kentucky state education data profile - may 2011

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    HOW WELL IS KENTUCKY

    PREPARING ALL

    STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,

    CAREERS AND LIFE

    May 2011

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    A high school diploma is no longer enough; now, nearly every good

    job requires some education beyond high school such as an

    associates or bachelors degree, certificate, license, or completion

    of an apprenticeship or significant on-the-job training.

    Far too many students drop out or graduate from high school

    without the knowledge and skills required for success, closing doors

    and limiting their post-high school options and opportunities.

    The best way to prepare students for life after high school is to alignK-12 and postsecondary expectations. All students deserve a world-

    class education that prepares them for college, careers and life.

    Why College- and Career-Ready

    Expectations for All?

    2

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    A HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA IS NOLONGER ENOUGH FOR SUCCESS

    The changing economy is accelerating theexpectations gap, as careers increasingly requiresome education/training beyond high school,and more developed knowledge and skills.

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    4Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). Help Wanted: Projections of Jobs andEducationRequirements Through 2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce.ww9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdf

    Jobs in Todays (and Tomorrows) Workforce

    Require More Education and Training

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    The Rise of Middle-Skill Jobs

    5Source: Holzer, Harry J. and Robert I. Lerman (February 2009). The Future of Middle-SkillJobs.Brookings Institution.

    High-skill jobs

    Occupations in the professional/technical and managerial categories.

    Often require four-year degrees and above

    Middle-skill jobs

    Occupations that include clerical, sales, construction, installation/repair,

    production, and transportation/material moving.

    Low-skill jobs

    Occupations in the service and agricultural categories.

    Often require some education and training beyond high school (but

    typically less than a bachelors degree), including associates degrees,

    vocational certificates, significant on-the-job training.

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    Employment Shares by Occupational Skill Level

    6Source: National Skills Coalition (2010). The Bridge to a NewEconomy: Worker TrainingFills the Gap.http://www.nationalskillscoalition.org/assets/reports-/the-bridge-to-a-new-economy.pdf ; National Skills Coalition (2011).

    State MiddleSkillFactSheets. http://www.nationalskillscoalition.org/resources/fact-sheets/state-fact-sheets/

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    Education and Training Beyond High School

    Is Increasingly Being Demanded

    8Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. OccupationalOutlookHandbook, 2010-11 Edition.http://www.bls.gov/oco/oco2003.htm

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    The Jobs of Tomorrow

    9Source: Milano, Jessica,B

    ruce Reed & Paul Weinstein Jr. (Sept 2009).A

    Matter of Degrees:Tomorrows Fastest GrowingJobs andWhy Community College Graduates WillGet Them. TheNew Democratic Leadership Council.

    Kentucky should be preparing students for the jobs of

    tomorrow, not the jobs of yesterday or even today.

    A quarter of American workers are now in jobs not even listed in the

    Census Bureaus occupation codes in 1967.

    Given the growth of new job sectors most notably green jobs it is

    common sense to provide all students with a strong foundation that

    keeps all doors open and all opportunities available in the future.

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    The Public Agrees That Education or

    Training Beyond High School

    is Necessary for Future Success

    10

    To really get ahead in life, a

    person needs at least some

    education beyond high

    school, whether that means

    university, community

    college, technical orvocational school.

    To really get ahead in

    life, a person needs more

    than just a high school

    education.

    87

    8

    Source: Achieve, Inc. (2010). Achievingthe Possible: WhatAmericans Think the College andCareer-ReadyAgenda. http://www.achieve.org/files/AchievingThePossible-FinalReport.pdf

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    Americas International Edge is Slipping in

    Postsecondary Degree Attainment

    11Source: OECD. Education at a Glance 2010. (All rates are self-reported.) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60% Young Adults (25-34) with College Degree % Adults (25-64) with College Degree

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    % of Citizens with Postsecondary Degrees Among OECD Countries, by Age Group (2 )

    - 4 4 - 4 3 -44 2 -34 ALL (2 - 4)

    1 U.S. (40%) Canada (44%) Canada (54%) Korea (58%) Canada (49%)

    2 Canada (40%) Japan (43%) Japan (48%) Canada (56%) Japan (43%)

    3 N.Z. (34%) U.S. (40%) Finland (44%) Japan (55%) U.S. (41%)

    4 Finland (29%) N.Z. (38%) U.S. (43%) N.Z. (48%) N.Z. (40%)

    Australia (28%) Finland (37%) Korea (43%) Norway (46%) Finland (37%)

    Norway (28%) Australia (33%) N.Z. (40%) Ireland (45%) Korea (37%)

    7 Switz. (27%) Denmark (32%) Norway (38%) Denmark (43%) Norway (36%)

    8 U.K. (27%) Norway (32%) Australia (38%) Belgium (42%) Australia (36%)

    Sweden (26%) Switz. (31%) Denmark (37%) Australia (42%) Denmark (34%)

