Disaster ev AvenvIqv m¤úwK©Z `y‡h©vM †hgb-Liv, eY¨v, Nywb©So BZ¨vw` †e‡o‡Q K‡qK¸Y Rjevqy cwieZ©‡bi d‡j G cÖfve AvMvgx w`b¸‡jv‡Z AviI gvivZ¥K n‡e|
cÖjq¼ix mvB‡K¬vb, nvwi‡K‡bi ZvÛe AviI †e‡o hv‡e, evo‡e `xN©‡gqvw` Liv, AwZ e„wó BZ¨vw`|
evo‡Q Avgv‡`i wec` esvjv‡`‡kI Hydro-metrological Disaster ev
AvenvIqv m¤úwK©Z `y‡h©vM †e‡o‡Q K‡qK¸Y
2007 mv‡ji `xN©¯’vwq eb¨v, mvM‡i 11 wU wbgœPvc m„w÷ I cÖjq¼ix mvB‡K¬vb SIDR BZ¨vw` Gi eo cÖgvY
cvkvcvwk evo‡Q AwZe„wó, DcK~jxq fvOb, jebv³Zv I Rjve×Zv K„wl I Mevw` cïi Drcv`b n«vm, my‡cq cvwbi AwbwðqZv, DcK~jxq A‡ji cÖvY‰ewPÎ I Aw¯—‡Z¡i msKU , eb¨v, NywY©So , Liv
evo‡Q wec`: mvB‡K¬v
b UªwcK¨vj mvB‡K¬v‡bi 10 fvM `w¶Y fviZ gnvmvM‡i msMwVZ n‡jI †gvU mvB‡K¬vbRwbZ ¶wZi 85% GLv‡b N‡U _v‡K|
1980 ‡_‡K 2000 mvj ch©š— we‡k¦ NywY©S‡o gviv †M‡Q AvovB jvL gvbyl, hvi 60 kZvskB evsjv‡`‡ki|
NywY©S‡o wdwjcvBb evsjv‡`‡ki †_‡K wZb ¸b †ekx SuywK‡Z| wKš‘ g„Zy¨i msL¨v wdwjcvBb †_‡K evsjv‡`‡k 10 ¸b †ekx|
NywY©S‡oi we¯—iY
Season wise Cyclone Distribution
9%
27%
64%
Pre Monsoon Post Monsoon Other Season
1793- 1997 ch©š— msNwUZ aŸsmvZ¥K NywY©S‡oi msL¨v 45 wU, Mo we¯—iY cÖwZ 4-5 eQi
1891- 1990 GB 100 eQ‡i cÖvq 700 wU NywY©S‡oi g‡a¨ 62wU †gŠmywg c~e© Ges 192 wU †gŠmywg DËi FZz‡Z msMwVZ n‡q‡Q|
mgy`ªe›`‡ii Rb¨ 11 Ges b`xe›`‡ii Rb¨ 4 wU mZK© ms‡KZ
gnvwec` ms‡KZ weåvwš—
80 Gi `k‡K miKvwi D‡`¨v‡M mvB‡K¬vb †këvi wbwg©Z nqwb
91-G †`‡k †gvU mvB‡K¬vb †këvi 400, cÖ‡qvRb wQj 5000
AZ¨š— weï× fvlvi cÖPvwiZ Òwe‡kl AvenvIqv weÁwßÓ cÖZ¨š— DcK~jxq A‡ji (we‡kl K‡i K·evRvi I PÆMÖvg) Rbmvavi‡Yi c‡¶ †evSv m¤¢e nq bv
mZK©xKiY ms‡KZ
e¨e¯’v I `y‡h©vM
cÖ¯‘wZ
DcK~jxq
fvOb
mgq Avw_©K ¶wZ
¶wZMÖ¯— GjvKv
¶wZMÖ¯’ †jvK
1996 5809 wg:
71680.4 GKi
10103635
1997 33012 wg:
7756 GKi 173090
1998 2201 wg:
41519 GKi
321000
1999 10535 wg:
227755 GKi
899275
2000 3286 wg:
219310 GKi
415870
1996-2000; Avw_©K ¶wZ
54843 wg. UvKv, ¶wZMÖ¯’ GjvKv
567900 GKi I ¶wZMÖ¯’ ‡jvK 12
wg.
