key takeaways - asiawealth.co.th · assistant analyst bangkok airways pcl (ba) analyst meeting on...
TRANSCRIPT
Key Takeaways 19 Aug 2015
1
Please see disclaimer on last page
Not rated
TP: N.A. Upside/downside N.A.
Sector Transportation & Logistics
Paid-up shares (shares mn) 2,100
Market capitalization (Bt mn) 44,730
Free float (%) 34.28
12-mth daily avg. turnover (Bt mn) 134.90
12-mth trading range (Bt) 24.80/19.30
Major shareholders (%)
Prasattong-Osoth Family 64.44
Bangkok Bank 5.00
THAI NVDR 1.99
Thailand Research Department
Mr. Warut Siwasariyanon,
License, No. 17923
Ms. Sukanya Leelarwerachai
Assistant Analyst
Bangkok Airways PCL (BA)
► Analyst meeting on 18 Aug 2015.
► Reported 2Q15 normalized loss of Bt22mn, down 102% QoQ
but up 94% YoY. Earnings were lower than the Bloomberg
consensus of Bt201mn.
► 3Q15 should be another good quarter due to a solid high
season for BA.
2Q15 normalized loss of Bt22mn, down 102% QoQ up 94% YoY
As the second quarter is normally the low season for Thai tourism,
including Samui which is the second hub of the company, BA’s
operating revenue declined 24% QoQ but was up 9% YoY.
Passengers carried rose 5% YoY, while average fare improved
2% YoY. Gross profit margin improved to 11% from 5% in 2Q14
as a result of the decline in the price of jet fuel which helped cost
per available seat kilometers (CASK) decline 1.2% YoY to Bt3.2
per ASK. However, the company still reported normalized loss of
Bt22mn as operating revenue growth did not cover operating cost,
as 2Q is normally the weakest quarter but it still improved YoY. By
including gain on exchange of Bt113mn, the net profit was
Bt91mn, down 91% QoQ but up 128% YoY.
Management’s outlook for 3Q15 onward
3Q15 should be another good quarter for BA as 3Q is normally the
high season for the company, especially the Samui route, as there
are long holidays for Europe. Management guided that 3Q15
(YTD), load factor was at 75% while passenger growth was
approximately 13% YoY. For 2015, the management still targets
6mn passengers (up 25% YoY). The negative impact from the
bombing at Erawan shrine should be limited to the short term if
martial law is not implemented again. In 1H15, passenger revenue
contributed from China accounted for only 5% of total passenger
revenue. BA’s strategy of network expansion with new codeshare
and interline is a strength as growth in revenues via partner airlines
increased 32% in 2Q15. In 2H15, BA plans to increase
codesharing by at least five airlines and receive an additional three
aircraft. Moreover, in 2H15, existing partners will up-gauge aircraft
in-out three key airports (Bangkok, Kuala Lumpur and Singapore).
This will increase estimated seat capacity by around 26% and
implies more passenger carriage for BA. As for ICAO concerns,
the FAA is expected to return to audit again in Sep-Oct. If they
downgrade Thailand from category one to two, EASA may return
to audit BA again in Nov 2015. However, the company has IOSA
certificated from IATA which is reliable and the company works
closely with its partner airlines to guarantee BA’s standards are
acceptable. Therefore, the negative impact is consider to be
limited for BA.
Key Takeaways 19 Aug 2015
2
Please see disclaimer on last page
Figure 1: BA's 2Q15 earning results
Unit: Btmn 2Q14 1Q15 2Q15 %QoQ %YoY 1H14 1H15 %YoY
Operating Revenue 4,525 6,482 4,944 -24% 9% 10,437 11,427 9%
Cost of services 4,304 4,487 4,391 -2% 2% 8,746 8,878 2%
Gross Profit 221 1,995 553 -72% 150% 1,690 2,548 51%
SG&A 672 770 811 5% 21% 1,384 1,581 14%
Operating profit (451) 1,226 (258) -121% 43% 306 967 216%
Gain on exchange 36 113 - 218% (4) 117 3326%
Gain on sale investment 3 - 0.07 - 3.37 0.07 -98%
Interest Expense 407 381 400 5% -2% 825 781 -5%
Normalized profit (365) 1,070 (22) -102% 94% 188 1,044 455%
One-off items 39 - 113 - 191% (0.26) 117
Net Profit (326) 1,070 91 -91% 128% 188 1,161 518%
EPS (Bt/share) (0.21) 0.51 0.04 -91% 121% 0.12 0.55 365%
Gross Profit Margin (%) 5% 31% 11% 16% 22%
Operating Profit Margin (%) -10% 19% -5% 3% 8%
Net Profit Margin (%) -7% 17% 2% 2% 10%
Source: SET, Compiled by AWS
3
Please see disclaimer on last page
CG Report
Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies (CGR). CG Rating by the Thai Institute of Directors Association (IOD) in 2013.
Corporate Governance Report disclaimer
The disclosure of the survey result of the Thai Institute of Directors
Association (“IOD”) regarding corporate governance is made pursuant
to the policy of the Office of the Securities and Exchange Commission.
The survey of the IOD is based on the information of a company listed
on the Stock Exchange of Thailand and the Market for Alternative
Investment disclosed to the public and able to be accessed by a
general public investor. The result, therefore, is from the perspective of
a third party. It is not an evaluation of operation and is not based on
inside information.
The survey result is as of the date appearing in the Corporate
Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies. As a result, the survey
result may be changed after that date, Asia wealth Securities Company
Limited does not conform nor certify the accuracy of such survey result.
