khalid_mansoor sind engro coal power
TRANSCRIPT
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Sindh Engro Coal Mining
Company
Creating Value Through Investment
Indigenous Fuel is the Key to Energy Security of Pakistan
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Pakistan’s Development Challenge
Population Below Poverty Line
(income less than USD 2 / day)
_____________________
60%
Population Growth Rate
_______________________
2%
GDP per Capita
_____________
980 USD
Source: World Bank
0.01
0.10
1.00
10.00
100.00
1,000.00
10,000.00
0.01 0.10 1.00 10.00 100.00 1,000.00 10,000.00
Energy Supplies in Million Tons of Oil Equivalent
GDP USD Billion
….and needs energy to meet this challenge
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Pakistan’s Power Demand-Supply Forecast
Peak Demand
Supply
Daimer – Basha Dam
(4500 MW)
Only plants that have achieved or are likely to achieve financial close included in the supply forecast
Average 2% Growth
rate assumed
Thar Coal (1200 MW)
Average 3% Growth rate
based on GDP & Population
Growth
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Impact of Energy Crisis
Source: State of the Economy – Emerging from Crisis 2008, Beacon House National University publication, Pakistan Economic Survey 2009
• Electricity shortage of more than 4500 MW and frequent power cuts
translate to:
4
Impact/Year
Total cost of load shedding to the economy USD 2.5 billion
Cost as percentage of GDP 2 % decrease
Loss of employment in the economy 400,000 jobs
Loss of exports USD 1 Billion
0
4
8
12
16
Current Future (2020)
$ billion Energy Import Bill for Power Generation
Increasing dependence onexpensive imported energyputs a severe constraint on
ability to pay Import bill expected to
increase to above USD 8 billionby 2020
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Wrong Fuel Choice
Source: 1) State of Industries Report 2010, NEPRA 2) Integrated Energy Plan
Gas
42%
RFO25%HSD1%
Coal
0%
Hydel
30%
Nuclear
2%
2008-09
Gas
29%
RFO37%
HSD1%
Coal
0%
Hydel
30%
Nuclear
3% 2009-10
• Due to lack of indigenous natural gas shortages, reliance on expensive imported RFO has increased
and exacerbated Circular Debt problem
• If Coal had been used instead of RFO to make up for indigenous natural gas shortage, it would
have reduced energy import bill by USD 600 M and direct saving of USD 280 M to electricity
consumers
• 50% reduction in use of RFO for power generation would reduce Pakistan’s energy import bill
by USD 900 M and benefit electricity consumers by USD 400 M
CountryPower Generated from
Coal (%)
Australia 80
China 78
India 53
USA 50
Germany 47
UK 30
World Average 42
Pakistan 0.1
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Thar Coal Potential
Thar
PAKISTAN
Thar Desert contains the world’s 7th largest coal reserves:
Location of Thar Coal Field
1% = 25%Thar Coal Reserve
175 Billion Ton = 50 Billion TOE = 2000 TCFTotal Thar Coal Reserve More than Saudi Arabia 68 times higher than
& Iranian Oil Reserves Pakistan’s total gas reserves
Source:: GSP data/report – Energy equivalent is based on Shenhua report/RWE
Pakistan’s Power
Generation Capacity in
2010
Development of Block II alone would
bring in investment of USD 12 Billion
Entire Thar Coal Reserves can be used to
generate 100,000 MW of electricity for
over 200 years
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Public Private Partnership – Alignment of Incentives
Sindh Engro Coal Mining Company
Sindh Engro Coal Mining Company’s Vision :
To develop and execute technically and commercially viable Coal Mining Project in TharBlock II to generate electric power and bring energy security to Pakistan based on
indigenous resource
• Joint Venture (JV) Company Structure :
• 40% Shares owned by the Government of Sindh (GoS)
• 60% Shares owned by Engro PowerGen Limited (EPL)
• Core expertise and responsibilities of each JV Partner include :
• GoS would assist in timely availability of all relevant data (previous and currently ongoing
studies), requisite approvals from Federal and Provincial Governments and timely delivery of
infrastructure requirement for the Project including roads and transmission line
• Engro PowerGen will lead development, financing, management and execution of the Project in
a professional and fast track manner
This Public Private Partnership reflects new strategic focus of Government & Engro to develop Thar
Coal reserves, raising the bar on how mega project investment is planned, prioritized, financed
and delivered
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Bankable Feasibility Study Consultants
SECMC
RWE-Germany
* Environment and Social Impact Assessment
SGS Pakistan
Sampling/CoalAnalysis Contractor
SRK-UK /Hagler Bailly Pakistan
ESIA* Consultants
North East Coal Bureau(NECB) China
Hydrological Field WorkContractor
SINOCOAL Intl.China
Bankable FeasibilityStudy Consultant
Hydrological Model& GW Abstraction
Consultant
DRD-Pakistan
Drilling Work
Sub-contractor
RWE-Germany
Owner‘s Consultant
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Key Highlights – Thar Coal Mining Feasibility Study
• Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS) for Thar Block II Coal Mining Project has been completed by
internationally renowned Consultants within budget on August 31, 2010 as per target date
• Technical, environmental and social viability of the Project has been confirmed meeting all international
lender’s standards (IFC/World Bank, ADB etc.)