    1 Neth. (26%) Neth. (31%) Ireland (37%) U.S. (42%) Ireland (34%)

    11 Denmark (26%) Iceland (30%) Switz. (36%) Sweden (41%) Switz. (34%)

    12 Japan (26%) U.K. (30%) Iceland (36%) France (41%) U.K. (33%)

    13 Germany (24%) Belgium (29%) Belgium (35%) Neth. (40%) Belgium (32%)

    14 Iceland (24%) Sweden (28%) U.K. (33%) Spain (39%) Neth. (32%)

    1 Belgium (22%) Ireland (27%) Sweden (33%) Luxembourg (39%) Sweden (32%)

    4 - 4: Kentucky (28%) KY (33%) KY (34%) KY (3 %)

    Americas International Edge is Slipping in

    Postsecondary Degree Attainment

    12Source: OECD. Education at a Glance 2010. http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en ; National Center for Higher Education Management Systems analysis of 2009 AmericanCommunity Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

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    Of Every 100 9th Graders in Kentucky

    14Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008). Student Pipeline- Transition andCompletion Ratesfrom 9th Grade to College. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    9th Graders Grad ateigh hoolin 4 ears

    Enroll inCollege In the

    Fall

    till Enrolledophomore

    ear ofCollege

    Earn aCollegeDegree

    1

    42

    28

    1

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    Achievement Remains Low: 8th Grade

    Achievement Over Time

    15Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/

    8th Grade Math 1 2 2

    Kentucky 14% 27%

    U.S. 21% 34%

    8th Grade Reading 1 8 2

    Kentucky 29% 33%

    U.S. 33% 32%

    8th Grade Science 1 2

    Kentucky 23% 34%

    U.S. 29% 30%

    %At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

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    And Gaps Persist: Kentuckys 8th Grade

    Achievement Gap

    16Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/

    Subgroup8th Grade Math

    (2 )

    8th Grade

    Reading (2 )

    8th Grade Science

    (2 )

    All Students 27% 33% 28%

    White 29% 35% 36%

    Black 8% 15% 16%

    Hispanic 22% 30% 24%

    Asian n/a n/a n/a

    American Indian n/a n/a n/a

    %At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

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    High School Graduation Rates Remain

    Inequitable in Kentucky

    17Source: Education Week (2007). Graduation in the UnitedStates.http://www.edweek.org/media/ew/dc/2010/34sos_gradrate.pdf

    0%10%20%30%40%50%

    60%70%

    0%90%

    American

    Indian

    Asian

    HispanicBlackWhiteAll

    51%

    81%

    56%54%

    77%

    69%

    81%

    57%61%

    73%72%

    n/a

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    Americas International Edge is Slipping in

    High School Graduation Rates

    18Source: OECD. Education at a Glance 2010. (All rates are self-reported) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2008 and 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    Iceland

    U.K.

    Netherlands

    Norway

    Ireland

    Denmark

    Germany

    Israel

    Canada

    Poland

    Korea

    U.S.

    Kentucky

    % Young Adults (25-34) with HS Diploma+ % Adults (25-64) with HS Diploma+

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    Enrollment in College Does NOT Equal

    College Readiness

    19Source: National Center for Education Statistics (2003). RemedialEducation at Degree-GrantingPostsecondary Institutions in Fall2000.

    Percentage of U.S. first-year students in two-year and four-yearinstitutions requiring remediation

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    Enrollment in College Does NOT Equal

    College Readiness in Kentucky

    20Source: Kentucky Council on Postsecondary Education Comprehensive Database (Aug 2008).DevelopmentalEducation Needs in the 2006 EnteringCohort. http://cpe.ky.gov/NR/rdonlyres/B42243CB-D19A-4EC4-AD34-ECF2900D51B1/0/Dev_needs_2006_20090605.pdf

    Percentage of U.S. first-year students in two-year and four-yearinstitutions requiring remediation

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    Enrollment in College Does NOT Equal

    College Readiness in Kentucky

    21Source: Kentucky Council on Postsecondary Education Comprehensive Database (Aug 2008).DevelopmentalEducation Needs in the 2006 EnteringCohort. http://cpe.ky.gov/NR/rdonlyres/B42243CB-D19A-4EC4-AD34-

    ECF2900D51B1/0/Dev needs 2006 20090605. df

    Percentage of students at two-year and four-year institutions

    requiring remediation

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    Freshmen at Two-Year Colleges are More

    Likely to Require Remediation

    22Source: National Center for Education Statistics (2003). RemedialEducation at Degree-GrantingPostsecondary Institutions in Fall2000.

    0%

    5%

    0%

    5%

    20%

    25%30%

    35%

    40%

    45%

    Reading, Writingor Math

    ReadingWriting

    Math

    42%

    20%23%

    35%

    20%

    6%9%16%

    Public 2-Year Colleges Public 4-Year Colleges

    Percentage of U.S. first-year students requiring remediation,by institution type

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    Many College Students Fail to Return Their

    Sophomore Year and Go On To Earn Degrees

    23Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008). Retention Rates -First-Time College Freshmen ReturningTheirSecondYear; Graduation Rates.http://www.higheredinfo.org/

    0%10%20%30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    Completion (4-Year)

    Persistence (4-Year)Persistence (2-

    Year)

    56%

    75%

    54%

    45%

    7 %

    55%

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    Many College Students Fail to Earn a

    Degree in Kentucky

    24Source: NCES. IPEDS Graduation RateSurvey,analyzed by National Center for Management ofHigher Education Systems.

