ks7 smart energy - ciced 2014 - schomberg - sep 2014 v6 · smart city technology market: the...
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Richard SchombergSmart Cities Council memberIEC Smart Grid Strategic Group chairEDF VP Smart Energy Standards
CICED 2014Shenzhen, ChinaSeptember 2014 *
Outline
The promise of Smart GridOpportunities for controlling the electric systemOpportunities for the Demand SideTechnological ruptures can be game changersFrom Smart Energy to Smart CitiesConclusion
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 20142
Smart Energy: “connecting” any point of generation with any point of consumption
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 20143
Interoperability
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
common data
commonlanguage
common behaviourEquipmentVendor A
EquipmentVendor B
interchangeabilityfrom specifications, not from blueprints
to allow competition for innovation !
World market – what « investors » wantopen international standards to pre-resolve complexity
Transition towards Active Distribution Networks
Customer participation driven by resilience, economics & environmental objectives
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
“SMART GRIDS”
“SMART GRIDS”
CHALLENGES & OPPORTUNITIES FOR CONTROLLING THE ELECTRIC SYSTEM
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Operational systems are challenged by increased span of control and decreasing timing of information and decision and control responses
space
time
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Now Micro-synchrophasors on the Distribution system can detect local conditions
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Enhanced time micro-scale management
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Example: Feasible and affordable technical solutions
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
“SMART GRIDS”
“SMART GRIDS”
OPPORTUNITIES FOR THE DEMAND SIDE
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
DC
AC
cloud
Nanogrid: buy, sell, use at the optimal time !
10kWh / 4kW
HEMSStorage
Power flow control
Residential Nanogrid integrating micro-cogénérationHonda Micro CHP (1,2 kWe+ Heat)
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Residential Storage:inverter in the trunk
PV , Electrical Storage, EV, Micro CHP, hot water
13
Korea - Micro Energy Grid (K-MEG) = Microgrid + Energy Management System
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 201414
IEC Project Committee (PC118) for cross-connecting applications:
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
• Consumer applications
• Smart homes and buildings
• Electric Vehicle
WG1- Consumer interfacesWG2- Demand Response
Advanced Power Line Carrier G3-PLCCost effective performance for Smart Energy massive deployment
• Standardization at all levels to ensure interoperability and reduce technology risk for utilities
• Enables common application layer services over various wired and wireless communication technologies
IEEE 802.15.4g(FSK, DSSS, OFDM)
IEEE 802.15.4MAC (including FHSS
6LoWPAN (RFC 6282)
G3-PLC PHY
Routing IPv6 / IPv4 Addressing, Multicast, QoS, Security
IEEE 802.3Ethernet 2G / 3G / LTE
Cellular
IEEE 802.16WiMax
TCP/UDP
Web Services/EXI
IEEE 802.15.42.4GHz DSSS
IEEE 802.15.4MAC
HTTPS/CoAP
IEC 61968 CIMANSI C12.19/C12.22
DLMS COSEMIEC 60870 DNPIEC 61850
PHY
/ MA
CFu
nctio
nalit
yN
etw
ork
Func
tiona
lity
App
. La
yer
Com
m. N
etw
ork
Laye
r
802.1x / EAP-TLS based Access Control Solution
MODBUS
IETF RFC 2464
G3-PLC MAC802.15.4e MAC enhancements
IEEE1888
SNMP, IPfix, DNS, NTP,
SSH,…
IETF RFC 5072 IETF RFC 5121
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
“SMART GRIDS”
“SMART GRIDS”
Beware ! Technological Ruptures can suddenly change the game !
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Who pays? Who benefits ?
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 201418
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Source: CISCO Gridonomics
19
Who pays? Who benefits ?
“SMART GRIDS”
“SMART GRIDS”
FROM SMART GRID TOWARDSSMART COMMUNITY SMART CITY
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Cities are under enormous pressure
Smart Energy often viewed as a foundationfoundation for a Smart City
Beyond ICT Technology to improve operations:smartness in planning and design is necessary !
• Energy long term planning– Local energy potential,
– Energy demand - buildings, mobility
– Energy Networks
• Solutions for low carbon and smart cities – Energy efficiency, eco-districts– Electric mobility– Smart grid to enable local
renewable and demand response
An integrated and systemic approach to better serve the citizensand improve cities’ attractiveness and sustainabilitySmart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy ‐ CICED Shenzhen ‐ Schomberg ‐ Sep 2014
Smart Energy planning: simulation to understand long term impact of today’s decisions
Complex – system ‐modelingMulti scale, Interactions, non deterministicPersistent for the long term
3D intelligence for smart actionable results
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy ‐ CICED Shenzhen ‐ Schomberg ‐ Sep 2014
Smart design: many counterintuitive clues !
In this case: More MWh from PV installed on less exposed buildings
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy ‐ CICED Shenzhen ‐Schomberg ‐ Sep 2014
Some concrete key opportunities
From smart grid cities to smart energy communities Cities can drive the next phase in energy grid and market modernization More focus on reporting, monitoring, and reducing energy consumption
Smart transportation and urban mobility Disruptive innovations in technology, business models, and policy How bold will cities be in remodeling their approaches to mobility?