Salient features of the study for 6.5 Mt/a Mine are as follows :
• Total Lignite reserve in Block II - 2 Billion tons ; Exploitable Reserve - 1.57 Billion tons which can
support 5,000 MW for 50 years; average striping ratio is 6.2:1
• Required Overburden removal ; 140 Mm3 for initial 4 years ; 1277 Mm3 over 30 years
• Total mine depth is 195 m (640 ft) ; cumulative lignite seam thickness is 32 m
• Average lignite quality calculated from 1618 samples is ( Heating Value 11.6 MJ/kg (~ 5000 Btu/lb) , Ash
7.3 %, Moisture 47.48 %, Sulphur 1.1 % ) better than lignite being used in Greece & Germany for powergeneration
• To keep the mine dry for operations, ~ 37 Mm3/a (~ 41 cusecs) of GW1 will have to be pumped out in
the initial years, which will reduce to ~ 25 Mm3/a ( ~ 28 cusecs) in later years
• Shovel & Truck (S/T) has been selected for Lignite Mining due to its flexibility to achieve mine scalability
to 13 Mt/a & 22.8 Mt/a in a cost effective manner. Bucket Wheel Excavator (BWE) & Spreader system
will be utilized for mine expansion to 13 Mt/a & 22.8Mt/a
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Key Highlights – Thar Coal Mining Feasibility Study
Environment & Social Viability Assessment :
•No significant or unmanageable environmental threats and social implications indicated
• GW impact assessment and mitigation measures finalized ; drawdown in 1st aquifer will be monitored, re-
infiltration may be done after 20 years if required
• Only 2 villages will need to be relocated ; 1 st in 2025 and 2nd in 2035
Mine & power plant to be developed in parallel :
• Phase 1 of the project will be development of a 6.5 million tons/annum coal mine in parallel with
development of 1200 MW Coal fired Power Plant. Total Mining and Power Generation Projects Cost is
estimated to be 3 – 4 Billion USD
• Subsequently, the coal mine will be scaled up to 22.5 Mt/a capacity and power plant capacity will be
increased to 4000 MW expeditiously. This will require investment of over USD 12 Billion
• 1st Phase of Coal Mine & Power Plant construction is targeted to start in 2012 and both Coal Mine & Power
Plant will start operations by 2016
• GoS & GoP to ensure timely provision of infrastructure requirements including roads network and
transmission line
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Project Financing from Chinese Financial Institutions
• Subsequent to Chinese Prime Minister’s visit to Pakistan in Dec, 2010, a “Joint Energy Working Group”
(JEWG) between Government of Pakistan (GoP) & Govt. of China has been formed to shortlist theenergy projects for technical and financial assistance from Govt. of China
• SECMC team presented details of Thar Block II Coal Mining, Power Plant & Infrasturucture Projects to
Sub-Energy Working Group (SEWG) comprising Joint Secretary MoPNR1, Secretary C&EDD and DG
Mines on 7-8 Jan, 2011. SEWG unanimously agreed to forward the comprehensive proposal for the
Projects with their recommendations to Energy Working Group (EWG) of GoP
• EWG has included these Projects in the list of energy projects to be presented in JEWG meeting
scheduled to be held in March, 2011 in Beijing to seek Govt. of China support for financing
• SECMC has communicated to GoS / GoP financing requirement and proposed structure for discussion
and approval at JEWG meeting
• GoS to pursue EWG to ensure JEWG recommends to Govt. of China to instruct Chinese Financial
Institutions for financing of Thar Projects as per structure proposed by SECMC
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Benefits of Thar Coal Development
• To overcome the current energy crisis, Pakistan has no other alternative except development of
indigenous energy resources• Thar investment will provide the following benefits :
o Strategic energy resource that will guarantee energy security to Pakistan in the decades to
come
o Import substitution of expensive RFO or Natural Gas – Due to import substitution benefits,
Thar mining will act as a direct “foreign exchange earning sector“ and help lower the adverse
impact of imported fuel on Pakistan’s Trade Balance
o Lower power tariff for Coal fired Power Plants as compared to RFO based power tariff
o Socio-Economic Development of Thar region
Presently Thar District ranks lowest on all socio-economic development indicators in
Sindh
o Development of indigenous coal mining industry will lead to skilled job creation andtransfer of technology
o Potential for future downstream industries in Petro-chemical and Fertilizer products
Thar Coal is a fortune turning opportunity for Pakistan
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Dump TruckShovel
Mine Equipment – Shovel & Truck
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Bucket Wheel Excavator & Spreader
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Mine & Power Plant Layout
Layout - 6.5 Mt/a Mine with Expansion to 22.8 Mt/a Mine
Township
MSF
PowerPlant
StockYard