DcK~jxq
fvOb
DcK~jxq †gvnbv, P¨v‡bj, b`x w`‡q cÖvq 30 nvRvi 868 NbwgUvi †Rvqv‡ii Rj DשMvgx nq
G †gvnbv w`‡qB wbgœ DcK~jxq I †`‡ki ga¨v‡ji 38 nvRvi 896 eM© wK.wg. DRvb cÖevn wbgœMvgx nq
fvOb †iv‡a c`‡¶c, wKQz
ch©‡e¶Y
fvO‡bi mg‡q eva wbg©vY
fvOb †iv‡a mwVK AvK…wZi, cÖ‡qvRbxq msL¨K †evìvi Ges evjyi e¯—v e¨envi bv Kiv
wbg©vY Kv‡Ri h_vh_ gwbUwis bv _vKv
Embankments designed to dissipate the energy of
waves……
IT only can give residents a false sense of security
jeYv³Zv we¯—vi
wbgœMvgx wgVv cvwbi †mªvZ K‡g hvevi Kvi‡Y jeYv³Zvi we¯—vi jvf Ges f~Mf©¯’ cvwb I gvwUi jeYvqb evsjv‡`‡ki Rb¨ weivU D‡Ø‡Mi welq
jeYv³Zv we¯—
v‡ii KviY
mgy`zª c„‡ôi D”PZv 88 †m.wg
e„w×i d‡j evsjv‡`‡ki
DcK‚jxq b`x‡Z cvwbi D”PZv
e„w×
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v‡ii KviY
jeYv³Zvi cÖfve
(1990-Gi Zzjbvq) Av‡iv 10% Rwg jeYv³ n‡e, GB msL¨v n‡e 45%| K…wl Rwgi Drcv`b n«vm cv‡e|
cÖvK…wZKfv‡e †e‡o IVv cÖRvwZ wejyß n†e Lv`¨ wbivcËvnxbZv evo‡e|
Lvevi cvwbi Zxeª msKU †`Lv †`‡e|¯^v`y cvwbi gvQ n«vm cv‡e|
Rjevqyi cwieZ©Y Imgy`zª c„‡ôi D”PZv e„w× jeYv³Zv gvivZ¥K ch©v‡q ‡e‡o hv‡e
dviv°vi Kvi‡Y wbæMvgx ¯^v`y cvwbi †mzªvZ K‡g hvIqv
wPswo †N‡ii we¯—vi
1960 Gi `k‡K DcK‚jxq †eoxeva wbg©vY
wec`MÖ¯’ wek¦
MZ cuvP eQ‡i `y‡h©vM D‡j L‡hvM¨ nv‡i †e‡o‡Q,
2004 mv‡ji mybvgx‡Z cÖvY nvivq cÖvq 2,80,000 gvbyl, DØv¯‘ nq cÖvq K‡qK wgwjqb|
Pxb, fviZ, ga¨ Av‡gwiK I BD‡iv‡ci wKQy Ask Avµvš— nq fqven eb¨vq|
bvBRv‡i cÖvq 2,40,000,†jvK `ywf©¶MÖ¯’, gvjvI‡Z Pj‡Q Liv I g½v|
Av‡gwiKv‡Z n¨vwi‡Kb K¨vUwibv, wiUv BZ¨vw`
2004 mv‡jB cÖvK…wZK `y‡h©v‡Mi Kvi‡Y Avw_©K ¶wZ n‡q‡Q cÖvq 123 wewjqb gvwK©b Wjvi
mybvgxi (B‡›`v‡bwkqv, fviZ I kªxjsKvq) KvwU‡q DV‡Z 7.2 wewjqb gvwK©b Wjv‡ii cÖ‡qvRb n‡e| Kvk¥x‡ii f~wgK‡¤úi ¶wZ KvwU‡q DV‡Z cÖ‡qvRb 5 wewjqb gvwK©b Wjv‡ii|
`y‡h©vMRwbZ A_©‰bwZK Ae¶‡qi Kvi‡Y `wi`ª †`k¸‡jvi AwR©Z wRwWwcÕi nvi cÖZ¨vwkZ gvÎv †_‡K 3 kZvsk Kg nq
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A_©bxwZ
wec`MÖ¯’ A_©bxwZ
mg`ªc„‡ô gvÎ 1 wgUvi D”PZv †gvKv‡ejvq LiP `vov‡e cÖvq 6 nvRvi †KvwU UvKv (1 wewjqb Wjvi)|
¶wZMÖ¯— cÖvq 1 †KvwU 30 j¶ DcK~jevmx‡K cybe©vwmZ Kivi LiP `vov‡e cÖvq 78 nvRvi †KvwU UvKv (13 we. gvwK©b Wjvi)|