Score Range Number of Logo Description
90 – 100
80 – 89
70 – 79
60 – 69
50 – 59
Excellent
Very Good
Good
Satisfactory
Pass
BAFS EGCO IRPC KTB PTTEP SAT SIM TOPBCP GRAMMY IVL MINT PTTGC SC SPALIBTS HANA KBANK PSL SAMART SCB TISCOCPN INTUCH KKP PTT SAMTEL SE-ED TMB
AAV BIGC DELTA HMPRO NBC PJW SAMCO SVI TOGACAP BKI DRT ICC NCH PM SCC TCAP TRCADVANC BLA DTAC KCE NINE PPS SINGER TF TRUEANAN BMCL DTC KSL NKI PR SIS THAI TSTEAOT BROOK EASTW LANNA NMG PRANDA SITHAI THANI TSTHASIMAR CENTEL EE LH NSI PS SNC THCOM TTAASK CFRESH ERW LHBANK OCC PT SNP TIP TTWASP CIMBT GBX LOXLEY OFM QH SPI TIPCO TVOBANPU CK GC LPN PAP RATCH SSF TK UACBAY CNT GFPT MACO PE ROBINS SSI TKT VGIBBL CPF GUNKUL MC PG RS SSSC TNITY VNTBECL CSL HEMRAJ MCOT PHOL S&J STA TNL WACOAL
2S BEAUTY CSS IHL MFEC PPM SKR TBSP TSC ZMICOAF BEC DCC INET MJD PPP SMG TEAM TSCAH BFIT DEMCO IRC MODERN PREB SMK TFD TTCLAHC BH DNA IRCP MONO PRG SMPC TFI TUFAIT BJC EA ITD MOONG PRIN SMT THANA TVDAJ BJCHI ESSO KBS MPG PTG SOLAR THIP TWFPAKP BOL FE KGI MTI QLT SPC THREL UMIAKR BTNC FORTH KKC NC QTC SPCG TIC UPAMANAH BWG FPI KTC NTV RCL SPPT TICON UPFAMARIN CCET GENCO L&E NUSA SABINA SST TIW UPOICAMATA CGD GL LRH NWR SALEE STANLY TKS UTAP CGS GLOBAL LST NYT SCBLIF STEC TLUXE UVAPCO CHOW GLOW MAJOR OGC SCCC STPI TMI UWCAPCS CI GOLD MAKRO OISHI SCG SUC TMT VIHAQUA CKP HOTPOT MATCH PACE SEAFCO SWC TNDT WAVEARIP CM HTC MBK PATO SEAOIL SYMC TPC WHAAS CMR HTECH MBKET PB SFP SYNEX TPCORP WINASIA CSC HYDRO MEGA PDI SIAM SYNTEC TRT WINNERAYUD CSP IFS MFC PICO SIRI TASCO TRU YUASA
Source: Thai Institute of Directors (IOD)
4
Please see disclaimer on last page
CG Report
Below 50 No logo given N/A
Contact
5
Please see disclaimer on last page
This report has been prepared by Asia Wealth Securities Company Limited (“AWS”). The information herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, but AWS makes no representation as to the accuracy and completeness of such information. AWS does not accept any liability for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of such information or opinions in this report. Before making your own independent decision to invest or enter into transaction, investors should study this report carefully and should review information relating. All rights are reserved. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published by any person in any manner for any purpose without permission of AWS. Investment in securities has risks. Investors are advised to consider carefully before making decisions.
Branch Address Phone Fax
Head Office 540 Floor 7,14,17 , Mercury Tower, Ploenchit Road, Lumphini,
Pathumwan Bangkok 10330
02-680-5000 02-680-5111
Silom 191 Silom Complex Building,21st Floor Room 2,3-1 Silom Rd.,
Silom, Bangrak, Bangkok, 10500 Thailand
02-630-3500 02-630-3530-1
Asok 159 Sermmitr Tower, 17th FL. Room No.1703, Sukhumvit 21
Road, Klong Toey Nua, Wattana, Bangkok 10110
02-261-1314-21 02-261-1328
Pinklao
7/3 Central Plaza Pinklao Office Building Tower B, 16th Flr., Room
No.1605-1606 Baromrajachonnanee Road, Arunamarin,
Bangkoknoi, Bangkok 10700
02-884-7333 02-884-7357,
02-884-7367
Chaengwattana
99/99 Moo 2 Central Plaza Chaengwattana Office Tower, 22nd Flr.,
Room 2204 Chaengwattana Road, Bang Talad, Pakkred,
Nonthaburi 11120
02-119-2300 02-8353014
Chaengwattana 2
9/99 Moo 2 Central Plaza Chaengwattana Office Tower, 22nd Flr.,
Room 2203 Chaengwattana Road, Bang Talad, Pakkred,
Nonthaburi 11120
02-119-2388 02-119-2399
Mega Bangna 39 Moo6 Megabangna, 1st Flr., Room 1632/7 Bangna-Trad Road,
Bangkaew Bangplee, Samutprakarn 10540
02-106-7345 02-105-2070
Rayong 356/18 Sukhumvit Road, Nuen-Phra Sub District, Muang District,
Rayong Province 21000
038-808200 038-807200
Khonkaen 26/9 Srijanmai Road, Tamboonnaimuang, Khon Khaen
40000
043-334-700 043-334-799
Chonburi 44 Vachiraprakarn Road, Bangplasoi, Muang Chonburi, Chonburi
20000
038-274-533 038-275-168
Chaseongsao 233-233/2 Moo2 1st Flr., Sukprayoon Road, Na Meung Sub-
District, Meung District, Chachoengsao 24000
038-981-587 038-981-591