kokemuksia & näkemyksiä turun ... · 100 portfolio companies and real estate assets ....
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Lounais-Suomen RakennuspäiväKokemuksia & näkemyksiä Turun kiinteistösijoitusmarkkinoista ja vähän muutakin
10.2.2017
Kalle Myllymäki
Stockholm
Sweden
Helsinki
Finland
Helsinki
Finland
Helsinki
Finland
Espoo
Finland
Stockholm
Sweden
Turku
Finland
Helsinki
Finland
Copenhagen
Denmark
Esbjerg
Denmark
Copenhagen
Denmark
Stockholm
Sweden
Copenhagen
Denmark
Helsinki
Finland
Copenhagen
Denmark
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
CapMan in Brief
2 www.capman.com
A forerunner in private equity
years of experience in Finland, the Nordics and
Russia25+investments200core investment areas5
120 LPs as customers
.
100 portfolio companies and real estate assets
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Overview of CapMan’s Investment and Service Operations
3
Leading Nordic real
estate investor with €1.5
bn in assets under
management
One of the leading mid-sized
buyout firms in Finland and
Sweden
CapMan Credit –
Private debt
investments in small
and mid-sized
Nordic companies
Leading growth
investor in Russia
Fund management
Growing services businessCapMan’s capital under
management
€2.8 bn
Team of 100 private equity
professionals
Growth Equity
Minority investments in Nordic
unlisted growth companies
www.capman.com
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL4
€1.2 Billion of Equity Raised Since 2005
2005 2006 2007 2008 … 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
DEVELOPMENT OF CAPMAN REAL ESTATE
Nordic Market Overview
January 2017
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
The Nordics Overview
6
Norway
Population 5,200,000
Capital Oslo
Oslo population 1,200,000
GDP per capita, USD (Global rank)* 71,497 (3)
Annual GDP growth 1995-2015 2.2%
Unemployment** 4.9%
Denmark
Population 5,600,000
Capital Copenhagen
Copenhagen population 1,300,000
GDP per capita, USD (Global rank)* 53,243 (9)
Annual GDP growth 1995-2015 1.3%
Unemployment** 6.3%
Finland
Population 5,500,000
Capital Helsinki
Helsinki population 1,100,000
GDP per capita, USD (Global rank)* 43,492 (16)
Annual GDP growth 1995-2015 2.2%
Unemployment** 8.6%
Sweden
Population 10,000,000
Capital Stockholm
Stockholm population 2,200,000
GDP per capita, USD (Global rank)* 51,604 (11)
Annual GDP growth 1995-2015 2.5%
Unemployment** 6.9%
* IMF November 2016
** Eurostat September 2016
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Nordic Products
7
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
GDP Growth (% p.a.), the Nordics vs Eurozone
8
-10.0
-8.0
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E
Sweden Finland Denmark Norway Eurozone
The Nordics have during the last decade showed a strong growth and outperformed the growth in Eurozone
Source: OECD
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Unemployment (%) the Nordics vs EU-average
9
Source: Eurostat
All Nordic countries have a strong labour market and have continuously showed a lower unemployment rate than the EU-
average
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
Sweden Finland Denmark Norway EU-28
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Property Market Overview
10
Norway
Office stock Oslo CBD / Greater Oslo, sqm 800,000 / 8,400,000
Office vacancy Oslo CBD / Greater Oslo 6.0% / 7.5%
Prime office yields CBD / Suburban 4.00% / 5.00%
Investment volume 2016 (billion Euro) 7.3
Denmark
Office stock Cph CBD / Greater Cph, sqm 5,700,000 / 11,800,000
Office vacancy Cph CBD / Greater Cph 7.7% / 7.7%
Prime office yields CBD / Suburban 4.00% / 4.75%
Investment volume 2016 (billion Euro) 6.7
Finland
Office stock Helsinki CBD / Greater Helsinki, sqm 1,100,000 / 8,600,000
Office vacancy Helsinki CBD / Greater Helsinki 6.8% / 12.4%
Prime office yields CBD / Suburban 4.40% / 6.00%
Investment volume 2016 (billion Euro) 7.2
Sweden
Office stock Sthlm CBD / Greater Sthlm, sqm 1,800,000 / 11,600,000
Office vacancy Sthlm CBD / Greater Sthlm 3.8% / 8.1%
Prime office yields CBD / Suburban 3.75% / 5.00%
Investment volume 2016 (billion Euro) 22.2
Source: JLL Nordic City Report Autumn 2016,
Investment volume Pangea Property Partners
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Prime European Office Yields (%), H2 2016
11
Source: Cushman & Wakefield
13.25
10.509.75
8.008.008.007.257.007.007.007.006.806.75
5.505.255.004.904.804.754.404.254.154.003.903.753.703.603.503.253.203.15
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Nordic Property Market
12
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Prime Office Rents, EUR psm/yr
Sweden Denmark Finland Norway
Source: JLL, Catella and Cushman & Wakefield
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Prime Office Yields, %
Sweden Denmark Finland Norway
Turku Overview
February 2017
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Turku Property Market – Transaction Volume
14
Real Estate Transaction Volume
Source: KTI
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Turku Property Market – Transaction Volume in 2016
15
Sample transactions in 2016
• Nereis Business Garden
PEAB -> Local investor
• Former Kodin1 department store in Länsikeskus
n/a -> Local investor
• Retail centre Centrum
CapMan RE II Ky -> Nordea Life Insurance
• Pharmacity office asset in Kupittaa
Varma -> Turku Technology Properties
• High Tech Centre 3 in Kupittaa
Lunden Kiinteistöt Oy -> Turku Technology Properties
• Yliopistonkatu 14 in city centre
Sponda -> LähiTapiola
• Kivikukkaro retail asset
n/a -> Virtanen Yhtiöt and an undisclosed foreign
investor
• XXL retail box in Skanssi
Etera -> Aktia Henkivakuutus Oy, VR Eläkesäätiö ja
Rautuki-säätiö
Source: Catella, CapMan Real Estate
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Turku Property Market – Occupier Market
16 Source: Catella
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Turku Property Market – Occupier Market
17 Source: Catella
STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL
Turku Property Market – Constrained Supply Pipeline
18
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
Office Construction Activity in Turku
Started, sqm Completions, sqm
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
Retail Construction Activity in Turku
Started, sqm Completions, sqm
Source: KTI