    Percent of students earning a bachelorsdegree within six years in Kentucky, 2 7

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    The Majority of Graduates Would Have Taken

    Harder Courses, Particularly in Mathematics

    25Source: Peter D. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies (2005). Rising to the Challenge:AreHigh SchoolGraduates Preparedfor College andWork? Washington, DC: Achieve.

    Would have taken

    more challenging

    courses in at least

    one area

    Math

    Science

    English

    Knowing what you know today about the expectations of college/work

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    A MORE RIGOROUS & RELEVANT

    HIGH SCHOOL EDUCATION WILL

    OPEN DOORS FOR STUDENTS AND KEEP THEM OPEN

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    27

    Personal Benefits of Education in Kentucky

    While there may be jobs available to high school dropouts and

    graduates, they often pay l and off r l c rit ythan jobs

    held by those with at least some postsecondary experience.

    The link between educational attainment and gainful employmentis clear:

    More education is associated with higher

    earnings and higher rates of employment.

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    28Source: U.S. Census Bureau (2010). Current Population Survey. Figures are based on the total personsin the civilian labor force. http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/cpstc/cps_table_creator.html

    Personal Benefits of Education in Kentucky

    KentuckyStatistics: TotalUnemployment: 11%, Mean Income: $39,186

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    29Source:Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). Help Wanted: Projections of Jobs andEducation Requirements Through

    2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce. www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdfAnalysis based on authors analysis of March 2008 CPS data.

    Benefits to Education

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    30Source:ACT (2010). ACT 2009 Results. http://www.act.org/news/data/09/states.html ; College Board. Mean 2010SATScores byState. http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/2010-sat-trends.pdf

    Kentuckys Students Taking College

    Admissions Exams

    2 1 Kentucky U.S.

    Participation in ACT 100% 47%

    Average ACT Score 19.4 21

    Participation in SAT 6% 47%

    Average SAT Score 1713 1509

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    31Source:ACT (2010). College Readiness BenchmarkAttainment byState.http://www.act.org/news/data/10/benchmarks.html?utm_campaign=cccr10&utm_source=data10_leftnav&utm_medium=web#benchmark

    Students Meeting College Readiness

    Benchmark

    0%

    10%

    20%30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    English, 2010Reading, 2010

    Math, 2010

    Science, 2010All 4 tests, 2010

    66%

    52%

    43%

    29%24%

    55%

    4 %

    28%

    21%16%

    Percentage of ACT-tested graduates who met or

    exceeded the College Readiness Benchmark score

    Note:A benchmarkscore indicates a 50% chance of obtaininga Bor higher or about a 75% chance of obtaininga C or higher in thecorrespondingcredit-bearingcollegecourses.

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    32Source: College Board (2011). AP Report to the Nation.http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/7th-annual-ap-report-to-the-nation-2011.pdf

    Students Participating in Advanced

    Placement and Exceeding College and Career

    Readiness

    Percent of all 12th Graders Participating inAdvanced Placement (2 8)

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    THE SOLUTION:

    STATE-LED EFFORTS TO CLOSE THE

    EXPECTATIONS GAPAll students deserve a world-class education thatprepares them for college, careers and life.

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    The College- and Career-Ready Agenda

    34

    Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.

    Require students to take a college- and career-ready

    curriculum to earn a high school diploma.

    Require students to take a college- and career-ready

    curriculum to earn a high school diploma.

    Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.

    Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.

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    Kentuckys Commitment to Closing the

    Expectations Gap to Date

    35

    In 2 6 Kentucky adopted K-12 academic standards in math and Englishaligned with college- and career-ready expectations.

    In 2 6 Kentucky raised their high school graduation requirements to the

    college- and career-ready level.

    In 2 7, Kentucky put a policy in place requiring all 11th graders to take

    the ACT.

    While Kentucky does not have an accountability system that fully

    incorporates the full range of college- and career-ready indicators, the

    state does utilize a number of critical indicators in their reporting and

    accountability systems.

    Kentucky adopted the Common Core State Standards in May 2 1 .

    Kentucky is a participating state in the Partnership for Assessment of

    Readiness for College and Careers (PARCC) and the SMARTER

    BALANCED Assessment Consortium, the two main multistate consortia

    that won Race to the Top Common Assessment funds.

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    How Kentucky Can Continue to Build on its

    Momentum

    Realize the promise of the Common Core State Standards by

    implementing them fully and successfully, taking into consideration the

    related curricular and policy changes.

    Remain committed to the goals of the common assessment consortia

    and developing computer-based assessment system that will measure the

    full range of the Common Core State Standards.

    Continue to make progress on the states data collection efforts,

    particularly around making student data available to relevant stakeholders

    and linking K-12 and postsecondary student-level data.

    Continue to improve upon the states K-12 accountability system to

    determine how it can fully reward measures of college and careerreadiness, in alignment with the states standards and course

    requirements.

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    HOW WELL IS KENTUCKY

    PREPARING ALL

    STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,CAREERS AND LIFE

    May 2011