Water management a growing concern But technology adoption lags
Smart street lighting Intersection of interest in energy efficiency, public services, and multipurpose networks
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Conclusions The world is changing at a frantic pace to serve its vital
needs in clean sustainable energy The never-ending evolution of ICT technologies provides
incredibly more data for hopefully much more « intelligence » and new value
As any revolution, Smart Energy exposes to unknown and risks, but open up for unprecedented opportunities
Standardization is a key to pre-resolve the extreme challenge of complexity
A major challenge of Smart Energy is striking new balance between all stakeholders (Utilities Regulators, Vendors)
Wide scale deployments, require strategies to make appropriate risk informed investment decisions, taking into account the legacy, while enabling reasonable incremental transitions towards dependable solutionsSmart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
CISCO report: 12 investment areasthat generally define the scope of smart grid deployments
• Energy conservation (via real-time energy use information)• Conservation voltage reduction (CVR)• Demand response (DR)• Dynamic line rating (DLR)• Substation automation• Advanced teleprotection• Failure detection, isolation, and recovery (FDIR)• Advanced metering infrastructure (AMI)• Distribution-feeder condition-based maintenance• Distributed storage infrastructure• Distributed-generation integration infrastructure (DG support) • Electric-vehicle integration intelligence (EV support)
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
CISCO study: results analysisMuch of the value identified is derived from
a) reduction of energy purchases through energy conservation and reduction of losses; b) reduction in incremental generation and network capacity; c) operational benefits; d) reliability improvementse) reduction of carbon
Customer value is derived principally from lower energy bills as a result of consuming less energy and reduced peak demand. (However, to realize the potential $40 billion in customer value requires new products and services, so part of the identified value would be shared with other market participants).
The $16 billion in uncaptured value is derived from carbon emissions reductions, reliability, and other benefits that are not monetized in those U.S. markets.While this analysis focuses on the U.S., the results are analogous to other markets including the EU, Australia, and New Zealand.
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
“SMART GRIDS”
“SMART GRIDS”
STANDARDIZATION:EXPECTATIONS FROM THE INDUSTRY
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Counterintuitive cost of complexity….
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
€
time
Traditional bottom-up approach
System and standards approach
Total cost of ownership and operation
0
X %
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Real Options for informed investment decisions in fast technology evolution context
interoperability
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
common data
commonlanguage
common behaviourEquipmentVendor A
EquipmentVendor B
interchangeabilityfrom specifications, not from blueprints
to allow competition for innovation !
World market – what « investors » want
IEC offers a Computer Aided standards navigation system: Advise about all standards relevant to a subsystem, component, or link
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
IEC IEV 191-02-03IEC TC 56
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Dependability “just as needed” by design
“SMART GRIDS”
“SMART GRIDS”
SMART CITYTECHNOLOGY MARKET
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy ‐ CICED Shenzhen ‐ Schomberg ‐ Sep 2014
Deploying smart city technologies could save 15% of global emissions and $900 billion $900 billion a year in energy savings by 2020. — Mark Kenber, CEO, The Climate Group
38Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Smart City Technology Market: The Regional View
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
- Asia Pacific region represents the largest opportunity between 2014 and 2023 - Europe enthusiastic but economic situation still a drag on growth - Interest in North America has grown rapidly over 18 months amongst cities and suppliers
Smart City Technology Market: The Industry View
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
- All sectors show strong growth, though energy sector will slow as advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) rollouts complete - Smart Transportation sector worth almost $6.5 billion by 2023 - Smart Water the fastest growing sector at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.9%
Drilling Down: Smart Street Lighting Control Node Unit Shipments by Lamp Type and Application
Shipments of control nodes are forecast to experience a 20.4% CAGR from 2014 to 2023, growing to 6.8 million shipments in 2023 Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Emerging Themes
Innovation in finance and governance Overcoming the top down/bottom up dichotomy New approaches to procurement Need to drive innovation off major infrastructure investments
Big data and analytics – still a meme on the rise Need to move beyond the hype – helping cities obtain real benefits Integration of analytics into business case
Resilience as an attribute of the smart city Growing focus on climate adaptation Can bring long-term and connected thinking to smart city programs
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Emerging Themes
Air quality and pollution Increasing focus on air quality in North America and Europe as well as in China and other rapidly developing countries Driving innovation in transport policy and adoption of clean fuel vehicles Also improved monitoring and city management
Standards Multiple initiatives underway Need to focus on collaboration and connection Benchmarking to support transparency
Security and data privacy need to be addressed Expect more stories about hacked traffic sensors and street lights Cities will need to be proactive in the privacy debate
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
BACK SLIDES
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
NanoGrids can be aggregated into MicroGrids
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
California levelized Energy Value by Hour and Month
15
913
1721
14
7 10
$0$20$40$60$80$100$120$140$160
Hour
Month
Levelized Avoided Cost by Month and Hour ($/MWh)
$140.00-$160.00$120.00-$140.00$100.00-$120.00$80.00-$100.00$60.00-$80.00$40.00-$60.00$20.00-$40.00$0.00-$20.00
Optimize the use of the electric system to avoid investing in costly peak generation used only 100 hours per year !
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
Source: Audrey Zibelmann
47
Synchrophasors systems on Transmission to detect stability shifts early
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014
49
How coupled are Urban Development and Energy?
Limited illustrative exampleSmart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy ‐ CICED Shenzhen ‐ Schomberg ‐ Sep 2014
50
Urban Development and Energy:complex dependencies !
Limited illustrative exampleSmart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy ‐ CICED Shenzhen ‐ Schomberg ‐ Sep 2014
The Marginal Price of Electricity is Established at the Real Time Intersection of Supply and Demand
Smart Energy: challenges, trends & strategy - CICED Shenzhen - Schomberg - Sep 2014