mgy`ª c„‡ôi D”PZv 1 wgUvi evo‡j, †`‡ki †gvU RvZxq Drcv`b K‡g †h‡Z cv‡i 28 †_‡K 57 fvM|
1970 Gi NywY©S†o cÖvY nvivq 12 j¶(3 j¶ miKvwi) , Avw_©K ¶wZ 86.4 wg.gv Wjvi
1991 Gi NywY©S†o cÖvY nvivq 1.38 j¶, Avw_©K ¶wZ 1780 wg.gv Wjvi
NywY©So SIDR cÖvY nvivq 3199 (?) Rb, ¶wZMÖ¯’ 68 jvLAvw_©K ¶wZ; wPswo 250 †KvwU UvKv, kl¨ 2500 †KvwU UvKv, Avw_©K ¶wZ 4600 †KvwU UvKv
cÖ‡qvRb c¨viveb m„Rb
Sea level (0m)
10m
>20m
g¨vb‡MÖvf cÖvPxi mybvwg ev UvBdz‡bi †gvU kw³i 30 †_‡K 40 kZvsk ch©š— cÖkgb Ki‡Z cv‡i
`y‡h©vM SzwK
wbim‡b hv cÖ‡qvRb
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¯’vbxq fvlvq Ges mnR A‡_© `y‡h©vM evZ©v
mvB‡K¬vb †m›Uvi,DcK~jxq euva wbg©vY I i¶Yv‡e¶b
Rjevqy cwieZ©b wel‡q Av‡jvPbv, ch©v‡jvPbv
KwgDwbwU wfwËK †iwWI Kvh©µg Pvjy
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wbim‡b hv cÖ‡qvRb
cÖwZi¶v I cybe©vmb ev‡RU evov‡bv
c¨viveb aŸsm e‡Ü K‡Vvi c`‡¶c †bIqv
jebv³Zv Dc‡hvMx dm‡ji ex‡Ri Dbœqb
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¶y`ª RvZx mË¡v (†hgb Avw`evmx I †R‡j)i ¯^v_© msi¶Y
`y‡h©v‡M mnvqZvKvix e„†¶i (†hgb bvwo‡Kj, Zvj)ebvqb
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`y‡h©vM SzwK wbim‡b hv cÖ‡qvRb
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Rjevq~ cwieZ©‡bi d‡j evsjv‡`ki †h Pig K…wl ¶wZMÖ¯’ n‡e Zv gvV ch©v‡q ch©v‡jvPbv Ges weKí wReb-RxweKvi Dbœqb; Adaptive Technology Dbœqb Ges Ri“ix cwiw¯’wZ †gvKv‡ejvi Rb¨ ch©vß Znwe‡ji e¨e¯’v ivLv|
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Cyclone Shelter Gi cvkvcvwk wØZj evmM„n wbg©v‡Yi Rb¨ D‡Ï¨vM ev FY cÖ`vb
2015 mv‡ji g‡a¨ Kve©b wbtmi‡bi gvÎv 1990 Gi gvÎvq wb‡q Avmv Ges 2050 mv‡ji g‡a¨ Kve©b wbtmi‡bi gvÎv 1990 Gi gvÎvi A‡a©‡K Avbv
DbœZ †`k¸‡jv mw¤§wjZfv‡e 2020 g‡a¨ Kve©b wbtmi‡bi gvÎv 1990 Gi gvÎvq †P‡q 30% Kg Ges 2050 mv‡ji g‡a¨ 85% Kg Avbv
2012 ciewZ© Kve©b wbtmi‡bi gvÎv Kgv‡bvi eva¨Zvg~jK KwgU‡g›U Gi AIZvq Av‡iv †`k m¤ú„³ Kiv
Beyond KOYOTO KwgU‡g›Ug-G Dbœqbkxj †`k¸‡jvi we‡k¦i Kve©b evwY‡R¨ AskMÖnY DrmvwnZ Kib
UN-COP 13Avgv‡`i Ae¯’vb
GHG wbtmi‡bi d‡j ¶wZMÖ¯’ n‡e Ggb Dbœqbkxj †`‡ki g‡a¨ Alliance MVb I wk‡ívbœZ †`k mgyn‡K GHG wbtmiY Kgv‡Z Pvc cÖ`vb
we‡k¦i Kve©b evwY‡R¨ Kvh©Ki Askx`vwiZ¡ e„w×|
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