key performance trends found only in donor file analysis data - bridge 2014
DESCRIPTION
Track 10 Data & AnalyticsTRANSCRIPT
Key Performance Trends Found Only
in Donor File Analysis Data
Laura Connors, Deputy Vice President for Membership, National Parks Conservation AssociationAmelia Koch, Director of Membership, Chesapeake Bay FoundationTJ Hillinger, Vice President, Avalon Consulting Group
#Bridge14 1
#Bridge14
What are Key Performance Trends?
2
#Bridge14
What metrics and views are relevant?
Comparing key metrics will give you a deeper view into the health, future performance, and potential of your donor file.
3
Income per member
Gifts per member
Donor value/ Long-term
value
Retention – First, Multi,
Overall
Rate of Upgrading
File composition
Metrics should be compared over time, and to other organizations, when evaluating their significance.
#Bridge14
5 Case Studies
Critical views into donor-level data…
1.File Composition & Retention2.Long-Term Value3.Pipeline to Major Giving4.Multi-Channel Relationships5.Impact of Acquisition Investment
4
#Bridge14
Case Study #1 – File Composition and Retention
Background: The Chesapeake Bay Foundation’s (CBF) program was flat in income and declining in members.
5
#Bridge14
Analysis of new joins by channel illustrated the large percentage from CBF’s canvass program.
40%!
6
#Bridge14
File composition analysis unveiled dramatic changes and underlying issues.
Under $25 joins had increased dramatically = low retention.
7
#Bridge14
Key Performance Trend:
Retention analysis pinpoints both the canvass program and large universe of under $25 joins as a key source of overall retention issues.
8
#Bridge14
Actions taken…
CBF made significant changes to the program to improve retention, long-term value, and net revenue.
File composition is moving in the right direction with $25+ joins increased to 34% after a low point of 28% in 2011.
9
#Bridge14
The results: CBF’s historically low first-year retention is now on the rise as file composition shifts.
10
First-year retention
Overall
retention
Multi-year
retentionMulti-year and overall retention have increased, along with many of CBF’s core metrics.
#Bridge14
Case Study #2 – Long-Term Value
Background: The National Parks Conservation Association uses a premium in their acquisition program to drive new joins at the $15 level. The long-term value of premium donors was in question. Additionally, donor-level analysis showed a clear break at new joins above $25.
Five year “donor value” jumps by
93% for new joins at the $25 first
gift.
11
#Bridge14
First, NPCA tested a $25 ask against the $15 control to measure upfront results against ROI.
Year 1 Return on Investment favored the $25 ask over the $15 ask.
Net revenue was in favor of the $25 ask after one year, and retained members were 98% of those who had joined on the $15 ask (very similar!).
12
ROI after 1 year
#Bridge14
Then, NPCA performed a six month test of their $15 premium control against no premium.
As expected, the upfront performance indicated a decline in new joins. Long-term value analysis would be the true measure of results.
Average gift still slightly favored the premium package.
Net revenue was virtually tied with the cost of the premium included.
13
#Bridge14
Key Performance Trend:
Evaluating the new joins from each group at 2 years out unveiled more interesting findings about the test.
With a premium
at $15.
14
Despite far fewer joins, the No Premium group produced similar net revenue after one year, and individual donors had a better long-term value.
#Bridge14
NPCA will continue to analyze these two groups to see if findings change with another year of data.
The significant difference in new joins (30%) could indicate missed opportunities in terms of monthly gifts, upgraded members, planned gifts, etc.
Next Steps:
15
#Bridge14
Case Study #3 – Pipeline to Major GivingBackground: A direct marketing program often provides high value beyond revenue within the program. To justify both acquisition investment and the program in general, CBF examined donor level trends relating to the pipeline to major and planned gifts.
Some organizations see over 50% of their $1000+ gifts coming from low dollar joins!
16
#Bridge14
Key Performance Trend:
For CBF, 33% of their $1,000+ major donors come from the under $100 pool. This information:A)Justifies investment in the acquisition program.B)Identifies room for improvement compared to other organizations.
Additionally, the average time to upgrade was 8.3 years.
17
#Bridge14
57% of bequests came from under $100 joins.
These large gifts add significant value to the members generated from the acquisition program.
18
#Bridge14
To continue moving members up the pipeline…
19
CBF continues to monitor trends on an annual basis.
#Bridge14
Case Study #4 – Multi-Channel AnalysisBackground: NPCA has prioritized multi-channel and online growth. The past five years have illustrated a gradual increase. Yet, the channels all work closely together and it is important to understand the sources of growth when evaluating the program.
20
#Bridge14
Key Performance Trend:
Analysis of web giving by join channel shows a large percentage of revenue from direct mail joins.
21
#Bridge14
Analysis of the subsequent revenue for online joins shows strong integration in all channels.
While direct mail joins still give primarily to direct mail, that trend is gradually changing.
Email Joins
22
#Bridge14
Assessing retention and income per member shows the clear correlation between giving through multiple
channels and higher value members.
23
#Bridge14
Showing the close tie between all channels further justifies continued investment in the mail, as well as
online.
24
NPCA’s progress confirms the need to
provide multi-channel opportunities.
Analysis shows continued room for improvement with
additional integration strategies.
Background:Acquisition was reduced and then completely eliminated in 2010. Income has been impacted dramatically and can take years to rebound.
#Bridge14
Case Study #5 – Impact of Acquisition Investment
Acquisition cut
25
#Bridge14
Key Performance Trend:
Acquisition reduced
This view shows the long-term impact of acquisition on overall revenue. Members from the earliest years are still giving and revenue is compounded year after year.
26
#Bridge14
Results: The file is slowly rebounding, but will take time to return to past highs.
27
Quarterly and annual
oversight of key metrics
through dashboards and full file
analysis.
Identification of changing
performance trends.
Continuous goal
evaluation, resetting, and forecasting.
Education and
reporting to leadership.
REPEAT.
#Bridge14
So, how do you really use this information?
28
Questions?
#Bridge14 29
Thank you!
Don’t forget to visit the Solutions Showcase!
Many of the ideas discussed today are on display at the Solutions Showcase!
#Bridge14 30