katherine r. smith, executive director council of professional associations on federal statistics

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(In)Consistency of Economic Data across Federal Statistical Agencies: What Information Professionals Can Do September 29, 2014 Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations on Federal Statistics

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(In)Consistency of Economic Data across Federal Statistical Agencies: What Information Professionals Can Do September 29, 2014. Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations on Federal Statistics. Federal Statistical System. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations  on Federal Statistics

(In)Consistency of Economic Data across Federal Statistical Agencies: What Information

Professionals Can Do

September 29, 2014

Katherine R. Smith,Executive Director

Council of Professional Associations on Federal Statistics

Page 2: Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations  on Federal Statistics
Page 3: Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations  on Federal Statistics

Federal Statistical System• About 100 federal agencies collect data• Thirteen designated (by OMB) as official

statistical agencies• Bureau of Labor Statistics, Census, and

Bureau of Economic Analysis produce economic statistics

• But so do dozens of others• There are also administrative data on

economic phenomena

Page 4: Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations  on Federal Statistics

Federal Statistical System

Page 5: Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations  on Federal Statistics

Search Income on Census Site

• Annual Social and Economic Supplement to the Current Population Survey (CPS ASEC)

• American Community Survey (ACS)• Survey of Income and Program

Participation (SIPP)• Census 2000 long form• Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates

Program (SAIPE)

Page 6: Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations  on Federal Statistics

Other Federal Statistics on Income

• Internal Revenue Service • Farm Household Income (USDA, Economic

Research Service)• Bureau of Economic Analysis Personal

Income DATA.GOV

1,853 datasets found for "Income"

Page 7: Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations  on Federal Statistics

How Wealthy are Americans?• Survey of Income and Program Participation

(SIPP)• Federal Reserve Board Survey of Consumer

Finance• Federal Reserve Board Flow of Funds Data • Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID)• Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)• Internal revenue Service (IRS)• Economic Research Service farm household

wealth

Page 8: Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations  on Federal Statistics

Differences in Other MeasuresSome Notable Examples

• Health insurance coverage–Census, NCHS, AHQR

• Crime Statistics– FBI, BJS

• Immigration–OIS and Census

Page 9: Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations  on Federal Statistics

Differences in Business Classification

• 30% of U.S. establishments are classified as belonging to different industries by BLS and Census

• Census uses IRS tax filing data to develop its establishment list. BLS has access to neither IRS lists, nor the Census list developed with IRS input.

Page 10: Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations  on Federal Statistics

Differences Are Not Surprising

• The phenomena measured or data collected are for different purposes, in different contexts

• Coverage, Time Dimension, Collection Methods differ

• Differences in data treatment or statistical models used.

• Revisions and Differential Discontinuities

Page 11: Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations  on Federal Statistics

Why Do We Care?

• IT’S CONFUSING!• May generate suspicion that only one

estimate is right or lower confidence in the statistical system

• Allocations are based on some measures with multiple measures

• Comparability suffers

Page 12: Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations  on Federal Statistics

What can agencies do ?

• Pick one “official” estimate• Concurrent releases of data• Attempt to standardize definitions–Across the statistical system–One agency at a time

• Do a better job of explaining how measures vary, and why

Page 13: Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations  on Federal Statistics

Bureau of Labor Statistics Taxonomy/Lexicon Initiative

MissionDevelop a BLS-wide, consistent taxonomy (hierarchy of categories or concepts) and lexicon (word list with synonyms) of BLS concepts in plain English geared towards the lay public, to be used in data query tools, document tagging, website search and navigation, and records management.

Page 14: Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations  on Federal Statistics

What’s an Information Specialist to do?

Page 15: Katherine R. Smith, Executive Director Council of Professional Associations  on Federal Statistics

Thank You!

Katherine [email protected]

Visit us on Twitter @COPAFS